Current WXSIM Forecast

Monday, 26-Oct-2020 08:00 pm

Tonight

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Low: 18°
Tuesday

Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny
High: 44°
Tuesday
night
Mostly Clear
Cold!
Mostly Clear
Cold!
Low: 20°
Wednesday

Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
High: 57°
Wednesday
night
Mostly Cloudy
Cold!
Mostly Cloudy
Cold!
Low: 29°
Thursday

Mostly Cloudy
Cold!
Mostly Cloudy
Cold!
High: 44°
Thursday
night
Clear
Cold!
Clear
Cold!
Low: 26°
Friday

Sunny
Sunny
High: 56°
Friday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Low: 35°

Current NWS Forecast

Mon, 26-Oct-2020 11:31pm CDT

Overnight

Overnight: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy

Lo 15 °F ↑
Tuesday

Tuesday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 40 °F
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Clear
Clear

Lo 22 °F
Wednesday

Wednesday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 51 °F
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Slight Chance Light Rain
Slight Chance Light Rain

Lo 33 °F
Thursday

Thursday: Chance Light Rain
Chance Light Rain

Hi 46 °F
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 27 °F
Friday

Friday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 55 °F
Friday
Night
Friday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 38 °F



WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 10-26-20 at 2:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
10-26-20 22 ↑   19 28   28 13 ↑   15 37   43 23   21 47   55 31   29 44   36
10-25-20 31 23.6°F 32 33 ↓ 34.2 °F 37 21 ↑   23 28   29 12   23 34   44 22   24 47   46
10-24-20 24 33.6°F 23 43 34.2 °F 48 32 ↑ 23.6°F 34 35 34.2 °F 36 21   17 27   27 13   11 36   42
10-23-20 33 ↑ 26.0°F 32 42 ↓ 39.2 °F 42 25 33.6°F 24 44 34.2 °F 44 33 23.6°F 32 37 34.2 °F 33 20   16 29   25
10-22-20 45 ↑ 35.5°F 46 60 ↓ 48.4 °F 59 34 ↑ 26.0°F 32 43 39.2 °F 39 27 33.6°F 20 44 34.2 °F 42 33 23.6°F 36 38 34.2 °F 37
10-21-20 35 45.5°F 36 55 49.7 °F 59 45 35.5°F 47 75 48.4 °F 71 <35 26.0°F 40 <45 39.2 °F 51 25 33.6°F 39 <45 34.2 °F 50
10-20-20 35 38.8°F 36 55 46.9 °F 53 >35 45.5°F 37 55 49.7 °F 54 >45 35.5°F 44 >75 48.4 °F 72 <35 26.0°F 38 <45 39.2 °F 42
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
% Succ     0.0 16.7   0.0     0.0 20.0   40.0     0.0     25.0     0.0     0.0
Ave Error 8.0   8.0 6.3   7.6 16.0   9.2 9.3   7.7 19.4   11.1 25.1   11.1 14.7   9.9 25.7   7.1
Net Error 0.0   0.3 5.9   7.6 -5.6   2.0 9.3   7.7 -14.7   4.3 -18.8   10.5 -8.4   9.9 -23.2   7.1
Std Dev 3.6   3.7 4.3   5.1 11.7   6.0 7.4   6.6 17.5   9.7 24.4   10.8 14.7   9.9 25.7   7.1

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 10-26-20 at 5:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
10-26-20 20 ↑   29 29   17 16   43 38   20 23   55 50   29 31   35 46   21
10-25-20 31 21.5°F 35 33 34.2 °F 24 22 ↑   29 28   21 13   43 35   24 21   46 44   31
10-24-20 23 ↑ 32.7°F 49 43 34.2 °F 36 32 ↑ 21.5°F 38 33 34.2 °F 24 21   31 29   16 12   45 34   30
10-23-20 33 ↑ 25.8°F 42 43 ↓ 39.2 °F 23 25 32.7°F 44 44 34.2 °F 32 32 21.5°F 33 37 34.2 °F 16 19   25 28   14
10-22-20 45 ↑ 35.1°F 61 60 ↓ 48.4 °F 39 33 ↑ 25.8°F 43 43 39.2 °F 25 26 32.7°F 42 46 34.2 °F 37 33 21.5°F 39 38 34.2 °F 18
10-21-20   58 50 49.7 °F 48 45 35.1°F 71 65 48.4 °F 40 <35 25.8°F 49 <45 39.2 °F 39 25 32.7°F 49 45 34.2 °F 38
10-20-20   52 55 46.9 °F 38 >35 45.5°F 54 <55 49.7 °F 44 45 35.1°F 72 75 48.4 °F 38 <35 25.8°F 42 45 39.2 °F 25
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 0 2 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
% Succ     0.0 33.3   33.3     0.0 20.0   0.0     0.0     25.0     0.0     0.0
Ave Error 9.1   18.0 5.6   8.0 16.2   17.9 16.2   8.1 13.2   20.2 20.1   7.9 15.0   16.7 6.8   11.4
Net Error 4.2   18.0 5.2   -7.4 -5.1   17.9 -4.1   -8.1 -3.0   20.2 0.5   -6.5 -7.3   16.7 6.8   -8.9
Std Dev 4.6   9.3 4.6   6.0 11.9   11.7 13.8   6.5 11.5   18.1 19.4   8.6 15.0   16.7 6.8   11.4

