SE Lincoln, NE USA Weather Website - NWS - WXSIM Forecast Comparison

46°F

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Lincoln, NE USA

Updated: 21-Mar-2023 5:59 PM

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US Weather Extremes

==========

USA

High Temp

120°F at Immokalee Fl, FL

Low Temp

-8°F at Crane Lake, MN

Precipitation

0.54in at Cortez Montezuma County Ap, CO

==========

NE Weather Extremes

==========

for Monday,
March 20, 2023

High Temp

68°F at Lincoln Airport, NE

Low Temp

14°F at Alliance Municipal Airport Asos, NE
14°F at Chadron Municipal Ap, NE

Precipitation

none

==========

Data from NWS CPC

External Links

Current WXSIM Forecast

Tuesday, 21-Mar-2023 05:00 pm

Tonight

Cloudy
Low: 41°

Wednesday

Mostly Cloudy
High: 61°

Wednesday
night

Mostly Cloudy
Low: 44°

Thursday

Mostly Cloudy
High: 55°

Thursday
night

Partly Cloudy
Low: 34°

Friday

Partly Cloudy
High: 57°

Friday
night

Mostly Cloudy
Low: 38°

Saturday

Mostly Cloudy
High: 48°

Saturday
night
Rain and Snow
Cold!

Rain and Snow
Cold!
Low: 31°

Current NWS Forecast

Tue, 21-Mar-2023 4:35pm CDT

This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: Cloudy

Cloudy

Hi 54 °F ↓

Tonight

Tonight: Mostly Cloudy then Patchy Fog

Mostly Cloudy then Patchy Fog

Lo 37 °F ↑

Wednesday

Wednesday: Patchy Fog then Partly Sunny

Patchy Fog then Partly Sunny

Hi 57 °F

Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Chance Light Rain

Chance Light Rain

Lo 33 °F

Thursday

Thursday: Slight Chance Light Rain then Cloudy

Slight Chance Light Rain then Cloudy

Hi 49 °F

Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Mostly Cloudy

Mostly Cloudy

Lo 30 °F

Friday

Friday: Mostly Sunny

Mostly Sunny

Hi 55 °F

Friday
Night
Friday Night: Slight Chance Light Rain

Slight Chance Light Rain

Lo 33 °F

Saturday

Saturday: Slight Chance Light Rain

Slight Chance Light Rain

Hi 59 °F

WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 03-21-23 at 2:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
03-21-23	38 ↑		40	52		58	38 ↑		40	56		61	34		38	51		51	29		35	56		59
03-20-23	32 ↑	47.1°F	33	58	66.5 °F	60	39 ↑		39	54		53	34		37	57		61	35		45	51		58
03-19-23	8 ↑	37.3°F	13	48	50.2 °F	50	32 ↑	47.1°F	33	60	66.5 °F	60	38		40	56		52	37		37	56		57
03-18-23	12 ↑	14.8°F	12	28	31.4 °F	23	11	37.3°F	7	45	50.2 °F	46	30	47.1°F	34	59	66.5 °F	59	39		42	53		49
03-17-23	22 ↑	16.4°F	22	40 ↓	43.0 °F	38	14	14.8°F	21	28	31.4 °F	29	12	37.3°F	13	42	50.2 °F	47	25	47.1°F	32	54	66.5 °F	60
03-16-23	39 ↑	25.3°F	46	42 ↓	53.4 °F	48	20	16.4°F	22	38	43.0 °F	37	14	14.8°F	14	28	31.4 °F	26	11	37.3°F	9	38	50.2 °F	44
03-15-23	37 ↑	51.0°F	37	66	67.7 °F	63	36 ↑	25.3°F	48	44	53.4 °F	51	19	16.4°F	19	38	43.0 °F	30	14	14.8°F	15	31	31.4 °F	28
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	0		0	1		1	1		0	0		0	1		1	0		0	1		1	1		0
% Succ			0.0	16.7		16.7	20.0		0.0			0.0	25.0		25.0			0.0	33.3		33.3	33.3		0.0
Ave Error	13.4		13.6	5.0		5.0	11.3		15.8	5.9		4.3	11.5		10.2	6.0		7.3	16.4		14.5	8.4		5.4
Net Error	-7.0		-4.8	-5.0		-5.0	-5.6		-2.0	-5.9		-4.3	-10.2		-8.9	-6.0		-7.3	-16.4		-14.4	-8.4		-5.4
Std Dev	10.1		9.4	3.9		3.2	11.0		12.7	3.9		3.0	10.3		9.0	5.3		6.3	16.4		14.5	8.4		5.4

