Current WXSIM Forecast

Tuesday, 07-Jul-2020 11:00 am

This
afternoon
Clear
Clear
High: 92°
Tonight

Clear
Clear
Low: 73°
Wednesday

Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny
High: 90°
Wednesday
night
Thunder storm
Thunder storm
Low: 71°
Thursday

Thunder storm
Thunder storm
High: 90°
Thursday
night
Thunder storm
Thunder storm
Low: 72°
Friday

Fog a.m.
Fog a.m.
High: 90°
Friday
night
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Low: 72°
Saturday

Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
High: 88°

Current NWS Forecast

Tue, 07-Jul-2020 9:30am CDT

Today

Today: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 93 °F
Tonight

Tonight: Clear
Clear

Lo 74 °F
Wednesday

Wednesday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 94 °F
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
Showers And TStorms Likely

Lo 70 °F
Thursday

Thursday: Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
Showers And TStorms Likely

Hi 90 °F
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And TStorms

Lo 70 °F
Friday

Friday: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Sunny
Chance Showers And TStorms then Sunny

Hi 91 °F
Friday
Night
Friday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 70 °F
Saturday

Saturday: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And TStorms

Hi 90 °F



WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 07-07-20 at 2:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
07-07-20 72   73 94   93 74   72 95   90 70   72 90   91 70   72 91   90
07-06-20 71 75.7°F 73 89 92.4 °F 93 71   71 94   92 73   72 95   92 72   73 89   95
07-05-20 70 75.7°F 71 89 90.3 °F 90 71 75.7°F 71 90 92.4 °F 89 71   71 92   90 73   72 95   93
07-04-20 69 ↑ 73.2°F 72 89 ↓ 90.7 °F 90 70 75.7°F 70 90 90.3 °F 88 71 75.7°F 70 90 92.4 °F 87 72   70 92   89
07-03-20 71 ↑ 74.5°F 74 90 90.8 °F 92 70 73.2°F 71 90 90.7 °F 90 70 75.7°F 70 91 90.3 °F 90 70 75.7°F 70 91 92.4 °F 90
07-02-20 69 ↑ 75.3°F 71 92 88.2 °F 91 71 74.5°F 71 91 90.8 °F 89 70 73.2°F 69 90 90.7 °F 89 70 75.7°F 70 90 90.3 °F 90
07-01-20 70 ↑ 71.8°F 66 90 ↓ 88.0 °F 82 69 75.3°F 69 93 88.2 °F 86 72 74.5°F 70 92 90.8 °F 83 71 73.2°F 66 91 90.7 °F 88
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 2 4 4 0 0 3 2 0 0 3 2 0 0 3 1
% Succ 16.7   33.3 66.7   66.7     0.0 60.0   40.0     0.0 75.0   50.0     0.0 100.0   33.3
Ave Error 4.4   3.2 2.2   1.9 4.7   4.5 1.7   2.1 4.0   5.0 1.3   3.8 4.5   6.2 0.7   1.8
Net Error -4.4   -3.2 -0.2   -0.4 -4.7   -4.5 0.3   -2.1 -4.0   -5.0 -0.3   -3.8 -4.5   -6.2 -0.5   -1.8
Std Dev 2.1   2.1 1.4   1.4 3.1   3.1 1.3   1.6 3.5   4.4 1.2   3.4 4.5   6.2 0.7   1.8

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 07-07-20 at 5:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
07-07-20 71   92 93   71 74   90 94   72 70   91 90   72 70   91 91   71
07-06-20 70 ↑ 72.1°F 93 91 92.4 °F 73 71   93 94   71 73   90 95   72 71   94 90   72
07-05-20 69 ↑ 73.0°F 71 89 90.3 °F 90 71 72.1°F 71 90 92.4 °F 89 71   71 93   90 73   72 95   93
07-04-20 69 ↑ 71.4°F 89 88 90.7 °F 70 69 73.0°F 88 88 90.3 °F 70 70 72.1°F 87 90 92.4 °F 70 70   89 92   71
07-03-20 71 ↑ 70.8°F 92 90 ↓ 90.8 °F 71 69 ↑ 71.4°F 90 89 90.7 °F 70 69 73.0°F 90 90 90.3 °F 70 71 72.1°F 90 91 92.4 °F 71
07-02-20 69 73.4°F 91 92 88.2 °F 71 71 70.8°F 90 91 90.8 °F 69 70 71.4°F 89 90 90.7 °F 69 70 73.0°F 89 90 90.3 °F 69
07-01-20 70 ↑ 71.1°F 86 90 ↓ 88.0 °F 68 71 73.4°F 88 92 88.2 °F 70 72 70.8°F 84 91 90.8 °F 66 70 71.4°F 89 91 90.7 °F 68
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 1 4 1 2 1 2 0 2 0 3 0 2 0 3 0
% Succ 33.3   16.7 66.7   16.7 40.0   20.0 40.0   0.0 50.0   0.0 75.0   0.0 66.7   0.0 100.0   0.0
Ave Error 2.4   15.7 2.0   16.2 2.0   13.7 2.1   16.9 2.2   15.7 0.9   22.3 1.8   17.2 0.7   21.8
Net Error -2.3   15.0 -0.1   -16.2 -1.9   13.3 -0.5   -16.9 -1.6   15.7 -0.8   -22.3 -1.8   17.2 -0.5   -21.8
Std Dev 1.7   9.1 1.3   9.7 1.6   10.6 1.3   12.5 1.9   13.6 1.1   19.3 1.8   17.2 0.7   21.8