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 10-26-20 at 8:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
10-26-20 29   25 16   12 38   41 23   19 50   59 31   28 46   37 28   20
10-25-20 33 34.2 °F 34 22 ↑ 21.2°F 23 28   29 13   21 35   41 21   21 44   48 30   34
10-24-20 42 34.2 °F 46 32 ↑ 30.4°F 33 33 34.2 °F 35 21 21.2°F 24 29   27 12   12 34   43 22   29
10-23-20 43 ↓ 39.2 °F 39 25 23.1°F 19 44 ↓ 34.2 °F 44 32 30.4°F 32 37 34.2 °F 34 19 21.2°F 15 28   25 16   15
10-22-20 60 48.4 °F 61 <35 35.1°F 37 <45 39.2 °F 41 25 23.1°F 22 45 34.2 °F 42 <35 30.4°F 35 >35 34.2 °F 37 <25 21.2°F 16
10-21-20 51 49.7 °F 57 46 ↑ 45.5°F 43 65 ↓ 48.4 °F 65 33 35.1°F 32 44 39.2 °F 37 27 23.1°F 20 44 34.2 °F 43 35 30.4°F 34
10-20-20 55 46.9 °F 54 >35 35.4°F 38 <55 49.7 °F 58 45 45.5°F 47 75 48.4 °F 75 <35 35.1°F 44 45 39.2 °F 46 >25 23.1°F 27
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 2 4 2 1 2 4 3 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
% Succ 33.3   33.3 66.7   33.3 20.0   40.0 80.0   60.0     25.0     0.0     0.0     0.0
Ave Error 5.6   6.5 12.6   2.6 23.3   7.5 1.3   2.0 11.3   9.2 17.9   5.7 16.6   6.1 16.3   4.2
Net Error 5.2   6.4 -11.0   0.4 -12.7   7.5 0.1   0.3 11.3   8.0 -16.0   1.1 -6.2   6.1 -13.2   0.8
Std Dev 4.4   5.6 14.0   1.3 20.0   6.2 1.0   1.4 10.6   9.2 17.4   4.9 16.6   6.1 16.3   4.2

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 10-26-20 at 11:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
10-26-20 26   31 16   15 38   42 23   19 50   59 31   28 46   36 28   21
10-25-20 30 34.2 °F 34 22 ↑ 21.2°F 20 28   27 13   18 35   39 21   20 44   47 30   33
10-24-20 42 34.2 °F 43 32 ↑ 30.2°F 32 33 34.2 °F 34 21 21.2°F 23 29   26 12   12 34   41 22   29
10-23-20 43 ↓ 39.2 °F 39 25 23.1°F 20 44 ↓ 34.2 °F 44 32 30.2°F 32 37 34.2 °F 34 19 21.2°F 15 28   25 16   15
10-22-20 60 ↓ 48.4 °F 55 33 ↑ 35.1°F 34 43 ↓ 39.2 °F 40 26 23.1°F 21 46 34.2 °F 42 33 30.2°F 34 38 34.2 °F 36 21 21.2°F 16
10-21-20 51 49.7 °F 57 46 ↑ 45.5°F 46 65 ↓ 48.4 °F 68 33 35.1°F 40 44 39.2 °F 49 27 23.1°F 31 44 34.2 °F 47 35 30.2°F 37
10-20-20 54 46.9 °F 49 37 ↑ 35.4°F 37 54 ↓ 49.7 °F 58 47 45.5°F 47 76 48.4 °F 74 32 35.1°F 43 44 39.2 °F 45 27 23.1°F 26
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 2 5 5 1 2 3 3 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 0
% Succ 16.7   33.3 83.3   83.3 20.0   40.0 60.0   60.0     25.0     0.0     33.3 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 6.0   4.2 1.5   1.6 7.1   7.7 1.7   2.4 11.8   10.9 3.0   6.5 6.1   6.8 3.0   5.0
Net Error 4.6   4.1 0.8   -0.3 6.7   7.7 0.8   1.6 11.8   10.8 0.4   3.4 6.1   6.8 2.8   1.5
Std Dev 4.1   3.8 0.8   1.0 5.6   6.8 1.4   1.6 11.1   10.8 2.6   5.6 6.1   6.8 3.0   5.0

