SE Lincoln, NE USA Weather Website - NWS - WXSIM Forecast Comparison

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Lincoln, NE USA

Updated: 19-Apr-2021 9:31 AM

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Johnson Co.

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US Weather Extremes

==========

USA

High Temp

93°F at Camp Pendleton Mcas, CA
93°F at Miami Kendall Tamiami Exec Ap, FL

Low Temp

-19°F at Tazewell County Airport, VA

Precipitation

1.11in at Jacksonville Intl Ap, FL

==========

NE Weather Extremes

==========

for Sunday,
April 18, 2021

High Temp

70°F at Valentine Miller Field, NE

Low Temp

21°F at Alliance Municipal Airport Asos, NE

Precipitation

0.03in at Valentine Miller Field, NE

==========

Data from NWS CPC

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Current WXSIM Forecast

Monday, 19-Apr-2021 08:00 am

Today

Snow
High: 39°

Tonight

Snow
Low: 27°

Tuesday

Mostly Cloudy
Cold!
High: 48°

Tuesday
night
Mostly Cloudy
Cold!

Mostly Cloudy
Cold!
Low: 26°

Wednesday

Mostly Cloudy
Cold!
High: 45°

Wednesday
night

Partly Cloudy
Low: 28°

Thursday

Partly Cloudy
High: 59°

Thursday
night

Mostly Cloudy
Low: 37°

Friday

Cloudy
High: 49°

Current NWS Forecast

Mon, 19-Apr-2021 7:35am CDT

Today

Chance Rain Showers

Hi 39 °F

Tonight

Tonight: Chance Light Rain then Rain And Snow

Chance Light Rain then Rain And Snow

Lo 30 °F

Tuesday

Tuesday: Slight Chance Light Snow then Partly Sunny

Slight Chance Light Snow then Partly Sunny

Hi 45 °F

Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Partly Cloudy

Partly Cloudy

Lo 29 °F

Wednesday

Wednesday: Mostly Sunny

Mostly Sunny

Hi 51 °F

Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Mostly Clear

Mostly Clear

Lo 29 °F

Thursday

Thursday: Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Light Rain

Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Light Rain

Hi 59 °F

Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Chance Light Rain

Chance Light Rain

Lo 42 °F

Friday

Friday: Chance Light Rain

Chance Light Rain

Hi 63 °F

WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 04-19-21 at 2:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
04-19-21	36 ↑		40	41		45	30		30	48		49	28		28	50		40	30		27	59		57
04-18-21	36 ↑	45.0°F	38	64 ↓	65.5 °F	60	38 ↑		38	43		45	30		31	49		48	28		30	52		42
04-17-21	40	42.5°F	40	55 ↓	55.1 °F	50	36	45.0°F	37	62	65.5 °F	59	39		40	46		43	30		30	48		49
04-16-21	52	41.0°F	38	39 ↑	44.5 °F	44	47	42.5°F	38	39	55.1 °F	45	54	45.0°F	38	35	65.5 °F	57	61		39	39		46
04-15-21	29 ↑	40.3°F	35	54	55.7 °F	54	39 ↑	41.0°F	38	48	44.5 °F	41	38	42.5°F	34	53	55.1 °F	40	34	45.0°F	32	61	65.5 °F	56
04-14-21	32 ↑	38.0°F	34	55	53.4 °F	53	33 ↑	40.3°F	32	57	55.7 °F	50	40	41.0°F	36	49	44.5 °F	39	38	42.5°F	32	52	55.1 °F	41
04-13-21	33 ↑	38.9°F	36	58	60.2 °F	54	32 ↑	38.0°F	33	55	53.4 °F	49	34	40.3°F	32	56	55.7 °F	52	41	41.0°F	37	53	44.5 °F	40
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	0		0	4		3	1		0	2		0	1		0	1		0	1		0	0		0
% Succ			0.0	66.7		50.0	20.0		0.0	40.0		0.0	25.0		0.0	25.0		0.0	33.3		0.0			0.0
Ave Error	7.6		4.1	2.1		3.2	5.8		5.8	5.2		6.0	5.2		7.2	9.4		8.2	5.2		9.2	5.4		9.4
Net Error	-4.0		-4.1	-1.6		-3.2	-4.0		-5.8	-2.6		-6.0	-0.7		-7.2	-7.0		-8.2	-5.2		-9.2	0.3		-9.4
Std Dev	4.4		2.3	1.9		2.5	4.3		4.0	6.0		4.4	4.9		6.2	13.3		7.1	5.2		9.2	5.4		9.4

