SE Lincoln, NE USA Weather Website - NWS - WXSIM Forecast Comparison

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Lincoln, NE USA

Updated: 12-Nov-2019 6:59 AM

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US Weather Extremes

==========

USA

High Temp

105°F at Daggett/Barstow, CA

Low Temp

-14°F at Havre/City Co, MT

Precipitation

0.45in at Sheridan/Co, WY

==========

NE Weather Extremes

==========

for Sunday,
November 10, 2019

High Temp

60°F at Sidney/Muni, NE

Low Temp

12°F at Chadron/Muni, NE

Precipitation

0.16in at Valentine/Miller Fld, NE

==========

Data from NWS CPC

External Links

Current WXSIM Forecast

Tuesday, 12-Nov-2019 05:00 am

Today

Mostly Sunny
Cold!
High: 40°

Tonight

Partly Cloudy
Cold!
Low: 30°

Wednesday

Mostly Cloudy
High: 51°

Wednesday
night
Mostly Cloudy
Cold!

Mostly Cloudy
Cold!
Low: 21°

Thursday

Sunny
High: 40°

Thursday
night
Clear
Cold!

Clear
Cold!
Low: 20°

Friday

Partly Cloudy
High: 53°

Friday
night
Mostly Cloudy
Cold!

Mostly Cloudy
Cold!
Low: 33°

Saturday

Mostly Cloudy
High: 52°

Current NWS Forecast

Tue, 12-Nov-2019 6:07am CST

Today

Sunny

Hi 31 °F ↓

Tonight

Tonight: Partly Cloudy

Partly Cloudy

Lo 22 °F

Wednesday

Wednesday: Chance Snow Showers then Slight Chance Light Rain

Chance Snow Showers then Slight Chance Light Rain

Hi 43 °F ↓

Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Partly Cloudy

Partly Cloudy

Lo 20 °F

Thursday

Thursday: Sunny

Sunny

Hi 42 °F

Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Mostly Clear

Mostly Clear

Lo 25 °F

Friday

Friday: Mostly Sunny

Mostly Sunny

Hi 55 °F

Friday
Night
Friday Night: Partly Cloudy

Partly Cloudy

Lo 33 °F

Saturday

Saturday: Partly Sunny

Partly Sunny

Hi 55 °F

WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 11-12-19 at 2:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
11-12-19	0		5	30 ↓		37	22		28	42		47	20		21	42		41	25		23	55		56
11-11-19	19 ↑	7.0°F	15	23 ↓	25.9 °F	20	6		4	32		35	23		26	45		43	24		19	44		40
11-10-19	35 ↑	22.7°F	36	45 ↓	49.3 °F	53	18 ↑	7.0°F	23	26	25.9 °F	25	8		7	32		39	23		30	48		44
11-09-19	33	40.8°F	35	67 ↓	74.9 °F	68	36 ↑	22.7°F	39	44	49.3 °F	53	15	7.0°F	29	27	25.9 °F	32	7		14	30		40
11-08-19	19	36.5°F	23	51 ↓	48.8 °F	51	31	40.8°F	34	68	74.9 °F	65	36	22.7°F	36	46	49.3 °F	45	17	7.0°F	28	26	25.9 °F	33
11-07-19	19	24.9°F	18	36 ↓	38.5 °F	42	22	36.5°F	20	51	48.8 °F	47	33	40.8°F	27	64	74.9 °F	65	36	22.7°F	34	46	49.3 °F	45
11-06-19	37 ↑	22.0°F	37	47 ↓	45.7 °F	57	21 ↑	24.9°F	24	37	38.5 °F	44	22	36.5°F	24	48	48.8 °F	49	31	40.8°F	32	61	74.9 °F	62
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	0		0	1		0	0		1	2		2	0		0	2		1	0		0	1		0
% Succ			0.0	16.7		0.0			20.0	40.0		40.0			0.0	50.0		25.0			0.0	33.3		0.0
Ave Error	11.8		10.4	3.5		5.6	10.5		11.3	3.2		4.4	10.9		15.4	4.0		5.1	11.0		13.7	5.8		8.1
Net Error	1.4		1.7	-2.4		1.3	-0.8		1.6	-2.3		-0.7	-0.2		2.3	-3.5		-2.0	4.5		7.8	-5.7		-3.4
Std Dev	6.1		5.3	2.4		3.0	6.8		8.0	3.1		4.0	9.6		13.7	3.8		4.5	11.0		13.7	5.8		8.1