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 10-26-20 at 2:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
10-26-20 26   33 16   13 38   41 23   18 50   59 31   29 46   39 28   23
10-25-20 30 34.2 °F 33 22 ↑ 21.2°F 20 28   27 13   18 35   42 21   21 44   51 30   30
10-24-20 40 34.2 °F 39 31 30.2°F 31 33 ↓ 34.2 °F 35 21 21.2°F 25 28   27 12   19 34   39 22   24
10-23-20 43 ↓ 39.2 °F 40 25 23.1°F 21 44 ↓ 34.2 °F 45 32 30.2°F 31 37 34.2 °F 32 19 21.2°F 22 28   30 16   19
10-22-20 60 ↓ 48.4 °F 46 33 ↑ 35.1°F 36 43 ↓ 39.2 °F 49 26 23.1°F 29 46 34.2 °F 45 33 30.2°F 34 38 34.2 °F 37 21 21.2°F 21
10-21-20 51 49.7 °F 51 46 ↑ 45.5°F 44 65 ↓ 48.4 °F 66 33 35.1°F 38 44 39.2 °F 48 27 23.1°F 29 44 34.2 °F 45 35 30.2°F 35
10-20-20 54 46.9 °F 49 37 ↑ 35.4°F 37 54 ↓ 49.7 °F 60 47 45.5°F 46 76 48.4 °F 75 32 35.1°F 43 44 39.2 °F 44 27 23.1°F 28
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 3 5 5 1 1 3 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1
% Succ 16.7   50.0 83.3   83.3 20.0   20.0 60.0   40.0     0.0     25.0     0.0 33.3   33.3
Ave Error 5.6   2.1 1.3   1.4 7.1   9.9 1.7   2.8 11.8   12.1 3.0   4.6 6.1   6.1 3.0   3.3
Net Error 4.2   0.9 0.6   -0.3 6.7   9.9 0.8   2.8 11.8   11.0 0.4   4.6 6.1   6.1 2.8   3.2
Std Dev 3.9   1.6 0.8   0.7 5.6   7.4 1.4   2.5 11.1   11.6 2.6   4.4 6.1   6.1 3.0   3.3

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 10-26-20 at 5:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
10-26-20 31 ↓   16 15 ↑   42 40   19 22   59 51   29 33   39 46   23 27   55
10-25-20 30 34.2 °F 16 22 ↑ 21.2°F 24 28   15 13   42 37   19 23   51 47   29 31   37
10-24-20 40 ↓ 34.2 °F 30 31 30.2°F 35 33 ↓ 34.2 °F 25 21 21.2°F 27 28   19 12   40 34   25 22   55
10-23-20 43 ↓ 39.2 °F 20 24 23.1°F 44 43 34.2 °F 30 32 30.2°F 32 35 34.2 °F 22 21 21.2°F 30 27   19 13   43
10-22-20 60 ↓ 48.4 °F 33 32 ↑ 35.1°F 42 42 ↓ 39.2 °F 22 25 23.1°F 41 44 34.2 °F 31 33 30.2°F 34 37 34.2 °F 20 20 21.2°F 23
10-21-20 51 49.7 °F 44 46 ↑ 45.5°F 66 65 ↓ 48.4 °F 38 33 35.1°F 48 44 39.2 °F 29 27 23.1°F 45 44 34.2 °F 35 35 30.2°F 36
10-20-20   36 >35 35.4°F 59 <55 49.7 °F 46 45 45.5°F 74 75 48.4 °F 45 <35 35.1°F 48 <45 39.2 °F 33 25 23.1°F 46
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 0 4 0 1 0 4 1 1 0 1 0 0 1 2 1
% Succ 20.0   0.0 66.7   0.0 20.0   0.0 80.0   20.0 25.0   0.0 25.0   0.0     33.3 66.7   33.3
Ave Error 5.3   12.5 6.9   13.3 15.8   8.9 1.3   13.4 10.5   7.3 10.5   11.9 17.3   7.1 2.6   10.2
Net Error 3.7   -12.5 -5.9   13.3 -4.5   -8.9 0.2   13.4 10.5   -7.3 -7.2   11.9 -8.9   -6.5 1.8   10.2
Std Dev 3.8   7.9 6.0   9.2 13.7   7.1 1.0   10.7 10.3   6.7 10.5   10.4 17.3   7.1 2.6   10.2

