Current WXSIM Forecast

Sunday, 26-Jan-2020 05:00 pm

Tonight

Fog late
Fog late
Low: 28°
Monday

Fog a.m.
Fog a.m.
High: 42°
Monday
night
Cloudy
Cloudy
Low: 26°
Tuesday

Overcast
Overcast
High: 31°
Tuesday
night
Cloudy
Cloudy
Low: 29°
Wednesday

Cloudy
Cloudy
High: 43°
Wednesday
night
Overcast
Overcast
Low: 33°
Thursday

Overcast
Overcast
High: 39°
Thursday
night
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Low: 26°

Current NWS Forecast

Sun, 26-Jan-2020 6:35pm CST

Tonight

Tonight: Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy

Lo 25 °F ↑
Monday

Monday: Cloudy
Cloudy

Hi 35 °F ↓
Monday
Night
Monday Night: Cloudy
Cloudy

Lo 23 °F ↑
Tuesday

Tuesday: Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy

Hi 32 °F
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy

Lo 22 °F
Wednesday

Wednesday: Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy

Hi 36 °F
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy

Lo 22 °F
Thursday

Thursday: Slight Chance Light Snow then Mostly Cloudy
Slight Chance Light Snow then Mostly Cloudy

Hi 36 °F
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy

Lo 26 °F



WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 01-26-20 at 2:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
01-26-20 21 ↑   28 40 ↓   51 21   28 34   44 24   31 36   44 23   29 38   47
01-25-20 14 ↑ 31.4°F 22 32 ↓ 32.4 °F 48 19 ↑   27 38   52 23   24 34   46 24   26 37   41
01-24-20 24 ↑ 26.6°F 26 30 31.4 °F 35 14 31.4°F 20 31 32.4 °F 47 20   26 37   52 23   23 37   39
01-23-20 32 28.8°F 31 33 ↓ 34.5 °F 33 23 ↑ 26.6°F 28 31 31.4 °F 34 14 31.4°F 16 32 32.4 °F 44 21   29 38   52
01-22-20 28 ↑ 34.4°F 31 37 35.8 °F 36 29 ↑ 28.8°F 31 36 34.5 °F 35 23 26.6°F 29 32 31.4 °F 38 21 31.4°F 21 36 32.4 °F 41
01-21-20 -1 31.7°F 2 27 ↓ 33.1 °F 35 27 ↑ 34.4°F 29 38 35.8 °F 38 29 28.8°F 33 36 34.5 °F 39 22 26.6°F 25 32 31.4 °F 33
01-20-20 2 ↑ 2.8°F 6 12 13.6 °F 24 -2 ↑ 31.7°F 7 34 33.1 °F 36 28 34.4°F 27 41 35.8 °F 40 31 28.8°F 34 38 34.5 °F 38
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 1 5 3 1 1 4 1 1 0 3 0 0 1 1 1
% Succ 16.7   16.7 83.3   50.0 20.0   20.0 80.0   20.0 25.0   0.0 75.0   0.0     33.3 33.3   33.3
Ave Error 10.5   8.1 2.0   5.5 12.5   9.0 1.3   4.6 6.9   7.4 1.9   6.7 5.7   5.7 2.6   4.6
Net Error -9.5   -6.3 -1.6   5.0 -12.4   -7.6 0.6   4.6 -6.8   -4.1 1.7   6.7 -4.3   -2.3 2.6   4.6
Std Dev 11.4   10.4 2.0   5.7 10.6   7.4 0.9   5.7 8.0   7.5 1.8   6.3 5.7   5.7 2.6   4.6

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 01-26-20 at 5:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
01-26-20 21 ↑   54 40 ↓   30 21   45 34   30 24   39 36   24 23   51 38   30
01-25-20 14 ↑ 31.4°F 47 32 32.4 °F 28 23 ↑   52 39   24 23   45 34   30 22   48 36   24
01-23-20 32 ↑ 20.1°F 34 33 ↓ 31.4 °F 27 24 31.4°F 34 31 32.4 °F 17 14   45 32   25 21   52 38   26
01-22-20 29 ↑ 34.0°F 36 35 35.8 °F 31 32 20.1°F 35 32 31.4 °F 29 24 31.4°F 35 31 32.4 °F 20 19   45 33   27
01-21-20 -1 31.7°F 35 28 ↓ 33.1 °F 29 27 ↑ 34.0°F 38 38 35.8 °F 32 30 20.1°F 37 35 31.4 °F 24 23 31.4°F 39 31 32.4 °F 23
01-20-20 2 ↑ 2.7°F 25 12 ↓ 13.6 °F 9 -1 31.7°F 37 34 33.1 °F 29 27 34.0°F 40 39 35.8 °F 32 30 20.1°F 33 37 31.4 °F 19
01-19-20 3 ↑ 7.8°F 25 15 ↓ 15.5 °F 7 0 2.7°F 26 11 13.6 °F 8 -2 31.7°F 35 32 33.1 °F 28 27 34.0°F 40 41 35.8 °F 35
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 1 5 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 1
% Succ 16.7   16.7 83.3   0.0     0.0 60.0   0.0     0.0 50.0   0.0     0.0 33.3   33.3
Ave Error 12.1   12.4 1.7   5.1 12.3   10.0 1.5   6.3 14.5   7.5 2.3   7.2 8.4   8.8 4.1   7.5
Net Error -8.1   12.4 -1.1   -5.1 -7.6   10.0 -0.1   -6.3 -9.6   7.5 1.1   -7.2 -1.8   8.8 3.1   -7.5
Std Dev 11.4   8.7 1.7   2.2 8.5   7.9 1.1   6.0 13.0   6.7 2.1   6.7 8.4   8.8 4.1   7.5

