SE Lincoln, NE USA Weather Website - NWS - WXSIM Forecast Comparison

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Lincoln, NE USA

Updated: 27-Oct-2020 12:34 AM

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US Weather Extremes

==========

USA

High Temp

100°F at Phoenix Goodyear Ap, AZ

Low Temp

-15°F at Butte Bert Mooney Ap, MT

Precipitation

4.02in at Cheyenne F E Warren, WY

==========

NE Weather Extremes

==========

for Sunday,
October 25, 2020

High Temp

37°F at Falls City Brenner Field, NE

Low Temp

2°F at Bravo (pine Bluffs), NE
2°F at Alliance Municipal Airport Asos, NE

Precipitation

0.24in at Scottsbluff W B Heilig Field Ap, NE

==========

Data from NWS CPC

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Current WXSIM Forecast

Monday, 26-Oct-2020 08:00 pm

Tonight

Mostly Cloudy
Low: 18°

Tuesday

Mostly Sunny
High: 44°

Tuesday
night
Mostly Clear
Cold!

Mostly Clear
Cold!
Low: 20°

Wednesday

Partly Cloudy
High: 57°

Wednesday
night
Mostly Cloudy
Cold!

Mostly Cloudy
Cold!
Low: 29°

Thursday

Mostly Cloudy
Cold!
High: 44°

Thursday
night
Clear
Cold!

Clear
Cold!
Low: 26°

Friday

Sunny
High: 56°

Friday
night

Partly Cloudy
Low: 35°

Current NWS Forecast

Mon, 26-Oct-2020 11:31pm CDT

Overnight

Overnight: Partly Cloudy

Partly Cloudy

Lo 15 °F ↑

Tuesday

Tuesday: Sunny

Sunny

Hi 40 °F

Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Clear

Clear

Lo 22 °F

Wednesday

Wednesday: Sunny

Sunny

Hi 51 °F

Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Slight Chance Light Rain

Slight Chance Light Rain

Lo 33 °F

Thursday

Thursday: Chance Light Rain

Chance Light Rain

Hi 46 °F

Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Mostly Clear

Mostly Clear

Lo 27 °F

Friday

Friday: Sunny

Sunny

Hi 55 °F

Friday
Night
Friday Night: Mostly Clear

Mostly Clear

Lo 38 °F

WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 10-26-20 at 2:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
10-26-20	22 ↑		19	28		28	13 ↑		15	37		43	23		21	47		55	31		29	44		36
10-25-20	31	23.6°F	32	33 ↓	34.2 °F	37	21 ↑		23	28		29	12		23	34		44	22		24	47		46
10-24-20	24	33.6°F	23	43	34.2 °F	48	32 ↑	23.6°F	34	35	34.2 °F	36	21		17	27		27	13		11	36		42
10-23-20	33 ↑	26.0°F	32	42 ↓	39.2 °F	42	25	33.6°F	24	44	34.2 °F	44	33	23.6°F	32	37	34.2 °F	33	20		16	29		25
10-22-20	45 ↑	35.5°F	46	60 ↓	48.4 °F	59	34 ↑	26.0°F	32	43	39.2 °F	39	27	33.6°F	20	44	34.2 °F	42	33	23.6°F	36	38	34.2 °F	37
10-21-20	35	45.5°F	36	55	49.7 °F	59	45	35.5°F	47	75	48.4 °F	71	<35	26.0°F	40	<45	39.2 °F	51	25	33.6°F	39	<45	34.2 °F	50
10-20-20	35	38.8°F	36	55	46.9 °F	53	>35	45.5°F	37	55	49.7 °F	54	>45	35.5°F	44	>75	48.4 °F	72	<35	26.0°F	38	<45	39.2 °F	42
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	0		0	1		0	0		0	1		2	0		0	0		1	0		0	0		0
% Succ			0.0	16.7		0.0			0.0	20.0		40.0			0.0			25.0			0.0			0.0
Ave Error	8.0		8.0	6.3		7.6	16.0		9.2	9.3		7.7	19.4		11.1	25.1		11.1	14.7		9.9	25.7		7.1
Net Error	0.0		0.3	5.9		7.6	-5.6		2.0	9.3		7.7	-14.7		4.3	-18.8		10.5	-8.4		9.9	-23.2		7.1
Std Dev	3.6		3.7	4.3		5.1	11.7		6.0	7.4		6.6	17.5		9.7	24.4		10.8	14.7		9.9	25.7		7.1