Start: Days: Cols: Goal: Ext Stats: Diff Cols: Hilite #s: Time: Show NWS

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 03-21-23 at 5:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
03-21-23	38 ↑		57	51		40	38 ↑		62	55		39	32		51	50		35	30		59	52		38
03-20-23	32 ↑	41.6°F	60	61	66.5 °F	39	40 ↑		51	52		36	35		60	57		45	32		58	51		33
03-19-23	12	36.9°F	49	52	50.2 °F	33	31 ↑	41.6°F	60	58	66.5 °F	40	38		52	54		37	36		57	56		34
03-18-23	12 ↑	11.6°F	25	29 ↓	31.4 °F	8	10	36.9°F	46	47	50.2 °F	33	31	41.6°F	59	59	66.5 °F	42	38		49	52		36
03-17-23	22 ↑	14.1°F	39	39 ↓	43.0 °F	13	12 ↑	11.6°F	21	28	31.4 °F	7	13	36.9°F	46	45	50.2 °F	31	27	41.6°F	60	56	66.5 °F	43
03-16-23	39 ↑	24.7°F	47	42 ↓	53.4 °F	21	23	14.1°F	37	40	43.0 °F	13	14	11.6°F	26	28	31.4 °F	9	13	36.9°F	44	41	50.2 °F	32
03-15-23	37 ↑	50.6°F	64	68 ↓	67.7 °F	48	38 ↑	24.7°F	52	44	53.4 °F	20	20	14.1°F	30	37	43.0 °F	15	14	11.6°F	28	28	31.4 °F	14
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	1		0	2		0	1		0	0		0	0		0	0		0	0		0	0		0
% Succ	16.7		0.0	33.3		0.0	20.0		0.0			0.0			0.0			0.0			0.0			0.0
Ave Error	11.8		17.4	4.2		25.0	12.0		17.4	5.5		26.3	10.7		14.2	5.5		23.5	13.6		14.0	7.7		19.7
Net Error	-4.3		17.4	-3.5		-25.0	-3.0		17.4	-5.5		-26.3	-6.6		14.2	-5.5		-23.5	-12.0		14.0	-7.7		-19.7
Std Dev	8.8		8.5	3.7		11.4	11.4		12.2	4.0		17.1	9.3		12.4	4.9		20.4	13.6		14.0	7.7		19.7

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 03-21-23 at 8:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
03-21-23	51		56	38 ↑		40	55		63	32		46	50		60	30		43	52		65	33		46
03-20-23	61	66.5 °F	61	40 ↑	38.6°F	40	52		53	35		38	57		60	32		38	51		54	29		33
03-19-23	52	50.2 °F	43	31 ↑	35.4°F	32	58	66.5 °F	59	38	38.6°F	41	54		51	36		35	56		60	35		47
03-18-23	29 ↓	31.4 °F	25	10	11.5°F	11	47	50.2 °F	47	31	35.4°F	34	59	66.5 °F	59	38	38.6°F	41	52		47	39		36
03-17-23	39 ↓	43.0 °F	38	12 ↑	13.8°F	13	28	31.4 °F	21	13	11.5°F	7	45	50.2 °F	46	27	35.4°F	32	56	66.5 °F	58	34	38.6°F	38
03-16-23	43 ↓	53.4 °F	38	23	24.4°F	21	40 ↓	43.0 °F	37	14	13.8°F	14	28	31.4 °F	27	13	11.5°F	10	41	50.2 °F	45	24	35.4°F	33
03-15-23	68 ↓	67.7 °F	64	38 ↑	36.3°F	47	44 ↓	53.4 °F	49	20	24.4°F	20	37	43.0 °F	32	14	13.8°F	13	28	31.4 °F	25	10	11.5°F	10
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	2		0	5		3	0		0	3		2	0		0	3		2	0		0	1		2
% Succ	33.3		0.0	83.3		50.0			0.0	60.0		40.0			0.0	75.0		50.0			0.0	33.3		66.7
Ave Error	4.1		7.2	2.0		3.4	5.5		6.3	2.2		2.6	5.5		6.8	2.7		2.0	7.7		6.7	5.8		1.5
Net Error	-3.4		-7.2	-1.0		0.7	-5.5		-6.3	-1.5		-1.5	-5.5		-6.8	-1.8		-0.8	-7.7		-6.7	-5.8		-1.5
Std Dev	3.3		4.6	1.3		2.2	4.0		4.6	1.9		1.9	4.9		5.9	2.5		1.8	7.7		6.7	5.8		1.5