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 01-26-20 at 8:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
01-26-20 39   53 23 ↑   30 34 ↓   48 23   29 35   38 22   24 38   52 24   30
01-25-20 32 32.4 °F 45 23 ↑ 27.4°F 27 39 ↓   52 23   23 34   46 22   29 36   48 23   23
01-24-20 29 ↓ 31.4 °F 37 16 ↑ 17.2°F 20 32 ↓ 32.4 °F 47 20 27.4°F 23 37   50 20   27 35   41 24   30
01-23-20 33 ↓ 34.5 °F 35 24 28.2°F 26 31 31.4 °F 33 14 17.2°F 15 32 32.4 °F 45 21 27.4°F 25 38   53 23   26
01-22-20 35 35.8 °F 35 32 33.9°F 30 32 ↓ 34.5 °F 34 24 28.2°F 29 31 31.4 °F 36 19 17.2°F 20 33 32.4 °F 45 20 27.4°F 26
01-21-20 27 ↓ 33.1 °F 36 27 ↑ 31.6°F 30 38 35.8 °F 39 30 33.9°F 32 35 34.5 °F 37 23 28.2°F 24 31 31.4 °F 39 23 17.2°F 24
01-20-20 12 ↓ 13.6 °F 25 -1 2.7°F 9 34 ↓ 33.1 °F 37 27 31.6°F 29 39 35.8 °F 40 30 33.9°F 32 37 34.5 °F 33 24 28.2°F 20
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 4 2 2 2 3 2 0 2 3 0 1 1 2 1 0 1
% Succ 66.7   33.3 33.3   33.3 60.0   40.0     40.0 75.0   0.0 25.0   25.0 66.7   33.3     33.3
Ave Error 2.1   5.6 3.3   2.9 1.3   4.8 4.7   2.4 1.1   6.0 4.3   2.8 1.2   7.2 5.8   5.5
Net Error -2.1   5.4 -3.3   0.2 0.0   4.6 -4.7   -2.1 0.7   6.0 -3.4   -1.4 0.9   6.2 -1.9   -0.9
Std Dev 2.1   4.8 1.9   1.7 1.1   5.8 3.3   1.9 1.0   6.1 3.9   2.5 1.2   7.2 5.8   5.5

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 01-26-20 at 11:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
01-26-20 40 ↓   50 24   28 34 ↓   42 23   28 35   33 22   30 38   49 24   32
01-24-20 29 ↓ 32.4 °F 34 16 ↑ 27.4°F 20 32 ↓   46 20   28 37   53 20   22 35   38 24   28
01-23-20 34 ↓ 34.5 °F 35 24 28.2°F 26 31 32.4 °F 34 14 27.4°F 18 32   46 21   25 38   48 23   23
01-22-20 35 35.8 °F 37 32 33.6°F 31 32 ↓ 34.5 °F 34 24 28.2°F 28 31 32.4 °F 33 19 27.4°F 18 33   44 20   26
01-21-20 27 ↓ 33.1 °F 29 27 ↑ 31.6°F 25 38 35.8 °F 42 30 33.6°F 34 35 34.5 °F 35 23 28.2°F 29 31 32.4 °F 34 23 27.4°F 24
01-20-20 12 ↓ 13.6 °F 18 -1 2.7°F 4 34 ↓ 33.1 °F 33 27 31.6°F 26 39 35.8 °F 36 30 33.6°F 28 37 34.5 °F 32 24 28.2°F 23
01-19-20 15 ↓ 15.5 °F 15 0 5.9°F 2 11 ↓ 13.6 °F 21 -2 2.7°F 7 32 33.1 °F 34 27 31.6°F 28 41 35.8 °F 41 31 33.6°F 36
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 4 4 1 1 2 3 0 2 3 4 0 1 1 1 0 0
% Succ 66.7   66.7 16.7   16.7 40.0   60.0     40.0 75.0   100.0     25.0 33.3   33.3     0.0
Ave Error 2.2   2.1 5.2   4.0 1.9   3.2 6.1   4.0 1.6   0.6 5.5   4.9 3.0   3.1 3.7   3.7
Net Error -2.2   0.5 -5.2   -3.6 -0.7   2.9 -6.1   -2.1 0.3   0.6 -5.5   -4.5 2.1   1.4 -3.7   -2.1
Std Dev 2.1   1.7 3.7   2.8 1.3   2.8 5.2   4.2 1.3   0.5 4.9   4.8 3.0   3.1 3.7   3.7

