Current WXSIM Forecast

Tuesday, 21-Mar-2023 05:00 pm

Tonight

Cloudy
Cloudy
Low: 41°
Wednesday

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
High: 61°
Wednesday
night
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Low: 44°
Thursday

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
High: 55°
Thursday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Low: 34°
Friday

Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
High: 57°
Friday
night
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Low: 38°
Saturday

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
High: 48°
Saturday
night
Rain and Snow
Cold!
Rain and Snow
Cold!
Low: 31°

Current NWS Forecast

Tue, 21-Mar-2023 4:35pm CDT

This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: Cloudy
Cloudy

Hi 54 °F ↓
Tonight

Tonight: Mostly Cloudy then Patchy Fog
Mostly Cloudy then Patchy Fog

Lo 37 °F ↑
Wednesday

Wednesday: Patchy Fog then Partly Sunny
Patchy Fog then Partly Sunny

Hi 57 °F
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Chance Light Rain
Chance Light Rain

Lo 33 °F
Thursday

Thursday: Slight Chance Light Rain then Cloudy
Slight Chance Light Rain then Cloudy

Hi 49 °F
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy

Lo 30 °F
Friday

Friday: Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny

Hi 55 °F
Friday
Night
Friday Night: Slight Chance Light Rain
Slight Chance Light Rain

Lo 33 °F
Saturday

Saturday: Slight Chance Light Rain
Slight Chance Light Rain

Hi 59 °F



WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 03-21-23 at 2:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
03-21-23 38 ↑   40 52   58 38 ↑   40 56   61 34   38 51   51 29   35 56   59
03-20-23 32 ↑ 47.1°F 33 58 66.5 °F 60 39 ↑   39 54   53 34   37 57   61 35   45 51   58
03-19-23 8 ↑ 37.3°F 13 48 50.2 °F 50 32 ↑ 47.1°F 33 60 66.5 °F 60 38   40 56   52 37   37 56   57
03-18-23 12 ↑ 14.8°F 12 28 31.4 °F 23 11 37.3°F 7 45 50.2 °F 46 30 47.1°F 34 59 66.5 °F 59 39   42 53   49
03-17-23 22 ↑ 16.4°F 22 40 ↓ 43.0 °F 38 14 14.8°F 21 28 31.4 °F 29 12 37.3°F 13 42 50.2 °F 47 25 47.1°F 32 54 66.5 °F 60
03-16-23 39 ↑ 25.3°F 46 42 ↓ 53.4 °F 48 20 16.4°F 22 38 43.0 °F 37 14 14.8°F 14 28 31.4 °F 26 11 37.3°F 9 38 50.2 °F 44
03-15-23 37 ↑ 51.0°F 37 66 67.7 °F 63 36 ↑ 25.3°F 48 44 53.4 °F 51 19 16.4°F 19 38 43.0 °F 30 14 14.8°F 15 31 31.4 °F 28
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 0
% Succ     0.0 16.7   16.7 20.0   0.0     0.0 25.0   25.0     0.0 33.3   33.3 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 13.4   13.6 5.0   5.0 11.3   15.8 5.9   4.3 11.5   10.2 6.0   7.3 16.4   14.5 8.4   5.4
Net Error -7.0   -4.8 -5.0   -5.0 -5.6   -2.0 -5.9   -4.3 -10.2   -8.9 -6.0   -7.3 -16.4   -14.4 -8.4   -5.4
Std Dev 10.1   9.4 3.9   3.2 11.0   12.7 3.9   3.0 10.3   9.0 5.3   6.3 16.4   14.5 8.4   5.4

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 03-21-23 at 5:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
03-21-23 38 ↑   57 51   40 38 ↑   62 55   39 32   51 50   35 30   59 52   38
03-20-23 32 ↑ 41.6°F 60 61 66.5 °F 39 40 ↑   51 52   36 35   60 57   45 32   58 51   33
03-19-23 12 36.9°F 49 52 50.2 °F 33 31 ↑ 41.6°F 60 58 66.5 °F 40 38   52 54   37 36   57 56   34
03-18-23 12 ↑ 11.6°F 25 29 ↓ 31.4 °F 8 10 36.9°F 46 47 50.2 °F 33 31 41.6°F 59 59 66.5 °F 42 38   49 52   36
03-17-23 22 ↑ 14.1°F 39 39 ↓ 43.0 °F 13 12 ↑ 11.6°F 21 28 31.4 °F 7 13 36.9°F 46 45 50.2 °F 31 27 41.6°F 60 56 66.5 °F 43
03-16-23 39 ↑ 24.7°F 47 42 ↓ 53.4 °F 21 23 14.1°F 37 40 43.0 °F 13 14 11.6°F 26 28 31.4 °F 9 13 36.9°F 44 41 50.2 °F 32
03-15-23 37 ↑ 50.6°F 64 68 ↓ 67.7 °F 48 38 ↑ 24.7°F 52 44 53.4 °F 20 20 14.1°F 30 37 43.0 °F 15 14 11.6°F 28 28 31.4 °F 14
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 0 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
% Succ 16.7   0.0 33.3   0.0 20.0   0.0     0.0     0.0     0.0     0.0     0.0
Ave Error 11.8   17.4 4.2   25.0 12.0   17.4 5.5   26.3 10.7   14.2 5.5   23.5 13.6   14.0 7.7   19.7
Net Error -4.3   17.4 -3.5   -25.0 -3.0   17.4 -5.5   -26.3 -6.6   14.2 -5.5   -23.5 -12.0   14.0 -7.7   -19.7
Std Dev 8.8   8.5 3.7   11.4 11.4   12.2 4.0   17.1 9.3   12.4 4.9   20.4 13.6   14.0 7.7   19.7