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 03-21-23 at 11:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
03-21-23	51		55	38 ↑		40	55		62	32		44	50		58	30		42	52		65	33		46
03-20-23	61	66.5 °F	61	40 ↑	38.6°F	40	52		56	35		41	57		61	32		39	51		54	29		33
03-19-23	52	50.2 °F	46	31 ↑	35.4°F	32	58	66.5 °F	59	38	38.6°F	40	54		51	36		35	56		60	35		46
03-18-23	29 ↓	31.4 °F	25	10	11.5°F	9	47	50.2 °F	47	31	35.4°F	32	59	66.5 °F	60	38	38.6°F	41	52		48	39		35
03-17-23	39	43.0 °F	39	12 ↑	13.8°F	17	28	31.4 °F	26	13	11.5°F	10	45	50.2 °F	46	27	35.4°F	32	56	66.5 °F	58	34	38.6°F	39
03-16-23	43 ↓	53.4 °F	36	23	24.4°F	19	40 ↓	43.0 °F	36	14	13.8°F	14	28	31.4 °F	27	13	11.5°F	10	41	50.2 °F	46	24	35.4°F	32
03-15-23	68 ↓	67.7 °F	64	38 ↑	35.6°F	47	44 ↓	53.4 °F	49	20	24.4°F	20	37	43.0 °F	33	14	13.8°F	13	28	31.4 °F	25	10	11.5°F	10
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	2		0	4		1	0		0	3		3	0		0	3		2	0		0	1		2
% Succ	33.3		0.0	66.7		16.7			0.0	60.0		60.0			0.0	75.0		50.0			0.0	33.3		66.7
Ave Error	4.1		6.9	2.2		4.6	5.5		5.5	2.2		2.2	5.5		6.3	2.7		2.0	7.7		6.4	5.8		1.8
Net Error	-3.4		-6.9	-0.9		0.8	-5.5		-5.5	-1.5		-1.5	-5.5		-6.3	-1.8		-0.8	-7.7		-6.4	-5.8		-1.5
Std Dev	3.3		5.4	1.4		2.5	4.0		3.7	1.9		1.6	4.9		5.4	2.5		1.8	7.7		6.4	5.8		1.8

