Current WXSIM Forecast

Friday, 29-Sep-2023 05:00 pm

Tonight

Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Low: 69°
Saturday

Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
High: 92°
Saturday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Low: 67°
Sunday

Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny
High: 92°
Sunday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Low: 65°
Monday

Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
High: 91°
Monday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Low: 67°
Tuesday

Thunder storm
Thunder storm
High: 79°
Tuesday
night
Thunder storm
Thunder storm
Low: 63°

Current NWS Forecast

Fri, 29-Sep-2023 4:35pm CDT

This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 97 °F ↓
Tonight

Tonight: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 73 °F ↑
Saturday

Saturday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 93 °F
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 72 °F
Sunday

Sunday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 91 °F
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy

Lo 68 °F
Monday

Monday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 89 °F
Monday
Night
Monday Night: Partly Cloudy then Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Partly Cloudy then Slight Chance Showers And TStorms

Lo 68 °F
Tuesday

Tuesday: Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Slight Chance Showers And TStorms then Chance Showers And TStorms

Hi 80 °F



WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-29-23 at 2:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-29-23 70   69 93   92 71 ↑   67 92   90 71   66 90   87 68   66 89   93
09-28-23 56 72.8°F 57 87 90.1 °F 83 69   61 93   87 70   65 92   91 70   67 90   91
09-27-23 52 ↑ 61.0°F 52 77 ↓ 81.5 °F 76 56 72.8°F 54 86 90.1 °F 83 66   65 90   93 70   69 90   94
09-26-23 54 ↑ 55.7°F 54 78 79.4 °F 76 52 61.0°F 53 78 81.5 °F 77 55 72.8°F 55 86 90.1 °F 86 66   64 90   92
09-25-23 55 ↑ 57.6°F 55 81 ↓ 84.5 °F 78 55 ↑ 55.7°F 54 78 79.4 °F 78 52 61.0°F 53 79 81.5 °F 77 56 72.8°F 54 85 90.1 °F 85
09-24-23 53 ↑ 58.3°F 53 79 84.3 °F 78 55 57.6°F 55 81 84.5 °F 81 55 55.7°F 54 81 79.4 °F 79 56 61.0°F 54 82 81.5 °F 81
09-23-23 66 56.8°F 67 81 81.8 °F 80 55 58.3°F 61 81 84.3 °F 80 56 57.6°F 59 81 84.5 °F 84 56 55.7°F 60 81 79.4 °F 87
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 2 1 0 2 1
% Succ 16.7   16.7 33.3   16.7 20.0   20.0 20.0   20.0 50.0   50.0 25.0   50.0 33.3   0.0 66.7   33.3
Ave Error 7.4   7.4 3.1   5.1 6.5   6.8 3.2   4.2 7.3   7.2 2.9   2.4 7.4   10.0 2.4   4.4
Net Error -4.4   -4.0 -3.1   -5.1 -6.5   -5.7 -3.2   -4.2 -7.3   -6.5 -2.1   -2.4 -7.2   -7.2 -1.0   0.7
Std Dev 5.9   5.6 1.8   2.5 6.8   7.3 2.2   3.2 8.2   8.2 2.6   2.2 7.4   10.0 2.4   4.4

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-29-23 at 5:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-29-23 69   93 94 ↓   69 73 ↑   92 92   66 72   86 91   64 68   90 89   67
09-28-23 56 ↑ 69.8°F 85 87 90.1 °F 61 68 ↑   87 93   65 71   90 92   66 71   90 90   65
09-27-23 52 59.6°F 75 77 81.5 °F 53 54 69.8°F 83 87 90.1 °F 65 68   93 92   69 70   94 91   68
09-26-23 54 ↑ 52.2°F 77 77 79.4 °F 53 52 ↑ 59.6°F 78 77 81.5 °F 55 56 69.8°F 86 86 90.1 °F 64 66   92 90   70
09-25-23 53 ↑ 55.2°F 78 80 84.5 °F 54 54 ↑ 52.2°F 78 77 79.4 °F 53 52 59.6°F 77 78 81.5 °F 54 54 69.8°F 86 84 90.1 °F 66
09-24-23 53 ↑ 55.1°F 76 81 84.3 °F 54 55 ↑ 55.2°F 80 80 84.5 °F 54 55 52.2°F 79 80 79.4 °F 53 57 59.6°F 80 81 81.5 °F 55
09-23-23 66 52.2°F 80 80 81.8 °F 60 54 ↑ 55.1°F 80 80 84.3 °F 57 56 55.2°F 84 82 84.5 °F 60 55 52.2°F 88 84 79.4 °F 63
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 0 1 0 3 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 0
% Succ 16.7   0.0 16.7   0.0 60.0   0.0     0.0 25.0   0.0 25.0   0.0     0.0 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 6.9   21.2 3.3   27.8 5.3   21.4 3.8   27.2 6.3   22.3 2.7   26.1 7.1   24.1 3.7   22.3
Net Error -1.7   21.2 -3.3   -27.8 -4.6   21.4 -3.8   -27.2 -4.5   22.3 -2.4   -26.1 -5.2   24.1 -0.7   -22.3
Std Dev 5.3   9.4 1.6   11.5 6.1   14.2 2.5   17.2 6.6   19.6 2.4   22.6 7.1   24.1 3.7   22.3

