Current WXSIM Forecast

Wednesday, 08-Apr-2020 08:00 pm

Tonight

Clear
Clear
Low: 36°
Thursday

Sunny
Sunny
High: 52°
Thursday
night
Clear
Clear
Low: 28°
Friday

Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
High: 58°
Friday
night
Chance rain
Chance rain
Low: 40°
Saturday

Cloudy
Cloudy
High: 52°
Saturday
night
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Low: 40°
Sunday

Rain and Snow
Cold!
Rain and Snow
Cold!
High: 41°
Sunday
night
Mostly Cloudy
Cold!
Mostly Cloudy
Cold!
Low: 27°

Current NWS Forecast

Wed, 08-Apr-2020 8:31pm CDT

Tonight

Tonight: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 35 °F ↑
Thursday

Thursday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 56 °F
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Clear
Clear

Lo 26 °F
Friday

Friday: Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny

Hi 56 °F
Friday
Night
Friday Night: Mostly Cloudy then Chance Rain Showers
Mostly Cloudy then Chance Rain Showers

Lo 42 °F
Saturday

Saturday: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And TStorms

Hi 64 °F
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
Showers And TStorms Likely

Lo 40 °F
Sunday

Sunday: Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
Showers And TStorms Likely

Hi 49 °F
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Slight Chance T-storms
Slight Chance T-storms

Lo 27 °F



WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 04-08-20 at 2:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-08-20 49 ↑   48 70 ↓   69 35   38 55   54 29   28 61   57 45   41 64   49
04-07-20 54 ↑ 53.0°F 54 79 88.9 °F 83 50   50 70   71 35   35 54   54 30   30 62   59
04-06-20 50 61.2°F 49 72 73.9 °F 67 52 ↑ 53.0°F 51 80 88.9 °F 78 51   48 71   73 37   35 59   52
04-05-20 29 53.1°F 32 61 61.7 °F 63 48 61.2°F 43 74 73.9 °F 68 54 53.0°F 48 80 88.9 °F 78 50   49 69   66
04-04-20 26 35.1°F 22 51 52.6 °F 52 31 53.1°F 30 62 61.7 °F 62 50 61.2°F 44 76 73.9 °F 73 54 53.0°F 53 80 88.9 °F 81
04-03-20 25 27.1°F 23 42 38.4 °F 39 25 ↑ 35.1°F 22 51 52.6 °F 52 32 53.1°F 31 64 61.7 °F 60 50 61.2°F 43 75 73.9 °F 70
04-02-20 55 24.2°F 54 64 ↓ 65.0 °F 68 30 ↑ 27.1°F 36 43 38.4 °F 45 28 35.1°F 28 52 52.6 °F 52 36 53.1°F 31 65 61.7 °F 63
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 1 4 3 1 1 3 2 1 0 1 3 1 1 1 1
% Succ 16.7   16.7 66.7   50.0 20.0   20.0 60.0   40.0 25.0   0.0 25.0   75.0 33.3   33.3 33.3   33.3
Ave Error 13.1   13.6 3.1   3.1 9.9   13.1 3.1   4.9 10.1   12.9 3.5   3.5 9.8   13.4 4.4   4.4
Net Error -2.5   -3.3 -1.9   -1.4 -8.7   -9.5 -1.1   -2.1 -9.6   -12.9 -1.3   -3.5 -9.1   -13.4 -1.5   -3.5
Std Dev 9.8   9.0 3.3   2.8 9.3   10.9 3.7   4.6 9.9   11.8 4.1   4.8 9.8   13.4 4.4   4.4

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 04-08-20 at 5:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-08-20 46 ↑   68 72 ↓   38 33 ↑   55 55   30 27   58 58   42 44   50 63   42
04-07-20 54 ↑ 48.6°F 83 81 88.9 °F 51 50 ↑   71 70   35 35   53 56   30 29   59 61   39
04-06-20 50 57.6°F 69 73 ↓ 73.9 °F 51 53 ↑ 48.6°F 78 81 88.9 °F 48 50   73 71   35 36   52 56   32
04-05-20 25 52.5°F 62 60 61.7 °F 43 47 ↑ 57.6°F 69 72 73.9 °F 50 53 48.6°F 78 80 88.9 °F 50 51   66 71   37
04-04-20 25 33.5°F 52 50 52.6 °F 30 29 ↑ 52.5°F 62 63 61.7 °F 44 50 57.6°F 73 76 73.9 °F 53 54 48.6°F 81 81 88.9 °F 48
04-03-20 25 26.2°F 37 42 38.4 °F 21 23 ↑ 33.5°F 51 51 52.6 °F 31 30 52.5°F 59 63 61.7 °F 43 50 57.6°F 69 74 73.9 °F 54
04-02-20 53 23.6°F 69 59 ↓ 65.0 °F 36 29 26.2°F 45 42 38.4 °F 28 25 33.5°F 53 49 52.6 °F 32 32 52.5°F 63 63 61.7 °F 47
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 0 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0
% Succ 16.7   0.0 33.3   0.0     0.0 60.0   0.0     0.0 25.0   0.0     0.0 66.7   0.0
Ave Error 13.3   21.7 3.8   24.8 10.4   17.3 3.3   22.9 10.8   17.7 4.0   24.8 11.2   18.1 3.1   25.2
Net Error -1.7   21.7 -2.6   -24.8 -7.5   17.3 -1.3   -22.9 -8.6   17.7 -2.3   -24.8 -7.6   18.1 -2.2   -25.2
Std Dev 10.3   13.0 2.7   12.1 9.2   13.0 3.1   16.7 9.8   16.4 4.2   22.6 11.2   18.1 3.1   25.2

