Current WXSIM Forecast

Wednesday, 15-Jan-2025 02:00 pm

This
afternoon
Fair
Fair
High: 40°
Tonight

Partly Cloudy
Cold!
Partly Cloudy
Cold!
Low: 26°
Thursday

Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny
High: 51°
Thursday
night
Fair
Cold!
Fair
Cold!
Low: 28°
Friday

Sunny
Sunny
High: 52°
Friday
night
Mostly Cloudy
Cold!
Mostly Cloudy
Cold!
Low: 24°
Saturday

Sunny
Cold!
Sunny
Cold!
High: 27°
Saturday
night
Mostly Cloudy
Cold!
Mostly Cloudy
Cold!
Low: 8°
Sunday

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
High: 13°

Current NWS Forecast

Wed, 15-Jan-2025 1:46pm CST

This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 38 °F
Tonight

Tonight: Clear
Clear

Lo 27 °F
Thursday

Thursday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 47 °F
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 29 °F
Friday

Friday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 47 °F
Friday
Night
Friday Night: Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy

Lo 16 °F
Saturday

Saturday: Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny

Hi 23 °F
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy

Lo 5 °F
Sunday

Sunday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 15 °F



WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 01-15-25 at 2:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
01-15-25 13   12 38   40 26   28 48   53 29   27 46   52 17   25 24   27
01-14-25 10 16.9°F 16 22 25.3 °F 32 13   13 39   39 27   24 47   50 27   26 47   56
01-13-25 7 21.6°F 9 32 34.6 °F 34 9 16.9°F 13 25 25.3 °F 32 14   17 39   39 27   24 46   55
01-12-25 25 11.3°F 30 29 37.6 °F 33 7 21.6°F 8 26 34.6 °F 31 9 16.9°F 12 25 25.3 °F 32 13   17 37   43
01-11-25 16 36.2°F 20 41 42.8 °F 43 29 11.3°F 29 30 37.6 °F 33 7 21.6°F 12 25 34.6 °F 27 6 16.9°F 8 26 25.3 °F 30
01-10-25 22 21.4°F 24 32 38.1 °F 39 16 36.2°F 19 37 42.8 °F 45 26 11.3°F 25 34 37.6 °F 31 10 21.6°F 8 26 34.6 °F 28
01-09-25 10 32.0°F 19 37 35.5 °F 41 21 21.4°F 23 32 38.1 °F 34 14 36.2°F 18 34 42.8 °F 43 21 11.3°F 25 29 37.6 °F 27
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 1 2 3 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 0
% Succ 16.7   16.7 33.3   50.0 20.0   20.0 20.0   0.0     0.0 25.0   25.0     0.0 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 13.0   10.7 4.0   3.1 12.2   10.8 5.7   4.2 14.9   11.6 5.6   5.3 10.7   12.1 6.0   7.3
Net Error -8.2   -3.6 -3.5   1.4 -5.1   -3.1 -5.7   -0.7 -7.5   -4.8 -5.6   -1.8 -4.3   -2.9 -5.5   -4.2
Std Dev 8.3   7.9 2.9   2.7 8.4   8.2 4.6   2.9 13.3   10.6 5.5   4.6 10.7   12.1 6.0   7.3

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 01-15-25 at 5:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
01-15-25 13   40 38   27 26   52 48   27 29   52 46   24 17   27 24   8
01-14-25 10 16.0°F 30 22 25.3 °F 12 13   41 39   24 27   51 47   26 27   52 47   26
01-13-25 7 19.5°F 36 32 34.6 °F 15 9 16.0°F 32 25 25.3 °F 16 12   41 35   23 24   55 48   27
01-12-25 25 7.8°F 33 29 37.6 °F 7 7 19.5°F 34 26 34.6 °F 11 9 16.0°F 34 25 25.3 °F 21 13   43 37   23
01-11-25 16 34.8°F 40 41 42.8 °F 30 29 7.8°F 37 30 37.6 °F 13 7 19.5°F 29 25 34.6 °F 10 6 16.0°F 29 26 25.3 °F 16
01-10-25 23 21.4°F 38 32 38.1 °F 19 16 34.8°F 43 38 42.8 °F 28 28 7.8°F 35 33 37.6 °F 8 7 19.5°F 32 25 34.6 °F 15
01-09-25 10 28.2°F 42 37 35.5 °F 22 21 21.4°F 34 32 38.1 °F 18 14 34.8°F 43 37 42.8 °F 22 21 7.8°F 27 31 37.6 °F 8
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0
% Succ 16.7   0.0 33.3   0.0 20.0   0.0 20.0   0.0     0.0 25.0   0.0     0.0 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 12.4   15.2 4.0   18.2 12.0   16.1 5.5   18.5 15.1   15.7 5.1   19.8 11.9   14.9 5.6   19.5
Net Error -6.1   15.2 -3.5   -18.2 -3.5   16.1 -5.5   -18.5 -5.0   15.7 -5.1   -19.8 -3.1   14.9 -5.2   -19.5
Std Dev 7.9   8.5 2.9   9.5 8.9   11.8 4.5   12.9 13.7   13.7 5.0   18.8 11.9   14.9 5.6   19.5

