SE Lincoln, NE USA Weather Website - NWS - WXSIM Forecast Comparison

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Lincoln, NE USA

Updated: 18-Sep-2021 7:58 PM

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US Weather Extremes

==========

USA

High Temp

104°F at Cotulla La Salle County Ap, TX

Low Temp

16°F at Stanley Ranger Station, ID

Precipitation

2.53in at Quillayute State Airport, WA

==========

NE Weather Extremes

==========

for Friday,
September 17, 2021

High Temp

86°F at Falls City Brenner Field, NE

Low Temp

38°F at Charlie (gering), NE

Precipitation

0.80in at Grand Island Central Ne Regional Ap, NE

==========

Data from NWS CPC

External Links

Current WXSIM Forecast

Saturday, 18-Sep-2021 05:00 pm

Tonight

Clear
Low: 70°

Sunday

Partly Cloudy
High: 88°

Sunday
night

Thunder storm
Low: 71°

Monday

Thunder storm
High: 77°

Monday
night

Partly Cloudy
Low: 54°

Tuesday

Mostly Sunny
High: 74°

Tuesday
night
Clear

Clear
Low: 49°

Wednesday

Sunny
High: 77°

Wednesday
night
Clear

Clear
Low: 52°

Current NWS Forecast

Sat, 18-Sep-2021 7:35pm CDT

Tonight

Tonight: Mostly Clear

Mostly Clear

Lo 68 °F

Sunday

Sunday: Sunny

Sunny

Hi 90 °F

Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Mostly Clear then Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms

Mostly Clear then Slight Chance Showers And TStorms

Lo 69 °F ↑

Monday

Monday: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Showers And Thunderstorms Likely

Chance Showers And TStorms then Showers And TStorms Likely

Hi 78 °F

Monday
Night
Monday Night: Showers And Thunderstorms Likely then Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms

Showers And TStorms Likely then Slight Chance Showers And TStorms

Lo 52 °F

Tuesday

Tuesday: Sunny

Sunny

Hi 72 °F

Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Mostly Clear

Mostly Clear

Lo 44 °F

Wednesday

Wednesday: Sunny

Sunny

Hi 75 °F

Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Clear

Clear

Lo 53 °F

WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-18-21 at 2:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-18-21	59		57	85		86	68 ↑		62	89		87	70		69	83		82	54		52	71		77
09-17-21	65 ↑	59.7°F	70	74 ↓	76.7 °F	77	59 ↑		59	84		85	66		67	92		89	70		72	87		84
09-16-21	65	75.0°F	68	90	91.5 °F	89	65	59.7°F	67	80	76.7 °F	77	<65		60	>85		84	>65		64	>85		89
09-15-21	<55	70.0°F	60	<85	85.4 °F	82	65	75.0°F	65	>85	91.5 °F	91	65	59.7°F	70	<85	76.7 °F	89	65		69	>85		90
09-14-21	64 ↑	57.4°F	66	77	82.0 °F	83	54 ↑	70.0°F	60	80	85.4 °F	82	64	75.0°F	62	88	91.5 °F	90	67	59.7°F	71	87	76.7 °F	98
09-13-21	63 ↑	71.2°F	62	89	90.0 °F	92	65 ↑	57.4°F	65	79	82.0 °F	85	56	70.0°F	59	81	85.4 °F	78	63	75.0°F	60	88	91.5 °F	89
09-12-21	>65	65.3°F	71	85	78.4 °F	88	<65	71.2°F	64	>85	90.0 °F	90	65	57.4°F	65	>75	82.0 °F	83	>55	70.0°F	59	>75	85.4 °F	82
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	0		0	2		3	0		0	0		3	0		0	0		2	0		0	0		0
% Succ			0.0	33.3		50.0			0.0			60.0			0.0			50.0			0.0			0.0
Ave Error	27.6		8.5	17.0		3.1	22.0		8.4	38.6		1.4	9.5		10.5	41.7		5.6	29.8		12.4	33.1		9.1
Net Error	-23.6		-0.3	-14.8		1.2	-16.9		-2.5	-37.3		-0.1	-3.0		-1.5	-41.7		1.1	-24.9		-4.9	-26.2		5.1
Std Dev	26.4		3.7	31.1		2.0	16.9		5.4	40.3		1.4	8.5		9.1	40.1		5.9	29.8		12.4	33.1		9.1