Start: Days: Cols: Goal: Ext Stats: Diff Cols: Hilite #s: Time: Show NWS

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 11-12-19 at 5:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
11-12-19	0		40	31 ↓		30	22		51	43		21	20		40	42		20	25		53	55		33
11-11-19	19	5.6°F	22	22 ↓	25.9 °F	5	3		35	33		25	23		37	45		18	23		41	43		22
11-10-19	35 ↑	18.2°F	58	45 ↓	49.3 °F	28	21 ↑	5.6°F	30	24	25.9 °F	13	10		40	33		30	23		45	48		23
11-09-19	33	38.7°F	69	67 ↓	74.9 °F	41	39 ↑	18.2°F	51	44	49.3 °F	29	20	5.6°F	32	26	25.9 °F	14	9		41	31		27
11-08-19	19	34.4°F	51	50 ↓	48.8 °F	35	34	38.7°F	66	67	74.9 °F	37	37	18.2°F	49	44	49.3 °F	28	18	5.6°F	31	26	25.9 °F	16
11-07-19	19	24.5°F	43	35 ↓	38.5 °F	22	23 ↑	34.4°F	48	49	48.8 °F	31	34	38.7°F	64	66	74.9 °F	35	36	18.2°F	44	46	49.3 °F	25
11-06-19	37	18.4°F	59	45 ↓	45.7 °F	30	20 ↑	24.5°F	46	36	38.5 °F	26	23	34.4°F	52	50	48.8 °F	34	31	38.7°F	65	64	74.9 °F	36
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	0		0	2		0	0		0	2		0	0		0	2		0	0		0	1		0
% Succ			0.0	33.3		0.0			0.0	40.0		0.0			0.0	50.0		0.0			0.0	33.3		0.0
Ave Error	12.6		27.0	3.6		20.4	11.4		23.9	3.6		20.3	12.3		25.0	3.9		22.0	12.6		25.8	4.8		24.4
Net Error	3.7		27.0	-3.2		-20.4	3.1		23.9	-3.5		-20.3	4.3		25.0	-3.2		-22.0	7.5		25.8	-4.7		-24.4
Std Dev	6.9		14.1	2.5		10.5	9.0		15.7	3.2		15.4	10.7		21.7	3.9		19.7	12.6		25.8	4.8		24.4

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 11-11-19 at 8:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
11-11-19	22 ↓		21	3		3	33 ↓		35	23		25	45		37	23		18	43		40	26		22
11-10-19	45 ↓	49.3 °F	55	21 ↑	17.6°F	23	24 ↓		25	10		8	33		37	23		29	48		45	25		22
11-09-19	67 ↓	74.9 °F	66	39 ↑	35.8°F	40	44 ↓	49.3 °F	51	20	17.6°F	28	26		31	9		14	31		40	21		27
11-08-19	50 ↓	48.8 °F	53	34	33.6°F	35	67 ↓	74.9 °F	67	37	35.8°F	38	44	49.3 °F	49	18	17.6°F	28	26		32	9		17
11-07-19	35 ↓	38.5 °F	40	23 ↑	24.4°F	20	49 ↓	48.8 °F	47	34	33.6°F	31	66	74.9 °F	65	36	35.8°F	35	46	49.3 °F	44	18	17.6°F	25
11-06-19	46 ↓	45.7 °F	57	20 ↑	15.6°F	29	36 ↓	38.5 °F	46	23	24.4°F	26	50	48.8 °F	51	31	33.6°F	34	64	74.9 °F	65	34	35.8°F	36
11-05-19	49	51.2 °F	48	36 ↑	38.1°F	34	50 ↓	45.7 °F	54	23	15.6°F	24	37	38.5 °F	41	21	24.4°F	21	46	48.8 °F	47	30	33.6°F	25
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	2		1	2		1	1		2	3		1	2		1	2		2	0		1	2		1
% Succ	33.3		16.7	33.3		16.7	20.0		40.0	60.0		20.0	50.0		25.0	50.0		50.0			33.3	66.7		33.3
Ave Error	3.2		5.8	2.5		5.5	4.0		5.4	2.6		5.0	4.2		3.7	1.7		3.8	5.7		5.7	1.9		5.4
Net Error	-2.7		1.8	1.3		2.7	-2.2		1.6	2.0		4.0	-3.6		-1.4	-1.4		1.7	-5.7		-5.7	-1.7		-0.3
Std Dev	2.8		4.0	1.7		4.3	3.6		4.3	2.0		4.3	3.7		3.7	1.6		4.6	5.7		5.7	1.9		5.4