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 01-26-20 at 2:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
01-26-20 43 ↓   50 25 ↑   27 35 ↓   42 23   27 35   33 22   30 38   49 24   32
01-25-20 32 ↓ 32.4 °F 36 20 ↑ 27.4°F 27 39 ↓   52 21   26 34   45 22   29 36   50 23   25
01-24-20 30 ↓ 31.4 °F 33 16 ↑ 17.2°F 21 32 ↓ 32.4 °F 46 20 27.4°F 28 37   53 20   22 35   38 24   28
01-23-20 34 ↓ 34.5 °F 35 24 28.2°F 23 31 31.4 °F 31 14 17.2°F 17 32 32.4 °F 45 21 27.4°F 24 38   48 23   23
01-22-20 35 35.8 °F 36 32 33.6°F 30 32 ↓ 34.5 °F 34 24 28.2°F 29 31 31.4 °F 34 19 17.2°F 18 33 32.4 °F 44 20 27.4°F 26
01-21-20 27 33.1 °F 28 27 ↑ 31.6°F 23 38 35.8 °F 37 30 33.6°F 32 35 34.5 °F 34 23 28.2°F 29 31 31.4 °F 34 23 17.2°F 24
01-20-20 12 ↓ 13.6 °F 14 -1 ↑ 2.7°F 2 34 ↓ 33.1 °F 31 27 31.6°F 25 39 35.8 °F 36 30 33.6°F 28 37 34.5 °F 32 24 28.2°F 23
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 5 4 2 2 3 3 0 4 3 2 1 2 2 0 0 1
% Succ 83.3   66.7 33.3   33.3 60.0   60.0     80.0 75.0   50.0 25.0   50.0 66.7   0.0     33.3
Ave Error 1.8   1.9 3.8   3.7 1.3   3.6 4.6   2.0 1.1   4.0 4.3   2.7 1.2   5.6 5.8   4.5
Net Error -1.8   0.2 -3.8   -2.5 0.0   2.4 -4.6   -1.4 0.7   3.7 -3.4   -1.9 0.9   3.9 -1.9   0.1
Std Dev 2.1   1.9 2.6   2.9 1.1   5.4 3.2   1.7 1.0   5.5 3.8   2.3 1.2   5.6 5.8   4.5

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 01-26-20 at 5:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
01-26-20 46 ↓   28 25 ↑   42 35 ↓   26 23   31 32   29 22   43 36   33 22   39
01-25-20 32 32.4 °F 26 21 27.4°F 52 40 ↓   26 21   44 34   31 24   43 36   20 23   48
01-24-20 31 31.4 °F 21 18 17.2°F 48 32 ↓ 32.4 °F 26 19 27.4°F 52 38   23 23   43 34   27 24   46
01-23-20 34 ↓ 34.5 °F 24 25 ↑ 28.2°F 33 30 31.4 °F 19 14 17.2°F 47 31 32.4 °F 28 20 27.4°F 54 37   24 23   41
01-22-20 36 35.8 °F 29 32 33.6°F 32 33 ↓ 34.5 °F 24 23 28.2°F 31 31 31.4 °F 20 16 17.2°F 41 32 32.4 °F 24 21 27.4°F 51
01-21-20 27 33.1 °F 25 27 ↑ 31.6°F 36 38 35.8 °F 32 30 33.6°F 36 35 34.5 °F 28 23 28.2°F 41 31 31.4 °F 24 23 17.2°F 42
01-20-20 12 ↓ 13.6 °F 2 -3 2.7°F 32 27 ↓ 33.1 °F 26 27 31.6°F 37 38 35.8 °F 30 29 33.6°F 32 36 34.5 °F 24 22 28.2°F 30
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 5 0 2 1 3 0 0 0 3 0 1 1 3 0 0 1
% Succ 83.3   0.0 33.3   16.7 60.0   0.0     0.0 75.0   0.0 25.0   25.0 100.0   0.0     33.3
Ave Error 1.5   9.0 3.7   15.9 2.3   8.0 5.0   13.0 1.1   7.0 4.6   16.2 0.8   8.8 6.1   16.7
Net Error -1.5   -9.0 -3.5   15.4 -1.4   -8.0 -5.0   13.0 0.2   -7.0 -4.6   15.4 0.2   -8.8 -2.3   16.7
Std Dev 2.2   4.0 2.4   13.0 1.8   5.6 3.6   13.1 1.0   6.2 4.2   15.0 0.8   8.8 6.1   16.7

