Current WXSIM Forecast

Monday, 18-Jan-2021 02:00 pm

This
afternoon
Overcast
Overcast
High: 38°
Tonight

Overcast
Overcast
Low: 23°
Tuesday

Overcast
Overcast
High: 42°
Tuesday
night
Overcast
Cold!
Overcast
Cold!
Low: 20°
Wednesday

Overcast
Overcast
High: 52°
Wednesday
night
Overcast
Overcast
Low: 23°
Thursday

Overcast
Overcast
High: 51°
Thursday
night
Overcast
Overcast
Low: 21°
Friday

Overcast
Overcast
High: 42°

Current NWS Forecast

Mon, 18-Jan-2021 3:59pm CST

M.L. King
Jr. Day
M.L. King Jr. Day: Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy

Hi 38 °F ↓
Tonight

Tonight: Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy

Lo 24 °F
Tuesday

Tuesday: Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny

Hi 43 °F ↓
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 23 °F
Wednesday

Wednesday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 52 °F
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 27 °F
Thursday

Thursday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 49 °F
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy

Lo 23 °F
Friday

Friday: Partly Sunny
Partly Sunny

Hi 36 °F



WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 01-18-21 at 2:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
01-18-21 24   25 37 ↓   38 23   24 40   44 24   20 52   55 28   22 47   50
01-17-21 20 ↑ 27.7°F 24 39 ↓ 45.8 °F 44 23 ↑   22 40   44 22   23 39   39 25   22 50   53
01-16-21 22 ↑ 22.0°F 25 37 ↓ 36.8 °F 41 25 ↑ 27.7°F 24 40 45.8 °F 40 23   21 45   44 24   19 40   35
01-15-21 26 ↑ 29.6°F 29 32 35.1 °F 29 21 22.0°F 19 36 36.8 °F 35 25 27.7°F 22 39 45.8 °F 38 22   20 45   39
01-14-21 34 ↑ 32.2°F 41 43 ↓ 48.7 °F 45 27 ↑ 29.6°F 31 32 35.1 °F 32 21 22.0°F 16 36 36.8 °F 33 24 27.7°F 20 40 45.8 °F 32
01-13-21 28 47.5°F 31 57 ↓ 56.3 °F 60 34 32.2°F 40 43 48.7 °F 47 27 29.6°F 30 34 35.1 °F 31 21 22.0°F 18 35 36.8 °F 37
01-12-21 25 35.4°F 24 50 56.2 °F 55 25 47.5°F 24 55 56.3 °F 57 35 32.2°F 37 45 48.7 °F 45 >25 29.6°F 28 35 35.1 °F 31
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 1 2 2 2 1 2 3 1 1 2 0 1 1 2 1
% Succ 33.3   16.7 33.3   33.3 40.0   20.0 40.0   60.0 25.0   25.0 50.0   0.0 33.3   33.3 66.7   33.3
Ave Error 7.2   7.3 3.8   3.5 6.1   7.9 3.3   2.6 2.3   4.2 3.1   4.9 11.4   4.4 2.6   6.0
Net Error -6.6   -3.4 -3.5   -0.8 -5.4   -4.2 -3.3   -2.3 -0.9   -1.6 -3.1   -4.9 -11.4   -4.4 -2.6   -5.9
Std Dev 7.0   6.0 2.9   1.9 5.0   6.4 2.6   2.2 2.0   3.7 3.3   4.5 11.4   4.4 2.6   6.0

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 01-18-21 at 5:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
01-18-21 24   36 37 ↓   24 23   43 40   20 24   53 52   22 28   49 47   17
01-17-21 20 ↑ 27.7°F 43 40 ↓ 45.8 °F 24 23 ↑   39 40   23 23   39 40   21 25   55 49   23
01-16-21 22 ↑ 22.0°F 40 36 36.8 °F 25 25 ↑ 27.7°F 41 40 45.8 °F 20 23   43 42   22 22   37 40   21
01-15-21 27 ↑ 28.4°F 32 32 35.1 °F 21 22 22.0°F 35 36 36.8 °F 25 25 27.7°F 41 40 45.8 °F 23 23   35 45   19
01-14-21 34 ↑ 29.3°F 44 43 ↓ 48.7 °F 29 27 ↑ 28.4°F 30 32 35.1 °F 19 21 22.0°F 37 36 36.8 °F 19 24 27.7°F 35 40 45.8 °F 17
01-13-21 28 ↑ 41.2°F 61 56 ↓ 56.3 °F 38 35 ↑ 29.3°F 47 44 48.7 °F 30 27 28.4°F 31 33 35.1 °F 17 22 22.0°F 35 36 36.8 °F 25
01-12-21   54 <55 56.2 °F 27 >25 41.2°F 60 55 56.3 °F 36 35 29.3°F 43 <45 48.7 °F 26 >25 28.4°F 30 35 35.1 °F 17
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 0 2 0 2 1 2 0 2 0 1 0 1 1 2 0
% Succ 40.0   0.0 33.3   0.0 40.0   20.0 40.0   0.0 50.0   0.0 25.0   0.0 33.3   33.3 66.7   0.0
Ave Error 5.4   14.3 12.0   19.2 10.2   12.9 3.1   18.5 2.7   11.2 14.4   20.4 10.7   7.3 2.2   19.6
Net Error -3.5   14.3 -12.0   -19.2 -7.9   12.9 -3.1   -18.5 0.2   11.2 -14.4   -20.4 -10.7   7.3 -2.2   -19.6
Std Dev 4.0   8.2 9.7   8.7 9.4   9.6 2.5   12.6 2.3   9.7 13.1   17.7 10.7   7.3 2.2   19.6

