Current WXSIM Forecast

Saturday, 18-Sep-2021 05:00 pm

Tonight

Clear
Clear
Low: 70°
Sunday

Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
High: 88°
Sunday
night
Thunder storm
Thunder storm
Low: 71°
Monday

Thunder storm
Thunder storm
High: 77°
Monday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Low: 54°
Tuesday

Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny
High: 74°
Tuesday
night
Clear
Clear
Low: 49°
Wednesday

Sunny
Sunny
High: 77°
Wednesday
night
Clear
Clear
Low: 52°

Current NWS Forecast

Sat, 18-Sep-2021 7:35pm CDT

Tonight

Tonight: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 68 °F
Sunday

Sunday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 90 °F
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Mostly Clear then Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Mostly Clear then Slight Chance Showers And TStorms

Lo 69 °F ↑
Monday

Monday: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
Chance Showers And TStorms then Showers And TStorms Likely

Hi 78 °F
Monday
Night
Monday Night: Showers And Thunderstorms Likely then Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Showers And TStorms Likely then Slight Chance Showers And TStorms

Lo 52 °F
Tuesday

Tuesday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 72 °F
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 44 °F
Wednesday

Wednesday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 75 °F
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Clear
Clear

Lo 53 °F



WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-18-21 at 2:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-18-21 59   57 85   86 68 ↑   62 89   87 70   69 83   82 54   52 71   77
09-17-21 65 ↑ 59.7°F 70 74 ↓ 76.7 °F 77 59 ↑   59 84   85 66   67 92   89 70   72 87   84
09-16-21 65 75.0°F 68 90 91.5 °F 89 65 59.7°F 67 80 76.7 °F 77 <65   60 >85   84 >65   64 >85   89
09-15-21 <55 70.0°F 60 <85 85.4 °F 82 65 75.0°F 65 >85 91.5 °F 91 65 59.7°F 70 <85 76.7 °F 89 65   69 >85   90
09-14-21 64 ↑ 57.4°F 66 77 82.0 °F 83 54 ↑ 70.0°F 60 80 85.4 °F 82 64 75.0°F 62 88 91.5 °F 90 67 59.7°F 71 87 76.7 °F 98
09-13-21 63 ↑ 71.2°F 62 89 90.0 °F 92 65 ↑ 57.4°F 65 79 82.0 °F 85 56 70.0°F 59 81 85.4 °F 78 63 75.0°F 60 88 91.5 °F 89
09-12-21 >65 65.3°F 71 85 78.4 °F 88 <65 71.2°F 64 >85 90.0 °F 90 65 57.4°F 65 >75 82.0 °F 83 >55 70.0°F 59 >75 85.4 °F 82
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 0 2 3 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0
% Succ     0.0 33.3   50.0     0.0     60.0     0.0     50.0     0.0     0.0
Ave Error 27.6   8.5 17.0   3.1 22.0   8.4 38.6   1.4 9.5   10.5 41.7   5.6 29.8   12.4 33.1   9.1
Net Error -23.6   -0.3 -14.8   1.2 -16.9   -2.5 -37.3   -0.1 -3.0   -1.5 -41.7   1.1 -24.9   -4.9 -26.2   5.1
Std Dev 26.4   3.7 31.1   2.0 16.9   5.4 40.3   1.4 8.5   9.1 40.1   5.9 29.8   12.4 33.1   9.1

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-18-21 at 5:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-18-21 55 ↑   85 87   60 68 ↑   87 89   67 69   83 82   51 54   77 71   50
09-17-21 66 ↑ 58.3°F 78 75 ↓ 76.7 °F 59 59   86 83   67 66   90 90   72 70   84 85   54
09-16-21 67 ↑ 72.3°F 91 91 91.5 °F 68 68 ↑ 58.3°F 77 74 76.7 °F 60 60   84 85   64 67   88 90   66
09-15-21   60 <85 85.4 °F 82 65 72.3°F 65 >85 91.5 °F 91 65 58.3°F 70 <85 76.7 °F 89 <65   69 85   90
09-14-21 64 55.1°F 84 77 82.0 °F 60 54 ↑ 69.0°F 83 80 85.4 °F 62 64 72.3°F 89 88 91.5 °F 65 67 58.3°F 90 87 76.7 °F 65
09-12-21   89 <85 90.0 °F 66 <65 55.1°F 91 85 82.0 °F 65 65 69.0°F 83 >75 85.4 °F 58 55 72.3°F 82 >75 91.5 °F 65
09-11-21   99 95 94.3 °F 68 >65 67.2°F 93 <85 90.0 °F 65 <65 55.1°F 91 >85 82.0 °F 73 65 69.0°F 85 >75 85.4 °F 64
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
% Succ     0.0 50.0   0.0     0.0     20.0     0.0     0.0     0.0     0.0
Ave Error 7.3   22.4 30.6   19.5 30.9   20.3 38.5   16.5 18.5   19.6 61.9   18.8 10.0   19.1 62.4   19.9
Net Error 3.8   22.4 -30.3   -19.5 -27.0   17.4 -37.3   -16.5 -15.2   19.6 -61.9   -12.7 -4.2   19.1 -55.5   -19.9
Std Dev 4.4   13.2 40.5   10.7 25.1   14.4 40.4   13.0 17.1   17.4 54.1   16.6 10.0   19.1 62.4   19.9