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-29-23 at 8:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-29-23 94 ↓   94 73 ↑   69 92   93 72   68 91   91 68   67 89   91 67   69
09-28-23 87 90.1 °F 83 68 ↑ 69.8°F 60 93   86 71   63 92   92 71   68 90   92 68   66
09-27-23 >75 81.5 °F 75 <55 58.3°F 54 85 90.1 °F 84 >65 69.8°F 66 <95   94 >65   71 90   90 >65   68
09-26-23 77 79.4 °F 77 52 ↑ 51.0°F 55 77 ↓ 81.5 °F 78 56 58.3°F 54 86 90.1 °F 86 66 69.8°F 65 90   92 70   71
09-25-23 80 84.5 °F 77 54 ↑ 53.7°F 54 77 ↓ 79.4 °F 77 52 51.0°F 52 78 81.5 °F 77 54 58.3°F 55 84 90.1 °F 87 64 69.8°F 66
09-24-23 81 84.3 °F 74 55 ↑ 53.5°F 49 80 ↓ 84.5 °F 77 55 53.7°F 51 80 79.4 °F 78 57 51.0°F 52 81 81.5 °F 78 59 58.3°F 54
09-23-23 80 81.8 °F 76 54 ↑ 51.3°F 59 80 84.3 °F 78 56 53.5°F 57 82 84.5 °F 82 55 53.7°F 56 84 79.4 °F 83 59 51.0°F 60
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 0 4 1 0 0 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 0
% Succ 16.7   0.0 66.7   16.7     0.0 40.0   20.0 25.0   25.0 25.0   25.0 33.3   0.0 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 16.1   6.6 10.9   5.1 4.2   5.2 15.4   3.1 2.7   3.1 3.9   2.9 3.7   3.4 4.8   5.7
Net Error -16.1   -6.6 -9.1   -1.1 -4.2   -5.2 -13.5   -1.3 -2.4   -3.1 -0.2   -1.2 -0.7   -1.0 1.0   0.3
Std Dev 29.4   3.6 21.4   3.5 2.8   3.6 27.6   2.2 2.4   2.7 3.3   2.7 3.7   3.4 4.8   5.7

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 09-29-23 at 11:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-29-23 94 ↓   93 73 ↑   69 92   93 72   69 91   91 68   68 89   91 67   67
09-28-23 >85 90.1 °F 84 >65 69.8°F 61 <95   87 >65   63 90   90 >65   67 >85   91 >65   66
09-27-23 77 81.5 °F 77 54 58.3°F 57 87 90.1 °F 84 68 69.8°F 67 92   94 70   71 91   91 69   68
09-26-23 77 79.4 °F 77 52 ↑ 51.0°F 55 77 ↓ 81.5 °F 78 56 58.3°F 55 86 90.1 °F 86 66 69.8°F 66 90   93 70   71
09-25-23 80 84.5 °F 81 54 ↑ 53.7°F 55 77 ↓ 79.4 °F 78 52 51.0°F 54 78 81.5 °F 77 54 58.3°F 54 84 90.1 °F 87 64 69.8°F 67
09-24-23 81 84.3 °F 78 55 ↑ 53.4°F 55 80 ↓ 84.5 °F 79 55 53.7°F 54 80 79.4 °F 78 57 51.0°F 53 81 81.5 °F 78 59 58.3°F 55
09-23-23 80 81.8 °F 76 54 ↑ 51.3°F 58 80 84.3 °F 78 56 53.4°F 56 82 84.5 °F 81 55 53.7°F 56 84 79.4 °F 83 59 51.0°F 60
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 0 3 3 0 1 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 0
% Succ 16.7   0.0 50.0   50.0     20.0 60.0   20.0 25.0   25.0 25.0   25.0 33.3   0.0 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 17.8   4.8 13.3   4.0 3.8   4.6 1.8   2.4 2.7   3.4 3.9   3.1 3.7   3.4 4.8   5.0
Net Error -17.8   -4.8 -11.4   0.6 -3.8   -4.6 0.2   0.0 -2.4   -3.4 -0.2   -0.9 -0.7   -1.0 1.0   1.0
Std Dev 32.5   2.4 25.5   3.1 2.5   3.3 1.2   1.6 2.4   2.9 3.3   2.7 3.7   3.4 4.8   5.0