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 01-18-21 at 8:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
01-18-21 24   37 37 ↓   24 23   43 40   20 24   53 52   22 28   49 47   17
01-17-21 40 ↓ 45.8 °F 43 23 ↑ 27.7°F 24 40 ↓   39 23   22 40   38 25   21 49   55 28   23
01-16-21 36 36.8 °F 42 25 ↑ 21.9°F 25 40 ↓ 45.8 °F 40 23 27.7°F 21 42   43 22   22 40   37 26   21
01-15-21 32 35.1 °F 31 22 28.0°F 21 36 ↓ 36.8 °F 36 25 21.9°F 23 40 45.8 °F 41 23 27.7°F 22 45   35 26   18
01-14-21 44 ↓ 48.7 °F 45 26 ↑ 28.9°F 31 32 ↓ 35.1 °F 31 21 28.0°F 18 35 36.8 °F 35 25 21.9°F 16 41 45.8 °F 35 23 27.7°F 17
01-13-21 56 ↓ 56.3 °F 62 35 ↑ 39.6°F 40 44 ↓ 48.7 °F 47 27 28.9°F 31 33 35.1 °F 31 22 28.0°F 17 36 36.8 °F 35 24 21.9°F 25
01-12-21 <55 56.2 °F 55 >25 34.7°F 27 55 56.3 °F 57 35 39.6°F 34 <45 48.7 °F 45 >25 28.9°F 30 35 35.1 °F 32 20 28.0°F 17
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 1 0 1 2 3 1 1 1 1 0 1 2 1 0 0
% Succ 33.3   16.7     16.7 40.0   60.0 20.0   20.0 25.0   25.0     25.0 66.7   33.3     0.0
Ave Error 11.8   3.8 9.3   4.0 3.1   2.6 4.3   5.1 14.6   3.6 10.7   5.9 1.9   5.2 4.9   8.3
Net Error -11.8   -0.2 -8.3   -2.1 -3.1   -2.3 -3.0   -3.8 -14.6   -3.6 -9.1   -5.4 -1.9   -5.2 -3.5   -6.2
Std Dev 9.6   1.9 6.1   2.7 2.5   2.4 3.0   4.3 13.4   3.2 9.7   5.1 1.9   5.2 4.9   8.3

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 01-18-21 at 11:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
01-18-21 24   38 37 ↓   23 23   43 40   20 24   52 52   24 28   51 47   22
01-17-21 40 ↓ 45.8 °F 44 23 ↑ 27.7°F 24 40 ↓   41 23   23 40   42 25   23 49   56 28   25
01-16-21 36 36.8 °F 40 25 ↑ 21.9°F 26 40 ↓ 45.8 °F 42 23 27.7°F 21 42   42 22   18 40   36 26   20
01-15-21 32 35.1 °F 32 22 26.6°F 22 36 ↓ 36.8 °F 38 25 21.9°F 24 40 45.8 °F 43 23 27.7°F 21 45   36 26   21
01-14-21 44 ↓ 48.7 °F 45 26 ↑ 28.9°F 30 32 ↓ 35.1 °F 31 21 26.6°F 20 35 36.8 °F 36 25 21.9°F 21 41 45.8 °F 39 23 27.7°F 20
01-13-21 56 ↓ 56.3 °F 61 35 ↑ 39.6°F 38 44 ↓ 48.7 °F 45 27 28.9°F 30 33 35.1 °F 31 22 26.6°F 17 36 36.8 °F 38 24 21.9°F 25
01-12-21 <55 56.2 °F 56 >25 34.7°F 28 55 56.3 °F 59 35 39.6°F 37 <45 48.7 °F 48 >25 28.9°F 29 35 35.1 °F 31 20 26.6°F 21
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 2 0 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 0 2 2 1 0 0
% Succ 33.3   33.3     33.3 40.0   20.0 20.0   20.0 25.0   50.0     50.0 66.7   33.3     0.0
Ave Error 11.8   2.8 9.1   3.6 3.1   3.1 4.0   3.8 14.6   2.1 10.3   4.3 1.9   4.0 4.5   5.5
Net Error -11.8   -0.2 -8.1   -1.9 -3.1   -1.5 -2.7   -2.5 -14.6   -2.1 -8.8   -4.3 -1.9   -3.2 -3.1   -3.4
Std Dev 9.6   1.5 6.0   2.0 2.5   2.2 2.7   3.1 13.4   1.9 9.4   3.9 1.9   4.0 4.5   5.5