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 07-07-20 at 8:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
07-07-20 93   90 74   71 94   90 70   73 90   91 70   70 91   91 70   71
07-06-20 91 92.4 °F 92 71 70.9°F 72 94   91 73   71 95   89 71   71 90   90 70   73
07-05-20 89 90.3 °F 88 71 73.0°F 69 90 ↓ 92.4 °F 89 71 70.9°F 70 93   91 73   71 95   94 73   73
07-04-20 88 90.7 °F 89 69 71.1°F 69 88 90.3 °F 89 70 73.0°F 70 90 92.4 °F 89 70 70.9°F 69 92   88 72   71
07-03-20 90 ↓ 90.8 °F 89 69 ↑ 70.0°F 69 89 90.7 °F 89 69 71.1°F 68 90 90.3 °F 89 71 73.0°F 69 91 92.4 °F 85 71 70.9°F 70
07-02-20 90 88.2 °F 90 <75 73.0°F 72 >85 90.8 °F 91 >65 70.0°F 70 >85 90.7 °F 88 >65 71.1°F 68 >85 90.3 °F 88 >65 73.0°F 69
07-01-20 90 88.0 °F 84 71 70.7°F 66 92 88.2 °F 88 72 73.0°F 70 91 90.8 °F 85 70 70.0°F 67 91 90.7 °F 88 70 71.1°F 67
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 5 4 4 3 1 4 2 2 2 1 3 1 2 0 2 1
% Succ 83.3   66.7 66.7   50.0 20.0   80.0 40.0   40.0 50.0   25.0 75.0   25.0 66.7   0.0 66.7   33.3
Ave Error 1.7   2.0 13.1   2.3 20.2   1.4 15.2   2.0 23.4   3.3 18.5   3.0 30.7   4.1 24.7   3.0
Net Error -0.4   -1.4 -13.0   -2.0 -18.7   -1.3 -15.2   -2.0 -23.3   -3.3 -18.5   -3.0 -30.5   -4.1 -24.7   -3.0
Std Dev 0.9   1.1 26.8   1.5 19.0   1.3 14.3   1.5 22.8   2.9 18.3   2.7 30.7   4.1 24.7   3.0

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 07-07-20 at 11:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
07-07-20 93   92 74   73 94   90 70   71 90   90 70   72 91   90 70   72
07-06-20 91 92.4 °F 93 71 70.9°F 70 94   89 73   71 95   88 71   72 90   90 70   73
07-05-20 89 90.3 °F 91 71 73.0°F 71 90 ↓ 92.4 °F 90 71 70.9°F 70 93   92 73   71 95   94 73   73
07-04-20 88 90.7 °F 90 69 71.1°F 69 88 90.3 °F 89 70 73.0°F 70 90 92.4 °F 90 70 70.9°F 70 92   91 72   72
07-03-20 90 ↓ 90.8 °F 90 69 ↑ 70.0°F 70 89 90.7 °F 89 69 71.1°F 68 90 90.3 °F 89 71 73.0°F 70 91 92.4 °F 86 71 70.9°F 70
07-02-20 92 88.2 °F 88 71 73.0°F 72 91 90.8 °F 91 70 70.0°F 71 90 90.7 °F 88 70 71.1°F 69 90 90.3 °F 89 70 73.0°F 69
07-01-20 >85 88.0 °F 88 70 70.7°F 68 <95 88.2 °F 87 <75 73.0°F 70 >85 90.8 °F 86 >65 70.0°F 67 >85 90.7 °F 88 >65 71.1°F 67
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 6 5 4 2 4 2 2 2 1 3 1 2 1 1 1
% Succ 50.0   100.0 83.3   66.7 40.0   80.0 40.0   40.0 50.0   25.0 75.0   25.0 66.7   33.3 33.3   33.3
Ave Error 16.3   0.5 1.3   1.5 19.0   1.4 15.6   2.2 23.6   2.8 18.5   2.3 30.8   3.5 24.7   3.0
Net Error -15.1   -0.1 -1.3   -1.5 -18.9   -1.3 -15.6   -1.8 -23.6   -2.8 -18.5   -2.3 -30.8   -3.5 -24.7   -3.0
Std Dev 14.7   0.3 0.9   1.0 17.7   1.0 14.7   1.6 23.0   2.4 18.3   2.1 30.8   3.5 24.7   3.0

