SE Lincoln, NE USA Weather Website - NWS - WXSIM Forecast Comparison

72°F

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Lincoln, NE USA

Updated: 17-Jul-2018 10:02 AM

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US Weather Extremes

==========

USA

High Temp

113°F at Needles Airport, CA
113°F at Palm Springs Rgnl, CA

Low Temp

44°F at Deer Park, WA
44°F at Hibbing/Chisholm, MN
44°F at Lakeview (awos), OR

Precipitation

4.11in at Biloxi/Keesler Afb, MS

==========

NE Weather Extremes

==========

for Monday,
July 16, 2018

High Temp

93°F at Chadron/Muni, NE

Low Temp

51°F at Alliance/Muni, NE

Precipitation

1.72in at Valentine/Miller Fld, NE

==========

Data from NWS CPC

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Current WXSIM Forecast

Tuesday, 17-Jul-2018 08:00 am

Today

Thunder storm
High: 80°

Tonight

Thunder storm
Low: 65°

Wednesday

Thunder storm
High: 82°

Wednesday
night

Thunder storm
Low: 70°

Thursday

Sunny
High: 87°

Thursday
night

Thunder storm
Low: 71°

Friday

Sunny
High: 84°

Friday
night
Clear

Clear
Low: 65°

Saturday

Sunny
High: 84°

Current NWS Forecast

Tue, 17-Jul-2018 7:35am CDT

Today

Slight Chance Showers And TStorms then Chance Showers And TStorms

Hi 84 °F

Tonight

Tonight: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms

Chance Showers And TStorms

Lo 67 °F

Wednesday

Wednesday: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms

Chance Showers And TStorms

Hi 84 °F

Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms

Chance Showers And TStorms

Lo 69 °F

Thursday

Thursday: Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Mostly Sunny

Slight Chance Showers And TStorms then Mostly Sunny

Hi 92 °F

Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms

Chance Showers And TStorms

Lo 68 °F

Friday

Friday: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Sunny

Chance Showers And TStorms then Sunny

Hi 88 °F

Friday
Night
Friday Night: Mostly Clear

Mostly Clear

Lo 65 °F

Saturday

Saturday: Sunny

Sunny

Hi 87 °F

WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 07-17-18 at 2:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
07-17-18	68		69	84		83	68		68	86		83	68		71	90		89	67		70	87		86
07-16-18	66	75.3°F	70	87	91.8 °F	90	67		66	83		85	66		67	85		85	68		71	89		91
07-15-18	67	74.7°F	65	89	95.3 °F	91	67	75.3°F	68	85	91.8 °F	90	65		69	85		89	67		69	83		85
07-14-18	71	69.4°F	68	85	93.4 °F	87	70	74.7°F	63	89	95.3 °F	89	69	75.3°F	68	84	91.8 °F	86	65		65	86		87
07-13-18	76	71.2°F	77	90 ↓	93.2 °F	99	71	69.4°F	73	89	93.4 °F	83	71	74.7°F	73	90	95.3 °F	84	69	75.3°F	69	86	91.8 °F	83
07-12-18	76	77.5°F	79	96	99.0 °F	98	73	71.2°F	76	94	93.2 °F	95	72	69.4°F	75	90	93.4 °F	87	72	74.7°F	73	91	95.3 °F	84
07-11-18	72	82.6°F	77	96	97.1 °F	95	75	77.5°F	74	96	99.0 °F	96	74	71.2°F	73	92	93.2 °F	94	72	69.4°F	72	92	93.4 °F	83
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	2		2	1		2	2		0	1		2	0		2	1		1	0		1	1		0
% Succ	33.3		33.3	16.7		33.3	40.0		0.0	20.0		40.0			50.0	25.0		25.0			33.3	33.3		0.0
Ave Error	5.9		4.9	4.5		3.6	3.8		6.2	4.3		4.7	3.9		4.1	4.4		6.1	3.9		3.5	3.8		10.2
Net Error	-3.8		-2.5	-4.5		-1.6	-2.4		-2.8	-3.9		-3.9	-1.2		-0.4	-4.4		-5.7	-2.1		-1.8	-3.8		-10.2
Std Dev	3.9		3.5	2.7		2.4	3.3		4.8	3.1		4.2	3.6		3.9	4.2		5.3	3.9		3.5	3.8		10.2