Start: Days: Cols: Goal: Ext Stats: Diff Cols: Hilite #s: Time: Show NWS

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 04-19-21 at 5:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
04-19-21	36 ↑		41	42 ↓		30	30		51	45		29	29		41	51		28	29		57	59		41
04-18-21	36 ↑	37.9°F	60	64 ↓	65.5 °F	38	38 ↑		44	46		30	30		48	47		30	28		42	51		28
04-17-21	40 ↑	42.5°F	46	54	55.1 °F	35	36 ↑	37.9°F	59	62	65.5 °F	39	39		43	46		30	30		48	48		31
04-16-21	52	41.0°F	45	39 ↑	44.5 °F	38	47	42.5°F	47	39	55.1 °F	38	54	37.9°F	56	35	65.5 °F	39	61		46	39		32
04-15-21	28	39.2°F	54	54	55.7 °F	38	39 ↑	41.0°F	41	47	44.5 °F	36	39	42.5°F	44	54	55.1 °F	34	35	37.9°F	57	61	65.5 °F	38
04-14-21	32	32.7°F	53	54	53.4 °F	33	32 ↑	39.2°F	51	55	55.7 °F	36	39	41.0°F	38	49	44.5 °F	31	37	42.5°F	39	52	55.1 °F	34
04-13-21	33 ↑	34.9°F	55	57	60.2 °F	32	32 ↑	32.7°F	50	55	53.4 °F	33	34	39.2°F	52	56	55.7 °F	37	40	41.0°F	40	52	44.5 °F	35
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	3		0	4		0	3		1	2		0	1		1	2		0	1		1	0		0
% Succ	50.0		0.0	66.7		0.0	60.0		20.0	40.0		0.0	25.0		25.0	50.0		0.0	33.3		33.3			0.0
Ave Error	4.9		14.1	2.3		20.1	3.3		10.9	4.9		18.4	6.7		8.9	9.1		20.0	3.1		7.9	5.0		19.4
Net Error	-1.2		14.1	-2.1		-20.1	-1.5		10.9	-3.2		-18.4	1.4		7.4	-6.7		-20.0	-3.1		4.9	0.0		-19.4
Std Dev	4.7		9.3	1.9		10.4	2.3		10.0	6.0		13.0	7.5		9.0	13.3		17.6	3.1		7.9	5.0		19.4

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 04-19-21 at 8:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
04-19-21	39		39	30		27	45		48	29		26	51		45	29		28	59		59	42		37
04-18-21	64 ↓	65.5 °F	60	38 ↑	35.3°F	39	46 ↓		45	30		30	47		49	28		29	51		46	30		27
04-17-21	<55	55.1 °F	46	35	40.2°F	33	<65	65.5 °F	60	>35	35.3°F	39	45		44	>25		31	>45		50	>25		29
04-16-21	>45	44.5 °F	44	40	41.0°F	37	<55	55.1 °F	45	35	40.2°F	37	<65	65.5 °F	56	>35	35.3°F	38	>45		41	>25		32
04-15-21	54	55.7 °F	54	39 ↑	39.0°F	37	47	44.5 °F	40	39	41.0°F	35	54	55.1 °F	47	35	40.2°F	35	61	65.5 °F	58	39	35.3°F	45
04-14-21	<55	53.4 °F	51	<35	30.3°F	31	55	55.7 °F	50	>35	39.0°F	36	>45	44.5 °F	38	>35	41.0°F	31	<55	55.1 °F	44	35	40.2°F	31
04-13-21	55	60.2 °F	53	<35	31.9°F	31	55	53.4 °F	50	<35	30.3°F	31	55	55.7 °F	50	40	39.0°F	36	<55	44.5 °F	39	>35	41.0°F	34
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	2		2	2		3	2		0	1		1	2		0	1		0	0		0	0		0
% Succ	33.3		33.3	33.3		50.0	40.0		0.0	20.0		20.0	50.0		0.0	25.0		0.0			0.0			0.0
Ave Error	26.9		4.4	11.9		3.1	25.1		5.8	22.4		3.3	28.0		7.5	20.6		5.2	34.7		8.0	16.6		8.6
Net Error	-26.9		-4.4	-11.0		-1.6	-23.4		-5.8	-22.4		-1.6	-28.0		-7.5	-20.1		-3.9	-34.7		-8.0	-14.2		-2.2
Std Dev	25.2		3.4	12.0		2.4	29.3		4.2	19.4		2.4	30.6		6.5	19.3		4.7	34.7		8.0	16.6		8.6

