Current WXSIM Forecast

Saturday, 27-Jul-2024 02:00 am

Rest of
tonight
Clear
Clear
Low: 75°
Saturday

Sunny
Sunny
High: 91°
Saturday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Low: 73°
Sunday

Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny
High: 92°
Sunday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Low: 68°
Monday

Sunny
Sunny
High: 94°
Monday
night
Clear
Clear
Low: 70°
Tuesday

Sunny
Sunny
High: 97°
Tuesday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Low: 77°

Current NWS Forecast

Sat, 27-Jul-2024 4:35am CDT

Overnight

Overnight: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 71 °F
Saturday

Saturday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 93 °F
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 71 °F
Sunday

Sunday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 96 °F
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And TStorms

Lo 73 °F
Monday

Monday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 98 °F
Monday
Night
Monday Night: Clear
Clear

Lo 71 °F
Tuesday

Tuesday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 99 °F
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Slight Chance Showers And TStorms

Lo 74 °F



WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 07-27-24 at 2:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
07-27-24 71   75 93   91 71   73 96   92 74   68 97   94 72   70 100   97
07-26-24 70 78.5°F 76 96 94.8 °F 94 72   73 94   93 71   72 97   93 74   75 99   99
07-25-24 68 79.3°F 72 96 95.6 °F 93 71 78.5°F 70 96 94.8 °F 94 72   71 95   93 73   76 97   95
07-24-24 66 73.6°F 67 94 95.4 °F 91 69 79.3°F 68 95 95.6 °F 92 69 78.5°F 70 94 94.8 °F 91 71   71 92   92
07-23-24 65 70.1°F 65 88 90.1 °F 88 66 73.6°F 66 93 95.4 °F 92 67 79.3°F 68 92 95.6 °F 92 69 78.5°F 69 93 94.8 °F 91
07-22-24 63 66.7°F 65 84 86.7 °F 83 64 70.1°F 64 88 90.1 °F 89 66 73.6°F 65 90 95.4 °F 88 65 79.3°F 65 90 95.6 °F 89
07-21-24 62 66.5°F 62 82 84.7 °F 80 62 66.7°F 61 83 86.7 °F 84 63 70.1°F 64 86 90.1 °F 87 63 73.6°F 64 88 95.4 °F 87
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 1 3 1 0 0 2 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0
% Succ     16.7 50.0   16.7     0.0 40.0   40.0     0.0 25.0   0.0     0.0 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 6.8   4.6 1.8   3.1 7.2   7.8 2.0   2.3 9.1   8.6 3.5   4.5 11.5   11.1 4.9   6.3
Net Error -6.8   -4.6 -1.2   -3.1 -7.2   -7.8 -1.5   -2.3 -9.1   -8.6 -3.5   -4.5 -11.5   -11.1 -4.9   -6.3
Std Dev 3.7   2.8 1.0   1.7 4.8   5.2 1.5   1.8 7.9   7.5 3.3   3.9 11.5   11.1 4.9   6.3

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 07-26-24 at 5:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
07-26-24 70   95 96   73 72   93 94   71 71   91 97   74 74   98 99   72
07-25-24 68 74.8°F 90 96 95.6 °F 69 71   94 96   74 72   94 95   75 73   92 97   71
07-24-24 66 69.5°F 90 94 95.4 °F 68 69 74.8°F 92 95 95.6 °F 70 70   91 95   71 71   92 92   71
07-23-24 65 68.8°F 88 88 90.1 °F 67 66 69.5°F 92 93 95.4 °F 68 67 74.8°F 92 93 95.6 °F 69 69   91 93   71
07-22-24 63 64.9°F 83 84 86.7 °F 64 64 68.8°F 88 88 90.1 °F 65 66 69.5°F 87 90 95.4 °F 65 66 74.8°F 89 90 95.6 °F 69
07-21-24 62 64.4°F 81 82 84.7 °F 63 62 64.9°F 84 83 86.7 °F 65 63 68.8°F 87 86 90.1 °F 65 64 69.5°F 87 89 95.4 °F 65
07-20-24 65 64.3°F 78 77 76.7 °F 62 63 64.4°F 79 78 84.7 °F 62 62 64.9°F 83 82 86.7 °F 64 62 68.8°F 87 85 90.1 °F 68
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 0 3 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
% Succ 33.3   0.0 50.0   0.0 20.0   0.0 20.0   0.0     0.0     0.0     0.0     0.0
Ave Error 3.2   17.2 1.6   22.7 3.7   18.5 3.1   24.5 5.0   17.8 4.2   26.2 7.0   16.6 5.7   26.4
Net Error -3.0   17.2 -1.4   -22.7 -3.7   18.5 -3.1   -24.5 -5.0   17.8 -4.2   -26.2 -7.0   16.6 -5.7   -26.4
Std Dev 2.1   7.3 1.1   9.6 2.6   11.9 2.3   15.6 4.6   15.4 3.7   22.7 7.0   16.6 5.7   26.4