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-18-21 at 8:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-18-21 87   85 68 ↑   63 89 ↓   88 69   70 82   81 54   52 71   71 47   47
09-17-21 75 ↓ 76.7 °F 75 59 57.5°F 59 83   84 66   63 90   88 70   72 85   83 56   53
09-16-21 90 91.5 °F 90 65 69.2°F 68 75 76.7 °F 76 >55 57.5°F 60 85   83 65   64 >85   87 >65   67
09-15-21 <85 85.4 °F 83 65 68.3°F 63 >85 91.5 °F 91 65 69.2°F 67 <85 76.7 °F 84 <65 57.5°F 65 85   87 >65   67
09-14-21 77 82.0 °F 83 54 ↑ 55.0°F 60 80 85.4 °F 83 64 68.3°F 63 88 91.5 °F 90 67 69.2°F 65 87 76.7 °F 90 67 57.5°F 65
09-13-21 89 ↓ 90.0 °F 91 65 65.3°F 65 78 ↓ 82.0 °F 83 55 55.0°F 59 80 85.4 °F 80 63 68.3°F 61 89 91.5 °F 89 68 69.2°F 69
09-12-21 83 ↓ 78.4 °F 88 64 65.3°F 63 88 ↓ 90.0 °F 90 65 65.3°F 65 78 82.0 °F 84 56 55.0°F 59 79 85.4 °F 82 61 68.3°F 65
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 4 4 3 2 4 2 1 0 2 1 0 0 0 1 1
% Succ 50.0   66.7 66.7   50.0 40.0   80.0 40.0   20.0     50.0 25.0   0.0     0.0 33.3   33.3
Ave Error 16.5   2.9 1.9   2.6 20.9   0.9 13.3   2.9 22.4   4.1 16.5   5.8 6.4   6.4 6.0   3.7
Net Error -15.0   1.0 -1.4   -0.4 -20.9   -0.5 -13.3   -0.3 -22.4   0.6 -16.0   0.0 0.5   2.5 0.3   1.3
Std Dev 31.2   1.8 1.6   2.2 36.0   0.9 22.2   2.1 33.4   3.9 25.0   5.1 6.4   6.4 6.0   3.7

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-18-21 at 11:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-18-21 87   85 68 ↑   65 89 ↓   88 69   70 82   81 54   52 71   71 47   47
09-17-21 75 ↓ 76.7 °F 71 59 57.5°F 54 83   84 66   63 90   88 70   72 85   82 56   53
09-16-21 90 91.5 °F 88 65 69.2°F 66 75 76.7 °F 74 >55 57.5°F 59 85   85 65   64 >85   88 >65   66
09-15-21 82 85.4 °F 85 66 68.3°F 68 90 ↓ 91.5 °F 91 67 69.2°F 69 84 76.7 °F 85 63 57.5°F 67 87   86 69   67
09-14-21 77 82.0 °F 81 54 ↑ 55.0°F 60 80 85.4 °F 83 64 68.3°F 64 88 91.5 °F 90 67 69.2°F 65 87 76.7 °F 89 67 57.5°F 65
09-13-21 89 ↓ 90.0 °F 91 65 65.3°F 65 78 ↓ 82.0 °F 82 55 55.0°F 59 80 85.4 °F 79 63 68.3°F 61 89 91.5 °F 89 68 69.2°F 69
09-12-21 83 ↓ 78.4 °F 84 64 65.3°F 59 88 ↓ 90.0 °F 90 65 65.3°F 65 78 82.0 °F 83 56 55.0°F 59 79 85.4 °F 82 61 68.3°F 65
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 3 4 2 3 3 2 3 0 2 1 0 0 0 1 1
% Succ 50.0   50.0 66.7   33.3 60.0   60.0 40.0   60.0     50.0 25.0   0.0     0.0 33.3   33.3
Ave Error 2.9   2.9 1.8   3.1 2.9   1.1 12.9   2.1 5.1   4.3 3.5   6.3 6.4   6.1 6.0   3.7
Net Error -1.3   -0.7 -1.3   -1.4 -2.9   -1.1 -12.9   0.1 -1.4   0.3 -0.3   0.5 0.5   2.1 0.3   1.3
Std Dev 1.8   2.2 1.4   2.2 2.3   1.2 22.4   1.9 4.5   4.2 3.2   5.7 6.4   6.1 6.0   3.7