Start: Days: Cols: Goal: Ext Stats: Diff Cols: Hilite #s: Time: Show NWS

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 10-26-20 at 5:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
10-26-20	20 ↑		29	29		17	16		43	38		20	23		55	50		29	31		35	46		21
10-25-20	31	21.5°F	35	33	34.2 °F	24	22 ↑		29	28		21	13		43	35		24	21		46	44		31
10-24-20	23 ↑	32.7°F	49	43	34.2 °F	36	32 ↑	21.5°F	38	33	34.2 °F	24	21		31	29		16	12		45	34		30
10-23-20	33 ↑	25.8°F	42	43 ↓	39.2 °F	23	25	32.7°F	44	44	34.2 °F	32	32	21.5°F	33	37	34.2 °F	16	19		25	28		14
10-22-20	45 ↑	35.1°F	61	60 ↓	48.4 °F	39	33 ↑	25.8°F	43	43	39.2 °F	25	26	32.7°F	42	46	34.2 °F	37	33	21.5°F	39	38	34.2 °F	18
10-21-20			58	50	49.7 °F	48	45	35.1°F	71	65	48.4 °F	40	<35	25.8°F	49	<45	39.2 °F	39	25	32.7°F	49	45	34.2 °F	38
10-20-20			52	55	46.9 °F	38	>35	45.5°F	54	<55	49.7 °F	44	45	35.1°F	72	75	48.4 °F	38	<35	25.8°F	42	45	39.2 °F	25
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	0		0	2		2	0		0	1		0	0		0	0		1	0		0	0		0
% Succ			0.0	33.3		33.3			0.0	20.0		0.0			0.0			25.0			0.0			0.0
Ave Error	9.1		18.0	5.6		8.0	16.2		17.9	16.2		8.1	13.2		20.2	20.1		7.9	15.0		16.7	6.8		11.4
Net Error	4.2		18.0	5.2		-7.4	-5.1		17.9	-4.1		-8.1	-3.0		20.2	0.5		-6.5	-7.3		16.7	6.8		-8.9
Std Dev	4.6		9.3	4.6		6.0	11.9		11.7	13.8		6.5	11.5		18.1	19.4		8.6	15.0		16.7	6.8		11.4

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 10-26-20 at 8:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
10-26-20	29		25	16		12	38		41	23		19	50		59	31		28	46		37	28		20
10-25-20	33	34.2 °F	34	22 ↑	21.2°F	23	28		29	13		21	35		41	21		21	44		48	30		34
10-24-20	42	34.2 °F	46	32 ↑	30.4°F	33	33	34.2 °F	35	21	21.2°F	24	29		27	12		12	34		43	22		29
10-23-20	43 ↓	39.2 °F	39	25	23.1°F	19	44 ↓	34.2 °F	44	32	30.4°F	32	37	34.2 °F	34	19	21.2°F	15	28		25	16		15
10-22-20	60	48.4 °F	61	<35	35.1°F	37	<45	39.2 °F	41	25	23.1°F	22	45	34.2 °F	42	<35	30.4°F	35	>35	34.2 °F	37	<25	21.2°F	16
10-21-20	51	49.7 °F	57	46 ↑	45.5°F	43	65 ↓	48.4 °F	65	33	35.1°F	32	44	39.2 °F	37	27	23.1°F	20	44	34.2 °F	43	35	30.4°F	34
10-20-20	55	46.9 °F	54	>35	35.4°F	38	<55	49.7 °F	58	45	45.5°F	47	75	48.4 °F	75	<35	35.1°F	44	45	39.2 °F	46	>25	23.1°F	27
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	2		2	4		2	1		2	4		3	0		1	0		0	0		0	0		0
% Succ	33.3		33.3	66.7		33.3	20.0		40.0	80.0		60.0			25.0			0.0			0.0			0.0
Ave Error	5.6		6.5	12.6		2.6	23.3		7.5	1.3		2.0	11.3		9.2	17.9		5.7	16.6		6.1	16.3		4.2
Net Error	5.2		6.4	-11.0		0.4	-12.7		7.5	0.1		0.3	11.3		8.0	-16.0		1.1	-6.2		6.1	-13.2		0.8
Std Dev	4.4		5.6	14.0		1.3	20.0		6.2	1.0		1.4	10.6		9.2	17.4		4.9	16.6		6.1	16.3		4.2