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 03-21-23 at 2:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
03-21-23	54 ↓		51	38 ↑		41	57 ↓		61	32		44	50		53	30		34	52		57	33		38
03-20-23	62	66.5 °F	64	38 ↑	38.6°F	40	52		56	38		41	57		60	32		45	51		59	29		34
03-19-23	52	50.2 °F	49	31 ↑	35.4°F	34	58	66.5 °F	60	38	38.6°F	41	54		51	36		33	56		59	35		43
03-18-23	29 ↓	31.4 °F	30	10	11.5°F	12	47	50.2 °F	49	31	35.4°F	35	59	66.5 °F	62	38	38.6°F	40	52		47	39		37
03-17-23	39	43.0 °F	43	12 ↑	13.8°F	12	28	31.4 °F	20	13	11.5°F	6	45	50.2 °F	45	27	35.4°F	33	56	66.5 °F	58	34	38.6°F	44
03-16-23	43 ↓	53.4 °F	34	23	24.4°F	23	40 ↓	43.0 °F	39	14	13.8°F	19	28	31.4 °F	27	13	11.5°F	9	41	50.2 °F	49	24	35.4°F	33
03-15-23	68 ↓	67.7 °F	66	38 ↑	35.6°F	47	46 ↓	53.4 °F	50	20	24.4°F	19	38	43.0 °F	32	14	13.8°F	11	29	31.4 °F	23	11	11.5°F	9
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	2		4	4		5	0		1	3		1	0		0	3		1	0		1	1		0
% Succ	33.3		66.7	66.7		83.3			20.0	60.0		20.0			0.0	75.0		25.0			33.3	33.3		0.0
Ave Error	3.9		4.4	2.0		3.0	5.1		5.3	2.2		3.8	5.3		6.3	2.7		2.3	7.4		6.0	5.5		3.4
Net Error	-3.2		-4.4	-1.2		1.5	-5.1		-5.3	-1.5		-0.7	-5.3		-6.3	-1.8		-1.6	-7.4		-6.0	-5.5		0.2
Std Dev	3.3		6.9	1.4		2.0	3.7		4.7	1.9		3.0	4.7		5.5	2.5		2.0	7.4		6.0	5.5		3.4

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 03-21-23 at 5:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
03-21-23	54 ↓		41	37 ↑		61	57		44	33		55	49		34	30		57	55		38	33		48
03-20-23	64 ↓	66.5 °F	40	38 ↑	38.6°F	55	52		41	38		60	56		46	34		59	51		34	29		56
03-19-23	52 ↓	50.2 °F	34	32 ↑	35.4°F	60	58	66.5 °F	42	39	38.6°F	53	54		34	34		60	57		43	35		61
03-18-23	>25	31.4 °F	13	8	11.5°F	49	45	50.2 °F	36	<35	35.4°F	62	>55	66.5 °F	40	>35	38.6°F	47	55		37	>35		57
03-17-23	43 ↓	43.0 °F	13	13	13.8°F	22	28	31.4 °F	4	11	11.5°F	46	45	50.2 °F	30	30	35.4°F	58	59	66.5 °F	43	39	38.6°F	48
03-16-23	38 ↓	53.4 °F	22	24	24.4°F	38	40 ↓	43.0 °F	20	14	13.8°F	28	28	31.4 °F	10	12	11.5°F	49	42	50.2 °F	33	25	35.4°F	60
03-15-23	70 ↓	67.7 °F	49	39 ↑	35.6°F	51	42 ↓	53.4 °F	19	20	24.4°F	33	38	43.0 °F	11	14	13.8°F	23	28	31.4 °F	9	11	11.5°F	42
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	2		0	3		0	0		0	3		0	0		0	2		0	0		0	2		0
% Succ	33.3		0.0	50.0		0.0			0.0	60.0		0.0			0.0	50.0		0.0			0.0	66.7		0.0
Ave Error	8.9		23.5	2.0		19.3	6.3		24.7	8.2		19.7	20.0		25.0	11.2		19.4	6.4		21.0	3.8		21.5
Net Error	-7.5		-23.5	-0.9		19.3	-6.3		-24.7	-7.9		19.7	-20.0		-25.0	-10.8		19.4	-6.4		-21.0	-3.5		21.5
Std Dev	11.5		11.2	1.5		12.2	4.3		16.4	14.1		14.6	29.0		21.7	16.8		17.7	6.4		21.0	3.8		21.5