Start: Days: Cols: Goal: Ext Stats: Diff Cols: Hilite #s: Time: Show NWS

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 07-17-18 at 5:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
07-17-18	71 ↑		82	84		67	67		83	84		70	69		90	92		70	68		86	88		65
07-16-18	69	91.8 °F	91	86	72.5°F	67	68		86	84		68	67		85	84		71	68		91	89		70
07-15-18	67	95.3 °F	91	89	72.5°F	67	66	91.8 °F	90	87	72.5°F	68	66		89	84		68	67		85	85		70
07-14-18	69 ↑	93.4 °F	85	86	67.1°F	62	68	95.3 °F	87	90	72.5°F	69	68	91.8 °F	87	84	72.5°F	66	65		87	87		65
07-13-18	76 ↑	93.2 °F	100	90 ↓	68.4°F	74	71	93.4 °F	83	86	67.1°F	73	71	95.3 °F	84	90	72.5°F	69	70	91.8 °F	83	85	72.5°F	65
07-12-18	76 ↑	99.0 °F	101	96	77.5°F	77	74	93.2 °F	99	92	68.4°F	74	72	93.4 °F	88	89	67.1°F	73	72	95.3 °F	84	89	72.5°F	74
07-11-18	72 ↑	97.1 °F	97	96	79.6°F	76	75	99.0 °F	97	97	77.5°F	73	73	93.2 °F	93	93	68.4°F	72	72	93.4 °F	83	91	67.1°F	73
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	0		3	0		1	0		2	0		0	0		1	0		0	0		0	0		1
% Succ			50.0			16.7			40.0			0.0			25.0			0.0			0.0			33.3
Ave Error	23.5		3.7	17.6		4.3	23.7		5.7	18.8		4.8	22.4		5.4	18.9		4.9	22.2		10.2	17.6		5.0
Net Error	-23.5		-0.8	17.6		-2.4	-23.7		-3.3	18.8		-0.2	-22.4		-5.4	18.9		-0.1	-22.2		-10.2	17.6		-0.0
Std Dev	10.1		3.1	7.6		2.5	15.1		4.7	12.1		3.1	19.4		4.7	16.8		4.3	22.2		10.2	17.6		5.0

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 07-17-18 at 8:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
07-17-18	84		80	67		65	84		82	69		70	92		87	68		71	88		84	65		65
07-16-18	87	91.8 °F	87	68	71.6°F	64	84		82	67		65	84		83	68		70	89		90	67		70
07-15-18	89	95.3 °F	89	66	71.6°F	64	87	91.8 °F	82	66	71.6°F	64	84		77	67		64	85		82	67		68
07-14-18	86	93.4 °F	83	68	66.8°F	61	90	95.3 °F	87	68	71.6°F	67	84	91.8 °F	85	65	71.6°F	65	87		77	67		65
07-13-18	92 ↓	93.2 °F	91	71	67.7°F	71	86	93.4 °F	85	71	66.8°F	70	90	95.3 °F	87	70	71.6°F	71	85	91.8 °F	85	65	71.6°F	69
07-12-18	96	99.0 °F	95	74	77.5°F	74	92 ↓	93.2 °F	96	72	67.7°F	73	89	93.4 °F	86	72	66.8°F	73	89	95.3 °F	89	69	71.6°F	71
07-11-18	96	97.1 °F	93	75	77.5°F	74	97	99.0 °F	93	73	77.5°F	74	93	93.2 °F	93	72	67.7°F	73	91	93.4 °F	81	72	66.8°F	74
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	2		0	1		0	2		0	0		0	1		1	1		1	0		0	0		1
% Succ	33.3		0.0	16.7		0.0	40.0		0.0			0.0	25.0		25.0	25.0		25.0			0.0			33.3
Ave Error	4.0		5.3	3.3		5.2	4.1		7.1	4.4		4.8	4.4		5.7	4.4		4.7	5.2		8.5	4.8		3.5
Net Error	-4.0		-5.3	-1.8		-4.1	-4.1		-5.9	-1.0		-1.4	-4.4		-5.7	0.3		1.1	-5.2		-8.5	-1.3		1.3
Std Dev	2.7		3.3	1.9		2.8	3.1		4.7	2.9		3.4	4.2		4.9	4.0		4.2	5.2		8.5	4.8		3.5