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 01-25-20 at 8:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
01-25-20 21   27 40 ↓   51 21   28 34   44 24   30 36   42 23   20 38   47
01-24-20 18 17.2°F 20 32 ↓ 31.4 °F 47 19 ↑   26 38   52 23   23 34   44 24   27 37   46
01-23-20 25 ↑ 28.2°F 27 30 34.5 °F 36 14 17.2°F 21 31 31.4 °F 48 20   28 37   54 23   24 37   41
01-22-20 32 33.6°F 29 33 ↓ 35.8 °F 32 23 ↑ 28.2°F 24 31 34.5 °F 31 16 17.2°F 19 32 31.4 °F 43 21   23 40   52
01-21-20 28 ↑ 31.6°F 30 37 33.1 °F 37 29 ↑ 33.6°F 32 36 35.8 °F 36 23 28.2°F 28 32 34.5 °F 42 21 17.2°F 25 36 31.4 °F 43
01-20-20 -3 2.7°F 3 27 ↓ 13.6 °F 32 27 ↑ 31.6°F 26 38 33.1 °F 38 29 33.6°F 30 36 35.8 °F 33 22 28.2°F 25 32 34.5 °F 30
01-19-20 -1 5.9°F 2 12 15.5 °F 22 -2 ↑ 2.7°F 7 34 13.6 °F 35 28 31.6°F 28 41 33.1 °F 41 31 33.6°F 34 38 35.8 °F 36
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 3 1 1 0 1 2 1 1 2 2 0 0 1 0 1
% Succ 33.3   50.0 16.7   16.7     20.0 40.0   20.0 25.0   50.0 50.0   0.0     33.3     33.3
Ave Error 3.6   2.4 4.8   8.3 4.5   3.9 5.9   9.3 3.7   2.3 2.8   7.5 4.2   3.8 3.1   5.4
Net Error -3.4   -1.4 1.2   7.0 -4.5   -0.7 4.3   7.9 -3.7   -1.4 1.6   6.1 -1.7   1.7 1.4   2.4
Std Dev 2.2   1.7 4.5   7.2 2.9   2.7 5.2   8.3 3.4   2.0 2.7   6.8 4.2   3.8 3.1   5.4

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 01-25-20 at 11:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
01-25-20 21   27 40 ↓   51 21   28 34   46 24   31 36   45 23   29 38   48
01-24-20 16 ↑ 31.4°F 21 32 ↓ 31.4 °F 47 19 ↑   27 38   52 23   23 34   46 24   26 37   41
01-23-20 24 ↑ 28.3°F 26 30 34.5 °F 35 14 31.4°F 21 31 31.4 °F 47 20   26 37   52 23   23 37   38
01-22-20 32 28.9°F 29 33 ↓ 35.8 °F 31 23 ↑ 28.3°F 24 31 34.5 °F 32 16 31.4°F 15 32 31.4 °F 44 21   29 40   52
01-21-20 28 ↑ 34.4°F 32 37 33.1 °F 37 29 ↑ 28.9°F 32 36 35.8 °F 35 23 28.3°F 29 32 34.5 °F 38 21 31.4°F 21 36 31.4 °F 42
01-20-20 -3 31.7°F 3 27 ↓ 13.6 °F 36 27 ↑ 34.4°F 30 38 33.1 °F 40 29 28.9°F 33 36 35.8 °F 39 22 28.3°F 25 32 34.5 °F 33
01-19-20 2 ↑ 4.0°F 3 12 15.5 °F 23 -2 ↑ 31.7°F 7 34 13.6 °F 35 28 34.4°F 26 41 33.1 °F 40 31 28.9°F 34 38 35.8 °F 38
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 2 1 1 1 0 2 1 1 1 2 0 0 0 0 1
% Succ 16.7   33.3 16.7   16.7 20.0   0.0 40.0   20.0 25.0   25.0 50.0   0.0     0.0     33.3
Ave Error 11.0   7.5 4.8   9.1 12.8   9.4 5.9   9.4 6.8   7.4 2.8   6.6 6.3   6.3 3.1   4.8
Net Error -10.0   -7.5 1.2   7.5 -12.7   -8.1 4.3   8.1 -6.8   -5.0 1.6   6.6 -4.9   -2.9 1.4   3.8
Std Dev 11.8   10.2 4.5   8.4 10.6   7.0 5.2   8.2 7.3   7.8 2.7   6.4 6.3   6.3 3.1   4.8

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.