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 03-20-23 at 8:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
03-20-23	38 ↑		40	52		55	38 ↑		42	56		61	34		44	51		55	29		30	56		53
03-19-23	32 ↑	35.4°F	30	58	50.2 °F	57	39 ↑		40	54		51	34		35	57		59	35		44	51		57
03-18-23	8 ↑	11.5°F	15	48	31.4 °F	50	32 ↑	35.4°F	35	60	50.2 °F	61	38		40	56		52	37		35	56		57
03-17-23	13	13.8°F	16	28	43.0 °F	25	11	11.5°F	10	45	31.4 °F	46	30	35.4°F	34	59	50.2 °F	59	39		40	53		43
03-16-23	24	24.4°F	20	40 ↓	53.4 °F	36	14	13.8°F	22	28	43.0 °F	28	12	11.5°F	10	42	31.4 °F	47	25	35.4°F	31	54	50.2 °F	59
03-15-23	38 ↑	35.6°F	48	42 ↓	67.7 °F	50	20	24.4°F	24	38	53.4 °F	37	14	13.8°F	13	28	43.0 °F	23	11	11.5°F	9	38	31.4 °F	44
03-14-23	37 ↑	40.8°F	35	66	51.9 °F	57	36 ↑	35.6°F	45	44	67.7 °F	48	19	24.4°F	17	38	53.4 °F	27	14	13.8°F	12	31	43.0 °F	27
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	2		0	0		0	3		3	0		0	2		3	0		0	2		1	0		0
% Succ	33.3		0.0			0.0	60.0		60.0			0.0	50.0		75.0			0.0	66.7		33.3			0.0
Ave Error	2.4		5.6	15.4		13.9	1.8		4.0	15.5		15.3	2.9		2.8	12.5		17.7	3.7		2.9	7.5		12.5
Net Error	-1.6		0.4	-2.6		-3.8	-1.5		3.1	-6.1		-5.1	-2.5		-2.8	-2.8		-5.5	-3.6		-2.9	-0.5		1.8
Std Dev	1.5		4.0	8.2		7.2	1.6		3.7	10.2		9.9	2.8		2.5	10.9		16.0	3.7		2.9	7.5		12.5

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 03-20-23 at 11:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
03-20-23	38 ↑		40	52		56	38 ↑		40	56		62	34		44	51		56	29		30	56		53
03-19-23	32 ↑	50.7°F	31	58	50.2 °F	58	39 ↑		41	54		53	34		36	57		59	35		44	51		57
03-18-23	8 ↑	40.3°F	15	48	31.4 °F	50	32 ↑	50.7°F	33	60	50.2 °F	59	38		39	56		51	37		35	56		57
03-17-23	13	20.6°F	13	28	43.0 °F	25	11	40.3°F	12	45	31.4 °F	47	30	50.7°F	34	59	50.2 °F	59	39		41	53		43
03-16-23	22 ↑	21.7°F	22	40 ↓	53.4 °F	38	14	20.6°F	22	28	43.0 °F	30	12	40.3°F	12	42	31.4 °F	48	25	50.7°F	32	54	50.2 °F	59
03-15-23	38 ↑	27.4°F	47	42 ↓	67.7 °F	50	20	21.7°F	24	38	53.4 °F	37	14	20.6°F	13	28	43.0 °F	23	11	40.3°F	8	38	31.4 °F	44
03-14-23	37 ↑	55.0°F	37	66	51.9 °F	59	36 ↑	27.4°F	45	44	67.7 °F	48	19	21.7°F	18	38	53.4 °F	27	14	20.6°F	12	31	43.0 °F	27
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	1		1	0		0	1		1	0		0	0		0	0		0	0		0	0		0
% Succ	16.7		16.7			0.0	20.0		20.0			0.0			0.0			0.0			0.0			0.0
Ave Error	14.6		15.1	15.4		14.1	13.0		13.5	15.5		14.7	14.6		14.1	12.5		18.0	20.5		19.9	7.5		12.5
Net Error	-11.0		-8.5	-2.6		-2.9	-9.5		-4.9	-6.1		-4.9	-14.6		-14.1	-2.8		-5.3	-20.5		-19.9	-0.5		1.8
Std Dev	11.6		10.4	8.2		6.9	11.6		12.2	10.2		9.7	13.0		12.3	10.9		16.2	20.5		19.9	7.5		12.5

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.

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