Current WXSIM Forecast

Monday, 22-Apr-2024 05:00 pm

Tonight

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Low: 53°
Tuesday

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
High: 72°
Tuesday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Low: 47°
Wednesday

Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
High: 67°
Wednesday
night
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Low: 47°
Thursday

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
High: 63°
Thursday
night
Thunder storm
Thunder storm
Low: 53°
Friday

Thunder storm
Thunder storm
High: 77°
Friday
night
Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear
Low: 53°

Current NWS Forecast

Mon, 22-Apr-2024 7:05pm CDT

Tonight

Tonight: Chance Rain Showers
Chance Rain Showers

Lo 50 °F ↑
Tuesday

Tuesday: Slight Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Sunny
Slight Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Sunny

Hi 71 °F
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 38 °F ↑
Wednesday

Wednesday: Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny

Hi 68 °F
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Slight Chance Rain Showers
Slight Chance Rain Showers

Lo 50 °F
Thursday

Thursday: Chance Rain Showers
Chance Rain Showers

Hi 71 °F
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Showers And Thunderstorms
Showers And TStorms

Lo 58 °F
Friday

Friday: Showers And Thunderstorms
Showers And TStorms

Hi 79 °F
Friday
Night
Friday Night: Showers And Thunderstorms then Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Showers And TStorms then Chance Showers And TStorms

Lo 53 °F



WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 04-22-24 at 2:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-22-24 39 ↑   42 79   73 48 ↑   48 69   67 40   44 67   64 48   42 70   62
04-21-24 31 ↑ 46.6°F 32 63 65.8 °F 61 41 ↑   41 78   67 48   47 68   65 40   43 67   63
04-20-24 32 ↑ 33.9°F 35 55 55.9 °F 53 31 ↑ 46.6°F 32 63 65.8 °F 61 41   39 74   64 48   44 67   61
04-19-24 35 ↑ 39.7°F 37 59 61.3 °F 60 33 ↑ 33.9°F 36 54 55.9 °F 54 31 46.6°F 33 62 65.8 °F 61 42   39 72   57
04-18-24 44 ↑ 40.4°F 45 58 60.1 °F 55 35 ↑ 39.7°F 37 59 61.3 °F 59 33 33.9°F 36 55 55.9 °F 51 32 46.6°F 34 62 65.8 °F 61
04-17-24 50 ↑ 53.7°F 51 73 72.8 °F 71 45 ↑ 40.4°F 44 58 60.1 °F 55 36 39.7°F 40 57 61.3 °F 54 33 33.9°F 37 53 55.9 °F 54
04-16-24 63 ↑ 54.7°F 62 75 ↓ 75.0 °F 76 49 53.7°F 55 72 72.8 °F 67 42 40.4°F 49 54 60.1 °F 50 36 39.7°F 38 57 61.3 °F 56
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 1 3 3 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 0 1 1 0 1
% Succ 16.7   16.7 50.0   50.0 20.0   20.0 40.0   20.0 50.0   25.0 25.0   0.0 33.3   33.3     33.3
Ave Error 6.3   5.5 1.4   2.8 6.1   4.9 2.0   4.0 5.5   6.2 3.8   6.8 6.4   5.8 3.7   4.0
Net Error -2.3   -1.2 -1.3   -2.5 -4.3   -2.1 -2.0   -4.0 -4.7   -0.7 -3.8   -6.8 -6.4   -3.7 -3.7   -4.0
Std Dev 5.2   5.0 1.1   1.8 6.2   5.6 1.3   2.8 6.9   6.5 3.3   5.9 6.4   5.8 3.7   4.0