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 10-26-20 at 11:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
10-26-20	26		31	16		15	38		42	23		19	50		59	31		28	46		36	28		21
10-25-20	30	34.2 °F	34	22 ↑	21.2°F	20	28		27	13		18	35		39	21		20	44		47	30		33
10-24-20	42	34.2 °F	43	32 ↑	30.2°F	32	33	34.2 °F	34	21	21.2°F	23	29		26	12		12	34		41	22		29
10-23-20	43 ↓	39.2 °F	39	25	23.1°F	20	44 ↓	34.2 °F	44	32	30.2°F	32	37	34.2 °F	34	19	21.2°F	15	28		25	16		15
10-22-20	60 ↓	48.4 °F	55	33 ↑	35.1°F	34	43 ↓	39.2 °F	40	26	23.1°F	21	46	34.2 °F	42	33	30.2°F	34	38	34.2 °F	36	21	21.2°F	16
10-21-20	51	49.7 °F	57	46 ↑	45.5°F	46	65 ↓	48.4 °F	68	33	35.1°F	40	44	39.2 °F	49	27	23.1°F	31	44	34.2 °F	47	35	30.2°F	37
10-20-20	54	46.9 °F	49	37 ↑	35.4°F	37	54 ↓	49.7 °F	58	47	45.5°F	47	76	48.4 °F	74	32	35.1°F	43	44	39.2 °F	45	27	23.1°F	26
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	1		2	5		5	1		2	3		3	0		1	0		0	0		1	1		0
% Succ	16.7		33.3	83.3		83.3	20.0		40.0	60.0		60.0			25.0			0.0			33.3	33.3		0.0
Ave Error	6.0		4.2	1.5		1.6	7.1		7.7	1.7		2.4	11.8		10.9	3.0		6.5	6.1		6.8	3.0		5.0
Net Error	4.6		4.1	0.8		-0.3	6.7		7.7	0.8		1.6	11.8		10.8	0.4		3.4	6.1		6.8	2.8		1.5
Std Dev	4.1		3.8	0.8		1.0	5.6		6.8	1.4		1.6	11.1		10.8	2.6		5.6	6.1		6.8	3.0		5.0