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 03-21-23 at 8:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
03-21-23 51   56 38 ↑   40 55   63 32   46 50   60 30   43 52   65 33   46
03-20-23 61 66.5 °F 61 40 ↑ 38.6°F 40 52   53 35   38 57   60 32   38 51   54 29   33
03-19-23 52 50.2 °F 43 31 ↑ 35.4°F 32 58 66.5 °F 59 38 38.6°F 41 54   51 36   35 56   60 35   47
03-18-23 29 ↓ 31.4 °F 25 10 11.5°F 11 47 50.2 °F 47 31 35.4°F 34 59 66.5 °F 59 38 38.6°F 41 52   47 39   36
03-17-23 39 ↓ 43.0 °F 38 12 ↑ 13.8°F 13 28 31.4 °F 21 13 11.5°F 7 45 50.2 °F 46 27 35.4°F 32 56 66.5 °F 58 34 38.6°F 38
03-16-23 43 ↓ 53.4 °F 38 23 24.4°F 21 40 ↓ 43.0 °F 37 14 13.8°F 14 28 31.4 °F 27 13 11.5°F 10 41 50.2 °F 45 24 35.4°F 33
03-15-23 68 ↓ 67.7 °F 64 38 ↑ 36.3°F 47 44 ↓ 53.4 °F 49 20 24.4°F 20 37 43.0 °F 32 14 13.8°F 13 28 31.4 °F 25 10 11.5°F 10
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 0 5 3 0 0 3 2 0 0 3 2 0 0 1 2
% Succ 33.3   0.0 83.3   50.0     0.0 60.0   40.0     0.0 75.0   50.0     0.0 33.3   66.7
Ave Error 4.1   7.2 2.0   3.4 5.5   6.3 2.2   2.6 5.5   6.8 2.7   2.0 7.7   6.7 5.8   1.5
Net Error -3.4   -7.2 -1.0   0.7 -5.5   -6.3 -1.5   -1.5 -5.5   -6.8 -1.8   -0.8 -7.7   -6.7 -5.8   -1.5
Std Dev 3.3   4.6 1.3   2.2 4.0   4.6 1.9   1.9 4.9   5.9 2.5   1.8 7.7   6.7 5.8   1.5

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 03-21-23 at 11:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
03-21-23 51   55 38 ↑   40 55   62 32   44 50   58 30   42 52   65 33   46
03-20-23 61 66.5 °F 61 40 ↑ 38.6°F 40 52   56 35   41 57   61 32   39 51   54 29   33
03-19-23 52 50.2 °F 46 31 ↑ 35.4°F 32 58 66.5 °F 59 38 38.6°F 40 54   51 36   35 56   60 35   46
03-18-23 29 ↓ 31.4 °F 25 10 11.5°F 9 47 50.2 °F 47 31 35.4°F 32 59 66.5 °F 60 38 38.6°F 41 52   48 39   35
03-17-23 39 43.0 °F 39 12 ↑ 13.8°F 17 28 31.4 °F 26 13 11.5°F 10 45 50.2 °F 46 27 35.4°F 32 56 66.5 °F 58 34 38.6°F 39
03-16-23 43 ↓ 53.4 °F 36 23 24.4°F 19 40 ↓ 43.0 °F 36 14 13.8°F 14 28 31.4 °F 27 13 11.5°F 10 41 50.2 °F 46 24 35.4°F 32
03-15-23 68 ↓ 67.7 °F 64 38 ↑ 35.6°F 47 44 ↓ 53.4 °F 49 20 24.4°F 20 37 43.0 °F 33 14 13.8°F 13 28 31.4 °F 25 10 11.5°F 10
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 0 4 1 0 0 3 3 0 0 3 2 0 0 1 2
% Succ 33.3   0.0 66.7   16.7     0.0 60.0   60.0     0.0 75.0   50.0     0.0 33.3   66.7
Ave Error 4.1   6.9 2.2   4.6 5.5   5.5 2.2   2.2 5.5   6.3 2.7   2.0 7.7   6.4 5.8   1.8
Net Error -3.4   -6.9 -0.9   0.8 -5.5   -5.5 -1.5   -1.5 -5.5   -6.3 -1.8   -0.8 -7.7   -6.4 -5.8   -1.5
Std Dev 3.3   5.4 1.4   2.5 4.0   3.7 1.9   1.6 4.9   5.4 2.5   1.8 7.7   6.4 5.8   1.8