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 07-16-18 at 11:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
07-16-18	87		85	68		63	84		85	67		65	84		83	68		69	89		90	67		71
07-15-18	89	95.3 °F	93	66	71.6°F	71	87		84	66		66	84		79	67		65	85		82	67		69
07-14-18	86	93.4 °F	85	68	66.8°F	64	90	95.3 °F	88	68	71.6°F	66	84		85	65		64	87		77	67		65
07-13-18	92 ↓	93.2 °F	92	71	67.6°F	73	86	93.4 °F	87	71	66.8°F	72	90	95.3 °F	89	70	71.6°F	72	85		86	65		69
07-12-18	96	99.0 °F	97	74	77.5°F	76	92 ↓	93.2 °F	97	72	67.6°F	74	89	93.4 °F	87	72	66.8°F	73	89	95.3 °F	90	69	71.6°F	72
07-11-18	96	97.1 °F	96	75	77.5°F	77	97	99.0 °F	94	73	77.5°F	75	93	93.2 °F	93	72	67.6°F	74	91	93.4 °F	82	72	66.8°F	74
07-10-18	95	98.8 °F	96	72	76.9°F	74	96	97.1 °F	93	75	77.5°F	75	95	99.0 °F	97	74	77.5°F	73	92	93.2 °F	91	73	67.6°F	76
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	2		3	1		3	3		0	0		0	1		2	1		1	1		0	0		1
% Succ	33.3		50.0	16.7		50.0	60.0		0.0			0.0	25.0		50.0	25.0		25.0	33.3		0.0			33.3
Ave Error	3.8		3.0	3.5		2.3	3.4		5.3	3.8		4.4	3.5		3.7	3.7		4.4	3.3		6.3	4.4		5.3
Net Error	-3.8		-3.0	-2.0		-0.5	-3.4		-3.8	-0.4		0.2	-3.5		-3.7	1.1		2.1	-3.3		-6.3	2.7		5.3
Std Dev	2.8		2.8	2.0		1.9	3.1		3.6	2.4		3.0	3.1		3.5	3.3		4.3	3.3		6.3	4.4		5.3

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 07-16-18 at 2:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
07-16-18	87		89	68		68	84		85	67		67	84		85	68		71	89		89	67		73
07-15-18	92	95.3 °F	94	66	71.6°F	74	87		89	66		71	84		78	67		71	85		83	67		72
07-14-18	86	93.4 °F	90	68	66.8°F	70	90	95.3 °F	89	68	71.6°F	70	84		89	65		66	87		77	67		66
07-13-18	92 ↓	93.2 °F	94	71	67.6°F	74	86	93.4 °F	85	71	66.8°F	71	90	95.3 °F	88	70	71.6°F	69	85		84	65		68
07-12-18	96	99.0 °F	98	75	77.5°F	77	91 ↓	93.2 °F	95	72	67.6°F	74	89	93.4 °F	87	72	66.8°F	74	89	95.3 °F	89	69	71.6°F	69
07-11-18	96	97.1 °F	96	76	77.5°F	76	97	99.0 °F	96	73	77.5°F	75	94	93.2 °F	97	72	67.6°F	74	90	93.4 °F	88	72	66.8°F	77
07-10-18	96	98.8 °F	100	72	76.9°F	77	96	97.1 °F	95	75	77.5°F	75	95	99.0 °F	96	74	77.5°F	75	92	93.2 °F	89	73	67.6°F	75
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	2		5	2		3	2		1	0		1	1		0	1		0	1		0	0		0
% Succ	33.3		83.3	33.3		50.0	40.0		20.0			20.0	25.0		0.0	25.0		0.0	33.3		0.0			0.0
Ave Error	3.1		1.5	3.2		2.4	3.6		4.3	3.8		3.4	3.6		5.1	3.7		4.7	3.6		5.3	4.4		6.7
Net Error	-3.1		-0.8	-1.7		1.7	-3.6		-3.6	-0.4		0.8	-3.2		-3.2	1.1		2.1	-3.6		-5.3	2.7		5.0
Std Dev	2.4		1.1	2.0		2.1	3.0		3.6	2.4		2.7	3.2		4.6	3.3		4.2	3.6		5.3	4.4		6.7

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 07-16-18 at 5:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
07-16-18	87		69	68		87	84		71	68		87	86		71	68		90	90		73	67		83
07-15-18	93 ↓	71.6°F	72	66	95.3 °F	89	87		69	67		78	83		70	66		83	85		71	68		90
07-14-18	87	66.8°F	73	67	93.4 °F	90	89	71.6°F	71	67	95.3 °F	89	85		67	65		77	85		66	67		85
07-13-18	92 ↓	67.6°F	70	71	93.2 °F	85	85	66.8°F	66	70	93.4 °F	88	89	71.6°F	68	69	95.3 °F	84	84		67	65		85
07-12-18	96	77.5°F	78	76	99.0 °F	95	90 ↓	67.6°F	75	71	93.2 °F	87	89	66.8°F	74	71	93.4 °F	88	90	71.6°F	69	69	95.3 °F	83
07-11-18	96	77.5°F	77	76	97.1 °F	96	96	77.5°F	75	73	99.0 °F	95	94	67.6°F	73	72	93.2 °F	88	90	66.8°F	77	72	93.4 °F	93
07-10-18	96	76.9°F	77	72	98.8 °F	95	96	77.5°F	75	75	97.1 °F	96	96	77.5°F	75	74	99.0 °F	89	92	67.6°F	75	72	93.2 °F	84
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	0		4	0		1	0		2	0		1	0		0	0		0	0		0	0		1
% Succ			66.7			16.7			40.0			20.0			0.0			0.0			0.0			33.3
Ave Error	20.4		1.7	24.8		4.5	19.0		2.8	24.4		4.6	21.1		4.7	23.7		8.0	22.0		6.7	23.0		7.3
Net Error	20.4		1.5	-24.8		-4.5	19.0		0.2	-24.4		-4.6	21.1		1.6	-23.7		-8.0	22.0		5.0	-23.0		-7.3
Std Dev	8.5		2.2	10.5		2.9	12.1		3.0	15.6		3.1	18.4		4.1	20.6		7.1	22.0		6.7	23.0		7.3