Start: Days: Cols: Goal: Ext Stats: Diff Cols: Hilite #s: Time: Show NWS

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-18-21 at 5:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-18-21	55 ↑		85	87		60	68 ↑		87	89		67	69		83	82		51	54		77	71		50
09-17-21	66 ↑	58.3°F	78	75 ↓	76.7 °F	59	59		86	83		67	66		90	90		72	70		84	85		54
09-16-21	67 ↑	72.3°F	91	91	91.5 °F	68	68 ↑	58.3°F	77	74	76.7 °F	60	60		84	85		64	67		88	90		66
09-15-21			60	<85	85.4 °F	82	65	72.3°F	65	>85	91.5 °F	91	65	58.3°F	70	<85	76.7 °F	89	<65		69	85		90
09-14-21	64	55.1°F	84	77	82.0 °F	60	54 ↑	69.0°F	83	80	85.4 °F	62	64	72.3°F	89	88	91.5 °F	65	67	58.3°F	90	87	76.7 °F	65
09-12-21			89	<85	90.0 °F	66	<65	55.1°F	91	85	82.0 °F	65	65	69.0°F	83	>75	85.4 °F	58	55	72.3°F	82	>75	91.5 °F	65
09-11-21			99	95	94.3 °F	68	>65	67.2°F	93	<85	90.0 °F	65	<65	55.1°F	91	>85	82.0 °F	73	65	69.0°F	85	>75	85.4 °F	64
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	0		0	3		0	0		0	0		1	0		0	0		0	0		0	0		0
% Succ			0.0	50.0		0.0			0.0			20.0			0.0			0.0			0.0			0.0
Ave Error	7.3		22.4	30.6		19.5	30.9		20.3	38.5		16.5	18.5		19.6	61.9		18.8	10.0		19.1	62.4		19.9
Net Error	3.8		22.4	-30.3		-19.5	-27.0		17.4	-37.3		-16.5	-15.2		19.6	-61.9		-12.7	-4.2		19.1	-55.5		-19.9
Std Dev	4.4		13.2	40.5		10.7	25.1		14.4	40.4		13.0	17.1		17.4	54.1		16.6	10.0		19.1	62.4		19.9

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-18-21 at 8:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-18-21	87		85	68 ↑		63	89 ↓		88	69		70	82		81	54		52	71		71	47		47
09-17-21	75 ↓	76.7 °F	75	59	57.5°F	59	83		84	66		63	90		88	70		72	85		83	56		53
09-16-21	90	91.5 °F	90	65	69.2°F	68	75	76.7 °F	76	>55	57.5°F	60	85		83	65		64	>85		87	>65		67
09-15-21	<85	85.4 °F	83	65	68.3°F	63	>85	91.5 °F	91	65	69.2°F	67	<85	76.7 °F	84	<65	57.5°F	65	85		87	>65		67
09-14-21	77	82.0 °F	83	54 ↑	55.0°F	60	80	85.4 °F	83	64	68.3°F	63	88	91.5 °F	90	67	69.2°F	65	87	76.7 °F	90	67	57.5°F	65
09-13-21	89 ↓	90.0 °F	91	65	65.3°F	65	78 ↓	82.0 °F	83	55	55.0°F	59	80	85.4 °F	80	63	68.3°F	61	89	91.5 °F	89	68	69.2°F	69
09-12-21	83 ↓	78.4 °F	88	64	65.3°F	63	88 ↓	90.0 °F	90	65	65.3°F	65	78	82.0 °F	84	56	55.0°F	59	79	85.4 °F	82	61	68.3°F	65
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	3		4	4		3	2		4	2		1	0		2	1		0	0		0	1		1
% Succ	50.0		66.7	66.7		50.0	40.0		80.0	40.0		20.0			50.0	25.0		0.0			0.0	33.3		33.3
Ave Error	16.5		2.9	1.9		2.6	20.9		0.9	13.3		2.9	22.4		4.1	16.5		5.8	6.4		6.4	6.0		3.7
Net Error	-15.0		1.0	-1.4		-0.4	-20.9		-0.5	-13.3		-0.3	-22.4		0.6	-16.0		0.0	0.5		2.5	0.3		1.3
Std Dev	31.2		1.8	1.6		2.2	36.0		0.9	22.2		2.1	33.4		3.9	25.0		5.1	6.4		6.4	6.0		3.7

