Current WXSIM Forecast

Monday, 21-Apr-2025 11:00 am

This
afternoon
Clear
Clear
High: 74°
Tonight

Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Low: 53°
Tuesday

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
High: 79°
Tuesday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Low: 54°
Wednesday

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
High: 78°
Wednesday
night
Thunder storm
Thunder storm
Low: 59°
Thursday

Thunder storm
Thunder storm
High: 70°
Thursday
night
Thunder storm
Thunder storm
Low: 55°
Friday

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
High: 63°

Current NWS Forecast

Mon, 21-Apr-2025 10:37am CDT

Today

Today: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 76 °F
Tonight

Tonight: Chance Rain Showers
Chance Rain Showers

Lo 53 °F
Tuesday

Tuesday: Slight Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Sunny
Slight Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Sunny

Hi 77 °F
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Mostly Clear then Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Mostly Clear then Slight Chance Showers And TStorms

Lo 51 °F
Wednesday

Wednesday: Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
Slight Chance Showers And TStorms then Showers And TStorms Likely

Hi 75 °F
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
Showers And TStorms Likely

Lo 55 °F
Thursday

Thursday: Showers And Thunderstorms
Showers And TStorms

Hi 72 °F
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Showers And Thunderstorms
Showers And TStorms

Lo 47 °F
Friday

Friday: Chance Rain Showers
Chance Rain Showers

Hi 66 °F



WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 04-21-25 at 2:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-21-25 35   43 76   76 53   56 77   79 51   55 75   72 55   57 72   75
04-20-25 41 45.0°F 45 49 48.6 °F 49 36   43 72   70 53   53 77   75 49   57 77   70
04-19-25 37 47.6°F 39 62 61.7 °F 61 43 45.0°F 39 52 48.6 °F 43 39   37 72   68 53   52 78   74
04-18-25 47 44.3°F 50 57 58.1 °F 59 38 47.6°F 40 62 61.7 °F 60 43 45.0°F 43 55 48.6 °F 46 39   39 74   68
04-17-25 59 54.3°F 64 87 86.8 °F 85 48 44.3°F 57 59 58.1 °F 62 38 47.6°F 43 62 61.7 °F 61 41 45.0°F 46 58 48.6 °F 51
04-16-25 45 66.5°F 46 81 80.6 °F 75 58 54.3°F 55 87 86.8 °F 85 47 44.3°F 57 65 58.1 °F 60 41 47.6°F 47 65 61.7 °F 60
04-15-25 34 53.3°F 37 67 69.6 °F 64 45 66.5°F 41 81 80.6 °F 72 58 54.3°F 52 88 86.8 °F 83 49 44.3°F 53 65 58.1 °F 58
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 1 5 4 1 1 4 2 1 1 2 2 0 2 0 2
% Succ     16.7 83.3   66.7 20.0   20.0 80.0   40.0 25.0   25.0 50.0   50.0     66.7     66.7
Ave Error 10.5   10.1 0.8   2.5 8.1   10.5 1.0   4.3 4.5   5.4 3.7   2.3 5.1   3.4 6.5   1.4
Net Error -8.0   -5.0 -0.4   -2.1 -5.1   -5.1 1.0   -2.8 -1.3   1.0 3.7   -1.3 -2.0   3.0 6.5   0.2
Std Dev 7.8   7.5 0.6   2.1 6.2   7.1 1.3   3.0 4.1   5.0 3.5   2.0 5.1   3.4 6.5   1.4

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 04-21-25 at 5:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-21-25 35   75 76   53 53   76 77   54 51   70 75   57 55   74 72   52
04-20-25 43 38.6°F 48 48 48.6 °F 41 36   70 72   52 53   76 76   57 50   70 76   54
04-19-25 36 46.7°F 63 62 61.7 °F 44 41 38.6°F 47 52 48.6 °F 40 38   68 73   53 53   74 77   55
04-18-25 47 42.4°F 57 58 58.1 °F 38 38 46.7°F 61 62 61.7 °F 41 43 38.6°F 45 53 48.6 °F 39 39   68 72   53
04-17-25 59 48.5°F 85 87 86.8 °F 58 48 42.4°F 63 59 58.1 °F 46 38 46.7°F 61 62 61.7 °F 46 41 38.6°F 52 58 48.6 °F 41
04-16-25 42 66.1°F 77 79 80.6 °F 56 59 48.5°F 84 86 86.8 °F 58 47 42.4°F 60 59 58.1 °F 47 39 46.7°F 60 62 61.7 °F 45
04-15-25 34 52.5°F 66 67 69.6 °F 44 45 66.1°F 73 81 80.6 °F 52 58 48.5°F 83 88 86.8 °F 53 49 42.4°F 58 65 58.1 °F 39
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 0 5 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 1 0
% Succ     0.0 83.3   0.0     0.0 80.0   0.0     0.0 75.0   0.0     0.0 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 12.1   16.9 0.9   20.7 9.7   17.1 1.2   19.8 6.8   18.2 1.7   17.6 5.6   14.1 5.5   14.5
Net Error -5.6   16.9 -0.7   -20.7 -2.3   17.1 0.8   -19.8 2.5   18.2 1.7   -17.6 0.4   14.1 5.5   -14.5
Std Dev 8.3   11.3 0.7   10.7 7.2   11.7 1.3   13.9 6.0   16.8 2.0   15.7 5.6   14.1 5.5   14.5