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 07-06-20 at 2:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
07-06-20 91   92 72   71 94   90 73   71 95   90 71   72 90   91 70   71
07-05-20 89 90.3 °F 91 71 73.0°F 70 90 ↓   89 71   70 93   91 73   71 95   91 73   72
07-04-20 88 90.7 °F 90 69 71.1°F 70 88 90.3 °F 90 70 73.0°F 71 90   88 70   70 92   89 72   71
07-03-20 88 90.8 °F 88 69 ↑ 70.0°F 70 89 90.7 °F 87 69 71.1°F 68 90 90.3 °F 87 71 73.0°F 71 91   83 71   70
07-02-20 92 ↓ 88.2 °F 89 71 73.0°F 71 91 90.8 °F 89 70 70.0°F 69 90 90.7 °F 88 70 71.1°F 67 90 90.3 °F 89 70 73.0°F 70
07-01-20 87 ↓ 88.0 °F 89 71 70.7°F 69 92 88.2 °F 89 72 73.0°F 70 91 90.8 °F 85 70 70.0°F 68 91 90.7 °F 88 70 71.1°F 68
06-30-20 <95 89.5 °F 90 70 66.4°F 73 90 88.0 °F 87 70 70.7°F 71 <95 88.2 °F 89 70 73.0°F 72 <95 90.8 °F 89 70 70.0°F 69
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 5 4 4 3 4 3 3 3 1 3 3 2 2 2 1
% Succ 33.3   83.3 66.7   66.7 60.0   80.0 60.0   60.0 75.0   25.0 75.0   75.0 66.7   66.7 66.7   33.3
Ave Error 16.9   1.1 1.8   2.4 2.0   1.5 1.4   1.9 22.4   3.2 1.5   2.3 30.5   1.9 1.4   2.4
Net Error -15.6   -0.1 -0.5   -0.2 0.4   -1.2 -1.4   -1.8 -22.3   -2.8 -1.5   -2.3 -30.3   -1.9 -1.4   -2.4
Std Dev 15.0   0.9 1.0   1.5 1.5   1.5 1.3   1.4 22.3   2.7 1.3   2.0 30.5   1.9 1.4   2.4

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 07-06-20 at 5:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
07-06-20 91   72 72   91 94   72 73   91 94   72 70   91 89   71 69   89
07-05-20 91 ↓ 90.3 °F 71 71 73.0°F 89 89   69 71   91 94   71 73   91 95   72 72   92
07-04-20 89 90.7 °F 69 70 71.1°F 89 89 90.3 °F 70 71 73.0°F 89 90   70 71   89 92   71 73   90
07-03-20 88 90.8 °F 72 69 70.0°F 89 89 ↓ 90.7 °F 69 70 71.1°F 89 90 90.3 °F 71 71 73.0°F 84 90   71 72   89
07-02-20 92 ↓ 88.2 °F 72 71 73.0°F 88 90 90.8 °F 69 70 70.0°F 87 90 90.7 °F 67 70 71.1°F 88 91 90.3 °F 71 70 73.0°F 86
07-01-20 89 ↓ 88.0 °F 70 69 70.7°F 90 90 88.2 °F 71 71 73.0°F 87 89 90.8 °F 69 71 70.0°F 88 89 90.7 °F 68 70 71.1°F 90
06-30-20 90 ↓ 89.5 °F 72 71 66.4°F 89 90 ↓ 88.0 °F 70 69 70.7°F 89 93 88.2 °F 73 72 73.0°F 86 92 90.8 °F 67 71 70.0°F 88
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 4 0 5 0 5 0 5 0 3 0 4 0 3 0 2 0
% Succ 66.7   0.0 83.3   0.0 100.0   0.0 100.0   0.0 75.0   0.0 100.0   0.0 100.0   0.0 66.7   0.0
Ave Error 1.8   18.6 2.1   18.3 1.5   19.8 1.4   16.6 1.9   20.0 1.3   14.7 1.2   21.9 1.7   16.6
Net Error 0.3   -18.6 -0.5   18.3 0.0   -19.8 -1.4   16.6 0.5   -20.0 -0.8   14.7 0.1   -21.9 -1.0   16.6
Std Dev 1.3   7.8 1.0   7.7 1.0   12.6 1.1   10.5 1.8   17.3 1.2   12.9 1.2   21.9 1.7   16.6