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-18-21 at 11:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-18-21	87		85	68 ↑		65	89 ↓		88	69		70	82		81	54		52	71		71	47		47
09-17-21	75 ↓	76.7 °F	71	59	57.5°F	54	83		84	66		63	90		88	70		72	85		82	56		53
09-16-21	90	91.5 °F	88	65	69.2°F	66	75	76.7 °F	74	>55	57.5°F	59	85		85	65		64	>85		88	>65		66
09-15-21	82	85.4 °F	85	66	68.3°F	68	90 ↓	91.5 °F	91	67	69.2°F	69	84	76.7 °F	85	63	57.5°F	67	87		86	69		67
09-14-21	77	82.0 °F	81	54 ↑	55.0°F	60	80	85.4 °F	83	64	68.3°F	64	88	91.5 °F	90	67	69.2°F	65	87	76.7 °F	89	67	57.5°F	65
09-13-21	89 ↓	90.0 °F	91	65	65.3°F	65	78 ↓	82.0 °F	82	55	55.0°F	59	80	85.4 °F	79	63	68.3°F	61	89	91.5 °F	89	68	69.2°F	69
09-12-21	83 ↓	78.4 °F	84	64	65.3°F	59	88 ↓	90.0 °F	90	65	65.3°F	65	78	82.0 °F	83	56	55.0°F	59	79	85.4 °F	82	61	68.3°F	65
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	3		3	4		2	3		3	2		3	0		2	1		0	0		0	1		1
% Succ	50.0		50.0	66.7		33.3	60.0		60.0	40.0		60.0			50.0	25.0		0.0			0.0	33.3		33.3
Ave Error	2.9		2.9	1.8		3.1	2.9		1.1	12.9		2.1	5.1		4.3	3.5		6.3	6.4		6.1	6.0		3.7
Net Error	-1.3		-0.7	-1.3		-1.4	-2.9		-1.1	-12.9		0.1	-1.4		0.3	-0.3		0.5	0.5		2.1	0.3		1.3
Std Dev	1.8		2.2	1.4		2.2	2.3		1.2	22.4		1.9	4.5		4.2	3.2		5.7	6.4		6.1	6.0		3.7

