Current WXSIM Forecast

Monday, 19-Apr-2021 08:00 am

Today

Snow
Snow
High: 39°
Tonight

Snow
Snow
Low: 27°
Tuesday

Mostly Cloudy
Cold!
Mostly Cloudy
Cold!
High: 48°
Tuesday
night
Mostly Cloudy
Cold!
Mostly Cloudy
Cold!
Low: 26°
Wednesday

Mostly Cloudy
Cold!
Mostly Cloudy
Cold!
High: 45°
Wednesday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Low: 28°
Thursday

Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
High: 59°
Thursday
night
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Low: 37°
Friday

Cloudy
Cloudy
High: 49°

Current NWS Forecast

Mon, 19-Apr-2021 7:35am CDT

Today

Today: Chance Rain Showers
Chance Rain Showers

Hi 39 °F
Tonight

Tonight: Chance Light Rain then Rain And Snow
Chance Light Rain then Rain And Snow

Lo 30 °F
Tuesday

Tuesday: Slight Chance Light Snow then Partly Sunny
Slight Chance Light Snow then Partly Sunny

Hi 45 °F
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy

Lo 29 °F
Wednesday

Wednesday: Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny

Hi 51 °F
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 29 °F
Thursday

Thursday: Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Light Rain
Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Light Rain

Hi 59 °F
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Chance Light Rain
Chance Light Rain

Lo 42 °F
Friday

Friday: Chance Light Rain
Chance Light Rain

Hi 63 °F



WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 04-19-21 at 2:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-19-21 36 ↑   40 41   45 30   30 48   49 28   28 50   40 30   27 59   57
04-18-21 36 ↑ 45.0°F 38 64 ↓ 65.5 °F 60 38 ↑   38 43   45 30   31 49   48 28   30 52   42
04-17-21 40 42.5°F 40 55 ↓ 55.1 °F 50 36 45.0°F 37 62 65.5 °F 59 39   40 46   43 30   30 48   49
04-16-21 52 41.0°F 38 39 ↑ 44.5 °F 44 47 42.5°F 38 39 55.1 °F 45 54 45.0°F 38 35 65.5 °F 57 61   39 39   46
04-15-21 29 ↑ 40.3°F 35 54 55.7 °F 54 39 ↑ 41.0°F 38 48 44.5 °F 41 38 42.5°F 34 53 55.1 °F 40 34 45.0°F 32 61 65.5 °F 56
04-14-21 32 ↑ 38.0°F 34 55 53.4 °F 53 33 ↑ 40.3°F 32 57 55.7 °F 50 40 41.0°F 36 49 44.5 °F 39 38 42.5°F 32 52 55.1 °F 41
04-13-21 33 ↑ 38.9°F 36 58 60.2 °F 54 32 ↑ 38.0°F 33 55 53.4 °F 49 34 40.3°F 32 56 55.7 °F 52 41 41.0°F 37 53 44.5 °F 40
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 0 4 3 1 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 0
% Succ     0.0 66.7   50.0 20.0   0.0 40.0   0.0 25.0   0.0 25.0   0.0 33.3   0.0     0.0
Ave Error 7.6   4.1 2.1   3.2 5.8   5.8 5.2   6.0 5.2   7.2 9.4   8.2 5.2   9.2 5.4   9.4
Net Error -4.0   -4.1 -1.6   -3.2 -4.0   -5.8 -2.6   -6.0 -0.7   -7.2 -7.0   -8.2 -5.2   -9.2 0.3   -9.4
Std Dev 4.4   2.3 1.9   2.5 4.3   4.0 6.0   4.4 4.9   6.2 13.3   7.1 5.2   9.2 5.4   9.4

