Current WXSIM Forecast

Saturday, 13-Aug-2022 05:00 pm

Tonight

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Low: 75°
Sunday

Partly Cloudy
Hot!
Partly Cloudy
Hot!
High: 95°
Sunday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Low: 76°
Monday

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
High: 90°
Monday
night
Chance rain
Chance rain
Low: 66°
Tuesday

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
High: 74°
Tuesday
night
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Low: 60°
Wednesday

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
High: 81°
Wednesday
night
Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear
Low: 60°

Current NWS Forecast

Sat, 13-Aug-2022 1:05pm CDT

Tonight

Tonight: Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy

Lo 69 °F ↑
Sunday

Sunday: Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny

Hi 95 °F ↓
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Partly Cloudy then Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Partly Cloudy then Chance Showers And TStorms

Lo 70 °F
Monday

Monday: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And TStorms

Hi 87 °F
Monday
Night
Monday Night: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And TStorms

Lo 66 °F
Tuesday

Tuesday: Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
Showers And TStorms Likely

Hi 78 °F
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Slight Chance Rain Showers
Slight Chance Rain Showers

Lo 62 °F
Wednesday

Wednesday: Slight Chance Rain Showers then Sunny
Slight Chance Rain Showers then Sunny

Hi 85 °F
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 62 °F



WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 08-13-22 at 2:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
08-13-22 74 ↑   73 99   98 70   72 96   97 71   74 88   92 65   66 81   79
08-12-22 66 ↑ 78.0°F 69 97 ↓ 95.0 °F 95 73   76 101   103 72   73 98   99 72   77 91   93
08-11-22 67 ↑ 72.5°F 68 95 95.7 °F 94 68 78.0°F 71 97 95.0 °F 96 73   74 102   104 75   72 100   103
08-10-22 64 ↑ 73.7°F 67 96 95.4 °F 94 66 ↑ 72.5°F 70 95 95.7 °F 98 67 78.0°F 76 95 95.0 °F 100 74   74 100   102
08-09-22 60 72.1°F 61 89 90.7 °F 90 65 ↑ 73.7°F 67 95 95.4 °F 95 67 72.5°F 71 96 95.7 °F 98 67 78.0°F 73 96 95.0 °F 96
08-08-22 67 ↑ 65.7°F 65 85 ↓ 83.4 °F 85 62 72.1°F 61 90 90.7 °F 90 65 73.7°F 66 96 95.4 °F 97 67 72.5°F 72 98 95.7 °F 99
08-07-22 79 69.1°F 81 93 98.2 °F 104 67 ↑ 65.7°F 71 85 83.4 °F 87 62 72.1°F 65 90 90.7 °F 90 66 73.7°F 66 96 95.4 °F 95
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 1 5 5 1 0 5 3 0 2 4 2 0 1 2 2
% Succ 16.7   16.7 83.3   83.3 20.0   0.0 100.0   60.0     50.0 100.0   50.0     33.3 66.7   66.7
Ave Error 8.4   7.3 2.0   1.9 7.3   6.5 1.1   1.6 8.8   4.6 0.4   2.4 8.1   4.4 1.3   1.6
Net Error -4.7   -3.4 -0.6   0.6 -6.8   -4.4 0.4   1.2 -8.8   -4.6 0.0   2.1 -8.1   -4.4 1.3   1.3
Std Dev 5.1   4.5 1.1   1.2 4.8   4.5 0.9   1.2 7.7   4.2 0.4   2.5 8.1   4.4 1.3   1.6

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 08-13-22 at 5:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
08-13-22 71   99 98 ↓   73 69 ↑   98 95   74 70   92 87   66 66   79 78   62
08-12-22 66 ↑ 76.1°F 93 96 ↓ 95.0 °F 72 73   100 101   72 71   99 97   77 72   93 88   66
08-11-22 67 ↑ 69.5°F 95 95 95.7 °F 73 68 76.1°F 98 97 95.0 °F 75 71   104 100   72 72   103 98   76
08-10-22 64 ↑ 68.7°F 95 96 95.4 °F 70 66 ↑ 69.5°F 98 95 95.7 °F 72 67 76.1°F 99 95 95.0 °F 75 74   103 99   72
08-09-22 57 ↑ 68.9°F 89 89 90.7 °F 66 65 ↑ 68.7°F 95 95 95.4 °F 71 67 69.5°F 98 96 95.7 °F 72 67 76.1°F 96 96 95.0 °F 72
08-08-22 67 ↑ 61.5°F 86 86 83.4 °F 61 61 68.9°F 90 89 90.7 °F 66 64 68.7°F 97 96 95.4 °F 72 67 69.5°F 99 96 95.7 °F 68
08-07-22 79 ↑ 68.1°F 105 95 ↓ 98.2 °F 71 67 61.5°F 87 83 83.4 °F 65 62 68.9°F 91 90 90.7 °F 66 65 68.7°F 95 95 95.4 °F 72
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 0 4 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 3 0
% Succ     0.0 66.7   0.0     0.0 100.0   0.0     0.0 100.0   0.0     0.0 100.0   0.0
Ave Error 7.6   25.0 1.6   24.2 5.7   24.7 1.0   22.2 5.8   25.5 0.4   23.0 5.1   25.2 0.6   24.7
Net Error -2.1   25.0 -0.2   -24.2 -3.5   24.7 -0.2   -22.2 -5.8   25.5 0.0   -23.0 -5.1   25.2 0.3   -24.7
Std Dev 4.5   10.9 1.0   10.0 4.0   15.8 0.8   14.1 5.3   22.1 0.4   19.9 5.1   25.2 0.6   24.7