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 10-26-20 at 8:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
10-26-20 15 ↑   18 40   44 22   20 51   57 33   29 46   44 27   26 55   56
10-25-20 22 ↑ 21.2°F 17 28 34.2 °F 27 13 ↑   14 37   41 23   19 47   55 31   31 44   40
10-24-20 31 30.2°F 31 33 ↓ 34.2 °F 37 21 ↑ 21.2°F 26 28 34.2 °F 30 12   24 34   42 22   22 47   47
10-23-20 24 23.1°F 22 43 39.2 °F 46 32 ↑ 30.2°F 31 35 34.2 °F 33 21 21.2°F 18 27 34.2 °F 28 13   10 36   42
10-22-20 32 ↑ 35.1°F 32 42 ↓ 48.4 °F 43 25 23.1°F 25 44 39.2 °F 45 33 30.2°F 36 37 34.2 °F 38 20 21.2°F 17 29 34.2 °F 23
10-21-20 45 ↑ 45.5°F 43 60 ↓ 49.7 °F 63 34 ↑ 35.1°F 40 43 48.4 °F 47 27 23.1°F 29 44 39.2 °F 45 33 30.2°F 37 38 34.2 °F 39
10-20-20 35 35.4°F 37 55 46.9 °F 57 45 45.5°F 45 75 49.7 °F 73 <35 35.1°F 43 <45 48.4 °F 50 25 23.1°F 33 <45 39.2 °F 45
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 5 3 1 0 5 3 1 2 1 0 0 1 2 0 0 0
% Succ 83.3   50.0 16.7   0.0 100.0   60.0 20.0   40.0 25.0   0.0     25.0 66.7   0.0     0.0
Ave Error 1.1   2.2 6.0   7.6 1.1   2.6 8.5   7.2 10.5   5.7 15.8   4.4 2.0   7.0 16.1   7.3
Net Error -0.3   -1.4 1.4   3.4 0.4   2.4 3.9   4.5 -7.2   4.1 -12.0   1.3 1.2   4.2 -13.5   -0.2
Std Dev 1.0   1.5 3.7   4.5 0.9   2.1 6.7   5.5 10.5   5.1 14.3   3.9 2.0   7.0 16.1   7.3

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 10-26-20 at 8:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
10-26-20 15 ↑   18 40   44 22   20 51   57 33   29 46   44 27   26 55   56
10-25-20 22 ↑ 26.5°F 20 28 34.2 °F 28 13 ↑   15 37   41 23   20 47   55 31   32 44   41
10-24-20 31 26.0°F 31 33 ↓ 34.2 °F 37 21 ↑ 26.5°F 20 28 34.2 °F 23 12   16 34   38 22   20 47   45
10-23-20 24 33.6°F 25 43 39.2 °F 48 32 ↑ 26.0°F 34 35 34.2 °F 36 21 26.5°F 23 27 34.2 °F 31 13   15 36   42
10-22-20 32 ↑ 31.9°F 32 42 ↓ 48.4 °F 42 25 33.6°F 23 44 39.2 °F 45 33 26.0°F 36 37 34.2 °F 37 20 26.5°F 17 29 34.2 °F 22
10-21-20 45 ↑ 36.6°F 43 60 ↓ 49.7 °F 65 34 ↑ 31.9°F 38 43 48.4 °F 48 27 33.6°F 30 44 39.2 °F 46 33 26.0°F 38 38 34.2 °F 39
10-20-20 35 45.5°F 37 55 46.9 °F 58 45 36.6°F 47 75 49.7 °F 73 <35 31.9°F 41 <45 48.4 °F 48 25 33.6°F 32 <45 39.2 °F 43
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0
% Succ 16.7   16.7 16.7   0.0     0.0 20.0   40.0     0.0     25.0     33.3     0.0
Ave Error 6.4   5.9 6.0   8.4 6.1   8.3 8.5   8.5 12.8   6.6 15.8   3.3 7.4   7.7 16.1   6.9
Net Error -1.9   -2.0 1.4   4.2 0.5   1.5 3.9   3.9 -9.3   3.0 -12.0   1.5 -2.7   0.3 -13.5   -1.2
Std Dev 4.1   3.6 3.7   5.2 4.0   5.4 6.7   6.4 11.6   5.9 14.3   2.9 7.4   7.7 16.1   6.9

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.