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 04-08-20 at 8:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-08-20 72 ↓   70 33 ↑   39 55 ↓   55 27   28 58   55 44   40 63   52 37   44
04-07-20 81 88.9 °F 79 50 ↑ 48.4°F 48 70 ↓   70 35   33 56   53 29   30 61   60 43   42
04-06-20 73 ↓ 73.9 °F 69 53 ↑ 55.9°F 51 81 ↓ 88.9 °F 81 50 48.4°F 50 71   70 36   34 56   49 33   29
04-05-20 60 61.7 °F 61 47 ↑ 52.5°F 46 72 ↓ 73.9 °F 68 53 55.9°F 49 80 88.9 °F 77 51 48.4°F 48 71   67 37   37
04-04-20 50 52.6 °F 52 29 ↑ 30.6°F 30 63 ↓ 61.7 °F 61 50 52.5°F 45 76 73.9 °F 75 54 55.9°F 51 81 88.9 °F 79 49 48.4°F 46
04-03-20 42 38.4 °F 34 23 ↑ 25.8°F 19 51 ↓ 52.6 °F 53 30 30.6°F 30 63 61.7 °F 59 50 52.5°F 41 74 73.9 °F 69 53 55.9°F 48
04-02-20 59 ↓ 65.0 °F 67 29 23.4°F 35 42 38.4 °F 45 25 25.8°F 28 49 52.6 °F 53 32 30.6°F 33 63 61.7 °F 60 50 52.5°F 43
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 3 2 2 3 2 3 2 1 2 2 1 2 1 1 0
% Succ 33.3   50.0 33.3   33.3 60.0   40.0 60.0   40.0 25.0   50.0 50.0   25.0 66.7   33.3 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 3.8   3.8 3.3   5.1 3.3   4.3 1.7   3.8 4.0   4.0 2.1   4.8 3.1   5.5 2.0   6.6
Net Error -2.6   -3.1 -0.9   -1.3 -1.3   -1.5 -1.0   -2.2 -2.3   -3.3 -0.1   -3.6 -2.2   -5.5 -1.6   -6.6
Std Dev 2.7   3.5 1.9   3.5 3.1   3.6 1.2   3.4 4.2   5.3 1.8   4.7 3.1   5.5 2.0   6.6

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 04-08-20 at 11:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-08-20 72 ↓   76 33 ↑   36 55 ↓   53 27   28 58   55 44   40 63   52 37   44
04-07-20 81 88.9 °F 79 50 ↑ 48.4°F 48 70 ↓   70 35   33 56   53 29   30 61   60 43   42
04-06-20 70 73.9 °F 71 53 ↑ 55.9°F 50 81 ↓ 88.9 °F 82 50 48.4°F 49 71   70 36   34 56   48 33   28
04-05-20 60 61.7 °F 61 47 ↑ 52.5°F 44 72 73.9 °F 67 53 55.9°F 49 80 88.9 °F 77 51 48.4°F 48 70   68 37   37
04-04-20 50 52.6 °F 53 29 30.6°F 33 63 61.7 °F 62 50 52.5°F 46 76 73.9 °F 75 54 55.9°F 52 80 88.9 °F 79 49 48.4°F 47
04-03-20 42 38.4 °F 38 23 ↑ 25.8°F 20 51 ↓ 52.6 °F 54 30 30.6°F 30 63 61.7 °F 60 50 52.5°F 43 74 73.9 °F 70 53 55.9°F 49
04-02-20 63 ↓ 65.0 °F 70 29 23.4°F 34 42 38.4 °F 44 25 25.8°F 28 49 52.6 °F 53 32 30.6°F 33 63 61.7 °F 60 50 52.5°F 43
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 3 2 1 3 2 3 2 1 3 2 1 2 1 1 1
% Succ 33.3   50.0 33.3   16.7 60.0   40.0 60.0   40.0 25.0   75.0 50.0   25.0 66.7   33.3 33.3   33.3
Ave Error 3.6   3.2 3.3   5.6 3.3   4.2 1.7   3.4 4.0   3.8 2.1   4.1 3.4   5.2 2.0   5.9
Net Error -2.4   -1.4 -0.9   -1.3 -1.3   -1.3 -1.0   -2.2 -2.3   -3.0 -0.1   -2.9 -2.5   -5.2 -1.6   -5.9
Std Dev 2.5   3.6 1.9   3.6 3.1   3.6 1.2   3.2 4.2   5.2 1.8   4.0 3.4   5.2 2.0   5.9