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-18-21 at 2:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-18-21	87		89	68 ↑		68	89 ↓		88	69		70	82		76	54		55	71		74	47		49
09-17-21	75 ↓	76.7 °F	77	59	57.5°F	56	83		85	66		63	90		89	70		71	85		86	56		53
09-16-21	91	91.5 °F	90	68 ↑	69.2°F	67	74 ↓	76.7 °F	73	60	57.5°F	55	85		82	67		62	90		87	68		68
09-15-21	82	85.4 °F	82	66	68.3°F	66	90 ↓	91.5 °F	91	67	69.2°F	69	84	76.7 °F	82	63	57.5°F	64	87		86	69		68
09-14-21	77	82.0 °F	81	54 ↑	55.0°F	59	80	85.4 °F	82	64	68.3°F	67	88	91.5 °F	89	67	69.2°F	70	87	76.7 °F	93	67	57.5°F	67
09-13-21	89 ↓	90.0 °F	90	65	65.3°F	69	78 ↓	82.0 °F	82	55	55.0°F	63	80	85.4 °F	82	63	68.3°F	63	89	91.5 °F	89	68	69.2°F	68
09-12-21	82 ↓	78.4 °F	78	63	65.3°F	58	88	90.0 °F	89	65	65.3°F	64	79	82.0 °F	82	56	55.0°F	58	81	85.4 °F	79	63	68.3°F	64
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	3		5	4		1	2		3	2		3	0		1	1		1	0		0	1		1
% Succ	50.0		83.3	66.7		16.7	40.0		60.0	40.0		60.0			25.0	25.0		25.0			0.0	33.3		33.3
Ave Error	2.5		1.1	1.4		3.5	3.1		1.7	1.9		2.7	4.8		2.8	3.5		3.9	5.7		8.4	5.3		5.0
Net Error	-1.3		-1.0	-0.9		-0.9	-3.1		-1.7	-0.9		0.5	-1.2		-0.2	-0.3		1.3	1.1		2.5	1.0		1.3
Std Dev	1.8		1.2	0.9		1.8	2.3		1.7	1.6		2.1	4.3		2.7	3.2		3.6	5.7		8.4	5.3		5.0

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-18-21 at 5:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-18-21	87		70	68 ↑		88	89 ↓		71	69		77	82		54	54		74	71		49	47		77
09-17-21	76 ↓	76.7 °F	56	59	57.5°F	85	85		63	68		89	89		71	70		86	83		53	54		73
09-16-21			67	65	69.2°F	73	75	76.7 °F	56	>55	57.5°F	81	<85		62	65		87	90		68	>65		89
09-15-21	84 ↓	85.4 °F	67	67	68.3°F	90	91 ↓	91.5 °F	68	67	69.2°F	82	81	76.7 °F	64	63	57.5°F	86	88		68	69		88
09-14-21	82 ↓	82.0 °F	58	54 ↑	55.0°F	82	82	85.4 °F	67	65	68.3°F	90	89	91.5 °F	70	67	69.2°F	92	85	76.7 °F	67	66	57.5°F	90
09-13-21	90 ↓	90.0 °F	72	64 ↑	65.3°F	83	78	82.0 °F	64	55	55.0°F	81	83	85.4 °F	63	64	68.3°F	88	87	91.5 °F	69	66	69.2°F	95
09-12-21	82 ↓	78.4 °F	61	63	65.3°F	89	88	90.0 °F	64	65	65.3°F	83	79	82.0 °F	59	56	55.0°F	79	81	85.4 °F	64	63	68.3°F	90
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	4		0	4		0	3		0	2		0	0		0	1		0	0		0	0		0
% Succ	80.0		0.0	66.7		0.0	60.0		0.0	40.0		0.0			0.0	25.0		0.0			0.0			0.0
Ave Error	1.1		19.7	1.9		20.2	2.3		21.3	12.7		20.3	3.1		19.9	3.3		23.8	5.7		17.9	5.7		26.7
Net Error	0.3		-19.7	-1.4		20.2	-2.3		-21.3	-12.7		20.3	-0.9		-19.9	0.0		23.8	-0.2		-17.9	0.0		26.7
Std Dev	0.9		12.6	1.3		11.4	1.8		13.6	22.5		13.4	2.7		17.6	3.0		20.7	5.7		17.9	5.7		26.7