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 04-19-21 at 5:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-19-21 36 ↑   41 42 ↓   30 30   51 45   29 29   41 51   28 29   57 59   41
04-18-21 36 ↑ 37.9°F 60 64 ↓ 65.5 °F 38 38 ↑   44 46   30 30   48 47   30 28   42 51   28
04-17-21 40 ↑ 42.5°F 46 54 55.1 °F 35 36 ↑ 37.9°F 59 62 65.5 °F 39 39   43 46   30 30   48 48   31
04-16-21 52 41.0°F 45 39 ↑ 44.5 °F 38 47 42.5°F 47 39 55.1 °F 38 54 37.9°F 56 35 65.5 °F 39 61   46 39   32
04-15-21 28 39.2°F 54 54 55.7 °F 38 39 ↑ 41.0°F 41 47 44.5 °F 36 39 42.5°F 44 54 55.1 °F 34 35 37.9°F 57 61 65.5 °F 38
04-14-21 32 32.7°F 53 54 53.4 °F 33 32 ↑ 39.2°F 51 55 55.7 °F 36 39 41.0°F 38 49 44.5 °F 31 37 42.5°F 39 52 55.1 °F 34
04-13-21 33 ↑ 34.9°F 55 57 60.2 °F 32 32 ↑ 32.7°F 50 55 53.4 °F 33 34 39.2°F 52 56 55.7 °F 37 40 41.0°F 40 52 44.5 °F 35
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 0 4 0 3 1 2 0 1 1 2 0 1 1 0 0
% Succ 50.0   0.0 66.7   0.0 60.0   20.0 40.0   0.0 25.0   25.0 50.0   0.0 33.3   33.3     0.0
Ave Error 4.9   14.1 2.3   20.1 3.3   10.9 4.9   18.4 6.7   8.9 9.1   20.0 3.1   7.9 5.0   19.4
Net Error -1.2   14.1 -2.1   -20.1 -1.5   10.9 -3.2   -18.4 1.4   7.4 -6.7   -20.0 -3.1   4.9 0.0   -19.4
Std Dev 4.7   9.3 1.9   10.4 2.3   10.0 6.0   13.0 7.5   9.0 13.3   17.6 3.1   7.9 5.0   19.4

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 04-19-21 at 8:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-19-21 39   39 30   27 45   48 29   26 51   45 29   28 59   59 42   37
04-18-21 64 ↓ 65.5 °F 60 38 ↑ 35.3°F 39 46 ↓   45 30   30 47   49 28   29 51   46 30   27
04-17-21 <55 55.1 °F 46 35 40.2°F 33 <65 65.5 °F 60 >35 35.3°F 39 45   44 >25   31 >45   50 >25   29
04-16-21 >45 44.5 °F 44 40 41.0°F 37 <55 55.1 °F 45 35 40.2°F 37 <65 65.5 °F 56 >35 35.3°F 38 >45   41 >25   32
04-15-21 54 55.7 °F 54 39 ↑ 39.0°F 37 47 44.5 °F 40 39 41.0°F 35 54 55.1 °F 47 35 40.2°F 35 61 65.5 °F 58 39 35.3°F 45
04-14-21 <55 53.4 °F 51 <35 30.3°F 31 55 55.7 °F 50 >35 39.0°F 36 >45 44.5 °F 38 >35 41.0°F 31 <55 55.1 °F 44 35 40.2°F 31
04-13-21 55 60.2 °F 53 <35 31.9°F 31 55 53.4 °F 50 <35 30.3°F 31 55 55.7 °F 50 40 39.0°F 36 <55 44.5 °F 39 >35 41.0°F 34
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 2 2 3 2 0 1 1 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 0
% Succ 33.3   33.3 33.3   50.0 40.0   0.0 20.0   20.0 50.0   0.0 25.0   0.0     0.0     0.0
Ave Error 26.9   4.4 11.9   3.1 25.1   5.8 22.4   3.3 28.0   7.5 20.6   5.2 34.7   8.0 16.6   8.6
Net Error -26.9   -4.4 -11.0   -1.6 -23.4   -5.8 -22.4   -1.6 -28.0   -7.5 -20.1   -3.9 -34.7   -8.0 -14.2   -2.2
Std Dev 25.2   3.4 12.0   2.4 29.3   4.2 19.4   2.4 30.6   6.5 19.3   4.7 34.7   8.0 16.6   8.6

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 04-18-21 at 11:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-18-21 64 ↓   61 38 ↑   41 46 ↓   46 30   31 47   48 28   30 51   45 30   28
04-17-21 55 ↓ 55.1 °F 50 36 ↑ 40.2°F 36 62   61 38   39 46   44 30   32 48   50 28   29
04-16-21 48 44.5 °F 48 40 ↑ 41.0°F 36 54 55.1 °F 41 35 40.2°F 35 62   56 39   38 49   41 30   32
04-15-21 52 55.7 °F 54 39 ↑ 39.0°F 37 47 44.5 °F 40 39 41.0°F 35 54 55.1 °F 47 35 40.2°F 35 61   58 39   45
04-14-21 <55 53.4 °F 51 <35 30.3°F 29 55 55.7 °F 48 >35 39.0°F 34 >45 44.5 °F 37 >35 41.0°F 31 <55 55.1 °F 46 35 40.2°F 32
04-13-21 55 60.2 °F 54 <35 31.9°F 30 55 53.4 °F 50 <35 30.3°F 31 55 55.7 °F 50 40 39.0°F 35 <55 44.5 °F 38 >35 41.0°F 34
04-12-21 60 62.7 °F 55 <35 35.2°F 34 55 60.2 °F 50 <35 31.9°F 30 <55 53.4 °F 47 35 30.3°F 31 55 55.7 °F 45 <45 39.0°F 36
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 1 2 4 3 0 1 2 2 0 1 1 1 0 0 0
% Succ 16.7   16.7 33.3   66.7 60.0   0.0 20.0   40.0 50.0   0.0 25.0   25.0 33.3   0.0     0.0
Ave Error 11.4   4.4 17.1   2.6 2.2   8.0 21.7   3.8 24.9   6.9 13.0   5.0 33.4   8.8 28.4   6.1
Net Error -10.3   -3.3 -17.1   -2.6 -0.6   -8.0 -21.7   -3.5 -24.9   -6.9 -10.1   -4.6 -33.4   -8.8 -28.4   -6.1
Std Dev 19.1   2.4 15.3   1.7 1.6   5.9 19.5   2.7 24.7   6.0 11.9   4.3 33.4   8.8 28.4   6.1

