SE Lincoln, NE USA Weather Website - NWS - WXSIM Forecast Comparison

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Lincoln, NE USA

Updated: 29-Sep-2023 5:22 PM

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US Weather Extremes

==========

USA

High Temp

104°F at Phoenix Airport, AZ

Low Temp

20°F at Stanley Ranger Station, ID

Precipitation

2.28in at Hopkinsville Ft Campbe, KY

==========

NE Weather Extremes

==========

for Thursday,
September 28, 2023

High Temp

96°F at Hebron Municipal Ap, NE

Low Temp

44°F at Kimball Municipal Ap Robert E Arraj Field, NE
44°F at Tekamah Municipal Ap, NE

Precipitation

0.02in at Charlie (gering), NE

==========

Data from NWS CPC

External Links

Current WXSIM Forecast

Friday, 29-Sep-2023 05:00 pm

Tonight

Partly Cloudy
Low: 69°

Saturday

Partly Cloudy
High: 92°

Saturday
night

Partly Cloudy
Low: 67°

Sunday

Mostly Sunny
High: 92°

Sunday
night

Partly Cloudy
Low: 65°

Monday

Partly Cloudy
High: 91°

Monday
night

Partly Cloudy
Low: 67°

Tuesday

Thunder storm
High: 79°

Tuesday
night

Thunder storm
Low: 63°

Current NWS Forecast

Fri, 29-Sep-2023 4:35pm CDT

This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: Sunny

Sunny

Hi 97 °F ↓

Tonight

Tonight: Mostly Clear

Mostly Clear

Lo 73 °F ↑

Saturday

Saturday: Sunny

Sunny

Hi 93 °F

Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Mostly Clear

Mostly Clear

Lo 72 °F

Sunday

Sunday: Sunny

Sunny

Hi 91 °F

Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Partly Cloudy

Partly Cloudy

Lo 68 °F

Monday

Monday: Sunny

Sunny

Hi 89 °F

Monday
Night
Monday Night: Partly Cloudy then Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms

Partly Cloudy then Slight Chance Showers And TStorms

Lo 68 °F

Tuesday

Tuesday: Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Chance Showers And Thunderstorms

Slight Chance Showers And TStorms then Chance Showers And TStorms

Hi 80 °F

WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-29-23 at 2:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-29-23	70		69	93		92	71 ↑		67	92		90	71		66	90		87	68		66	89		93
09-28-23	56	72.8°F	57	87	90.1 °F	83	69		61	93		87	70		65	92		91	70		67	90		91
09-27-23	52 ↑	61.0°F	52	77 ↓	81.5 °F	76	56	72.8°F	54	86	90.1 °F	83	66		65	90		93	70		69	90		94
09-26-23	54 ↑	55.7°F	54	78	79.4 °F	76	52	61.0°F	53	78	81.5 °F	77	55	72.8°F	55	86	90.1 °F	86	66		64	90		92
09-25-23	55 ↑	57.6°F	55	81 ↓	84.5 °F	78	55 ↑	55.7°F	54	78	79.4 °F	78	52	61.0°F	53	79	81.5 °F	77	56	72.8°F	54	85	90.1 °F	85
09-24-23	53 ↑	58.3°F	53	79	84.3 °F	78	55	57.6°F	55	81	84.5 °F	81	55	55.7°F	54	81	79.4 °F	79	56	61.0°F	54	82	81.5 °F	81
09-23-23	66	56.8°F	67	81	81.8 °F	80	55	58.3°F	61	81	84.3 °F	80	56	57.6°F	59	81	84.5 °F	84	56	55.7°F	60	81	79.4 °F	87
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	1		1	2		1	1		1	1		1	2		2	1		2	1		0	2		1
% Succ	16.7		16.7	33.3		16.7	20.0		20.0	20.0		20.0	50.0		50.0	25.0		50.0	33.3		0.0	66.7		33.3
Ave Error	7.4		7.4	3.1		5.1	6.5		6.8	3.2		4.2	7.3		7.2	2.9		2.4	7.4		10.0	2.4		4.4
Net Error	-4.4		-4.0	-3.1		-5.1	-6.5		-5.7	-3.2		-4.2	-7.3		-6.5	-2.1		-2.4	-7.2		-7.2	-1.0		0.7
Std Dev	5.9		5.6	1.8		2.5	6.8		7.3	2.2		3.2	8.2		8.2	2.6		2.2	7.4		10.0	2.4		4.4