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 04-21-25 at 8:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-21-25 76   72 53   54 77   80 51   55 75   79 55   59 72   71 47   55
04-20-25 48 48.6 °F 49 36 38.1°F 40 72   70 53   51 76   75 50   55 76   66 54   54
04-19-25 62 61.7 °F 61 41 46.4°F 42 52 48.6 °F 46 38 38.1°F 40 73   69 53   53 77   73 48   56
04-18-25 58 58.1 °F 56 38 39.4°F 38 62 61.7 °F 60 43 46.4°F 40 53 48.6 °F 43 39 38.1°F 38 72   68 52   54
04-17-25 87 86.8 °F 86 48 47.6°F 56 59 58.1 °F 62 38 39.4°F 42 62 61.7 °F 64 41 46.4°F 44 58 48.6 °F 54 37 38.1°F 40
04-16-25 79 80.6 °F 78 59 64.2°F 55 86 86.8 °F 83 47 47.6°F 55 59 58.1 °F 60 39 39.4°F 45 62 61.7 °F 63 40 46.4°F 46
04-15-25 67 69.6 °F 62 45 52.5°F 42 81 80.6 °F 72 58 64.2°F 52 88 86.8 °F 84 49 47.6°F 55 65 58.1 °F 62 39 39.4°F 47
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 5 3 2 2 4 1 3 1 3 1 3 1 1 1 2 2
% Succ 83.3   50.0 33.3   33.3 80.0   20.0 60.0   20.0 75.0   25.0 75.0   25.0 33.3   33.3 66.7   66.7
Ave Error 0.9   2.4 3.7   6.0 1.2   4.1 2.3   6.1 1.7   3.2 2.0   3.9 5.5   3.5 2.6   3.3
Net Error -0.7   -2.2 -3.5   -2.5 0.8   -2.6 -2.3   -1.3 1.7   -1.1 -0.9   2.6 5.5   3.5 -2.6   3.0
Std Dev 0.7   1.6 2.5   3.9 1.3   2.9 1.9   4.6 2.0   3.0 1.8   3.9 5.5   3.5 2.6   3.3

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 04-21-25 at 11:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-21-25 76   74 53   53 77   79 51   54 75   78 55   59 72   70 47   55
04-20-25 48 48.6 °F 47 36 38.1°F 38 72   69 53   49 76   74 50   54 76   66 54   54
04-19-25 62 61.7 °F 61 41 46.3°F 40 52 48.6 °F 45 38 38.1°F 40 73   69 53   53 77   73 48   56
04-18-25 58 58.1 °F 57 38 39.4°F 39 62 61.7 °F 60 43 46.3°F 40 53 48.6 °F 43 39 38.1°F 38 72   68 52   54
04-17-25 87 86.8 °F 85 48 47.6°F 55 59 58.1 °F 61 38 39.4°F 43 62 61.7 °F 63 41 46.3°F 44 58 48.6 °F 54 37 38.1°F 40
04-16-25 79 80.6 °F 77 59 64.2°F 57 86 86.8 °F 84 47 47.6°F 58 59 58.1 °F 61 39 39.4°F 48 62 61.7 °F 64 40 46.3°F 47
04-15-25 67 69.6 °F 65 45 52.5°F 43 81 80.6 °F 74 58 64.2°F 51 88 86.8 °F 84 49 47.6°F 55 65 58.1 °F 62 39 39.4°F 47
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 5 4 2 2 4 1 3 1 3 1 3 1 1 0 2 2
% Succ 83.3   66.7 33.3   33.3 80.0   20.0 60.0   20.0 75.0   25.0 75.0   25.0 33.3   0.0 66.7   66.7
Ave Error 0.9   2.2 3.7   5.2 1.2   3.5 2.3   7.1 1.7   3.2 2.0   4.6 5.5   3.9 2.6   3.4
Net Error -0.7   -2.2 -3.5   -2.7 0.8   -2.4 -2.3   -0.7 1.7   -1.1 -0.9   3.4 5.5   3.9 -2.6   3.4
Std Dev 0.7   1.4 2.5   3.8 1.3   2.4 1.9   5.3 2.0   3.0 1.8   4.6 5.5   3.9 2.6   3.4