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 04-18-21 at 2:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-18-21 64 ↓   65 38 ↑   42 46 ↓   45 30   31 47   50 28   30 51   45 30   28
04-17-21 55 ↓ 55.1 °F 55 36 ↑ 40.2°F 35 62   60 38   38 46   43 30   30 48   47 28   32
04-16-21 48 44.5 °F 48 40 ↑ 41.0°F 37 54 55.1 °F 44 35 40.2°F 35 62   57 39   39 49   42 30   32
04-15-21 <55 55.7 °F 55 >35 39.0°F 36 >45 44.5 °F 39 >35 41.0°F 34 <55 55.1 °F 45 35 40.2°F 38 60   54 >35   46
04-14-21 <55 53.4 °F 54 <35 30.3°F 30 55 55.7 °F 48 >35 39.0°F 34 >45 44.5 °F 38 >35 41.0°F 33 <55 55.1 °F 48 35 40.2°F 34
04-13-21 55 60.2 °F 57 <35 31.9°F 32 55 53.4 °F 51 <35 30.3°F 31 55 55.7 °F 48 40 39.0°F 36 <55 44.5 °F 40 >35 41.0°F 34
04-12-21 60 62.7 °F 60 <35 35.2°F 37 55 60.2 °F 53 <35 31.9°F 33 <55 53.4 °F 46 35 30.3°F 32 55 55.7 °F 44 <45 39.0°F 36
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 3 1 3 3 0 0 2 1 0 1 1 1 0 0 0
% Succ 16.7   50.0 16.7   50.0 60.0   0.0     40.0 25.0   0.0 25.0   25.0 33.3   0.0     0.0
Ave Error 20.1   1.8 23.6   2.4 10.6   6.8 29.5   3.8 38.4   7.9 13.0   3.7 33.4   7.8 28.4   5.4
Net Error -18.9   -0.4 -23.6   -1.8 -10.0   -6.8 -29.5   -3.1 -38.4   -7.9 -10.1   -2.9 -33.4   -7.8 -28.4   -5.4
Std Dev 24.8   1.5 17.3   2.1 17.7   4.8 22.6   2.9 34.3   6.9 11.9   3.3 33.4   7.8 28.4   5.4

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 04-18-21 at 2:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-18-21   65 55   42 35   45 <65   31 >35   50 45   30 30   45 >45   28
04-17-21 55 ↓ 55.1 °F 39 36 ↑ 40.2°F 62 64 ↓   40 38   46 43   31 30   47 49   32 28   49
04-16-21   37 >35 41.0°F 44 55 55.1 °F 35 35 40.2°F 56 <65   38 >35   42 >45   32 30   48
04-15-21 52 55.7 °F 36 39 ↑ 39.0°F 38 47 44.5 °F 33 39 41.0°F 45 54 55.1 °F 38 35 40.2°F 55 61   46 39   51
04-14-21   32 <35 30.3°F 50 <55 55.7 °F 36 40 39.0°F 39 >45 44.5 °F 33 >35 41.0°F 44 <55 55.1 °F 32 35 40.2°F 56
04-13-21 57 60.2 °F 32 32 ↑ 31.9°F 50 55 53.4 °F 31 33 30.3°F 48 57 55.7 °F 36 40 39.0°F 39 49 44.5 °F 34 38 41.0°F 42
04-12-21   38 <35 35.2°F 54 >55 60.2 °F 33 <35 31.9°F 48 55 53.4 °F 33 35 30.3°F 45 55 55.7 °F 37 40 39.0°F 42
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 0 2 1 2 0 2 1 3 0 1 1 1 0 1 1
% Succ 33.3   0.0 33.3   16.7 40.0   0.0 40.0   20.0 75.0   0.0 25.0   25.0 33.3   0.0 33.3   33.3
Ave Error 2.3   21.3 18.5   13.7 24.0   20.2 8.6   10.7 12.1   17.2 13.0   8.1 20.1   17.4 3.1   6.6
Net Error -2.3   -21.3 -18.4   13.4 -22.4   -20.2 -7.1   10.7 -10.7   -17.2 -10.1   8.1 -17.1   -17.4 -2.4   6.6
Std Dev 2.3   17.7 17.7   9.9 25.3   13.3 7.2   9.1 11.9   14.9 11.9   7.8 20.1   17.4 3.1   6.6