Start: Days: Cols: Goal: Ext Stats: Diff Cols: Hilite #s: Time: Show NWS

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-29-23 at 5:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-29-23	69		93	94 ↓		69	73 ↑		92	92		66	72		86	91		64	68		90	89		67
09-28-23	56 ↑	69.8°F	85	87	90.1 °F	61	68 ↑		87	93		65	71		90	92		66	71		90	90		65
09-27-23	52	59.6°F	75	77	81.5 °F	53	54	69.8°F	83	87	90.1 °F	65	68		93	92		69	70		94	91		68
09-26-23	54 ↑	52.2°F	77	77	79.4 °F	53	52 ↑	59.6°F	78	77	81.5 °F	55	56	69.8°F	86	86	90.1 °F	64	66		92	90		70
09-25-23	53 ↑	55.2°F	78	80	84.5 °F	54	54 ↑	52.2°F	78	77	79.4 °F	53	52	59.6°F	77	78	81.5 °F	54	54	69.8°F	86	84	90.1 °F	66
09-24-23	53 ↑	55.1°F	76	81	84.3 °F	54	55 ↑	55.2°F	80	80	84.5 °F	54	55	52.2°F	79	80	79.4 °F	53	57	59.6°F	80	81	81.5 °F	55
09-23-23	66	52.2°F	80	80	81.8 °F	60	54 ↑	55.1°F	80	80	84.3 °F	57	56	55.2°F	84	82	84.5 °F	60	55	52.2°F	88	84	79.4 °F	63
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	1		0	1		0	3		0	0		0	1		0	1		0	0		0	1		0
% Succ	16.7		0.0	16.7		0.0	60.0		0.0			0.0	25.0		0.0	25.0		0.0			0.0	33.3		0.0
Ave Error	6.9		21.2	3.3		27.8	5.3		21.4	3.8		27.2	6.3		22.3	2.7		26.1	7.1		24.1	3.7		22.3
Net Error	-1.7		21.2	-3.3		-27.8	-4.6		21.4	-3.8		-27.2	-4.5		22.3	-2.4		-26.1	-5.2		24.1	-0.7		-22.3
Std Dev	5.3		9.4	1.6		11.5	6.1		14.2	2.5		17.2	6.6		19.6	2.4		22.6	7.1		24.1	3.7		22.3

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-29-23 at 8:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-29-23	94 ↓		94	73 ↑		69	92		93	72		68	91		91	68		67	89		91	67		69
09-28-23	87	90.1 °F	83	68 ↑	69.8°F	60	93		86	71		63	92		92	71		68	90		92	68		66
09-27-23	>75	81.5 °F	75	<55	58.3°F	54	85	90.1 °F	84	>65	69.8°F	66	<95		94	>65		71	90		90	>65		68
09-26-23	77	79.4 °F	77	52 ↑	51.0°F	55	77 ↓	81.5 °F	78	56	58.3°F	54	86	90.1 °F	86	66	69.8°F	65	90		92	70		71
09-25-23	80	84.5 °F	77	54 ↑	53.7°F	54	77 ↓	79.4 °F	77	52	51.0°F	52	78	81.5 °F	77	54	58.3°F	55	84	90.1 °F	87	64	69.8°F	66
09-24-23	81	84.3 °F	74	55 ↑	53.5°F	49	80 ↓	84.5 °F	77	55	53.7°F	51	80	79.4 °F	78	57	51.0°F	52	81	81.5 °F	78	59	58.3°F	54
09-23-23	80	81.8 °F	76	54 ↑	51.3°F	59	80	84.3 °F	78	56	53.5°F	57	82	84.5 °F	82	55	53.7°F	56	84	79.4 °F	83	59	51.0°F	60
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	1		0	4		1	0		0	2		1	1		1	1		1	1		0	1		0
% Succ	16.7		0.0	66.7		16.7			0.0	40.0		20.0	25.0		25.0	25.0		25.0	33.3		0.0	33.3		0.0
Ave Error	16.1		6.6	10.9		5.1	4.2		5.2	15.4		3.1	2.7		3.1	3.9		2.9	3.7		3.4	4.8		5.7
Net Error	-16.1		-6.6	-9.1		-1.1	-4.2		-5.2	-13.5		-1.3	-2.4		-3.1	-0.2		-1.2	-0.7		-1.0	1.0		0.3
Std Dev	29.4		3.6	21.4		3.5	2.8		3.6	27.6		2.2	2.4		2.7	3.3		2.7	3.7		3.4	4.8		5.7