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 04-22-24 at 5:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-22-24 40 ↑   70 77   46 49 ↑   66 69   42 39   63 68   42 48   62 73   46
04-21-24 29 46.4°F 60 63 65.8 °F 39 41 ↑   67 78   46 48   65 68   43 38   63 67   45
04-20-24 32 ↑ 30.8°F 53 55 55.9 °F 32 31 ↑ 46.4°F 60 63 65.8 °F 39 41   64 75   44 48   61 68   36
04-19-24 35 ↑ 35.0°F 60 59 61.3 °F 36 33 ↑ 30.8°F 54 54 55.9 °F 34 31 46.4°F 62 62 65.8 °F 40 41   56 73   42
04-18-24 44 ↑ 39.4°F 54 58 60.1 °F 36 35 ↑ 35.0°F 60 59 61.3 °F 35 33 30.8°F 51 55 55.9 °F 33 32 46.4°F 62 62 65.8 °F 42
04-17-24 50 ↑ 46.4°F 72 73 72.8 °F 46 45 ↑ 39.4°F 56 58 60.1 °F 40 36 35.0°F 55 57 61.3 °F 38 33 30.8°F 55 53 55.9 °F 35
04-16-24 61 ↑ 52.9°F 77 76 ↓ 75.0 °F 55 50 ↑ 46.4°F 67 72 72.8 °F 48 43 39.4°F 49 55 60.1 °F 38 36 35.0°F 56 57 61.3 °F 39
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 0 3 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 0
% Succ 33.3   0.0 50.0   0.0 20.0   0.0 40.0   0.0 25.0   0.0 25.0   0.0 33.3   0.0     0.0
Ave Error 5.8   20.9 1.6   24.5 5.4   19.8 2.0   24.0 5.6   16.4 3.5   23.5 5.9   20.3 3.7   22.3
Net Error 0.0   20.9 -1.2   -24.5 -0.8   19.8 -2.0   -24.0 -2.2   16.4 -3.5   -23.5 -3.7   20.3 -3.7   -22.3
Std Dev 6.2   9.7 1.1   10.1 6.3   13.1 1.3   15.3 6.9   14.2 3.1   20.4 5.9   20.3 3.7   22.3

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 04-22-24 at 8:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-22-24 77   73 49 ↑   49 69   68 39   44 68   64 48   42 73   62 58   44
04-21-24 63 65.8 °F 57 41 ↑ 46.4°F 38 78   67 48   46 68   66 38   44 67   64 48   43
04-20-24 55 55.9 °F 52 31 ↑ 29.3°F 32 63 65.8 °F 61 41 46.4°F 38 75   64 48   43 68   62 39   41
04-19-24 59 61.3 °F 59 33 ↑ 32.0°F 35 54 55.9 °F 54 31 29.3°F 32 62 65.8 °F 61 41 46.4°F 40 73   65 46   44
04-18-24 58 60.1 °F 52 35 ↑ 39.4°F 34 59 61.3 °F 58 33 32.0°F 34 55 55.9 °F 51 32 29.3°F 31 62 65.8 °F 62 42 46.4°F 41
04-17-24 73 72.8 °F 72 45 ↑ 42.6°F 46 58 60.1 °F 57 36 39.4°F 41 57 61.3 °F 56 33 32.0°F 38 53 55.9 °F 52 32 29.3°F 35
04-16-24 76 ↓ 75.0 °F 76 50 ↑ 50.7°F 55 72 72.8 °F 67 43 42.6°F 48 55 60.1 °F 49 36 39.4°F 38 57 61.3 °F 56 36 32.0°F 39
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 2 3 0 2 1 3 2 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 0
% Succ 50.0   33.3 50.0   0.0 40.0   20.0 60.0   40.0 25.0   0.0 25.0   50.0     0.0     0.0
Ave Error 1.6   4.2 2.6   4.5 2.0   3.8 2.4   4.0 3.5   6.5 3.1   3.9 3.7   4.3 3.7   6.0
Net Error -1.2   -3.8 -0.9   -0.1 -2.0   -3.8 -1.1   0.7 -3.5   -6.5 -1.3   0.0 -3.7   -4.3 0.8   2.4
Std Dev 1.1   3.4 1.9   2.7 1.3   2.6 2.1   3.4 3.1   5.7 2.9   3.6 3.7   4.3 3.7   6.0

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 04-22-24 at 11:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-22-24 79   72 49 ↑   48 69   67 39   44 68   64 48   41 73   62 58   44
04-21-24 63 65.8 °F 60 41 ↑ 46.4°F 40 78   68 48   46 68   66 38   44 67   64 48   43
04-20-24 55 55.9 °F 52 31 ↑ 29.3°F 28 63 65.8 °F 58 41 46.4°F 35 75   64 48   42 68   61 39   41
04-19-24 59 61.3 °F 60 33 ↑ 32.0°F 34 54 55.9 °F 54 31 29.3°F 33 62 65.8 °F 61 41 46.4°F 40 73   65 46   44
04-18-24 58 60.1 °F 53 35 ↑ 39.4°F 35 59 61.3 °F 58 33 32.0°F 35 55 55.9 °F 52 32 29.3°F 32 62 65.8 °F 62 42 46.4°F 42
04-17-24 73 72.8 °F 70 45 ↑ 42.5°F 45 58 60.1 °F 56 36 39.4°F 39 57 61.3 °F 56 33 32.0°F 39 53 55.9 °F 52 32 29.3°F 35
04-16-24 76 ↓ 75.0 °F 74 50 ↑ 50.7°F 53 72 72.8 °F 67 43 42.5°F 46 55 60.1 °F 49 36 39.4°F 38 57 61.3 °F 56 36 32.0°F 39
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 2 3 2 2 1 3 1 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0
% Succ 50.0   33.3 50.0   33.3 40.0   20.0 60.0   20.0 25.0   0.0 25.0   25.0     0.0     0.0
Ave Error 1.6   3.7 2.6   3.2 2.0   4.6 2.4   4.4 3.5   6.3 3.1   4.4 3.7   4.3 3.7   5.7
Net Error -1.2   -3.7 -0.9   -0.9 -2.0   -4.6 -1.1   -0.3 -3.5   -6.3 -1.3   0.5 -3.7   -4.3 0.8   2.8
Std Dev 1.1   2.5 1.9   2.1 1.3   3.5 2.1   4.2 3.1   5.5 2.9   3.9 3.7   4.3 3.7   5.7