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 08-13-22 at 8:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
08-13-22 98 ↓   97 69 ↑   72 95 ↓   96 70   75 87   90 66   67 78   76 62   58
08-12-22 96 ↓ 95.0 °F 92 73 74.1°F 73 101   101 71   75 97   98 72   76 88   93 66   65
08-11-22 95 95.7 °F 93 68 68.0°F 71 97 95.0 °F 96 71 74.1°F 75 100   103 72   74 98   105 70   72
08-10-22 96 95.4 °F 93 66 ↑ 66.7°F 68 95 ↓ 95.7 °F 96 67 68.0°F 74 95 95.0 °F 98 74 74.1°F 75 99   102 75   73
08-09-22 89 90.7 °F 88 65 ↑ 67.1°F 67 95 ↓ 95.4 °F 95 67 66.7°F 69 96 95.7 °F 96 67 68.0°F 73 96 95.0 °F 94 73 74.1°F 72
08-08-22 86 83.4 °F 86 61 59.2°F 61 89 90.7 °F 91 64 67.1°F 66 96 95.4 °F 97 67 66.7°F 72 96 95.7 °F 101 68 68.0°F 74
08-07-22 95 ↓ 98.2 °F 100 67 66.0°F 70 83 83.4 °F 86 62 59.2°F 65 90 90.7 °F 90 65 67.1°F 67 95 95.4 °F 96 66 66.7°F 71
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 4 1 5 4 5 4 2 2 4 3 3 2 3 2 3 0
% Succ 66.7   16.7 83.3   66.7 100.0   80.0 40.0   40.0 100.0   75.0 75.0   50.0 100.0   66.7 100.0   0.0
Ave Error 1.6   2.5 1.1   1.9 1.0   0.9 2.1   3.2 0.4   1.4 0.9   2.8 0.6   2.3 0.6   4.1
Net Error -0.2   -1.1 -0.2   1.5 -0.2   0.8 -0.8   2.8 0.0   1.1 -0.7   2.8 0.3   1.6 -0.6   2.7
Std Dev 1.0   1.1 0.8   1.2 0.8   0.7 1.7   2.6 0.4   1.5 0.9   2.6 0.6   2.3 0.6   4.1

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 08-13-22 at 11:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
08-13-22 98   96 69 ↑   71 95 ↓   95 70   73 87   93 66   67 78   75 62   58
08-12-22 96 ↓ 95.0 °F 94 73 74.1°F 75 101   102 71   75 97   98 72   76 88   93 66   65
08-11-22 95 95.7 °F 95 68 68.0°F 71 97 95.0 °F 95 71 74.1°F 75 100   103 72   75 98   104 70   72
08-10-22 96 95.4 °F 94 66 ↑ 66.7°F 71 95 ↓ 95.7 °F 97 67 68.0°F 73 95 95.0 °F 97 74 74.1°F 76 99   102 75   73
08-09-22 89 90.7 °F 89 65 ↑ 67.1°F 68 95 ↓ 95.4 °F 95 67 66.7°F 69 96 95.7 °F 96 67 68.0°F 73 96 95.0 °F 93 73 74.1°F 73
08-08-22 86 83.4 °F 86 61 59.2°F 62 89 90.7 °F 91 64 67.1°F 66 96 95.4 °F 97 67 66.7°F 72 96 95.7 °F 101 68 68.0°F 74
08-07-22 95 ↓ 98.2 °F 100 67 65.7°F 70 83 83.4 °F 86 62 59.2°F 64 90 90.7 °F 91 65 67.1°F 66 95 95.4 °F 96 66 66.7°F 71
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 4 5 5 2 5 4 2 2 4 4 3 2 3 2 3 1
% Succ 66.7   83.3 83.3   33.3 100.0   80.0 40.0   40.0 100.0   100.0 75.0   50.0 100.0   66.7 100.0   33.3
Ave Error 1.6   1.5 1.2   2.7 1.0   0.9 2.1   2.8 0.4   1.1 0.9   3.3 0.6   2.6 0.6   3.8
Net Error -0.2   -0.1 -0.1   2.7 -0.2   0.8 -0.8   2.4 0.0   1.1 -0.7   2.8 0.3   1.3 -0.6   3.1
Std Dev 1.0   0.9 0.8   1.7 0.8   0.8 1.7   2.2 0.4   1.0 0.9   3.0 0.6   2.6 0.6   3.8