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-29-23 at 11:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-29-23	94 ↓		93	73 ↑		69	92		93	72		69	91		91	68		68	89		91	67		67
09-28-23	>85	90.1 °F	84	>65	69.8°F	61	<95		87	>65		63	90		90	>65		67	>85		91	>65		66
09-27-23	77	81.5 °F	77	54	58.3°F	57	87	90.1 °F	84	68	69.8°F	67	92		94	70		71	91		91	69		68
09-26-23	77	79.4 °F	77	52 ↑	51.0°F	55	77 ↓	81.5 °F	78	56	58.3°F	55	86	90.1 °F	86	66	69.8°F	66	90		93	70		71
09-25-23	80	84.5 °F	81	54 ↑	53.7°F	55	77 ↓	79.4 °F	78	52	51.0°F	54	78	81.5 °F	77	54	58.3°F	54	84	90.1 °F	87	64	69.8°F	67
09-24-23	81	84.3 °F	78	55 ↑	53.4°F	55	80 ↓	84.5 °F	79	55	53.7°F	54	80	79.4 °F	78	57	51.0°F	53	81	81.5 °F	78	59	58.3°F	55
09-23-23	80	81.8 °F	76	54 ↑	51.3°F	58	80	84.3 °F	78	56	53.4°F	56	82	84.5 °F	81	55	53.7°F	56	84	79.4 °F	83	59	51.0°F	60
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	1		0	3		3	0		1	3		1	1		1	1		1	1		0	1		0
% Succ	16.7		0.0	50.0		50.0			20.0	60.0		20.0	25.0		25.0	25.0		25.0	33.3		0.0	33.3		0.0
Ave Error	17.8		4.8	13.3		4.0	3.8		4.6	1.8		2.4	2.7		3.4	3.9		3.1	3.7		3.4	4.8		5.0
Net Error	-17.8		-4.8	-11.4		0.6	-3.8		-4.6	0.2		0.0	-2.4		-3.4	-0.2		-0.9	-0.7		-1.0	1.0		1.0
Std Dev	32.5		2.4	25.5		3.1	2.5		3.3	1.2		1.6	2.4		2.9	3.3		2.7	3.7		3.4	4.8		5.0