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 11-11-19 at 11:00 am

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
11-11-19	21		22	3		1	33 ↓		35	23		26	45		37	23		20	43		42	26		22
11-10-19	45 ↓	49.3 °F	49	21 ↑	17.6°F	19	24 ↓		21	10		3	33		36	23		30	48		45	25		22
11-09-19	67 ↓	74.9 °F	68	39 ↑	35.8°F	40	44 ↓	49.3 °F	53	20	17.6°F	30	26		33	9		16	31		41	21		28
11-08-19	50 ↓	48.8 °F	47	34	33.6°F	32	67 ↓	74.9 °F	63	37	35.8°F	37	44	49.3 °F	51	18	17.6°F	29	26		31	9		15
11-07-19	35 ↓	38.5 °F	37	23 ↑	24.4°F	17	49 ↓	48.8 °F	46	34	33.6°F	29	66	74.9 °F	63	36	35.8°F	35	46	49.3 °F	42	18	17.6°F	25
11-06-19	44 ↓	45.7 °F	48	20 ↑	15.6°F	20	36 ↓	38.5 °F	39	23	24.4°F	18	50	48.8 °F	44	31	33.6°F	30	64	74.9 °F	68	34	35.8°F	35
11-05-19	49	51.2 °F	47	36 ↑	38.1°F	35	50 ↓	45.7 °F	53	23	15.6°F	25	37	38.5 °F	43	21	24.4°F	23	46	48.8 °F	47	30	33.6°F	28
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	2		3	2		2	1		1	3		1	2		1	2		2	0		1	2		1
% Succ	33.3		50.0	33.3		33.3	20.0		20.0	60.0		20.0	50.0		25.0	50.0		50.0			33.3	66.7		33.3
Ave Error	3.5		2.8	2.5		3.7	4.0		5.2	2.6		6.8	4.2		5.7	1.7		4.3	5.7		5.3	1.9		4.6
Net Error	-3.1		-2.1	1.3		-0.4	-2.2		-0.6	2.0		2.4	-3.6		-2.6	-1.4		1.4	-5.7		-5.3	-1.7		0.3
Std Dev	2.6		2.4	1.7		2.5	3.6		4.6	2.0		5.7	3.7		5.4	1.6		5.1	5.7		5.3	1.9		4.6