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 01-18-21 at 2:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
01-18-21 37 ↓   38 23   23 40 ↓   42 24   20 54   52 28   23 48   51 22   21
01-17-21 42 ↓ 45.8 °F 44 23 ↑ 27.7°F 24 40 ↓   41 23   23 40   42 25   23 49   56 28   25
01-16-21 35 36.8 °F 36 25 ↑ 21.9°F 25 40 ↓ 45.8 °F 41 23 27.7°F 22 42   43 22   18 40   36 26   20
01-15-21 32 35.1 °F 31 22 ↑ 26.6°F 23 37 ↓ 36.8 °F 39 25 21.9°F 24 40 45.8 °F 43 23 27.7°F 21 45   37 24   21
01-14-21 44 ↓ 48.7 °F 44 26 ↑ 28.9°F 30 32 ↓ 35.1 °F 32 21 26.6°F 21 35 36.8 °F 36 25 21.9°F 21 41 45.8 °F 38 23 27.7°F 20
01-13-21 56 ↓ 56.3 °F 61 35 ↑ 39.6°F 38 44 ↓ 48.7 °F 45 27 28.9°F 30 33 35.1 °F 31 22 26.6°F 17 36 36.8 °F 38 24 21.9°F 25
01-12-21 <55 56.2 °F 56 >25 34.7°F 26 55 56.3 °F 58 35 39.6°F 36 <45 48.7 °F 47 >25 28.9°F 29 35 35.1 °F 31 20 26.6°F 22
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 3 0 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 0 2 2 1 0 0
% Succ 33.3   50.0     33.3 40.0   20.0 20.0   20.0 25.0   50.0     50.0 66.7   33.3     0.0
Ave Error 11.7   2.7 9.1   3.6 3.0   3.1 4.0   3.6 14.6   2.4 10.3   4.3 1.9   4.4 4.5   5.1
Net Error -11.7   -1.2 -8.1   -2.2 -2.9   -1.5 -2.7   -2.3 -14.6   -2.4 -8.8   -4.3 -1.9   -3.6 -3.1   -3.1
Std Dev 9.5   1.9 6.0   2.0 2.6   2.1 2.7   2.7 13.4   2.0 9.4   3.9 1.9   4.4 4.5   5.1

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 01-17-21 at 5:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
01-17-21 45 ↓   24 24   38 37 ↓   24 23   43 40   23 24   56 52   25 28   48
01-16-21 35 ↓ 36.8 °F 24 24 ↑ 21.9°F 42 39 ↓   23 23   43 40   22 22   37 39   21 25   51
01-15-21 32 35.1 °F 24 22 ↑ 26.6°F 40 37 ↓ 36.8 °F 25 25 21.9°F 43 40   19 23   42 45   21 24   39
01-14-21 44 48.7 °F 31 26 ↑ 28.9°F 32 32 35.1 °F 22 21 26.6°F 34 36 36.8 °F 20 25 21.9°F 39 39   19 22   44
01-13-21 35 56.3 °F 40 <45 39.6°F 47 25 48.7 °F 31 <35 28.9°F 32 <25 35.1 °F 19 35 26.6°F 37 25 36.8 °F 25 40 21.9°F 41
01-12-21 55 ↓ 56.2 °F 29 28 34.7°F 58 57 ↓ 56.3 °F 33 34 39.6°F 47 43 48.7 °F 30 27 28.9°F 32 34 35.1 °F 19 21 26.6°F 38
01-11-21   24 25 26.1°F 56 50 56.2 °F 26 >25 34.7°F 58 55 56.3 °F 33 35 39.6°F 47 45 48.7 °F 28 >25 28.9°F 33
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 0 1 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 0 0
% Succ 40.0   0.0 16.7   0.0 40.0   0.0     0.0 50.0   0.0 25.0   0.0 33.3   0.0     0.0
Ave Error 6.4   17.0 9.5   16.2 6.8   19.2 15.6   12.5 10.7   18.7 4.5   9.5 5.5   16.2 17.5   11.5
Net Error -6.4   -17.0 -8.8   16.2 -6.4   -19.2 -14.3   12.5 -10.7   -18.7 1.3   9.5 -5.5   -16.2 -5.5   11.5
Std Dev 7.7   8.3 13.7   9.9 9.3   12.9 13.6   10.0 10.5   16.2 4.0   9.1 5.5   16.2 17.5   11.5