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 01-15-25 at 8:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
01-15-25 38   40 26   27 48   52 29   27 46   52 17   24 24   27 5   8
01-14-25 22 25.3 °F 27 13 16.0°F 11 39   41 27   24 47   50 27   26 47   52 19   26
01-13-25 32 34.6 °F 34 9 9.7°F 14 25 25.3 °F 32 12 16.0°F 16 35   41 24   23 48   55 28   27
01-12-25 34 37.6 °F 33 7 7.7°F 7 26 34.6 °F 34 9 9.7°F 11 25 25.3 °F 34 13 16.0°F 21 37   43 25   23
01-11-25 41 42.8 °F 45 29 32.9°F 33 30 37.6 °F 38 7 7.7°F 13 25 34.6 °F 27 6 9.7°F 10 26 25.3 °F 29 15 16.0°F 16
01-10-25 32 38.1 °F 40 16 21.4°F 19 38 42.8 °F 45 28 32.9°F 29 33 37.6 °F 36 7 7.7°F 9 25 34.6 °F 32 11 9.7°F 16
01-09-25 37 35.5 °F 43 21 23.5°F 22 32 38.1 °F 34 14 21.4°F 18 37 42.8 °F 43 21 32.9°F 22 31 37.6 °F 27 10 7.7°F 8
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 3 2 3 1 2 2 2 1 2 1 2 1 0 2 2
% Succ 33.3   50.0 33.3   50.0 20.0   40.0 40.0   40.0 25.0   50.0 25.0   50.0 33.3   0.0 66.7   66.7
Ave Error 3.2   3.1 2.7   2.3 5.5   2.8 3.5   2.8 5.1   4.5 4.8   4.4 5.6   5.6 1.5   2.2
Net Error -2.7   1.4 -2.7   -0.9 -5.5   0.9 -3.5   -0.1 -5.1   -0.1 -4.8   -1.1 -5.2   -3.2 0.9   2.2
Std Dev 1.9   1.9 2.0   2.0 4.5   2.9 2.9   2.5 5.0   4.4 4.3   3.8 5.6   5.6 1.5   2.2

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 01-15-25 at 11:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
01-15-25 38   44 26   27 48   52 29   28 46   53 17   24 24   27 5   8
01-14-25 22 25.3 °F 26 13 16.0°F 11 39   40 27   25 47   51 27   25 47   49 19   23
01-13-25 34 34.6 °F 35 9 9.7°F 13 25 25.3 °F 32 12 16.0°F 15 35   42 24   25 48   52 28   26
01-12-25 34 37.6 °F 31 7 7.7°F 7 29 34.6 °F 35 9 9.7°F 12 25 25.3 °F 33 13 16.0°F 17 37   40 25   25
01-11-25 40 42.8 °F 40 25 31.6°F 28 28 37.6 °F 31 7 7.7°F 8 25 34.6 °F 33 6 9.7°F 10 26 25.3 °F 30 15 16.0°F 16
01-10-25 32 38.1 °F 40 16 21.4°F 19 38 42.8 °F 43 28 31.6°F 29 33 37.6 °F 32 7 7.7°F 8 25 34.6 °F 33 11 9.7°F 9
01-09-25 35 35.5 °F 37 22 23.5°F 20 32 38.1 °F 33 16 21.4°F 18 37 42.8 °F 42 23 31.6°F 24 31 37.6 °F 28 10 7.7°F 7
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 4 3 1 1 2 2 2 1 2 1 3 1 1 2 3
% Succ 33.3   66.7 50.0   16.7 20.0   40.0 40.0   40.0 25.0   50.0 25.0   75.0 33.3   33.3 66.7   100.0
Ave Error 2.8   2.3 3.0   3.1 5.3   3.8 2.9   1.9 5.1   3.9 4.0   2.3 5.6   5.3 1.5   0.5
Net Error -2.8   -0.8 -3.0   -2.0 -5.3   -0.9 -2.9   -0.9 -5.1   -0.1 -4.0   -1.5 -5.2   -2.2 0.9   -0.5
Std Dev 2.0   2.3 2.5   1.8 4.5   3.4 2.3   1.5 5.0   3.9 3.5   2.1 5.6   5.3 1.5   0.5