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 11-11-19 at 2:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
11-11-19	21 ↓		23	1 ↑		1	32 ↓		34	23		26	44		37	22		20	41		41	25		23
11-10-19	46 ↓	49.3 °F	48	19 ↑	17.6°F	17	25 ↓		19	10		3	33		36	23		29	48		45	25		22
11-09-19	67 ↓	74.9 °F	72	39 ↑	35.8°F	42	44 ↓	49.3 °F	55	20	17.6°F	30	26		33	9		16	31		43	21		28
11-08-19	50 ↓	48.8 °F	49	33	33.6°F	34	67 ↓	74.9 °F	65	36	35.8°F	38	44	49.3 °F	51	15	17.6°F	29	27		31	7		15
11-07-19	35 ↓	38.5 °F	37	23 ↑	24.4°F	18	49 ↓	48.8 °F	46	34	33.6°F	30	66	74.9 °F	63	36	35.8°F	35	46	49.3 °F	43	18	17.6°F	25
11-06-19	46 ↓	45.7 °F	39	20 ↑	15.6°F	20	36 ↓	38.5 °F	41	23	24.4°F	18	51	48.8 °F	44	33	33.6°F	30	64	74.9 °F	68	36	35.8°F	35
11-05-19	50	51.2 °F	47	36 ↑	38.1°F	32	50 ↓	45.7 °F	50	23	15.6°F	23	37	38.5 °F	42	21	24.4°F	22	46	48.8 °F	47	30	33.6°F	28
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	3		3	3		2	1		0	3		0	1		1	2		1	0		1	2		1
% Succ	50.0		50.0	50.0		33.3	20.0		0.0	60.0		0.0	25.0		25.0	50.0		25.0			33.3	66.7		33.3
Ave Error	2.9		2.8	2.2		4.0	4.0		5.0	2.4		6.4	4.5		5.5	1.7		4.6	5.7		5.0	1.4		4.6
Net Error	-2.4		-2.7	0.8		-0.4	-2.2		0.0	1.8		2.4	-3.4		-2.9	-1.6		1.2	-5.7		-5.0	-1.0		0.3
Std Dev	2.7		2.4	1.6		2.9	3.6		4.0	2.0		5.4	3.9		5.1	1.5		5.2	5.7		5.0	1.4		4.6

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 11-11-19 at 5:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
11-11-19	22 ↓		2	1		34	32 ↓		25	23		43	44		19	22		40	41		21	25		53
11-10-19	48 ↓	49.3 °F	19	19 ↑	17.6°F	23	23 ↓		5	6		35	32		28	23		44	45		23	24		42
11-09-19	73 ↓	74.9 °F	42	35 ↑	35.8°F	59	44 ↓	49.3 °F	29	18	17.6°F	31	26		15	8		42	32		29	23		48
11-08-19	50 ↓	48.8 °F	35	33	33.6°F	66	67 ↓	74.9 °F	38	36	35.8°F	50	44	49.3 °F	29	15	17.6°F	32	27		14	7		40
11-07-19	36 ↓	38.5 °F	21	20	24.4°F	49	50	48.8 °F	32	31	33.6°F	64	68	74.9 °F	38	36	35.8°F	46	46	49.3 °F	24	17	17.6°F	29
11-06-19	46 ↓	45.7 °F	18	19 ↑	15.6°F	40	36 ↓	38.5 °F	17	22	24.4°F	44	51	48.8 °F	24	33	33.6°F	67	64	74.9 °F	34	36	35.8°F	47
11-05-19	51	51.2 °F	35	37 ↑	38.1°F	52	47 ↓	45.7 °F	25	21	15.6°F	43	37	38.5 °F	23	22	24.4°F	47	48	48.8 °F	28	31	33.6°F	66
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	5		0	4		0	2		0	2		0	1		0	2		0	1		0	2		0
% Succ	83.3		0.0	66.7		0.0	40.0		0.0	40.0		0.0	25.0		0.0	50.0		0.0	33.3		0.0	66.7		0.0
Ave Error	1.2		23.1	2.0		20.7	3.6		23.2	2.2		21.0	4.0		24.4	1.5		20.2	5.0		29.0	1.1		18.3
Net Error	-0.7		-23.1	-0.4		20.7	-2.6		-23.2	0.2		21.0	-2.9		-24.4	-1.4		20.2	-5.0		-29.0	-1.0		18.3
Std Dev	0.9		11.7	1.6		11.8	3.3		16.2	1.8		14.7	3.5		21.2	1.4		17.7	5.0		29.0	1.1		18.3