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 04-20-25 at 2:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-20-25 49   49 35   42 75   72 53   53 77   77 51   56 75   67 55   55
04-19-25 62 61.7 °F 60 41 46.3°F 39 52   43 38   38 73   67 53   50 77   73 48   54
04-18-25 58 58.1 °F 60 38 39.4°F 39 62 61.7 °F 61 43 46.3°F 41 53   45 39   40 72   68 52   53
04-17-25 87 86.8 °F 84 47 47.6°F 55 57 58.1 °F 61 38 39.4°F 43 62 61.7 °F 62 43 46.3°F 46 55   52 39   41
04-16-25 79 80.6 °F 78 59 64.2°F 59 86 86.8 °F 85 47 47.6°F 54 59 58.1 °F 59 39 39.4°F 42 62 61.7 °F 61 40 46.3°F 41
04-15-25 68 69.6 °F 67 45 52.5°F 44 81 80.6 °F 74 58 64.2°F 52 88 86.8 °F 83 49 47.6°F 56 65 58.1 °F 63 39 39.4°F 47
04-14-25 63 63.8 °F 63 35 39.6°F 39 68 69.6 °F 63 44 52.5°F 44 79 80.6 °F 76 56 64.2°F 57 87 86.8 °F 84 50 47.6°F 58
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 6 3 2 2 5 2 2 0 4 2 2 1 2 1 1 0
% Succ 100.0   50.0 33.3   33.3 100.0   40.0 40.0   0.0 100.0   50.0 50.0   25.0 66.7   33.3 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 0.8   2.1 4.1   4.9 0.8   3.7 4.0   7.2 1.0   2.4 3.3   4.6 2.5   2.8 3.0   7.8
Net Error -0.6   -1.4 -4.1   -2.4 -0.6   -2.6 -4.0   -3.2 0.2   -1.8 -2.6   0.9 2.5   0.5 -1.4   4.2
Std Dev 0.7   1.0 2.9   3.4 0.6   2.9 3.2   4.9 0.9   2.3 2.9   4.6 2.5   2.8 3.0   7.8

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 04-20-25 at 5:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-20-25 49   41 35   72 75   51 53   76 77   56 51   67 75   55 55   71
04-19-25 62 61.7 °F 42 41 46.3°F 46 49   40 36   68 72   51 53   73 77   54 49   70
04-18-25 58 58.1 °F 39 39 39.4°F 61 62 61.7 °F 42 43 46.3°F 45 52   40 39   68 72   53 53   73
04-17-25 87 86.8 °F 55 47 47.6°F 60 57 58.1 °F 43 38 39.4°F 61 62 61.7 °F 46 43 46.3°F 51 55   41 39   71
04-16-25 79 80.6 °F 62 59 64.2°F 85 86 86.8 °F 55 47 47.6°F 61 59 58.1 °F 43 39 39.4°F 61 62 61.7 °F 42 40 46.3°F 57
04-15-25 68 69.6 °F 45 45 52.5°F 74 81 80.6 °F 52 58 64.2°F 84 87 86.8 °F 56 47 47.6°F 63 65 58.1 °F 47 41 39.4°F 56
04-14-25 63 63.8 °F 39 34 39.6°F 64 68 69.6 °F 45 44 52.5°F 77 79 80.6 °F 57 58 64.2°F 84 89 86.8 °F 58 48 47.6°F 66
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 6 0 2 1 5 0 2 1 4 0 2 0 1 0 2 0
% Succ 100.0   0.0 33.3   16.7 100.0   0.0 40.0   20.0 100.0   0.0 50.0   0.0 33.3   0.0 66.7   0.0
Ave Error 0.8   23.1 4.1   16.8 0.8   24.0 4.0   16.1 0.7   21.3 2.6   15.4 3.1   19.9 2.8   15.2
Net Error -0.6   -23.1 -4.1   16.7 -0.6   -24.0 -4.0   15.6 0.0   -21.3 -2.6   15.4 3.1   -19.9 -1.4   15.2
Std Dev 0.7   10.5 3.1   10.3 0.6   16.2 3.2   12.5 0.7   18.7 2.3   14.3 3.1   19.9 2.8   15.2