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 04-18-21 at 11:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
04-18-21	64 ↓		61	38 ↑		41	46 ↓		46	30		31	47		48	28		30	51		45	30		28
04-17-21	55 ↓	55.1 °F	50	36 ↑	40.2°F	36	62		61	38		39	46		44	30		32	48		50	28		29
04-16-21	48	44.5 °F	48	40 ↑	41.0°F	36	54	55.1 °F	41	35	40.2°F	35	62		56	39		38	49		41	30		32
04-15-21	52	55.7 °F	54	39 ↑	39.0°F	37	47	44.5 °F	40	39	41.0°F	35	54	55.1 °F	47	35	40.2°F	35	61		58	39		45
04-14-21	<55	53.4 °F	51	<35	30.3°F	29	55	55.7 °F	48	>35	39.0°F	34	>45	44.5 °F	37	>35	41.0°F	31	<55	55.1 °F	46	35	40.2°F	32
04-13-21	55	60.2 °F	54	<35	31.9°F	30	55	53.4 °F	50	<35	30.3°F	31	55	55.7 °F	50	40	39.0°F	35	<55	44.5 °F	38	>35	41.0°F	34
04-12-21	60	62.7 °F	55	<35	35.2°F	34	55	60.2 °F	50	<35	31.9°F	30	<55	53.4 °F	47	35	30.3°F	31	55	55.7 °F	45	<45	39.0°F	36
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	1		1	2		4	3		0	1		2	2		0	1		1	1		0	0		0
% Succ	16.7		16.7	33.3		66.7	60.0		0.0	20.0		40.0	50.0		0.0	25.0		25.0	33.3		0.0			0.0
Ave Error	11.4		4.4	17.1		2.6	2.2		8.0	21.7		3.8	24.9		6.9	13.0		5.0	33.4		8.8	28.4		6.1
Net Error	-10.3		-3.3	-17.1		-2.6	-0.6		-8.0	-21.7		-3.5	-24.9		-6.9	-10.1		-4.6	-33.4		-8.8	-28.4		-6.1
Std Dev	19.1		2.4	15.3		1.7	1.6		5.9	19.5		2.7	24.7		6.0	11.9		4.3	33.4		8.8	28.4		6.1