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-29-23 at 2:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-29-23	94 ↓		95	73 ↑		69	92		93	72		69	91		94	68		66	89		93	67		67
09-28-23	87	90.1 °F	86	69 ↑	69.8°F	66	93 ↓		91	71		66	92		91	71		68	90		94	68		65
09-27-23	77	81.5 °F	79	54	58.3°F	56	87	90.1 °F	83	68	69.8°F	65	93		89	70		69	92		86	69		68
09-26-23	75	79.4 °F	79	<55	51.0°F	55	75	81.5 °F	77	55	58.3°F	56	85	90.1 °F	85	65	69.8°F	67	>85		93	>65		70
09-25-23	81	84.5 °F	85	54 ↑	53.7°F	58	77 ↓	79.4 °F	79	52	51.0°F	57	78	81.5 °F	79	54	58.3°F	56	84	90.1 °F	86	64	69.8°F	64
09-24-23	83 ↓	84.3 °F	81	55 ↑	53.4°F	57	80 ↓	84.5 °F	80	55	53.7°F	55	78	79.4 °F	79	52	51.0°F	55	79	81.5 °F	79	56	58.3°F	56
09-23-23	80	81.8 °F	78	54 ↑	51.3°F	61	80	84.3 °F	81	56	53.4°F	58	82	84.5 °F	83	55	53.7°F	57	84	79.4 °F	80	59	51.0°F	58
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	2		2	3		0	0		1	3		1	1		2	2		0	0		1	0		0
% Succ	33.3		33.3	50.0		0.0			20.0	60.0		20.0	25.0		50.0	50.0		0.0			33.3			0.0
Ave Error	3.1		2.4	10.1		4.6	4.2		4.0	2.0		3.8	3.1		2.4	2.9		3.1	4.4		2.4	5.4		5.0
Net Error	-3.1		-2.3	-8.6		2.6	-4.2		-4.0	0.0		1.0	-3.1		-2.4	-1.7		0.6	-1.3		-2.0	0.0		-0.4
Std Dev	1.7		1.7	18.5		2.2	3.0		3.3	1.5		2.7	2.9		2.5	2.7		2.7	4.4		2.4	5.4		5.0

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-29-23 at 5:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-29-23	97 ↓		69	73 ↑		92	93		67	72		92	91		65	68		91	89		67	68		79
09-28-23	87	90.1 °F	67	70	69.8°F	91	93		67	71		92	92		68	71		94	90		65	68		93
09-27-23	77	81.5 °F	57	56	58.3°F	83	88	90.1 °F	67	69	69.8°F	94	93		71	70		90	92		71	70		93
09-26-23	79 ↓	79.4 °F	56	52 ↑	51.0°F	77	77 ↓	81.5 °F	56	56	58.3°F	85	86	90.1 °F	67	66	69.8°F	93	90		71	70		96
09-25-23	80	84.5 °F	58	55	53.7°F	79	>75	79.4 °F	57	<55	51.0°F	79	75	81.5 °F	56	55	58.3°F	86	85	90.1 °F	63	65	69.8°F	93
09-24-23	83 ↓	84.3 °F	59	55 ↑	53.4°F	80	81 ↓	84.5 °F	56	55	53.7°F	79	78	79.4 °F	55	52	51.0°F	79	79	81.5 °F	57	56	58.3°F	88
09-23-23	80	81.8 °F	63	53 ↑	51.3°F	80	79	84.3 °F	58	55	53.4°F	82	81	84.5 °F	57	55	53.7°F	80	81	79.4 °F	58	56	51.0°F	87
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	3		0	5		0	0		0	3		0	1		0	2		0	1		0	0		0
% Succ	50.0		0.0	83.3		0.0			0.0	60.0		0.0	25.0		0.0	50.0		0.0	33.3		0.0			0.0
Ave Error	2.6		23.6	1.4		25.4	19.0		25.2	11.4		26.6	3.9		25.1	2.4		26.3	3.1		24.3	4.0		29.6
Net Error	-2.6		-23.6	0.6		25.4	-19.0		-25.2	-10.2		26.6	-3.9		-25.1	-1.2		26.3	-2.0		-24.3	-0.7		29.6
Std Dev	1.9		9.7	0.8		10.5	31.2		16.0	20.1		16.8	3.4		21.8	2.2		22.8	3.1		24.3	4.0		29.6