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 04-20-25 at 8:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-20-25 35   41 75   73 53   54 77   77 51   54 75   72 55   57 73   69
04-19-25 41 46.3°F 41 49 61.7 °F 47 36   40 72   68 53   51 77   73 49   54 77   68
04-18-25 39 39.4°F 36 62 58.1 °F 60 43 46.3°F 38 52 61.7 °F 42 39   37 72   67 53   51 78   72
04-17-25 47 47.6°F 52 57 86.8 °F 58 38 39.4°F 40 62 58.1 °F 58 43 46.3°F 40 55 61.7 °F 45 39   40 74   69
04-16-25 59 64.2°F 61 86 80.6 °F 84 47 47.6°F 57 59 86.8 °F 62 39 39.4°F 43 62 58.1 °F 60 40 46.3°F 43 61 61.7 °F 51
04-15-25 45 52.5°F 45 81 69.6 °F 74 58 64.2°F 53 87 80.6 °F 84 47 47.6°F 55 65 86.8 °F 58 41 39.4°F 41 65 58.1 °F 61
04-14-25 34 39.6°F 38 68 63.8 °F 65 44 52.5°F 43 79 69.6 °F 73 58 64.2°F 52 89 80.6 °F 84 48 47.6°F 55 65 86.8 °F 64
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 1 0 2 2 1 0 1 2 0 0 1 2 1 1 0
% Succ 33.3   16.7     33.3 40.0   20.0     20.0 50.0   0.0     25.0 66.7   33.3 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 4.1   4.2 11.2   9.1 4.0   7.8 11.4   10.3 2.6   7.4 10.2   12.7 2.8   4.1 9.8   12.1
Net Error -4.1   -2.8 -2.9   -5.4 -4.0   -3.8 -3.6   -7.6 -2.6   -1.9 -4.1   -10.1 -1.4   1.9 -5.2   -10.2
Std Dev 3.1   2.3 9.7   10.1 3.2   5.9 10.9   11.1 2.3   6.4 9.0   11.2 2.8   4.1 9.8   12.1

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 04-20-25 at 11:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-20-25 35   42 75   74 53   55 77   78 51   54 75   72 55   58 73   69
04-19-25 41 45.3°F 45 49 61.7 °F 49 36   40 72   68 53   52 77   73 49   54 77   68
04-18-25 37 48.8°F 39 62 58.1 °F 62 43 45.3°F 40 52 61.7 °F 44 39   39 72   68 53   52 78   72
04-17-25 47 46.4°F 52 57 86.8 °F 61 38 48.8°F 41 62 58.1 °F 61 43 45.3°F 40 55 61.7 °F 45 39   40 74   69
04-16-25 59 58.0°F 62 86 80.6 °F 89 47 46.4°F 59 59 86.8 °F 64 39 48.8°F 45 62 58.1 °F 61 40 45.3°F 44 61 61.7 °F 52
04-15-25 45 67.3°F 45 81 69.6 °F 75 58 58.0°F 54 87 80.6 °F 85 47 46.4°F 56 65 86.8 °F 58 41 48.8°F 42 65 58.1 °F 61
04-14-25 34 55.2°F 37 68 63.8 °F 63 44 67.3°F 41 79 69.6 °F 72 58 58.0°F 51 89 80.6 °F 84 48 46.4°F 55 65 86.8 °F 64
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 1 1 0
% Succ 33.3   16.7     16.7 40.0   0.0     0.0 50.0   0.0     0.0 33.3   33.3 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 10.2   10.0 11.2   9.5 7.4   11.2 11.4   10.0 3.2   6.4 10.2   13.0 4.9   5.6 9.8   11.8
Net Error -9.7   -6.8 -2.9   -3.6 -7.2   -6.2 -3.6   -6.2 -2.9   -1.6 -4.1   -9.8 -3.8   0.2 -5.2   -9.9
Std Dev 8.8   8.2 9.7   8.3 6.2   7.7 10.9   9.7 2.8   5.6 9.0   11.4 4.9   5.6 9.8   11.8

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.