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 04-18-21 at 2:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
04-18-21	64 ↓		65	38 ↑		42	46 ↓		45	30		31	47		50	28		30	51		45	30		28
04-17-21	55 ↓	55.1 °F	55	36 ↑	40.2°F	35	62		60	38		38	46		43	30		30	48		47	28		32
04-16-21	48	44.5 °F	48	40 ↑	41.0°F	37	54	55.1 °F	44	35	40.2°F	35	62		57	39		39	49		42	30		32
04-15-21	<55	55.7 °F	55	>35	39.0°F	36	>45	44.5 °F	39	>35	41.0°F	34	<55	55.1 °F	45	35	40.2°F	38	60		54	>35		46
04-14-21	<55	53.4 °F	54	<35	30.3°F	30	55	55.7 °F	48	>35	39.0°F	34	>45	44.5 °F	38	>35	41.0°F	33	<55	55.1 °F	48	35	40.2°F	34
04-13-21	55	60.2 °F	57	<35	31.9°F	32	55	53.4 °F	51	<35	30.3°F	31	55	55.7 °F	48	40	39.0°F	36	<55	44.5 °F	40	>35	41.0°F	34
04-12-21	60	62.7 °F	60	<35	35.2°F	37	55	60.2 °F	53	<35	31.9°F	33	<55	53.4 °F	46	35	30.3°F	32	55	55.7 °F	44	<45	39.0°F	36
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	1		3	1		3	3		0	0		2	1		0	1		1	1		0	0		0
% Succ	16.7		50.0	16.7		50.0	60.0		0.0			40.0	25.0		0.0	25.0		25.0	33.3		0.0			0.0
Ave Error	20.1		1.8	23.6		2.4	10.6		6.8	29.5		3.8	38.4		7.9	13.0		3.7	33.4		7.8	28.4		5.4
Net Error	-18.9		-0.4	-23.6		-1.8	-10.0		-6.8	-29.5		-3.1	-38.4		-7.9	-10.1		-2.9	-33.4		-7.8	-28.4		-5.4
Std Dev	24.8		1.5	17.3		2.1	17.7		4.8	22.6		2.9	34.3		6.9	11.9		3.3	33.4		7.8	28.4		5.4

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 04-18-21 at 2:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
04-18-21			65	55		42	35		45	<65		31	>35		50	45		30	30		45	>45		28
04-17-21	55 ↓	55.1 °F	39	36 ↑	40.2°F	62	64 ↓		40	38		46	43		31	30		47	49		32	28		49
04-16-21			37	>35	41.0°F	44	55	55.1 °F	35	35	40.2°F	56	<65		38	>35		42	>45		32	30		48
04-15-21	52	55.7 °F	36	39 ↑	39.0°F	38	47	44.5 °F	33	39	41.0°F	45	54	55.1 °F	38	35	40.2°F	55	61		46	39		51
04-14-21			32	<35	30.3°F	50	<55	55.7 °F	36	40	39.0°F	39	>45	44.5 °F	33	>35	41.0°F	44	<55	55.1 °F	32	35	40.2°F	56
04-13-21	57	60.2 °F	32	32 ↑	31.9°F	50	55	53.4 °F	31	33	30.3°F	48	57	55.7 °F	36	40	39.0°F	39	49	44.5 °F	34	38	41.0°F	42
04-12-21			38	<35	35.2°F	54	>55	60.2 °F	33	<35	31.9°F	48	55	53.4 °F	33	35	30.3°F	45	55	55.7 °F	37	40	39.0°F	42
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	1		0	2		1	2		0	2		1	3		0	1		1	1		0	1		1
% Succ	33.3		0.0	33.3		16.7	40.0		0.0	40.0		20.0	75.0		0.0	25.0		25.0	33.3		0.0	33.3		33.3
Ave Error	2.3		21.3	18.5		13.7	24.0		20.2	8.6		10.7	12.1		17.2	13.0		8.1	20.1		17.4	3.1		6.6
Net Error	-2.3		-21.3	-18.4		13.4	-22.4		-20.2	-7.1		10.7	-10.7		-17.2	-10.1		8.1	-17.1		-17.4	-2.4		6.6
Std Dev	2.3		17.7	17.7		9.9	25.3		13.3	7.2		9.1	11.9		14.9	11.9		7.8	20.1		17.4	3.1		6.6