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-17-21 at 8:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-17-21	59		56	85		85	68 ↑		65	89		89	70		71	83		84	54		54	71		74
09-16-21	65 ↑	69.2°F	68	74 ↓	91.5 °F	73	59 ↑		57	84		82	66		64	92		87	70		72	87		88
09-15-21	65	68.3°F	69	90	85.4 °F	89	65	69.2°F	70	80	91.5 °F	78	<65		64	>85		86	>65		69	>85		88
09-14-21	54 ↑	55.0°F	60	82	82.0 °F	82	65	68.3°F	65	89	85.4 °F	91	67	69.2°F	70	85	91.5 °F	89	66		69	90		90
09-13-21	64 ↑	65.3°F	71	78	90.0 °F	83	55 ↑	55.0°F	63	83	82.0 °F	81	64	68.3°F	63	87	85.4 °F	89	66	69.2°F	71	87	91.5 °F	97
09-12-21	63	65.3°F	59	88	78.4 °F	89	65 ↑	65.3°F	62	79	90.0 °F	81	56	55.0°F	58	81	82.0 °F	78	63	68.3°F	62	88	85.4 °F	88
09-11-21	69 ↑	68.0°F	73	85 ↓	94.3 °F	93	62 ↑	65.3°F	71	90	78.4 °F	92	67	65.3°F	68	79	90.0 °F	85	57	55.0°F	60	79	82.0 °F	80
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	3		2	1		2	2		1	1		1	2		1	2		0	1		1	0		1
% Succ	50.0		33.3	16.7		33.3	40.0		20.0	20.0		20.0	50.0		25.0	50.0		0.0	33.3		33.3			33.3
Ave Error	2.2		4.0	8.8		6.8	2.2		4.2	7.7		8.5	2.3		3.0	5.0		3.8	3.5		4.4	3.4		3.4
Net Error	-1.9		1.5	-4.1		-2.1	-2.2		1.6	-1.3		-0.9	-0.9		0.3	-4.2		-2.0	-2.2		0.2	-1.6		2.0
Std Dev	1.4		2.7	6.6		6.5	2.0		3.5	6.3		6.9	2.0		2.8	4.4		3.3	3.5		4.4	3.4		3.4

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-17-21 at 11:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
09-17-21	>55		57	85		85	65		65	>85		88	>65		71	<85		84	<55		54	70		74
09-16-21	65 ↑	62.8°F	67	74 ↓	91.5 °F	75	59 ↑		57	84		85	66		67	92		90	70		72	87		88
09-15-21	65	77.6°F	68	90	85.4 °F	89	65	62.8°F	68	80	91.5 °F	77	<65		63	>85		87	>65		68	>85		89
09-14-21	54 ↑	71.8°F	60	82	82.0 °F	82	65	77.6°F	65	89	85.4 °F	91	67	62.8°F	70	85	91.5 °F	89	66		69	90		90
09-13-21	64 ↑	60.5°F	67	78	90.0 °F	82	55 ↑	71.8°F	60	83	82.0 °F	80	64	77.6°F	62	87	85.4 °F	89	66	62.8°F	71	87	91.5 °F	97
09-12-21	63	72.4°F	61	88	78.4 °F	90	65 ↑	60.5°F	63	79	90.0 °F	83	56	71.8°F	58	81	82.0 °F	78	63	77.6°F	62	88	85.4 °F	88
09-11-21	68 ↑	68.1°F	73	85 ↓	94.3 °F	90	62 ↑	72.4°F	66	90	78.4 °F	92	67	60.5°F	66	79	90.0 °F	85	57	71.8°F	59	79	82.0 °F	80
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	1		0	1		1	0		0	1		1	0		0	2		0	0		0	0		1
% Succ	16.7		0.0	16.7		16.7			0.0	20.0		20.0			0.0	50.0		0.0			0.0			33.3
Ave Error	7.6		8.1	8.8		7.3	9.3		7.7	7.7		8.5	10.0		10.5	5.0		3.8	10.9		12.2	3.4		3.4
Net Error	-5.7		-2.9	-4.1		-2.3	-6.6		-4.6	-1.3		-0.9	-4.7		-4.2	-4.2		-2.0	-8.7		-6.7	-1.6		2.0
Std Dev	6.3		4.3	6.6		6.1	7.6		5.8	6.3		6.8	9.2		9.3	4.4		3.3	10.9		12.2	3.4		3.4

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.

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