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 07-26-24 at 7:53 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
07-26-24 96   92 72   72 94   92 71   71 97   90 74   74 99   97 72   73
07-25-24 96 95.6 °F 90 71 73.2°F 68 96   94 72   71 95   92 73   76 97   96 72   73
07-24-24 94 95.4 °F 89 69 68.5°F 68 95 95.6 °F 92 70 73.2°F 69 95   91 71   70 92   93 72   73
07-23-24 88 90.1 °F 85 66 66.8°F 67 93 95.4 °F 91 67 68.5°F 69 93 95.6 °F 91 69 73.2°F 70 95   89 71   71
07-22-24 84 86.7 °F 81 64 63.7°F 64 88 90.1 °F 88 66 66.8°F 66 90 95.4 °F 88 66 68.5°F 66 90 95.6 °F 89 68 73.2°F 68
07-21-24 82 84.7 °F 79 62 63.5°F 61 83 86.7 °F 84 63 63.7°F 64 86 90.1 °F 88 64 66.8°F 65 89 95.4 °F 88 65 68.5°F 66
07-20-24 77 76.7 °F 78 63 63.7°F 61 78 84.7 °F 83 62 63.5°F 63 82 86.7 °F 86 62 63.7°F 65 85 90.1 °F 89 63 66.8°F 66
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 1 5 3 1 1 4 4 0 1 1 2 0 1 0 1
% Succ 50.0   16.7 83.3   50.0 20.0   20.0 80.0   80.0     25.0 25.0   50.0     33.3     33.3
Ave Error 1.6   5.0 1.0   1.9 3.1   2.9 1.5   1.3 4.2   3.7 2.8   2.2 5.7   5.0 4.2   2.8
Net Error -1.4   -4.5 -0.7   -1.7 -3.1   -2.9 -1.5   -0.9 -4.2   -3.7 -2.8   -1.6 -5.7   -5.0 -4.2   -2.8
Std Dev 1.1   2.2 0.8   1.9 2.3   2.0 1.3   1.6 3.7   3.2 2.5   2.0 5.7   5.0 4.2   2.8

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 07-26-24 at 11:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
07-26-24 96   93 72   71 94   91 71   72 97   92 74   75 99   98 72   73
07-25-24 96 95.6 °F 93 71 73.2°F 72 96   94 72   72 95   93 73   76 97   95 72   73
07-24-24 93 95.4 °F 92 69 68.5°F 70 95 95.6 °F 92 70 73.2°F 70 95   91 71   71 92   93 72   72
07-23-24 88 90.1 °F 87 66 66.8°F 67 93 95.4 °F 92 67 68.5°F 69 93 95.6 °F 91 69 73.2°F 69 95   90 71   71
07-22-24 84 86.7 °F 85 64 63.7°F 66 88 90.1 °F 89 66 66.8°F 66 90 95.4 °F 89 66 68.5°F 66 90 95.6 °F 89 68 73.2°F 68
07-21-24 82 84.7 °F 81 62 63.5°F 63 83 86.7 °F 85 63 63.7°F 64 86 90.1 °F 89 64 66.8°F 65 89 95.4 °F 88 65 68.5°F 66
07-20-24 77 76.7 °F 79 63 63.7°F 62 78 84.7 °F 83 62 63.5°F 63 82 86.7 °F 86 62 63.7°F 65 85 90.1 °F 89 63 66.8°F 66
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 1 5 5 1 3 4 4 0 2 1 2 0 1 0 1
% Succ 33.3   16.7 83.3   83.3 20.0   60.0 80.0   80.0     50.0 25.0   50.0     33.3     33.3
Ave Error 1.8   2.8 1.0   1.2 3.1   2.3 1.5   1.1 4.2   3.2 2.8   2.5 5.7   5.0 4.2   2.8
Net Error -1.5   -2.0 -0.7   0.1 -3.1   -2.3 -1.5   -0.7 -4.2   -3.2 -2.8   -1.8 -5.7   -5.0 -4.2   -2.8
Std Dev 1.1   1.3 0.8   0.9 2.3   1.7 1.3   1.2 3.7   2.9 2.5   2.3 5.7   5.0 4.2   2.8