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-28-23 at 8:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-28-23	70		68	93		93	71 ↑		69	92		92	71		68	90		94	68		69	89		93
09-27-23	56	58.3°F	58	88	81.5 °F	85	69		66	93		92	70		70	92		92	70		68	90		94
09-26-23	<55	51.0°F	57	75	79.4 °F	78	55	58.3°F	56	85	81.5 °F	85	65		66	>85		93	>65		70	>85		96
09-25-23	54 ↑	53.7°F	60	78	84.5 °F	81	52	51.0°F	59	78	79.4 °F	80	55	58.3°F	57	86	81.5 °F	87	66		64	90		93
09-24-23	55 ↑	53.4°F	61	81 ↓	84.3 °F	82	55 ↑	53.7°F	57	78	84.5 °F	80	52	51.0°F	57	79	79.4 °F	80	56	58.3°F	57	85	81.5 °F	86
09-23-23	53 ↑	51.3°F	63	79	81.8 °F	82	55	53.4°F	60	81	84.3 °F	83	55	53.7°F	59	81	84.5 °F	86	56	51.0°F	61	82	79.4 °F	88
09-22-23	66	64.4°F	64	81	73.4 °F	79	55	51.3°F	60	81	81.8 °F	81	56	53.4°F	58	81	84.3 °F	84	56	53.7°F	59	81	84.5 °F	89
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	4		2	0		2	3		0	2		3	2		1	1		3	0		1	0		0
% Succ	66.7		33.3			33.3	60.0		0.0	40.0		60.0	50.0		25.0	25.0		75.0			33.3			0.0
Ave Error	9.8		5.4	5.2		2.8	2.2		5.8	3.1		2.1	2.1		4.3	2.9		2.0	3.2		5.5	3.2		5.9
Net Error	-8.0		5.2	-0.5		0.3	0.9		4.9	-1.7		-0.5	0.4		3.7	-0.7		1.8	1.7		4.7	0.9		5.9
Std Dev	18.6		4.1	2.6		1.7	1.6		4.2	2.6		1.9	1.9		4.0	2.7		2.5	3.2		5.5	3.2		5.9

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-28-23 at 11:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-28-23	70		69	93		90	71 ↑		67	92		90	71		68	90		94	68		69	89		94
09-27-23	56	76.1°F	57	88	81.5 °F	84	69		65	93		91	70		68	92		89	70		65	90		93
09-26-23	52 ↑	64.2°F	55	77 ↓	79.4 °F	77	56	76.1°F	55	86	81.5 °F	85	66		65	90		93	70		69	90		95
09-25-23	54 ↑	59.9°F	57	78	84.5 °F	78	52	64.2°F	56	78	79.4 °F	78	55	76.1°F	55	86	81.5 °F	86	66		63	90		93
09-24-23	55 ↑	63.0°F	56	81 ↓	84.3 °F	78	55 ↑	59.9°F	55	78	84.5 °F	78	52	64.2°F	55	79	79.4 °F	78	56	76.1°F	56	85	81.5 °F	86
09-23-23	53 ↑	62.4°F	60	79	81.8 °F	80	55	63.0°F	58	81	84.3 °F	83	55	59.9°F	59	81	84.5 °F	85	56	64.2°F	60	82	79.4 °F	88
09-22-23	66	62.6°F	66	81	73.4 °F	81	55	62.4°F	61	81	81.8 °F	81	56	63.0°F	59	81	84.3 °F	84	56	59.9°F	59	81	84.5 °F	88
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	0		0	0		1	0		1	2		3	0		1	1		3	0		1	0		0
% Succ			0.0			16.7			20.0	40.0		60.0			25.0	25.0		75.0			33.3			0.0
Ave Error	9.8		7.3	4.9		4.5	10.5		8.1	3.3		2.7	11.3		8.8	2.9		1.7	10.7		8.4	3.2		5.5
Net Error	-8.7		-6.2	-0.2		-1.2	-10.5		-8.1	-1.5		-1.3	-11.3		-8.8	-0.7		0.8	-10.7		-8.4	0.9		5.5
Std Dev	6.1		6.3	2.6		2.7	8.3		7.9	2.7		2.5	10.9		9.8	2.7		2.0	10.7		8.4	3.2		5.5

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.

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