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 04-08-20 at 2:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-08-20 73 ↓   74 33 ↑   37 55 ↓   53 27   28 58   57 44   40 63   52 37   41
04-07-20 83 ↓ 88.9 °F 92 50 ↑ 48.4°F 49 70 ↓   75 35   37 56   55 29   31 61   60 43   43
04-06-20 70 73.9 °F 71 53 ↑ 55.9°F 51 81 ↓ 88.9 °F 81 50 48.4°F 50 71   71 36   34 56   54 33   30
04-05-20 60 61.7 °F 60 47 ↑ 52.5°F 44 72 73.9 °F 68 53 55.9°F 49 80 88.9 °F 74 51 48.4°F 46 70   68 37   35
04-04-20 51 52.6 °F 52 29 30.6°F 32 63 61.7 °F 62 50 52.5°F 46 76 73.9 °F 73 54 55.9°F 49 80 88.9 °F 78 49 48.4°F 48
04-03-20 42 38.4 °F 37 23 25.8°F 21 51 52.6 °F 53 30 30.6°F 31 63 61.7 °F 62 50 52.5°F 43 74 73.9 °F 71 53 55.9°F 50
04-02-20 65 ↓ 65.0 °F 45 27 ↑ 23.4°F 29 42 38.4 °F 36 25 25.8°F 21 49 52.6 °F 52 32 30.6°F 31 63 61.7 °F 62 50 52.5°F 44
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 3 2 2 3 2 3 2 1 3 2 1 2 1 1 1
% Succ 50.0   50.0 33.3   33.3 60.0   40.0 60.0   40.0 25.0   75.0 50.0   25.0 66.7   33.3 33.3   33.3
Ave Error 2.8   5.0 3.0   4.3 3.3   3.4 1.7   4.0 4.0   4.2 2.1   4.8 3.4   4.7 2.0   4.9
Net Error -1.6   -3.9 -1.3   -1.8 -1.3   -3.1 -1.0   -3.2 -2.3   -4.0 -0.1   -4.6 -2.5   -4.5 -1.6   -4.9
Std Dev 1.9   3.5 1.8   3.1 3.1   3.4 1.2   3.3 4.2   6.5 1.8   4.3 3.4   4.7 2.0   4.9

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 04-08-20 at 5:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-08-20 73 ↓   36 35 ↑   53 56   28 26   57 56   40 42   52 64   41 40   42
04-07-20 89 ↓ 88.9 °F 48 50 48.4°F 74 70 ↓   37 35   55 55   31 29   60 61   43 45   52
04-06-20 72 73.9 °F 52 54 55.9°F 79 79 88.9 °F 50 50 48.4°F 70 70   34 35   54 54   30 30   57
04-05-20 60 ↓ 61.7 °F 45 47 52.5°F 69 72 73.9 °F 51 52 55.9°F 76 80 88.9 °F 47 51 48.4°F 68 71   35 37   58
04-04-20 51 ↓ 52.6 °F 33 29 30.6°F 61 61 61.7 °F 44 48 52.5°F 72 74 73.9 °F 51 54 55.9°F 79 80 88.9 °F 49 50 48.4°F 64
04-03-20 41 ↓ 38.4 °F 20 23 25.8°F 52 50 52.6 °F 31 31 30.6°F 63 62 61.7 °F 46 50 52.5°F 69 76 73.9 °F 49 54 55.9°F 78
04-02-20 65 ↓ 65.0 °F 23 27 23.4°F 35 42 38.4 °F 22 25 25.8°F 53 51 52.6 °F 31 32 30.6°F 62 64 61.7 °F 43 50 52.5°F 69
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 5 0 3 0 2 0 3 0 3 0 2 0 0 0 2 0
% Succ 83.3   0.0 50.0   0.0 40.0   0.0 60.0   0.0 75.0   0.0 50.0   0.0     0.0 66.7   0.0
Ave Error 1.3   26.6 2.8   22.2 3.7   23.5 2.2   24.2 2.7   25.5 2.1   22.7 4.4   27.8 2.0   18.1
Net Error -0.4   -26.6 -1.1   22.2 -2.3   -23.5 -1.4   24.2 -2.5   -25.5 -0.1   22.7 -1.5   -27.8 -0.9   18.1
Std Dev 1.0   13.8 1.8   10.2 4.0   16.6 1.9   15.6 3.9   23.6 1.8   19.7 4.4   27.8 2.0   18.1