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-18-21 at 2:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-18-21 87   89 68 ↑   68 89 ↓   88 69   70 82   76 54   55 71   74 47   49
09-17-21 75 ↓ 76.7 °F 77 59 57.5°F 56 83   85 66   63 90   89 70   71 85   86 56   53
09-16-21 91 91.5 °F 90 68 ↑ 69.2°F 67 74 ↓ 76.7 °F 73 60 57.5°F 55 85   82 67   62 90   87 68   68
09-15-21 82 85.4 °F 82 66 68.3°F 66 90 ↓ 91.5 °F 91 67 69.2°F 69 84 76.7 °F 82 63 57.5°F 64 87   86 69   68
09-14-21 77 82.0 °F 81 54 ↑ 55.0°F 59 80 85.4 °F 82 64 68.3°F 67 88 91.5 °F 89 67 69.2°F 70 87 76.7 °F 93 67 57.5°F 67
09-13-21 89 ↓ 90.0 °F 90 65 65.3°F 69 78 ↓ 82.0 °F 82 55 55.0°F 63 80 85.4 °F 82 63 68.3°F 63 89 91.5 °F 89 68 69.2°F 68
09-12-21 82 ↓ 78.4 °F 78 63 65.3°F 58 88 90.0 °F 89 65 65.3°F 64 79 82.0 °F 82 56 55.0°F 58 81 85.4 °F 79 63 68.3°F 64
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 5 4 1 2 3 2 3 0 1 1 1 0 0 1 1
% Succ 50.0   83.3 66.7   16.7 40.0   60.0 40.0   60.0     25.0 25.0   25.0     0.0 33.3   33.3
Ave Error 2.5   1.1 1.4   3.5 3.1   1.7 1.9   2.7 4.8   2.8 3.5   3.9 5.7   8.4 5.3   5.0
Net Error -1.3   -1.0 -0.9   -0.9 -3.1   -1.7 -0.9   0.5 -1.2   -0.2 -0.3   1.3 1.1   2.5 1.0   1.3
Std Dev 1.8   1.2 0.9   1.8 2.3   1.7 1.6   2.1 4.3   2.7 3.2   3.6 5.7   8.4 5.3   5.0

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-18-21 at 5:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-18-21 87   70 68 ↑   88 89 ↓   71 69   77 82   54 54   74 71   49 47   77
09-17-21 76 ↓ 76.7 °F 56 59 57.5°F 85 85   63 68   89 89   71 70   86 83   53 54   73
09-16-21   67 65 69.2°F 73 75 76.7 °F 56 >55 57.5°F 81 <85   62 65   87 90   68 >65   89
09-15-21 84 ↓ 85.4 °F 67 67 68.3°F 90 91 ↓ 91.5 °F 68 67 69.2°F 82 81 76.7 °F 64 63 57.5°F 86 88   68 69   88
09-14-21 82 ↓ 82.0 °F 58 54 ↑ 55.0°F 82 82 85.4 °F 67 65 68.3°F 90 89 91.5 °F 70 67 69.2°F 92 85 76.7 °F 67 66 57.5°F 90
09-13-21 90 ↓ 90.0 °F 72 64 ↑ 65.3°F 83 78 82.0 °F 64 55 55.0°F 81 83 85.4 °F 63 64 68.3°F 88 87 91.5 °F 69 66 69.2°F 95
09-12-21 82 ↓ 78.4 °F 61 63 65.3°F 89 88 90.0 °F 64 65 65.3°F 83 79 82.0 °F 59 56 55.0°F 79 81 85.4 °F 64 63 68.3°F 90
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 4 0 4 0 3 0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0
% Succ 80.0   0.0 66.7   0.0 60.0   0.0 40.0   0.0     0.0 25.0   0.0     0.0     0.0
Ave Error 1.1   19.7 1.9   20.2 2.3   21.3 12.7   20.3 3.1   19.9 3.3   23.8 5.7   17.9 5.7   26.7
Net Error 0.3   -19.7 -1.4   20.2 -2.3   -21.3 -12.7   20.3 -0.9   -19.9 0.0   23.8 -0.2   -17.9 0.0   26.7
Std Dev 0.9   12.6 1.3   11.4 1.8   13.6 22.5   13.4 2.7   17.6 3.0   20.7 5.7   17.9 5.7   26.7