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 11-11-19 at 8:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
11-11-19	1		5	32 ↓		36	23		26	44		44	22		19	41		40	25		22	53		53
11-10-19	19 ↑	17.6°F	18	23 ↓	49.3 °F	21	6		3	32		35	23		28	45		44	24		24	44		42
11-09-19	35 ↑	35.8°F	39	44 ↓	74.9 °F	56	18 ↑	17.6°F	29	26	49.3 °F	30	8		14	32		42	23		29	48		48
11-08-19	33	33.6°F	34	67 ↓	48.8 °F	67	36 ↑	35.8°F	38	44	74.9 °F	50	15	17.6°F	29	27	49.3 °F	31	7		14	30		39
11-07-19	20	24.4°F	21	51 ↓	38.5 °F	50	31	33.6°F	33	68	48.8 °F	64	36	35.8°F	38	46	74.9 °F	47	17	17.6°F	25	26	49.3 °F	29
11-06-19	19 ↑	15.6°F	19	36 ↓	45.7 °F	40	22	24.4°F	18	51	38.5 °F	43	33	33.6°F	24	64	48.8 °F	67	36	35.8°F	34	46	74.9 °F	47
11-05-19	37 ↑	38.1°F	37	47 ↓	51.2 °F	54	21 ↑	15.6°F	27	37	45.7 °F	44	22	24.4°F	24	48	38.5 °F	47	31	33.6°F	28	61	48.8 °F	66
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	4		3	0		0	2		1	0		1	2		1	0		0	2		1	0		0
% Succ	66.7		50.0			0.0	40.0		20.0			20.0	50.0		25.0			0.0	66.7		33.3			0.0
Ave Error	2.0		2.0	17.0		14.2	2.2		6.4	18.9		13.1	1.5		5.9	19.0		18.2	1.1		4.9	21.5		21.8
Net Error	-0.4		0.5	-6.7		-3.4	0.2		3.6	-6.2		-5.2	-1.4		0.9	-6.6		-4.9	-1.0		0.0	-13.3		-10.3
Std Dev	1.6		1.6	10.4		9.3	1.8		5.6	13.3		10.3	1.4		5.8	16.5		15.8	1.1		4.9	21.5		21.8

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 11-11-19 at 11:00 pm

Goal	Forecast Day						Day +1						Day +2						Day +3
± 2.0° F	Low			High			Low			High			Low			High			Low			High
Date	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
11-11-19	1		6	32 ↓		36	23		27	44		46	22		21	41		41	25		23	53		56
11-10-19	19 ↑	10.9°F	17	23 ↓	49.3 °F	20	6		2	32		35	23		27	45		43	24		20	44		40
11-09-19	35 ↑	26.9°F	37	44 ↓	74.9 °F	53	18 ↑	10.9°F	23	26	49.3 °F	25	8		7	32		39	23		30	48		44
11-08-19	33	47.6°F	35	67 ↓	48.8 °F	67	36 ↑	26.9°F	39	44	74.9 °F	52	15	10.9°F	29	27	49.3 °F	32	7		14	30		39
11-07-19	20	38.8°F	23	51 ↓	38.5 °F	50	31	47.6°F	32	68	48.8 °F	63	36	26.9°F	35	46	74.9 °F	44	17	10.9°F	28	26	49.3 °F	33
11-06-19	19 ↑	25.8°F	17	36 ↓	45.7 °F	40	22	38.8°F	18	51	38.5 °F	45	33	47.6°F	26	64	48.8 °F	65	36	26.9°F	33	46	74.9 °F	44
11-05-19	37 ↑	26.0°F	38	47 ↓	51.2 °F	57	21 ↑	25.8°F	24	37	45.7 °F	43	22	38.8°F	23	48	38.5 °F	49	31	47.6°F	32	61	48.8 °F	62
Results	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS	NW	Act	WS
# Succ	0		0	0		0	0		1	0		0	0		0	0		0	0		0	0		0
% Succ			0.0			0.0			20.0			0.0			0.0			0.0			0.0			0.0
Ave Error	11.2		10.9	17.0		15.4	10.9		12.5	18.9		14.1	11.2		15.9	19.0		18.7	10.6		12.9	21.5		20.1
Net Error	-2.2		-1.5	-6.7		-3.6	-4.4		-2.8	-6.2		-5.8	-4.6		-2.8	-6.6		-5.4	-0.5		2.5	-13.3		-11.3
Std Dev	6.2		5.4	10.4		9.9	7.6		8.0	13.3		10.8	10.3		13.8	16.5		16.2	10.6		12.9	21.5		20.1

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.

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