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-29-23 at 2:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-29-23 94 ↓   95 73 ↑   69 92   93 72   69 91   94 68   66 89   93 67   67
09-28-23 87 90.1 °F 86 69 ↑ 69.8°F 66 93 ↓   91 71   66 92   91 71   68 90   94 68   65
09-27-23 77 81.5 °F 79 54 58.3°F 56 87 90.1 °F 83 68 69.8°F 65 93   89 70   69 92   86 69   68
09-26-23 75 79.4 °F 79 <55 51.0°F 55 75 81.5 °F 77 55 58.3°F 56 85 90.1 °F 85 65 69.8°F 67 >85   93 >65   70
09-25-23 81 84.5 °F 85 54 ↑ 53.7°F 58 77 ↓ 79.4 °F 79 52 51.0°F 57 78 81.5 °F 79 54 58.3°F 56 84 90.1 °F 86 64 69.8°F 64
09-24-23 83 ↓ 84.3 °F 81 55 ↑ 53.4°F 57 80 ↓ 84.5 °F 80 55 53.7°F 55 78 79.4 °F 79 52 51.0°F 55 79 81.5 °F 79 56 58.3°F 56
09-23-23 80 81.8 °F 78 54 ↑ 51.3°F 61 80 84.3 °F 81 56 53.4°F 58 82 84.5 °F 83 55 53.7°F 57 84 79.4 °F 80 59 51.0°F 58
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 2 3 0 0 1 3 1 1 2 2 0 0 1 0 0
% Succ 33.3   33.3 50.0   0.0     20.0 60.0   20.0 25.0   50.0 50.0   0.0     33.3     0.0
Ave Error 3.1   2.4 10.1   4.6 4.2   4.0 2.0   3.8 3.1   2.4 2.9   3.1 4.4   2.4 5.4   5.0
Net Error -3.1   -2.3 -8.6   2.6 -4.2   -4.0 0.0   1.0 -3.1   -2.4 -1.7   0.6 -1.3   -2.0 0.0   -0.4
Std Dev 1.7   1.7 18.5   2.2 3.0   3.3 1.5   2.7 2.9   2.5 2.7   2.7 4.4   2.4 5.4   5.0

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-29-23 at 5:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-29-23 97 ↓   69 73 ↑   92 93   67 72   92 91   65 68   91 89   67 68   79
09-28-23 87 90.1 °F 67 70 69.8°F 91 93   67 71   92 92   68 71   94 90   65 68   93
09-27-23 77 81.5 °F 57 56 58.3°F 83 88 90.1 °F 67 69 69.8°F 94 93   71 70   90 92   71 70   93
09-26-23 79 ↓ 79.4 °F 56 52 ↑ 51.0°F 77 77 ↓ 81.5 °F 56 56 58.3°F 85 86 90.1 °F 67 66 69.8°F 93 90   71 70   96
09-25-23 80 84.5 °F 58 55 53.7°F 79 >75 79.4 °F 57 <55 51.0°F 79 75 81.5 °F 56 55 58.3°F 86 85 90.1 °F 63 65 69.8°F 93
09-24-23 83 ↓ 84.3 °F 59 55 ↑ 53.4°F 80 81 ↓ 84.5 °F 56 55 53.7°F 79 78 79.4 °F 55 52 51.0°F 79 79 81.5 °F 57 56 58.3°F 88
09-23-23 80 81.8 °F 63 53 ↑ 51.3°F 80 79 84.3 °F 58 55 53.4°F 82 81 84.5 °F 57 55 53.7°F 80 81 79.4 °F 58 56 51.0°F 87
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 0 5 0 0 0 3 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 0 0
% Succ 50.0   0.0 83.3   0.0     0.0 60.0   0.0 25.0   0.0 50.0   0.0 33.3   0.0     0.0
Ave Error 2.6   23.6 1.4   25.4 19.0   25.2 11.4   26.6 3.9   25.1 2.4   26.3 3.1   24.3 4.0   29.6
Net Error -2.6   -23.6 0.6   25.4 -19.0   -25.2 -10.2   26.6 -3.9   -25.1 -1.2   26.3 -2.0   -24.3 -0.7   29.6
Std Dev 1.9   9.7 0.8   10.5 31.2   16.0 20.1   16.8 3.4   21.8 2.2   22.8 3.1   24.3 4.0   29.6