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 04-22-24 at 2:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-22-24 79   77 49 ↑   52 69   72 39   47 68   66 48   48 73   63 58   52
04-21-24 63 65.8 °F 62 39 ↑ 46.4°F 39 79   68 48   45 69   67 40   44 67   63 48   43
04-20-24 55 55.9 °F 56 31 ↑ 29.3°F 30 63 65.8 °F 59 41 46.4°F 37 75   65 48   45 68   63 39   39
04-19-24 60 61.3 °F 60 32 ↑ 32.0°F 35 54 55.9 °F 54 31 29.3°F 34 62 65.8 °F 62 41 46.4°F 40 73   65 46   44
04-18-24 58 60.1 °F 58 35 ↑ 39.4°F 35 59 61.3 °F 59 33 32.0°F 35 55 55.9 °F 51 32 29.3°F 33 62 65.8 °F 62 42 46.4°F 41
04-17-24 73 72.8 °F 72 45 ↑ 42.5°F 46 58 60.1 °F 57 36 39.4°F 40 57 61.3 °F 57 33 32.0°F 38 53 55.9 °F 52 32 29.3°F 36
04-16-24 76 ↓ 75.0 °F 72 50 ↑ 50.7°F 52 72 72.8 °F 67 43 42.5°F 46 57 60.1 °F 49 36 39.4°F 38 56 61.3 °F 56 36 32.0°F 39
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 4 3 3 2 2 1 3 1 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0
% Succ 66.7   50.0 50.0   33.3 40.0   20.0 60.0   20.0 25.0   0.0 25.0   25.0     0.0     0.0
Ave Error 1.4   1.9 2.8   3.4 2.0   4.0 2.4   4.2 3.0   6.0 3.1   4.4 4.0   4.3 3.7   6.4
Net Error -1.0   -1.8 -1.4   -0.6 -2.0   -4.0 -1.1   0.5 -3.0   -6.0 -1.3   0.5 -4.0   -4.3 0.8   2.8
Std Dev 1.0   1.4 2.6   2.4 1.3   3.1 2.1   3.6 2.6   5.3 2.9   3.9 4.0   4.3 3.7   6.4

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 04-22-24 at 5:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-22-24 79 ↓   53 50 ↑   72 71   47 38   67 68   47 50   63 71   53 58   77
04-21-24 63 65.8 °F 41 39 ↑ 46.4°F 68 79   45 48   67 69   45 40   63 67   44 48   71
04-20-24 55 55.9 °F 32 31 ↑ 29.3°F 60 63 65.8 °F 39 40 46.4°F 65 75   45 48   63 69   39 40   62
04-19-24 60 61.3 °F 34 32 ↑ 32.0°F 53 54 55.9 °F 32 31 29.3°F 61 62 65.8 °F 38 41 46.4°F 65 73   43 46   60
04-18-24 57 60.1 °F 37 35 ↑ 39.4°F 59 59 61.3 °F 34 33 32.0°F 52 54 55.9 °F 33 31 29.3°F 62 62 65.8 °F 41 42 46.4°F 61
04-17-24 73 72.8 °F 47 45 ↑ 42.5°F 57 58 60.1 °F 40 36 39.4°F 58 57 61.3 °F 38 33 32.0°F 52 53 55.9 °F 36 32 29.3°F 60
04-16-24 74 ↓ 75.0 °F 57 50 50.7°F 72 73 72.8 °F 44 44 42.5°F 55 57 60.1 °F 39 37 39.4°F 55 56 61.3 °F 37 33 32.0°F 51
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 4 0 3 0 2 0 3 0 1 0 2 0 0 0 1 0
% Succ 66.7   0.0 50.0   0.0 40.0   0.0 60.0   0.0 25.0   0.0 50.0   0.0     0.0 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 1.6   23.8 2.8   21.5 1.9   25.4 2.8   20.3 3.3   23.8 2.6   21.7 4.0   23.0 2.7   21.4
Net Error -1.5   -23.8 -1.4   21.5 -1.8   -25.4 -1.1   20.3 -3.3   -23.8 -1.3   21.7 -4.0   -23.0 -0.2   21.4
Std Dev 1.2   9.9 2.6   10.0 1.3   16.1 2.6   13.8 2.8   20.7 2.7   18.9 4.0   23.0 2.7   21.4