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 07-26-24 at 2:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
07-26-24 96   93 72   71 91   92 71   76 97   96 74   76 99   99 72   73
07-25-24 96 95.6 °F 94 71 73.2°F 71 96   95 72   71 95   92 73   72 97   93 72   74
07-24-24 93 95.4 °F 94 69 68.5°F 71 95 95.6 °F 92 70 73.2°F 70 95   93 71   73 92   94 72   70
07-23-24 89 90.1 °F 88 66 66.8°F 67 94 95.4 °F 92 68 68.5°F 69 94 95.6 °F 91 69 73.2°F 69 94   90 71   70
07-22-24 84 86.7 °F 86 64 63.7°F 65 88 90.1 °F 90 66 66.8°F 66 90 95.4 °F 90 66 68.5°F 67 90 95.6 °F 91 68 73.2°F 69
07-21-24 82 84.7 °F 84 62 63.5°F 64 83 86.7 °F 84 63 63.7°F 64 86 90.1 °F 88 64 66.8°F 65 89 95.4 °F 89 65 68.5°F 66
07-20-24 77 76.7 °F 76 63 63.7°F 61 78 84.7 °F 83 62 63.5°F 63 82 86.7 °F 84 62 63.7°F 66 85 90.1 °F 86 63 66.8°F 65
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 5 5 3 2 2 4 4 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 1
% Succ 50.0   83.3 83.3   50.0 40.0   40.0 80.0   80.0 25.0   0.0 25.0   50.0     0.0     33.3
Ave Error 1.6   1.2 1.0   1.6 2.9   2.3 1.3   1.1 4.0   3.7 2.8   2.5 5.7   5.0 4.2   2.8
Net Error -1.4   -1.2 -0.7   -0.1 -2.9   -2.3 -1.3   -0.7 -4.0   -3.7 -2.8   -1.3 -5.7   -5.0 -4.2   -2.8
Std Dev 1.1   0.7 0.8   1.1 2.2   1.9 1.3   1.2 3.6   3.2 2.5   2.3 5.7   5.0 4.2   2.8

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 07-26-24 at 5:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
07-26-24 94   72 72   93 91   77 70   96 96   76 74   98 97   73 72   95
07-25-24 96 95.6 °F 73 70 73.2°F 95 96   71 72   92 94   72 72   93 97   74 73   96
07-24-24 93 95.4 °F 72 68 68.5°F 92 95 95.6 °F 70 70 73.2°F 93 95   72 71   94 93   70 73   88
07-23-24 89 90.1 °F 69 66 66.8°F 93 94 95.4 °F 69 68 68.5°F 92 94 95.6 °F 70 69 73.2°F 90 94   70 71   88
07-22-24 84 86.7 °F 65 65 63.7°F 89 88 90.1 °F 67 65 66.8°F 90 92 95.4 °F 67 67 68.5°F 91 92 95.6 °F 69 69 73.2°F 91
07-21-24 83 84.7 °F 63 63 63.5°F 84 84 86.7 °F 64 63 63.7°F 88 88 90.1 °F 65 65 66.8°F 89 89 95.4 °F 66 65 68.5°F 89
07-20-24 77 76.7 °F 61 62 63.7°F 82 81 84.7 °F 63 62 63.5°F 85 84 86.7 °F 66 63 63.7°F 86 86 90.1 °F 65 63 66.8°F 88
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 4 0 5 0 2 0 4 0 1 0 3 0 0 0 0 0
% Succ 66.7   0.0 83.3   0.0 40.0   0.0 80.0   0.0 25.0   0.0 75.0   0.0     0.0     0.0
Ave Error 1.4   21.0 1.3   22.6 2.1   23.9 1.5   22.5 2.5   25.0 2.1   21.0 4.7   27.0 3.8   19.8
Net Error -1.2   -21.0 -0.9   22.6 -2.1   -23.9 -1.5   22.5 -2.5   -25.0 -2.1   21.0 -4.7   -27.0 -3.8   19.8
Std Dev 1.0   8.7 1.1   9.5 1.5   15.2 1.3   14.3 2.2   21.6 2.1   18.3 4.7   27.0 3.8   19.8