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 01-15-25 at 2:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
01-15-25 38   40 27   26 47   51 29   28 47   52 16   24 23   27 5   8
01-14-25 22 25.3 °F 24 13 16.0°F 11 39   40 27   25 47   51 27   25 47   49 19   23
01-13-25 31 34.6 °F 35 10 9.7°F 13 22 25.3 °F 31 12 16.0°F 15 36   42 25   25 47   52 28   26
01-12-25 34 37.6 °F 31 7 7.7°F 8 29 34.6 °F 35 9 9.7°F 13 25 25.3 °F 32 13 16.0°F 15 37   40 25   24
01-11-25 40 42.8 °F 42 25 31.6°F 28 28 37.6 °F 34 7 7.7°F 13 25 34.6 °F 30 6 9.7°F 10 26 25.3 °F 29 15 16.0°F 16
01-10-25 32 38.1 °F 38 16 21.4°F 18 38 42.8 °F 41 26 31.6°F 29 33 37.6 °F 31 8 7.7°F 8 26 34.6 °F 33 9 9.7°F 9
01-09-25 35 35.5 °F 36 22 23.5°F 20 32 38.1 °F 34 16 21.4°F 18 37 42.8 °F 42 23 31.6°F 24 31 37.6 °F 28 10 7.7°F 7
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 5 3 1 0 2 2 1 1 1 1 3 1 1 2 3
% Succ 16.7   83.3 50.0   16.7     40.0 40.0   20.0 25.0   25.0 25.0   75.0 33.3   33.3 66.7   100.0
Ave Error 3.3   1.6 2.9   3.2 5.9   3.1 3.3   3.1 5.1   4.7 3.9   2.3 5.3   5.0 1.3   0.5
Net Error -3.3   -1.3 -2.8   -2.0 -5.9   -0.7 -3.3   0.3 -5.1   -1.3 -3.8   -2.0 -4.8   -2.5 0.2   -0.5
Std Dev 1.8   2.3 2.6   1.9 4.2   2.6 2.7   2.4 5.0   4.2 3.4   2.1 5.3   5.0 1.3   0.5

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 01-14-25 at 5:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
01-14-25 19   9 13   39 38   26 27   52 45   26 28   50 47   22 17   27
01-13-25 33 34.6 °F 13 10 9.7°F 32 22   15 12   40 36   24 25   51 47   25 28   55
01-12-25 34 37.6 °F 6 6 7.7°F 33 29 34.6 °F 14 9 9.7°F 31 25   16 14   38 39   23 27   55
01-11-25 45 42.8 °F 32 25 31.6°F 33 29 37.6 °F 8 7 7.7°F 33 26 34.6 °F 11 7 9.7°F 34 25   20 12   50
01-10-25 37 38.1 °F 17 16 21.4°F 40 38 42.8 °F 27 26 31.6°F 31 33 37.6 °F 7 8 7.7°F 26 26 34.6 °F 7 9 9.7°F 30
01-09-25 35 35.5 °F 20 22 23.5°F 34 32 38.1 °F 19 16 21.4°F 46 37 42.8 °F 27 26 31.6°F 31 34 37.6 °F 7 10 7.7°F 31
01-08-25 25 16.0 °F 15 13 6.3°F 41 37 35.5 °F 23 21 23.5°F 36 32 38.1 °F 17 14 21.4°F 43 34 42.8 °F 27 21 31.6°F 29
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 1 3 1 1 0 2 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 0
% Succ 50.0   16.7 50.0   16.7 20.0   0.0 40.0   20.0     0.0 25.0   25.0     0.0 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 3.0   16.9 3.7   18.8 5.3   19.5 3.0   16.9 6.3   22.8 4.0   16.2 7.0   24.7 4.5   15.4
Net Error 0.7   -16.9 -1.4   18.8 -4.7   -19.5 -3.0   16.6 -6.3   -22.8 -3.9   15.9 -7.0   -24.7 -3.0   13.7
Std Dev 1.9   9.8 2.8   11.4 3.7   13.3 2.6   13.6 5.6   19.7 3.5   14.6 7.0   24.7 4.5   15.4