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 04-18-21 at 8:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
04-18-21	>35		43	40		46	>25		30	>45		48	>25		29	>45		44	>25		29	>55		57
04-17-21	36 ↑	40.2°F	39	64 ↓	55.1 °F	61	38 ↑		39	43		45	30		29	49		43	28		30	52		46
04-16-21	40	41.0°F	37	55 ↓	44.5 °F	46	36	40.2°F	37	62	55.1 °F	58	39		39	46		43	30		32	48		48
04-15-21	39	39.0°F	37	47	55.7 °F	40	40 ↑	41.0°F	34	55	44.5 °F	47	35	40.2°F	37	62	55.1 °F	55	40		39	53		45
04-14-21	31 ↑	30.3°F	31	54	53.4 °F	51	39 ↑	39.0°F	35	48	55.7 °F	37	38	41.0°F	32	53	44.5 °F	46	34	40.2°F	36	61	55.1 °F	57
04-13-21	<35	31.9°F	33	55	60.2 °F	52	<35	30.3°F	32	55	53.4 °F	51	>35	39.0°F	36	>45	55.7 °F	39	>35	41.0°F	34	<55	44.5 °F	42
04-12-21	<35	35.2°F	36	>55	62.7 °F	53	<35	31.9°F	32	55	60.2 °F	48	35	30.3°F	33	55	53.4 °F	47	40	39.0°F	36	<55	55.7 °F	41
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	3		5	1		1	2		2	1		0	0		0	1		2	1		0	0		1
% Succ	50.0		83.3	16.7		16.7	40.0		40.0	20.0		0.0			0.0	25.0		50.0	33.3		0.0			33.3
Ave Error	12.2		1.6	16.1		7.2	13.5		3.2	6.4		7.7	13.0		4.5	18.2		6.2	16.1		4.7	35.4		6.4
Net Error	-11.9		-0.8	-9.4		-4.8	-13.5		-2.5	1.2		-5.6	-10.6		-3.1	-9.7		-5.4	-15.4		-4.7	-31.4		-5.1
Std Dev	12.9		1.3	11.2		5.5	12.5		2.7	4.5		7.6	11.9		3.9	16.7		6.2	16.1		4.7	35.4		6.4

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 04-18-21 at 11:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
04-18-21	37 ↑		43	41		46	30		30	48		49	28		29	50		45	30		29	59		58
04-17-21	36 ↑	51.8°F	39	64 ↓	55.1 °F	62	38 ↑		41	43		46	30		31	49		44	28		31	52		46
04-16-21	40	44.1°F	39	55 ↓	44.5 °F	47	36	51.8°F	37	62	55.1 °F	58	39		40	46		44	30		32	48		49
04-15-21	39	41.3°F	38	47	55.7 °F	43	40 ↑	44.1°F	37	55	44.5 °F	49	35	51.8°F	38	62	55.1 °F	55	40		40	53		45
04-14-21	29 ↑	42.0°F	33	54	53.4 °F	53	39 ↑	41.3°F	37	48	55.7 °F	40	38	44.1°F	35	53	44.5 °F	46	34	51.8°F	35	61	55.1 °F	57
04-13-21	32 ↑	39.9°F	35	55	60.2 °F	53	33 ↑	42.0°F	32	57	53.4 °F	52	40	41.3°F	36	49	55.7 °F	39	38	44.1°F	34	52	44.5 °F	42
04-12-21	33 ↑	45.0°F	36	58	62.7 °F	53	32 ↑	39.9°F	33	55	60.2 °F	49	34	42.0°F	34	56	53.4 °F	47	41	41.3°F	37	53	55.7 °F	41
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	0		0	1		1	0		0	0		1	1		0	0		2	1		0	0		1
% Succ			0.0	16.7		16.7			0.0			20.0	25.0		0.0			50.0	33.3		0.0			33.3
Ave Error	9.2		7.4	6.4		6.6	7.8		8.6	6.8		7.1	8.1		9.1	6.2		6.2	8.1		10.4	5.4		6.4
Net Error	-9.2		-7.4	0.2		-3.4	-7.8		-8.6	1.6		-4.2	-8.1		-9.1	2.8		-5.4	-8.1		-10.4	3.6		-5.1
Std Dev	6.0		4.4	4.2		4.8	6.8		6.4	4.6		6.3	8.2		8.2	5.4		6.2	8.1		10.4	5.4		6.4

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.

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