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 10-26-20 at 2:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
10-26-20	26		33	16		13	38		41	23		18	50		59	31		29	46		39	28		23
10-25-20	30	34.2 °F	33	22 ↑	21.2°F	20	28		27	13		18	35		42	21		21	44		51	30		30
10-24-20	40	34.2 °F	39	31	30.2°F	31	33 ↓	34.2 °F	35	21	21.2°F	25	28		27	12		19	34		39	22		24
10-23-20	43 ↓	39.2 °F	40	25	23.1°F	21	44 ↓	34.2 °F	45	32	30.2°F	31	37	34.2 °F	32	19	21.2°F	22	28		30	16		19
10-22-20	60 ↓	48.4 °F	46	33 ↑	35.1°F	36	43 ↓	39.2 °F	49	26	23.1°F	29	46	34.2 °F	45	33	30.2°F	34	38	34.2 °F	37	21	21.2°F	21
10-21-20	51	49.7 °F	51	46 ↑	45.5°F	44	65 ↓	48.4 °F	66	33	35.1°F	38	44	39.2 °F	48	27	23.1°F	29	44	34.2 °F	45	35	30.2°F	35
10-20-20	54	46.9 °F	49	37 ↑	35.4°F	37	54 ↓	49.7 °F	60	47	45.5°F	46	76	48.4 °F	75	32	35.1°F	43	44	39.2 °F	44	27	23.1°F	28
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	1		3	5		5	1		1	3		2	0		0	0		1	0		0	1		1
% Succ	16.7		50.0	83.3		83.3	20.0		20.0	60.0		40.0			0.0			25.0			0.0	33.3		33.3
Ave Error	5.6		2.1	1.3		1.4	7.1		9.9	1.7		2.8	11.8		12.1	3.0		4.6	6.1		6.1	3.0		3.3
Net Error	4.2		0.9	0.6		-0.3	6.7		9.9	0.8		2.8	11.8		11.0	0.4		4.6	6.1		6.1	2.8		3.2
Std Dev	3.9		1.6	0.8		0.7	5.6		7.4	1.4		2.5	11.1		11.6	2.6		4.4	6.1		6.1	3.0		3.3

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 10-26-20 at 5:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
10-26-20	31 ↓		16	15 ↑		42	40		19	22		59	51		29	33		39	46		23	27		55
10-25-20	30	34.2 °F	16	22 ↑	21.2°F	24	28		15	13		42	37		19	23		51	47		29	31		37
10-24-20	40 ↓	34.2 °F	30	31	30.2°F	35	33 ↓	34.2 °F	25	21	21.2°F	27	28		19	12		40	34		25	22		55
10-23-20	43 ↓	39.2 °F	20	24	23.1°F	44	43	34.2 °F	30	32	30.2°F	32	35	34.2 °F	22	21	21.2°F	30	27		19	13		43
10-22-20	60 ↓	48.4 °F	33	32 ↑	35.1°F	42	42 ↓	39.2 °F	22	25	23.1°F	41	44	34.2 °F	31	33	30.2°F	34	37	34.2 °F	20	20	21.2°F	23
10-21-20	51	49.7 °F	44	46 ↑	45.5°F	66	65 ↓	48.4 °F	38	33	35.1°F	48	44	39.2 °F	29	27	23.1°F	45	44	34.2 °F	35	35	30.2°F	36
10-20-20			36	>35	35.4°F	59	<55	49.7 °F	46	45	45.5°F	74	75	48.4 °F	45	<35	35.1°F	48	<45	39.2 °F	33	25	23.1°F	46
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	1		0	4		0	1		0	4		1	1		0	1		0	0		1	2		1
% Succ	20.0		0.0	66.7		0.0	20.0		0.0	80.0		20.0	25.0		0.0	25.0		0.0			33.3	66.7		33.3
Ave Error	5.3		12.5	6.9		13.3	15.8		8.9	1.3		13.4	10.5		7.3	10.5		11.9	17.3		7.1	2.6		10.2
Net Error	3.7		-12.5	-5.9		13.3	-4.5		-8.9	0.2		13.4	10.5		-7.3	-7.2		11.9	-8.9		-6.5	1.8		10.2
Std Dev	3.8		7.9	6.0		9.2	13.7		7.1	1.0		10.7	10.3		6.7	10.5		10.4	17.3		7.1	2.6		10.2