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 07-26-24 at 8:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
07-26-24 72   72 91   91 70   73 96   90 74   66 97   93 72   69 100   96
07-25-24 70 73.2°F 76 96 95.6 °F 96 72   73 94   92 72   73 97   92 73   76 98   97
07-24-24 68 68.5°F 74 95 95.4 °F 93 70 73.2°F 71 95 95.6 °F 92 71   73 93   94 73   70 97   88
07-23-24 66 66.8°F 69 94 90.1 °F 92 68 68.5°F 69 94 95.4 °F 91 69 73.2°F 70 94 95.6 °F 90 71   70 92   91
07-22-24 65 63.7°F 64 88 86.7 °F 88 65 66.8°F 66 92 90.1 °F 92 67 68.5°F 68 92 95.4 °F 91 69 73.2°F 69 93 95.6 °F 91
07-21-24 63 63.5°F 66 84 84.7 °F 83 63 63.7°F 65 88 86.7 °F 87 65 66.8°F 65 89 90.1 °F 87 65 68.5°F 68 90 95.4 °F 87
07-20-24 62 63.7°F 60 81 76.7 °F 80 62 63.5°F 62 84 84.7 °F 83 63 63.7°F 65 86 86.7 °F 86 63 66.8°F 65 88 90.1 °F 88
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 5 1 4 4 4 4 5 3 3 3 3 1 0 2 0 0
% Succ 83.3   16.7 66.7   66.7 80.0   80.0 100.0   60.0 75.0   75.0 75.0   25.0     66.7     0.0
Ave Error 1.3   2.8 1.8   1.8 1.5   1.3 1.2   2.4 2.1   1.7 1.7   3.5 3.8   2.2 3.4   5.0
Net Error -0.9   1.6 1.5   0.5 -1.5   -0.5 0.1   -1.5 -2.1   -1.1 -1.7   -3.5 -3.8   -2.2 -3.4   -5.0
Std Dev 1.1   1.9 1.5   1.0 1.3   1.0 0.9   1.9 2.1   1.7 1.5   3.2 3.8   2.2 3.4   5.0

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 07-26-24 at 11:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
07-26-24 72   73 91   91 70   73 96   90 74   66 97   93 72   69 100   96
07-25-24 70 80.6°F 74 96 95.6 °F 94 72   73 94   94 72   75 97   93 73   72 98   94
07-24-24 68 80.1°F 72 95 95.4 °F 92 70 80.6°F 71 95 95.6 °F 93 71   72 93   93 73   71 97   89
07-23-24 66 77.0°F 69 94 90.1 °F 91 68 80.1°F 69 94 95.4 °F 92 69 80.6°F 70 94 95.6 °F 90 71   70 92   91
07-22-24 65 73.4°F 64 88 86.7 °F 88 65 77.0°F 66 92 90.1 °F 92 67 80.1°F 68 92 95.4 °F 92 69 80.6°F 69 93 95.6 °F 91
07-21-24 63 70.6°F 64 84 84.7 °F 84 63 73.4°F 64 88 86.7 °F 88 65 77.0°F 65 89 90.1 °F 88 65 80.1°F 67 90 95.4 °F 88
07-20-24 62 69.7°F 62 81 76.7 °F 82 62 70.6°F 62 84 84.7 °F 84 63 73.4°F 66 86 86.7 °F 86 63 77.0°F 65 88 90.1 °F 88
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 0 4 4 0 0 5 3 0 0 3 1 0 0 0 0
% Succ     0.0 66.7   66.7     0.0 100.0   60.0     0.0 75.0   25.0     0.0     0.0
Ave Error 9.6   7.7 1.8   2.2 10.7   9.9 1.2   2.0 11.8   10.5 1.7   3.0 13.6   12.2 3.4   4.7
Net Error -9.6   -7.7 1.5   0.3 -10.7   -9.9 0.1   -0.7 -11.8   -10.5 -1.7   -3.0 -13.6   -12.2 -3.4   -4.7
Std Dev 4.2   3.3 1.5   1.4 6.8   6.3 0.9   1.4 10.2   9.1 1.5   2.9 13.6   12.2 3.4   4.7

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.