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 04-18-21 at 8:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-18-21 >35   43 40   46 >25   30 >45   48 >25   29 >45   44 >25   29 >55   57
04-17-21 36 ↑ 40.2°F 39 64 ↓ 55.1 °F 61 38 ↑   39 43   45 30   29 49   43 28   30 52   46
04-16-21 40 41.0°F 37 55 ↓ 44.5 °F 46 36 40.2°F 37 62 55.1 °F 58 39   39 46   43 30   32 48   48
04-15-21 39 39.0°F 37 47 55.7 °F 40 40 ↑ 41.0°F 34 55 44.5 °F 47 35 40.2°F 37 62 55.1 °F 55 40   39 53   45
04-14-21 31 ↑ 30.3°F 31 54 53.4 °F 51 39 ↑ 39.0°F 35 48 55.7 °F 37 38 41.0°F 32 53 44.5 °F 46 34 40.2°F 36 61 55.1 °F 57
04-13-21 <35 31.9°F 33 55 60.2 °F 52 <35 30.3°F 32 55 53.4 °F 51 >35 39.0°F 36 >45 55.7 °F 39 >35 41.0°F 34 <55 44.5 °F 42
04-12-21 <35 35.2°F 36 >55 62.7 °F 53 <35 31.9°F 32 55 60.2 °F 48 35 30.3°F 33 55 53.4 °F 47 40 39.0°F 36 <55 55.7 °F 41
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 5 1 1 2 2 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 0 0 1
% Succ 50.0   83.3 16.7   16.7 40.0   40.0 20.0   0.0     0.0 25.0   50.0 33.3   0.0     33.3
Ave Error 12.2   1.6 16.1   7.2 13.5   3.2 6.4   7.7 13.0   4.5 18.2   6.2 16.1   4.7 35.4   6.4
Net Error -11.9   -0.8 -9.4   -4.8 -13.5   -2.5 1.2   -5.6 -10.6   -3.1 -9.7   -5.4 -15.4   -4.7 -31.4   -5.1
Std Dev 12.9   1.3 11.2   5.5 12.5   2.7 4.5   7.6 11.9   3.9 16.7   6.2 16.1   4.7 35.4   6.4

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 04-18-21 at 11:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-18-21 37 ↑   43 41   46 30   30 48   49 28   29 50   45 30   29 59   58
04-17-21 36 ↑ 51.8°F 39 64 ↓ 55.1 °F 62 38 ↑   41 43   46 30   31 49   44 28   31 52   46
04-16-21 40 44.1°F 39 55 ↓ 44.5 °F 47 36 51.8°F 37 62 55.1 °F 58 39   40 46   44 30   32 48   49
04-15-21 39 41.3°F 38 47 55.7 °F 43 40 ↑ 44.1°F 37 55 44.5 °F 49 35 51.8°F 38 62 55.1 °F 55 40   40 53   45
04-14-21 29 ↑ 42.0°F 33 54 53.4 °F 53 39 ↑ 41.3°F 37 48 55.7 °F 40 38 44.1°F 35 53 44.5 °F 46 34 51.8°F 35 61 55.1 °F 57
04-13-21 32 ↑ 39.9°F 35 55 60.2 °F 53 33 ↑ 42.0°F 32 57 53.4 °F 52 40 41.3°F 36 49 55.7 °F 39 38 44.1°F 34 52 44.5 °F 42
04-12-21 33 ↑ 45.0°F 36 58 62.7 °F 53 32 ↑ 39.9°F 33 55 60.2 °F 49 34 42.0°F 34 56 53.4 °F 47 41 41.3°F 37 53 55.7 °F 41
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 2 1 0 0 1
% Succ     0.0 16.7   16.7     0.0     20.0 25.0   0.0     50.0 33.3   0.0     33.3
Ave Error 9.2   7.4 6.4   6.6 7.8   8.6 6.8   7.1 8.1   9.1 6.2   6.2 8.1   10.4 5.4   6.4
Net Error -9.2   -7.4 0.2   -3.4 -7.8   -8.6 1.6   -4.2 -8.1   -9.1 2.8   -5.4 -8.1   -10.4 3.6   -5.1
Std Dev 6.0   4.4 4.2   4.8 6.8   6.4 4.6   6.3 8.2   8.2 5.4   6.2 8.1   10.4 5.4   6.4

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.