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 04-08-20 at 8:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-08-20 35 ↑   36 56   52 26   28 56   58 42   40 64   52 40   40 49   41
04-07-20 50 48.4°F 48 70 ↓ 88.9 °F 75 35   38 55   55 29   31 61   60 45   43 64   52
04-06-20 54 55.9°F 52 79 73.9 °F 80 50 48.4°F 50 70 88.9 °F 70 35   33 54   52 30   30 62   58
04-05-20 47 52.5°F 47 72 61.7 °F 69 52 ↑ 55.9°F 50 80 73.9 °F 75 51 48.4°F 47 71 88.9 °F 68 37   34 59   54
04-04-20 29 30.6°F 33 61 52.6 °F 60 48 52.5°F 42 74 61.7 °F 72 54 55.9°F 52 80 73.9 °F 79 50 48.4°F 49 69 88.9 °F 64
04-03-20 23 25.8°F 22 50 38.4 °F 53 31 30.6°F 31 62 52.6 °F 62 50 52.5°F 42 76 61.7 °F 73 54 55.9°F 52 80 73.9 °F 82
04-02-20 25 23.4°F 29 42 65.0 °F 44 25 ↑ 25.8°F 26 51 38.4 °F 53 32 30.6°F 31 64 52.6 °F 63 50 52.5°F 43 75 61.7 °F 64
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 4 1 0 0 3 3 0 1 2 2 0 0 2 1 0 0
% Succ 66.7   16.7     0.0 60.0   60.0     20.0 50.0   50.0     0.0 66.7   33.3     0.0
Ave Error 2.5   3.6 12.9   11.7 2.2   3.7 11.9   10.9 2.1   4.1 12.4   11.9 2.0   4.7 13.1   11.8
Net Error -1.4   -0.9 -1.1   0.1 -1.4   -2.8 4.3   3.3 -0.1   -3.9 3.5   1.5 -0.9   -4.3 -0.2   -4.8
Std Dev 1.7   2.2 7.0   6.1 1.9   4.1 8.5   8.9 1.8   3.7 11.1   11.3 2.0   4.7 13.1   11.8

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 04-07-20 at 11:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-07-20 50   49 70 ↓   72 35   36 55   55 29   30 61   60 45   43 64   52
04-06-20 54 ↑ 62.6°F 56 79 73.9 °F 82 50   50 70   72 35   34 54   52 30   31 62   58
04-05-20 47 64.9°F 49 72 61.7 °F 69 52 ↑ 62.6°F 52 80 73.9 °F 77 51   48 71   68 37   35 59   54
04-04-20 29 54.8°F 31 61 52.6 °F 61 48 64.9°F 43 74 61.7 °F 72 54 62.6°F 51 80 73.9 °F 78 50   49 69   64
04-03-20 23 37.3°F 21 51 38.4 °F 53 31 54.8°F 30 62 52.6 °F 62 50 64.9°F 42 76 61.7 °F 73 54 62.6°F 52 80 73.9 °F 82
04-02-20 25 29.0°F 22 42 65.0 °F 38 25 ↑ 37.3°F 24 51 38.4 °F 52 32 54.8°F 30 64 52.6 °F 63 50 64.9°F 44 75 61.7 °F 64
04-01-20 55 25.9°F 55 64 ↓ 76.5 °F 68 30 ↑ 29.0°F 42 43 65.0 °F 47 28 37.3°F 28 52 38.4 °F 51 36 54.8°F 33 65 52.6 °F 60
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
% Succ     0.0     0.0 20.0   0.0     0.0     0.0     0.0     0.0     0.0
Ave Error 16.6   16.5 12.0   12.3 12.9   16.7 12.5   10.9 13.9   17.2 11.4   9.6 14.1   17.8 10.6   5.9
Net Error -6.9   -6.8 0.1   0.5 -12.5   -11.5 3.7   3.7 -13.9   -17.2 11.4   9.6 -14.1   -17.8 10.6   5.9
Std Dev 9.9   9.2 7.4   8.5 9.7   11.7 8.5   7.7 12.3   15.1 10.2   8.8 14.1   17.8 10.6   5.9

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.