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 03-21-23 at 2:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
03-21-23 54 ↓   51 38 ↑   41 57 ↓   61 32   44 50   53 30   34 52   57 33   38
03-20-23 62 66.5 °F 64 38 ↑ 38.6°F 40 52   56 38   41 57   60 32   45 51   59 29   34
03-19-23 52 50.2 °F 49 31 ↑ 35.4°F 34 58 66.5 °F 60 38 38.6°F 41 54   51 36   33 56   59 35   43
03-18-23 29 ↓ 31.4 °F 30 10 11.5°F 12 47 50.2 °F 49 31 35.4°F 35 59 66.5 °F 62 38 38.6°F 40 52   47 39   37
03-17-23 39 43.0 °F 43 12 ↑ 13.8°F 12 28 31.4 °F 20 13 11.5°F 6 45 50.2 °F 45 27 35.4°F 33 56 66.5 °F 58 34 38.6°F 44
03-16-23 43 ↓ 53.4 °F 34 23 24.4°F 23 40 ↓ 43.0 °F 39 14 13.8°F 19 28 31.4 °F 27 13 11.5°F 9 41 50.2 °F 49 24 35.4°F 33
03-15-23 68 ↓ 67.7 °F 66 38 ↑ 35.6°F 47 46 ↓ 53.4 °F 50 20 24.4°F 19 38 43.0 °F 32 14 13.8°F 11 29 31.4 °F 23 11 11.5°F 9
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 4 4 5 0 1 3 1 0 0 3 1 0 1 1 0
% Succ 33.3   66.7 66.7   83.3     20.0 60.0   20.0     0.0 75.0   25.0     33.3 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 3.9   4.4 2.0   3.0 5.1   5.3 2.2   3.8 5.3   6.3 2.7   2.3 7.4   6.0 5.5   3.4
Net Error -3.2   -4.4 -1.2   1.5 -5.1   -5.3 -1.5   -0.7 -5.3   -6.3 -1.8   -1.6 -7.4   -6.0 -5.5   0.2
Std Dev 3.3   6.9 1.4   2.0 3.7   4.7 1.9   3.0 4.7   5.5 2.5   2.0 7.4   6.0 5.5   3.4

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 03-21-23 at 5:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
03-21-23 54 ↓   41 37 ↑   61 57   44 33   55 49   34 30   57 55   38 33   48
03-20-23 64 ↓ 66.5 °F 40 38 ↑ 38.6°F 55 52   41 38   60 56   46 34   59 51   34 29   56
03-19-23 52 ↓ 50.2 °F 34 32 ↑ 35.4°F 60 58 66.5 °F 42 39 38.6°F 53 54   34 34   60 57   43 35   61
03-18-23 >25 31.4 °F 13 8 11.5°F 49 45 50.2 °F 36 <35 35.4°F 62 >55 66.5 °F 40 >35 38.6°F 47 55   37 >35   57
03-17-23 43 ↓ 43.0 °F 13 13 13.8°F 22 28 31.4 °F 4 11 11.5°F 46 45 50.2 °F 30 30 35.4°F 58 59 66.5 °F 43 39 38.6°F 48
03-16-23 38 ↓ 53.4 °F 22 24 24.4°F 38 40 ↓ 43.0 °F 20 14 13.8°F 28 28 31.4 °F 10 12 11.5°F 49 42 50.2 °F 33 25 35.4°F 60
03-15-23 70 ↓ 67.7 °F 49 39 ↑ 35.6°F 51 42 ↓ 53.4 °F 19 20 24.4°F 33 38 43.0 °F 11 14 13.8°F 23 28 31.4 °F 9 11 11.5°F 42
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 0 3 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 0
% Succ 33.3   0.0 50.0   0.0     0.0 60.0   0.0     0.0 50.0   0.0     0.0 66.7   0.0
Ave Error 8.9   23.5 2.0   19.3 6.3   24.7 8.2   19.7 20.0   25.0 11.2   19.4 6.4   21.0 3.8   21.5
Net Error -7.5   -23.5 -0.9   19.3 -6.3   -24.7 -7.9   19.7 -20.0   -25.0 -10.8   19.4 -6.4   -21.0 -3.5   21.5
Std Dev 11.5   11.2 1.5   12.2 4.3   16.4 14.1   14.6 29.0   21.7 16.8   17.7 6.4   21.0 3.8   21.5