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 10-26-20 at 8:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
10-26-20	15 ↑		18	40		44	22		20	51		57	33		29	46		44	27		26	55		56
10-25-20	22 ↑	21.2°F	17	28	34.2 °F	27	13 ↑		14	37		41	23		19	47		55	31		31	44		40
10-24-20	31	30.2°F	31	33 ↓	34.2 °F	37	21 ↑	21.2°F	26	28	34.2 °F	30	12		24	34		42	22		22	47		47
10-23-20	24	23.1°F	22	43	39.2 °F	46	32 ↑	30.2°F	31	35	34.2 °F	33	21	21.2°F	18	27	34.2 °F	28	13		10	36		42
10-22-20	32 ↑	35.1°F	32	42 ↓	48.4 °F	43	25	23.1°F	25	44	39.2 °F	45	33	30.2°F	36	37	34.2 °F	38	20	21.2°F	17	29	34.2 °F	23
10-21-20	45 ↑	45.5°F	43	60 ↓	49.7 °F	63	34 ↑	35.1°F	40	43	48.4 °F	47	27	23.1°F	29	44	39.2 °F	45	33	30.2°F	37	38	34.2 °F	39
10-20-20	35	35.4°F	37	55	46.9 °F	57	45	45.5°F	45	75	49.7 °F	73	<35	35.1°F	43	<45	48.4 °F	50	25	23.1°F	33	<45	39.2 °F	45
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	5		3	1		0	5		3	1		2	1		0	0		1	2		0	0		0
% Succ	83.3		50.0	16.7		0.0	100.0		60.0	20.0		40.0	25.0		0.0			25.0	66.7		0.0			0.0
Ave Error	1.1		2.2	6.0		7.6	1.1		2.6	8.5		7.2	10.5		5.7	15.8		4.4	2.0		7.0	16.1		7.3
Net Error	-0.3		-1.4	1.4		3.4	0.4		2.4	3.9		4.5	-7.2		4.1	-12.0		1.3	1.2		4.2	-13.5		-0.2
Std Dev	1.0		1.5	3.7		4.5	0.9		2.1	6.7		5.5	10.5		5.1	14.3		3.9	2.0		7.0	16.1		7.3

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 10-26-20 at 8:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
10-26-20	15 ↑		18	40		44	22		20	51		57	33		29	46		44	27		26	55		56
10-25-20	22 ↑	26.5°F	20	28	34.2 °F	28	13 ↑		15	37		41	23		20	47		55	31		32	44		41
10-24-20	31	26.0°F	31	33 ↓	34.2 °F	37	21 ↑	26.5°F	20	28	34.2 °F	23	12		16	34		38	22		20	47		45
10-23-20	24	33.6°F	25	43	39.2 °F	48	32 ↑	26.0°F	34	35	34.2 °F	36	21	26.5°F	23	27	34.2 °F	31	13		15	36		42
10-22-20	32 ↑	31.9°F	32	42 ↓	48.4 °F	42	25	33.6°F	23	44	39.2 °F	45	33	26.0°F	36	37	34.2 °F	37	20	26.5°F	17	29	34.2 °F	22
10-21-20	45 ↑	36.6°F	43	60 ↓	49.7 °F	65	34 ↑	31.9°F	38	43	48.4 °F	48	27	33.6°F	30	44	39.2 °F	46	33	26.0°F	38	38	34.2 °F	39
10-20-20	35	45.5°F	37	55	46.9 °F	58	45	36.6°F	47	75	49.7 °F	73	<35	31.9°F	41	<45	48.4 °F	48	25	33.6°F	32	<45	39.2 °F	43
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	1		1	1		0	0		0	1		2	0		0	0		1	0		1	0		0
% Succ	16.7		16.7	16.7		0.0			0.0	20.0		40.0			0.0			25.0			33.3			0.0
Ave Error	6.4		5.9	6.0		8.4	6.1		8.3	8.5		8.5	12.8		6.6	15.8		3.3	7.4		7.7	16.1		6.9
Net Error	-1.9		-2.0	1.4		4.2	0.5		1.5	3.9		3.9	-9.3		3.0	-12.0		1.5	-2.7		0.3	-13.5		-1.2
Std Dev	4.1		3.6	3.7		5.2	4.0		5.4	6.7		6.4	11.6		5.9	14.3		2.9	7.4		7.7	16.1		6.9

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.

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