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-28-23 at 8:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-28-23 70   68 93   93 71 ↑   69 92   92 71   68 90   94 68   69 89   93
09-27-23 56 58.3°F 58 88 81.5 °F 85 69   66 93   92 70   70 92   92 70   68 90   94
09-26-23 <55 51.0°F 57 75 79.4 °F 78 55 58.3°F 56 85 81.5 °F 85 65   66 >85   93 >65   70 >85   96
09-25-23 54 ↑ 53.7°F 60 78 84.5 °F 81 52 51.0°F 59 78 79.4 °F 80 55 58.3°F 57 86 81.5 °F 87 66   64 90   93
09-24-23 55 ↑ 53.4°F 61 81 ↓ 84.3 °F 82 55 ↑ 53.7°F 57 78 84.5 °F 80 52 51.0°F 57 79 79.4 °F 80 56 58.3°F 57 85 81.5 °F 86
09-23-23 53 ↑ 51.3°F 63 79 81.8 °F 82 55 53.4°F 60 81 84.3 °F 83 55 53.7°F 59 81 84.5 °F 86 56 51.0°F 61 82 79.4 °F 88
09-22-23 66 64.4°F 64 81 73.4 °F 79 55 51.3°F 60 81 81.8 °F 81 56 53.4°F 58 81 84.3 °F 84 56 53.7°F 59 81 84.5 °F 89
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 4 2 0 2 3 0 2 3 2 1 1 3 0 1 0 0
% Succ 66.7   33.3     33.3 60.0   0.0 40.0   60.0 50.0   25.0 25.0   75.0     33.3     0.0
Ave Error 9.8   5.4 5.2   2.8 2.2   5.8 3.1   2.1 2.1   4.3 2.9   2.0 3.2   5.5 3.2   5.9
Net Error -8.0   5.2 -0.5   0.3 0.9   4.9 -1.7   -0.5 0.4   3.7 -0.7   1.8 1.7   4.7 0.9   5.9
Std Dev 18.6   4.1 2.6   1.7 1.6   4.2 2.6   1.9 1.9   4.0 2.7   2.5 3.2   5.5 3.2   5.9

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 09-28-23 at 11:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
09-28-23 70   69 93   90 71 ↑   67 92   90 71   68 90   94 68   69 89   94
09-27-23 56 76.1°F 57 88 81.5 °F 84 69   65 93   91 70   68 92   89 70   65 90   93
09-26-23 52 ↑ 64.2°F 55 77 ↓ 79.4 °F 77 56 76.1°F 55 86 81.5 °F 85 66   65 90   93 70   69 90   95
09-25-23 54 ↑ 59.9°F 57 78 84.5 °F 78 52 64.2°F 56 78 79.4 °F 78 55 76.1°F 55 86 81.5 °F 86 66   63 90   93
09-24-23 55 ↑ 63.0°F 56 81 ↓ 84.3 °F 78 55 ↑ 59.9°F 55 78 84.5 °F 78 52 64.2°F 55 79 79.4 °F 78 56 76.1°F 56 85 81.5 °F 86
09-23-23 53 ↑ 62.4°F 60 79 81.8 °F 80 55 63.0°F 58 81 84.3 °F 83 55 59.9°F 59 81 84.5 °F 85 56 64.2°F 60 82 79.4 °F 88
09-22-23 66 62.6°F 66 81 73.4 °F 81 55 62.4°F 61 81 81.8 °F 81 56 63.0°F 59 81 84.3 °F 84 56 59.9°F 59 81 84.5 °F 88
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 0 0 1 0 1 2 3 0 1 1 3 0 1 0 0
% Succ     0.0     16.7     20.0 40.0   60.0     25.0 25.0   75.0     33.3     0.0
Ave Error 9.8   7.3 4.9   4.5 10.5   8.1 3.3   2.7 11.3   8.8 2.9   1.7 10.7   8.4 3.2   5.5
Net Error -8.7   -6.2 -0.2   -1.2 -10.5   -8.1 -1.5   -1.3 -11.3   -8.8 -0.7   0.8 -10.7   -8.4 0.9   5.5
Std Dev 6.1   6.3 2.6   2.7 8.3   7.9 2.7   2.5 10.9   9.8 2.7   2.0 10.7   8.4 3.2   5.5

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.