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 03-20-23 at 8:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
03-20-23 38 ↑   40 52   55 38 ↑   42 56   61 34   44 51   55 29   30 56   53
03-19-23 32 ↑ 35.4°F 30 58 50.2 °F 57 39 ↑   40 54   51 34   35 57   59 35   44 51   57
03-18-23 8 ↑ 11.5°F 15 48 31.4 °F 50 32 ↑ 35.4°F 35 60 50.2 °F 61 38   40 56   52 37   35 56   57
03-17-23 13 13.8°F 16 28 43.0 °F 25 11 11.5°F 10 45 31.4 °F 46 30 35.4°F 34 59 50.2 °F 59 39   40 53   43
03-16-23 24 24.4°F 20 40 ↓ 53.4 °F 36 14 13.8°F 22 28 43.0 °F 28 12 11.5°F 10 42 31.4 °F 47 25 35.4°F 31 54 50.2 °F 59
03-15-23 38 ↑ 35.6°F 48 42 ↓ 67.7 °F 50 20 24.4°F 24 38 53.4 °F 37 14 13.8°F 13 28 43.0 °F 23 11 11.5°F 9 38 31.4 °F 44
03-14-23 37 ↑ 40.8°F 35 66 51.9 °F 57 36 ↑ 35.6°F 45 44 67.7 °F 48 19 24.4°F 17 38 53.4 °F 27 14 13.8°F 12 31 43.0 °F 27
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 0 0 0 3 3 0 0 2 3 0 0 2 1 0 0
% Succ 33.3   0.0     0.0 60.0   60.0     0.0 50.0   75.0     0.0 66.7   33.3     0.0
Ave Error 2.4   5.6 15.4   13.9 1.8   4.0 15.5   15.3 2.9   2.8 12.5   17.7 3.7   2.9 7.5   12.5
Net Error -1.6   0.4 -2.6   -3.8 -1.5   3.1 -6.1   -5.1 -2.5   -2.8 -2.8   -5.5 -3.6   -2.9 -0.5   1.8
Std Dev 1.5   4.0 8.2   7.2 1.6   3.7 10.2   9.9 2.8   2.5 10.9   16.0 3.7   2.9 7.5   12.5

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 03-20-23 at 11:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
03-20-23 38 ↑   40 52   56 38 ↑   40 56   62 34   44 51   56 29   30 56   53
03-19-23 32 ↑ 50.7°F 31 58 50.2 °F 58 39 ↑   41 54   53 34   36 57   59 35   44 51   57
03-18-23 8 ↑ 40.3°F 15 48 31.4 °F 50 32 ↑ 50.7°F 33 60 50.2 °F 59 38   39 56   51 37   35 56   57
03-17-23 13 20.6°F 13 28 43.0 °F 25 11 40.3°F 12 45 31.4 °F 47 30 50.7°F 34 59 50.2 °F 59 39   41 53   43
03-16-23 22 ↑ 21.7°F 22 40 ↓ 53.4 °F 38 14 20.6°F 22 28 43.0 °F 30 12 40.3°F 12 42 31.4 °F 48 25 50.7°F 32 54 50.2 °F 59
03-15-23 38 ↑ 27.4°F 47 42 ↓ 67.7 °F 50 20 21.7°F 24 38 53.4 °F 37 14 20.6°F 13 28 43.0 °F 23 11 40.3°F 8 38 31.4 °F 44
03-14-23 37 ↑ 55.0°F 37 66 51.9 °F 59 36 ↑ 27.4°F 45 44 67.7 °F 48 19 21.7°F 18 38 53.4 °F 27 14 20.6°F 12 31 43.0 °F 27
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
% Succ 16.7   16.7     0.0 20.0   20.0     0.0     0.0     0.0     0.0     0.0
Ave Error 14.6   15.1 15.4   14.1 13.0   13.5 15.5   14.7 14.6   14.1 12.5   18.0 20.5   19.9 7.5   12.5
Net Error -11.0   -8.5 -2.6   -2.9 -9.5   -4.9 -6.1   -4.9 -14.6   -14.1 -2.8   -5.3 -20.5   -19.9 -0.5   1.8
Std Dev 11.6   10.4 8.2   6.9 11.6   12.2 10.2   9.7 13.0   12.3 10.9   16.2 20.5   19.9 7.5   12.5

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.