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 08-13-22 at 2:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
08-13-22 98 ↓   92 69 ↑   71 95 ↓   95 70   74 87   90 66   64 78   73 62   59
08-12-22 96 95.0 °F 94 74 74.1°F 73 99   97 70   72 96   94 71   76 88   92 65   68
08-10-22 96 95.7 °F 94 67 ↑ 68.0°F 71 96 ↓ 95.0 °F 99 68 74.1°F 74 95   99 74   76 99   102 75   74
08-09-22 89 90.7 °F 89 65 ↑ 67.1°F 68 95 ↓ 95.7 °F 96 67 68.0°F 70 96 95.0 °F 98 67 74.1°F 75 96   98 73   75
08-08-22 86 ↓ 83.4 °F 84 61 59.2°F 61 89 90.7 °F 91 64 67.1°F 68 96 95.7 °F 97 67 68.0°F 71 96 95.0 °F 98 68 74.1°F 73
08-07-22 95 ↓ 98.2 °F 99 67 65.7°F 72 83 83.4 °F 88 62 59.2°F 64 90 90.7 °F 90 65 67.1°F 66 95 95.7 °F 96 66 68.0°F 70
08-06-22 101 100.9 °F 101 76 ↑ 80.6°F 79 91 ↓ 98.2 °F 100 67 65.7°F 71 85 83.4 °F 87 64 59.2°F 64 90 90.7 °F 90 65 67.1°F 66
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 4 6 4 4 4 3 2 3 4 2 1 2 3 2 1 3
% Succ 66.7   100.0 66.7   66.7 80.0   60.0 40.0   60.0 100.0   50.0 25.0   50.0 100.0   66.7 33.3   100.0
Ave Error 1.5   1.0 1.8   2.5 2.2   2.2 2.9   2.6 0.9   2.2 3.8   2.5 0.8   1.3 3.4   1.4
Net Error -0.2   -0.5 -0.8   1.6 -1.8   2.2 -1.2   2.6 0.5   1.8 -1.4   1.9 -0.1   0.9 -3.4   -0.1
Std Dev 1.2   0.6 1.1   2.1 1.7   2.0 2.5   2.2 0.8   1.9 3.7   2.3 0.8   1.3 3.4   1.4

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 08-13-22 at 5:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
08-13-22 98 ↓   75 69 ↑   95 95 ↓   76 70   90 87   66 66   74 78   60 62   81
08-12-22 98 ↓ 95.0 °F 75 74 ↑ 74.1°F 101 99   73 70   95 96   76 71   92 88   68 65   76
08-10-22 96 95.7 °F 73 67 ↑ 68.0°F 99 96 ↓ 95.0 °F 74 68 74.1°F 99 97   76 73   102 102   74 75   103
08-09-22 89 90.7 °F 69 64 ↑ 67.1°F 96 94 ↓ 95.7 °F 71 67 68.0°F 98 95 95.0 °F 75 67 74.1°F 98 95   75 72   100
08-08-22 86 ↓ 83.4 °F 62 60 ↑ 59.2°F 90 89 90.7 °F 66 65 67.1°F 97 95 95.7 °F 71 67 68.0°F 98 97 95.0 °F 73 69 74.1°F 99
08-07-22 98 ↓ 98.2 °F 70 67 ↑ 65.7°F 87 85 ↓ 83.4 °F 64 62 59.2°F 90 90 90.7 °F 66 65 67.1°F 96 96 95.7 °F 70 67 68.0°F 94
08-06-22 101 ↓ 100.9 °F 80 76 ↑ 80.6°F 100 92 98.2 °F 71 67 65.7°F 86 85 83.4 °F 64 62 59.2°F 90 90 90.7 °F 66 66 67.1°F 99
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 4 0 4 0 4 0 2 0 4 0 1 0 3 0 2 0
% Succ 66.7   0.0 66.7   0.0 80.0   0.0 40.0   0.0 100.0   0.0 25.0   0.0 100.0   0.0 66.7   0.0
Ave Error 1.3   22.5 1.8   26.4 2.4   23.4 2.7   27.2 0.8   22.2 3.3   28.4 1.0   24.1 2.4   27.6
Net Error 0.7   -22.5 -1.1   26.4 -1.4   -23.4 -1.0   27.2 0.0   -22.2 -1.9   28.4 0.5   -24.1 -2.4   27.6
Std Dev 1.2   9.5 1.3   11.3 1.7   14.9 2.4   17.3 0.8   19.3 3.4   24.7 1.0   24.1 2.4   27.6