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 01-14-25 at 8:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
01-14-25 13   12 38   40 27   27 45   52 28   26 47   49 17   22 23   27
01-13-25 10 9.7°F 13 22 34.6 °F 32 12   15 36   40 25   24 47   51 28   25 47   55
01-12-25 6 7.7°F 5 29 37.6 °F 33 9 9.7°F 14 25 34.6 °F 31 14   16 39   38 27   23 46   54
01-11-25 25 31.6°F 31 29 42.8 °F 35 7 7.7°F 12 26 37.6 °F 35 7 9.7°F 12 25 34.6 °F 34 12   20 36   51
01-10-25 16 21.4°F 18 38 38.1 °F 41 26 31.6°F 27 33 42.8 °F 31 8 7.7°F 7 26 37.6 °F 26 9 9.7°F 7 24 34.6 °F 30
01-09-25 22 23.5°F 24 32 35.5 °F 37 16 21.4°F 20 37 38.1 °F 46 26 31.6°F 27 34 42.8 °F 31 10 7.7°F 7 26 37.6 °F 31
01-08-25 13 6.3°F 11 37 16.0 °F 39 21 23.5°F 23 32 35.5 °F 35 14 21.4°F 17 34 38.1 °F 43 21 31.6°F 27 29 42.8 °F 29
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 2 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 0
% Succ 50.0   33.3 16.7   16.7 40.0   40.0 20.0   20.0 25.0   25.0     25.0 33.3   33.3     0.0
Ave Error 3.7   2.5 9.9   7.1 3.0   3.0 7.1   5.3 4.0   3.0 8.5   7.2 4.5   2.7 12.0   8.3
Net Error -1.4   0.3 -2.9   2.1 -3.0   0.4 -7.1   -2.1 -3.9   -1.9 -8.5   -4.8 -3.0   -2.7 -12.0   -8.3
Std Dev 2.8   1.6 6.6   4.6 2.6   2.2 5.2   4.7 3.5   2.6 7.4   7.1 4.5   2.7 12.0   8.3

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 01-14-25 at 11:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
01-14-25 13   12 38   41 27   27 45   52 28   27 47   51 17   25 23   27
01-13-25 10 16.9°F 14 22 34.6 °F 31 12   13 36   39 25   24 47   50 28   26 47   56
01-12-25 6 21.6°F 6 29 37.6 °F 29 9 16.9°F 11 25 34.6 °F 31 14   17 39   39 27   24 46   55
01-11-25 25 12.8°F 29 29 42.8 °F 32 7 21.6°F 9 26 37.6 °F 31 7 16.9°F 12 25 34.6 °F 32 12   17 36   43
01-10-25 16 38.2°F 17 38 38.1 °F 41 26 12.8°F 31 33 42.8 °F 36 8 21.6°F 7 26 37.6 °F 24 9 16.9°F 7 24 34.6 °F 30
01-09-25 22 21.4°F 24 32 35.5 °F 38 16 38.2°F 19 37 38.1 °F 45 26 12.8°F 25 34 42.8 °F 31 10 21.6°F 8 26 37.6 °F 28
01-08-25 10 33.3°F 13 37 16.0 °F 39 21 21.4°F 22 32 35.5 °F 34 14 38.2°F 17 34 38.1 °F 43 21 12.8°F 25 29 42.8 °F 27
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
% Succ 16.7   0.0 16.7   0.0 20.0   20.0 20.0   20.0     0.0     0.0     0.0     0.0
Ave Error 13.5   13.1 9.9   8.6 11.7   11.3 7.1   5.1 15.2   13.2 8.5   8.2 9.2   11.9 12.0   10.0
Net Error -9.2   -6.9 -2.9   0.9 -6.4   -3.8 -7.1   -2.3 -8.6   -7.1 -8.5   -5.8 -3.8   -3.8 -12.0   -10.0
Std Dev 8.9   8.8 6.6   5.4 7.7   8.2 5.2   3.4 13.5   12.2 7.4   7.7 9.2   11.9 12.0   10.0

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.