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 01-17-21 at 8:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
01-17-21 24   24 37 ↓   38 23   25 40   43 24   23 52   56 28   25 47   48
01-16-21 24 ↑ 21.9°F 23 39 ↓ 36.8 °F 43 23 ↑   23 40   44 22   22 39   38 25   21 50   51
01-15-21 22 ↑ 26.6°F 21 37 ↓ 35.1 °F 36 25 ↑ 21.9°F 20 40 36.8 °F 42 23   20 45   42 24   21 40   39
01-14-21 26 ↑ 28.9°F 32 32 48.7 °F 32 21 26.6°F 23 36 35.1 °F 37 25 21.9°F 22 39 36.8 °F 38 22   19 45   45
01-13-21 34 ↑ 39.6°F 40 43 ↓ 56.3 °F 47 27 ↑ 28.9°F 31 32 48.7 °F 32 21 26.6°F 19 36 35.1 °F 37 24 21.9°F 25 40 36.8 °F 41
01-12-21 28 34.7°F 28 57 ↓ 56.2 °F 58 34 39.6°F 39 43 56.3 °F 47 27 28.9°F 31 34 48.7 °F 32 21 26.6°F 19 35 35.1 °F 38
01-11-21 25 26.1°F 24 50 49.9 °F 56 25 34.7°F 25 55 56.2 °F 60 35 39.6°F 35 45 56.3 °F 48 >25 28.9°F 28 35 48.7 °F 33
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 2 3 2 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 0 1 1 0
% Succ 16.7   33.3 50.0   33.3 20.0   40.0 40.0   20.0 25.0   25.0 25.0   50.0     33.3 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 3.8   3.2 5.8   6.8 5.2   3.6 7.1   7.4 3.8   3.6 7.3   7.0 12.2   3.9 5.7   7.6
Net Error -3.1   -1.6 -4.2   -1.8 -3.9   -2.7 -5.4   -3.0 -2.3   -2.5 -5.7   -5.5 -10.8   -1.8 -3.5   -2.9
Std Dev 2.3   2.6 6.6   5.9 3.7   2.5 7.0   6.8 3.3   3.6 6.8   6.7 12.2   3.9 5.7   7.6

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 01-17-21 at 11:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
01-17-21 24   23 37 ↓   39 23   24 40   44 24   20 52   55 28   22 47   50
01-16-21 20 ↑ 27.7°F 21 39 ↓ 36.8 °F 45 23 ↑   23 40   44 22   23 39   39 25   22 50   53
01-15-21 22 ↑ 22.0°F 23 37 ↓ 35.1 °F 38 25 ↑ 27.7°F 23 40 36.8 °F 40 23   21 45   43 24   19 40   35
01-14-21 26 ↑ 30.1°F 29 32 48.7 °F 30 21 22.0°F 19 36 35.1 °F 36 25 27.7°F 22 39 36.8 °F 38 22   20 45   39
01-13-21 34 ↑ 35.7°F 41 43 ↓ 56.3 °F 44 27 ↑ 30.1°F 27 32 48.7 °F 28 21 22.0°F 19 36 35.1 °F 35 24 27.7°F 22 40 36.8 °F 35
01-12-21 28 48.7°F 29 57 ↓ 56.2 °F 57 34 35.7°F 40 43 56.3 °F 46 27 30.1°F 30 34 48.7 °F 31 21 22.0°F 18 35 35.1 °F 37
01-11-21 25 37.4°F 24 50 49.9 °F 55 25 48.7°F 23 55 56.2 °F 61 35 35.7°F 36 45 56.3 °F 46 >25 30.1°F 28 35 48.7 °F 31
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 2 3 1 2 0 2 1 2 2 1 2 1 0 1 2
% Succ 33.3   33.3 50.0   16.7 40.0   0.0 40.0   20.0 50.0   50.0 25.0   50.0 33.3   0.0 33.3   66.7
Ave Error 7.8   7.9 5.8   8.0 6.4   8.2 7.1   8.0 1.9   2.3 7.3   7.3 11.6   3.9 5.7   7.1
Net Error -7.8   -5.8 -4.2   -2.3 -6.4   -6.4 -5.4   -4.4 -1.9   -2.1 -5.7   -6.7 -11.6   -3.9 -3.5   -5.9
Std Dev 7.5   7.1 6.6   6.8 5.2   6.3 7.0   8.5 1.7   2.6 6.8   7.0 11.6   3.9 5.7   7.1

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.