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 08-12-22 at 8:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
08-12-22 74 ↑   77 99   102 70   73 96   97 71   77 88   91 65   67 81   78
08-10-22 67 ↑ 68.0°F 71 95 95.7 °F 96 68   72 97   98 73   75 102   102 75   74 100   102
08-09-22 64 ↑ 67.1°F 68 94 ↓ 90.7 °F 95 67 68.0°F 71 95 95.7 °F 98 67   75 95   101 72   76 99   100
08-08-22 60 ↑ 59.2°F 61 89 83.4 °F 90 65 ↑ 67.1°F 67 95 90.7 °F 95 67 68.0°F 70 97 95.7 °F 97 69   74 96   96
08-07-22 67 ↑ 65.7°F 68 85 ↓ 98.2 °F 87 62 59.2°F 65 90 83.4 °F 90 65 67.1°F 67 96 90.7 °F 95 67 68.0°F 70 98 95.7 °F 94
08-06-22 79 80.6°F 81 93 100.9 °F 102 67 ↑ 65.7°F 71 85 98.2 °F 86 62 59.2°F 65 90 83.4 °F 91 66 67.1°F 68 96 90.7 °F 100
08-05-22 78 ↑ 79.0°F 77 103 97.2 °F 98 76 ↑ 80.6°F 76 91 100.9 °F 91 66 65.7°F 66 85 98.2 °F 87 63 59.2°F 64 89 83.4 °F 91
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 5 4 1 3 2 1 1 0 2 3 1 1 2 2 0 1
% Succ 83.3   66.7 16.7   50.0 40.0   20.0 20.0   0.0 50.0   75.0 25.0   25.0 66.7   66.7     33.3
Ave Error 1.5   1.7 6.1   4.1 2.4   3.8 6.9   7.1 1.6   2.1 6.6   6.1 2.0   2.6 4.4   6.2
Net Error -0.8   1.1 -1.2   0.3 -0.7   1.9 -2.6   -1.8 0.0   2.0 0.0   0.5 0.6   2.6 4.4   5.1
Std Dev 1.0   1.1 4.6   4.0 1.6   3.0 5.3   5.1 1.4   1.8 6.3   5.8 2.0   2.6 4.4   6.2

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 08-12-22 at 11:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
08-12-22 74 ↑   74 99   100 70   72 96   97 71   77 88   91 65   66 81   78
08-11-22 66 ↑ 80.6°F 70 97 ↓ 95.7 °F 95 73   73 101   103 72   73 98   101 72   75 91   88
08-10-22 67 ↑ 77.2°F 70 95 95.4 °F 96 68 80.6°F 71 97 95.7 °F 97 73   75 102   102 75   74 100   103
08-09-22 64 ↑ 78.2°F 68 94 ↓ 90.7 °F 95 67 77.2°F 71 95 95.4 °F 98 67 80.6°F 74 95 95.7 °F 101 72   75 99   101
08-08-22 60 ↑ 75.5°F 62 89 83.4 °F 90 65 ↑ 78.2°F 67 95 90.7 °F 96 67 77.2°F 70 97 95.4 °F 97 69 80.6°F 73 96 95.7 °F 97
08-07-22 67 ↑ 69.7°F 65 85 ↓ 98.2 °F 87 62 75.5°F 64 90 83.4 °F 91 65 78.2°F 66 96 90.7 °F 96 67 77.2°F 70 98 95.4 °F 94
08-06-22 >75 71.4°F 82 <95 100.9 °F 103 65 69.7°F 72 <85 98.2 °F 88 <65 75.5°F 65 >85 83.4 °F 93 65 78.2°F 67 <95 90.7 °F 100
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 0 2 2 0 0 2 1 0 0 2 1 0 0 1 2
% Succ     0.0 33.3   33.3     0.0 40.0   20.0     0.0 50.0   25.0     0.0 33.3   66.7
Ave Error 21.4   9.5 20.8   4.3 10.8   8.2 22.2   5.4 28.1   9.1 22.8   5.5 11.7   8.7 31.2   4.0
Net Error -21.4   -5.9 -17.4   0.3 -10.8   -7.2 -17.3   1.3 -28.1   -9.1 -19.3   5.5 -11.7   -8.7 -29.3   3.1
Std Dev 13.4   4.8 17.4   4.0 7.0   5.4 21.0   4.1 25.4   8.0 22.6   4.7 11.7   8.7 31.2   4.0

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.