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 07-16-18 at 8:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
07-16-18	68		71	84		89	68		70	86		86	68		71	90		92	67		71	87		83
07-15-18	66	71.6°F	73	87	95.3 °F	91	67		68	83		83	66		67	85		90	68		71	89		94
07-14-18	67	66.8°F	71	89	93.4 °F	91	67	71.6°F	70	85	95.3 °F	90	65		66	85		90	67		67	83		89
07-13-18	71	67.6°F	69	85	93.2 °F	88	70	66.8°F	66	89	93.4 °F	89	69	71.6°F	66	84	95.3 °F	89	65		66	86		83
07-12-18	76	77.5°F	80	90 ↓	99.0 °F	96	71	67.6°F	76	89	93.2 °F	87	71	66.8°F	76	90	93.4 °F	87	69	71.6°F	70	86	95.3 °F	85
07-11-18	76	77.5°F	80	96	97.1 °F	98	73	77.5°F	77	94	99.0 °F	95	72	67.6°F	75	90	93.2 °F	84	72	66.8°F	73	91	93.4 °F	88
07-10-18	72	76.9°F	78	96	98.8 °F	97	75	77.5°F	76	96	97.1 °F	98	74	77.5°F	76	92	99.0 °F	95	72	67.6°F	73	92	93.2 °F	80
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	3		3	1		2	0		4	1		1	0		1	0		0	0		1	1		0
% Succ	50.0		50.0	16.7		33.3			80.0	20.0		20.0			25.0			0.0			33.3	33.3		0.0
Ave Error	2.9		2.2	5.6		2.9	3.6		2.6	5.0		4.2	3.7		5.9	6.2		6.5	4.1		4.4	4.3		9.6
Net Error	-1.7		2.2	-5.6		-2.6	-1.0		0.8	-5.0		-3.8	0.6		2.4	-6.2		-6.5	2.3		3.3	-4.3		-9.6
Std Dev	2.1		1.3	3.6		1.8	2.4		3.2	4.0		2.8	3.2		5.1	6.0		5.6	4.1		4.4	4.3		9.6

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 07-16-18 at 11:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
07-16-18	68		70	84		88	68		68	86		85	68		71	90		91	67		71	87		83
07-15-18	66	76.7°F	71	87	95.3 °F	90	67		67	83		80	66		66	85		89	68		71	89		93
07-14-18	67	77.5°F	67	89	93.4 °F	91	67	76.7°F	68	85	95.3 °F	90	65		64	85		90	67		67	83		89
07-13-18	71	74.4°F	69	85	93.2 °F	88	70	77.5°F	66	89	93.4 °F	89	69	76.7°F	66	84	95.3 °F	89	65		66	86		83
07-12-18	76	74.9°F	79	90 ↓	99.0 °F	96	71	74.4°F	74	89	93.2 °F	81	71	77.5°F	73	90	93.4 °F	87	69	76.7°F	69	86	95.3 °F	84
07-11-18	76	77.5°F	78	96	97.1 °F	98	73	74.9°F	76	94	99.0 °F	94	72	74.4°F	74	90	93.2 °F	84	72	77.5°F	72	91	93.4 °F	88
07-10-18	72	85.3°F	75	96	98.8 °F	96	75	77.5°F	76	96	97.1 °F	97	74	74.9°F	75	92	99.0 °F	94	72	74.4°F	72	92	93.2 °F	80
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	2		1	1		1	1		3	1		1	1		2	0		0	0		0	1		0
% Succ	33.3		16.7	16.7		16.7	20.0		60.0	20.0		20.0	25.0		50.0			0.0			0.0	33.3		0.0
Ave Error	6.8		6.1	5.6		3.3	5.0		4.6	5.0		5.4	4.4		3.9	6.2		6.7	5.2		5.2	4.3		10.0
Net Error	-6.4		-4.6	-5.6		-3.0	-5.0		-4.2	-5.0		-5.4	-4.4		-3.9	-6.2		-6.7	-5.2		-5.2	-4.3		-10.0
Std Dev	4.9		3.9	3.6		2.0	4.0		5.0	4.0		4.6	4.1		4.8	6.0		5.8	5.2		5.2	4.3		10.0

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.

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