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 07-06-20 at 8:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
07-06-20 72   73 94   90 73   71 94   90 70   72 89   89 69   74 90   90
07-05-20 71 73.0°F 71 89 90.3 °F 90 71   69 94   91 73   70 95   89 72   72 89   93
07-04-20 70 71.1°F 69 89 90.7 °F 89 71 73.0°F 70 90 90.3 °F 90 71   71 92   90 73   72 95   93
07-03-20 69 70.0°F 72 89 ↓ 90.8 °F 89 70 71.1°F 69 90 90.7 °F 88 71 73.0°F 70 90 90.3 °F 90 72   70 92   91
07-02-20 71 73.0°F 70 90 88.2 °F 89 70 70.0°F 68 90 90.8 °F 89 70 71.1°F 68 91 90.7 °F 89 70 73.0°F 70 91 90.3 °F 90
07-01-20   71 >65 88.0 °F 90 >85 73.0°F 73 70 88.2 °F 88 >85 70.0°F 69 70 90.8 °F 87 >85 71.1°F 69 >65 90.7 °F 88
06-30-20 70 66.4°F 73 >85 89.5 °F 89 >65 70.7°F 71 <95 88.0 °F 91 <75 73.0°F 73 90 88.2 °F 87 70 70.0°F 69 >85 90.8 °F 88
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 4 2 4 6 3 3 3 3 2 2 3 3 1 1 1 1
% Succ 80.0   40.0 66.7   100.0 60.0   60.0 60.0   60.0 50.0   50.0 75.0   75.0 33.3   33.3 33.3   33.3
Ave Error 1.9   3.1 30.7   1.2 29.4   1.5 21.6   1.6 36.5   1.8 5.8   1.8 24.7   2.0 60.7   1.9
Net Error -0.5   0.3 -30.1   -0.3 -29.4   -1.4 -21.6   -0.4 -36.5   -1.8 -4.8   -1.8 -24.7   -2.0 -60.3   -1.9
Std Dev 1.0   1.6 35.6   0.8 28.8   1.2 21.2   1.3 36.0   1.7 5.7   1.7 24.7   2.0 60.7   1.9

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 07-06-20 at 11:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
07-06-20 72   72 94   89 73   70 94   90 70   72 89   90 69   74 90   91
07-05-20 71 79.3°F 72 89 90.3 °F 92 71   71 94   92 73   71 95   90 72   72 89   93
07-04-20 70 78.0°F 71 89 90.7 °F 89 71 79.3°F 71 90 90.3 °F 89 71   70 92   89 73   72 95   92
07-03-20 69 77.5°F 72 89 ↓ 90.8 °F 89 70 78.0°F 69 90 90.7 °F 87 71 79.3°F 70 90 90.3 °F 90 72   70 92   91
07-02-20 71 77.7°F 73 90 88.2 °F 91 70 77.5°F 70 90 90.8 °F 89 70 78.0°F 69 91 90.7 °F 89 70 79.3°F 70 91 90.3 °F 90
07-01-20 >65 77.7°F 68 >85 88.0 °F 90 70 77.7°F 71 >85 88.2 °F 89 70 77.5°F 69 >85 90.8 °F 88 >65 78.0°F 68 >85 90.7 °F 89
06-30-20 70 ↑ 74.0°F 74 90 ↓ 89.5 °F 84 69 77.7°F 71 93 88.0 °F 90 72 77.7°F 73 92 88.2 °F 87 71 77.5°F 70 91 90.8 °F 88
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 1 5 4 0 0 3 4 0 0 2 3 0 0 2 2
% Succ     16.7 83.3   66.7     0.0 60.0   80.0     0.0 50.0   75.0     0.0 66.7   66.7
Ave Error 18.9   5.7 15.9   2.6 8.0   7.6 19.0   1.9 7.4   7.9 23.8   1.5 31.3   8.9 30.5   1.6
Net Error -18.9   -5.7 -15.1   -0.4 -8.0   -7.6 -17.0   -0.8 -7.4   -7.9 -21.8   -1.5 -31.3   -8.9 -29.9   -1.6
Std Dev 26.8   3.0 32.3   1.2 5.1   4.9 18.6   1.5 6.4   6.9 23.7   1.4 31.3   8.9 30.5   1.6

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.