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-17-21 at 8:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-17-21 59   56 85   85 68 ↑   65 89   89 70   71 83   84 54   54 71   74
09-16-21 65 ↑ 69.2°F 68 74 ↓ 91.5 °F 73 59 ↑   57 84   82 66   64 92   87 70   72 87   88
09-15-21 65 68.3°F 69 90 85.4 °F 89 65 69.2°F 70 80 91.5 °F 78 <65   64 >85   86 >65   69 >85   88
09-14-21 54 ↑ 55.0°F 60 82 82.0 °F 82 65 68.3°F 65 89 85.4 °F 91 67 69.2°F 70 85 91.5 °F 89 66   69 90   90
09-13-21 64 ↑ 65.3°F 71 78 90.0 °F 83 55 ↑ 55.0°F 63 83 82.0 °F 81 64 68.3°F 63 87 85.4 °F 89 66 69.2°F 71 87 91.5 °F 97
09-12-21 63 65.3°F 59 88 78.4 °F 89 65 ↑ 65.3°F 62 79 90.0 °F 81 56 55.0°F 58 81 82.0 °F 78 63 68.3°F 62 88 85.4 °F 88
09-11-21 69 ↑ 68.0°F 73 85 ↓ 94.3 °F 93 62 ↑ 65.3°F 71 90 78.4 °F 92 67 65.3°F 68 79 90.0 °F 85 57 55.0°F 60 79 82.0 °F 80
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 2 1 2 2 1 1 1 2 1 2 0 1 1 0 1
% Succ 50.0   33.3 16.7   33.3 40.0   20.0 20.0   20.0 50.0   25.0 50.0   0.0 33.3   33.3     33.3
Ave Error 2.2   4.0 8.8   6.8 2.2   4.2 7.7   8.5 2.3   3.0 5.0   3.8 3.5   4.4 3.4   3.4
Net Error -1.9   1.5 -4.1   -2.1 -2.2   1.6 -1.3   -0.9 -0.9   0.3 -4.2   -2.0 -2.2   0.2 -1.6   2.0
Std Dev 1.4   2.7 6.6   6.5 2.0   3.5 6.3   6.9 2.0   2.8 4.4   3.3 3.5   4.4 3.4   3.4

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-17-21 at 11:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-17-21 >55   57 85   85 65   65 >85   88 >65   71 <85   84 <55   54 70   74
09-16-21 65 ↑ 62.8°F 67 74 ↓ 91.5 °F 75 59 ↑   57 84   85 66   67 92   90 70   72 87   88
09-15-21 65 77.6°F 68 90 85.4 °F 89 65 62.8°F 68 80 91.5 °F 77 <65   63 >85   87 >65   68 >85   89
09-14-21 54 ↑ 71.8°F 60 82 82.0 °F 82 65 77.6°F 65 89 85.4 °F 91 67 62.8°F 70 85 91.5 °F 89 66   69 90   90
09-13-21 64 ↑ 60.5°F 67 78 90.0 °F 82 55 ↑ 71.8°F 60 83 82.0 °F 80 64 77.6°F 62 87 85.4 °F 89 66 62.8°F 71 87 91.5 °F 97
09-12-21 63 72.4°F 61 88 78.4 °F 90 65 ↑ 60.5°F 63 79 90.0 °F 83 56 71.8°F 58 81 82.0 °F 78 63 77.6°F 62 88 85.4 °F 88
09-11-21 68 ↑ 68.1°F 73 85 ↓ 94.3 °F 90 62 ↑ 72.4°F 66 90 78.4 °F 92 67 60.5°F 66 79 90.0 °F 85 57 71.8°F 59 79 82.0 °F 80
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1
% Succ 16.7   0.0 16.7   16.7     0.0 20.0   20.0     0.0 50.0   0.0     0.0     33.3
Ave Error 7.6   8.1 8.8   7.3 9.3   7.7 7.7   8.5 10.0   10.5 5.0   3.8 10.9   12.2 3.4   3.4
Net Error -5.7   -2.9 -4.1   -2.3 -6.6   -4.6 -1.3   -0.9 -4.7   -4.2 -4.2   -2.0 -8.7   -6.7 -1.6   2.0
Std Dev 6.3   4.3 6.6   6.1 7.6   5.8 6.3   6.8 9.2   9.3 4.4   3.3 10.9   12.2 3.4   3.4

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.