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 04-21-24 at 8:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-21-24 39 ↑   41 79   69 48 ↑   46 69   65 40   42 67   64 48   44 70   69
04-20-24 31 ↑ 29.3°F 32 63 55.9 °F 59 40   38 75   65 48   44 69   63 40   40 67   58
04-19-24 32 ↑ 32.0°F 34 54 61.3 °F 52 31 29.3°F 31 62 55.9 °F 60 41   38 73   65 46   44 67   57
04-18-24 35 ↑ 39.4°F 36 59 60.1 °F 58 33 ↑ 32.0°F 36 54 61.3 °F 53 31 29.3°F 34 62 55.9 °F 62 42   41 72   61
04-17-24 44 ↑ 42.5°F 48 58 72.8 °F 57 36 39.4°F 39 57 60.1 °F 59 35 32.0°F 39 54 61.3 °F 51 33 29.3°F 32 62 55.9 °F 62
04-16-24 50 ↑ 50.7°F 57 73 75.0 °F 72 44 ↑ 42.5°F 45 57 72.8 °F 55 37 39.4°F 40 56 60.1 °F 56 33 32.0°F 37 52 61.3 °F 51
04-15-24 63 ↑ 65.1°F 64 75 ↓ 85.9 °F 75 49 50.7°F 54 72 75.0 °F 66 42 42.5°F 48 54 72.8 °F 50 36 39.4°F 39 57 60.1 °F 56
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 4 2 2 0 4 2 0 1 2 1 0 0 1 1 0 0
% Succ 66.7   33.3 33.3   0.0 80.0   40.0     20.0 50.0   25.0     0.0 33.3   33.3     0.0
Ave Error 1.7   3.5 7.2   7.4 1.9   2.4 7.1   8.1 1.9   4.5 9.1   10.8 2.7   2.7 6.2   6.8
Net Error -0.7   2.0 -4.8   -6.3 -0.2   2.2 -4.6   -6.4 0.5   4.5 -6.0   -7.8 0.4   2.4 -2.1   -2.8
Std Dev 1.5   2.1 5.4   5.7 1.4   1.9 4.8   6.2 1.6   3.9 8.0   9.7 2.7   2.7 6.2   6.8

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 04-21-24 at 11:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-21-24 39 ↑   42 79   70 48 ↑   46 69   65 40   42 67   64 48   44 70   69
04-20-24 31 ↑ 50.5°F 33 63 55.9 °F 60 40   40 75   67 48   45 69   62 40   40 67   58
04-19-24 32 ↑ 41.2°F 38 54 61.3 °F 54 31 50.5°F 32 64 55.9 °F 61 41   39 74   65 48   44 67   57
04-18-24 35 ↑ 47.3°F 38 59 60.1 °F 60 33 ↑ 41.2°F 36 54 61.3 °F 54 31 50.5°F 34 62 55.9 °F 62 42   41 72   61
04-17-24 44 ↑ 44.3°F 48 58 72.8 °F 57 36 47.3°F 39 57 60.1 °F 60 35 41.2°F 39 54 61.3 °F 51 33 50.5°F 32 62 55.9 °F 62
04-16-24 50 ↑ 58.1°F 52 73 75.0 °F 71 44 ↑ 44.3°F 44 57 72.8 °F 55 37 47.3°F 40 56 60.1 °F 56 33 41.2°F 37 52 61.3 °F 51
04-15-24 63 ↑ 55.4°F 65 75 ↓ 85.9 °F 77 49 58.1°F 55 72 75.0 °F 67 42 44.3°F 48 54 72.8 °F 50 36 47.3°F 38 57 60.1 °F 56
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 0 2 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
% Succ 16.7   0.0 33.3   16.7 20.0   20.0     20.0     0.0     0.0     0.0     0.0
Ave Error 9.5   8.2 7.2   6.7 9.7   7.1 7.5   7.7 9.6   7.4 9.1   10.8 12.3   10.7 6.2   6.8
Net Error -7.0   -3.8 -4.8   -5.3 -9.7   -7.1 -4.2   -5.6 -9.6   -5.6 -6.0   -7.8 -12.3   -10.7 -2.1   -2.8
Std Dev 6.9   5.8 5.4   5.6 7.6   6.9 5.1   6.0 9.7   7.9 8.0   9.7 12.3   10.7 6.2   6.8

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.