Current WXSIM Forecast

Tuesday, 25-Jan-2022 11:00 am

This
afternoon
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
High: 26°
Tonight

Mostly Clear
Cold!
Mostly Clear
Cold!
Low: 4°
Wednesday

Sunny
Cold!
Sunny
Cold!
High: 34°
Wednesday
night
Mostly Cloudy
Cold!
Mostly Cloudy
Cold!
Low: 24°
Thursday

Cloudy
Cold!
Cloudy
Cold!
High: 35°
Thursday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Low: 12°
Friday

Sunny
Sunny
High: 38°
Friday
night
Partly Cloudy
Cold!
Partly Cloudy
Cold!
Low: 19°
Saturday

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
High: 51°

Current NWS Forecast

Tue, 25-Jan-2022 12:35pm CST

This
Afternoon
This Afternoon: Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny

Hi 24 °F ↓
Tonight

Tonight: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 4 °F
Wednesday

Wednesday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 37 °F
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy

Lo 24 °F
Thursday

Thursday: Partly Sunny
Partly Sunny

Hi 40 °F
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy

Lo 15 °F
Friday

Friday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 41 °F
Friday
Night
Friday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 18 °F
Saturday

Saturday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 49 °F



WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 01-25-22 at 2:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
01-25-22 7   6 <25   25 5   5 >35   35 25   27 40   38 13   14 >35   45
01-24-22 <35 10.9°F 36 45 47.0 °F 48 9   9 <25   25 7   6 40   34 25   24 40   33
01-23-22 25 39.5°F 30 <45 46.2 °F 47 <35 10.9°F 36 >45 47.0 °F 49 11   12 25   27 11   7 >35   37
01-22-22 20 43.5°F 23 <45 49.0 °F 49 25 39.5°F 27 45 46.2 °F 45 <35 10.9°F 29 >45 47.0 °F 45 8   11 <25   33
01-21-22 1 ↑ 29.5°F 5 31 31.7 °F 34 20 ↑ 43.5°F 19 40 49.0 °F 45 25 39.5°F 31 44 46.2 °F 46 29 10.9°F 29 48 47.0 °F 38
01-20-22 0 6.2°F 0 17 ↓ 29.5 °F 25 5 29.5°F 7 31 31.7 °F 34 22 43.5°F 21 35 49.0 °F 41 20 39.5°F 24 42 46.2 °F 49
01-19-22 13 4.3°F 19 19 29.5 °F 25 0 6.2°F 4 18 29.5 °F 24 4 29.5°F 7 30 31.7 °F 32 20 43.5°F 16 35 49.0 °F 33
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 0 2 3 0 0 2 2 0 0 1 3 0 0 1 0
% Succ     0.0 33.3   50.0     0.0 40.0   40.0     0.0 25.0   75.0     0.0 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 15.4   16.8 20.2   2.2 15.9   17.4 13.9   3.0 18.1   17.9 16.2   2.6 20.4   20.4 6.4   9.3
Net Error -12.5   -3.5 -20.2   -0.8 -15.9   -7.3 -13.9   -1.3 -18.1   -8.9 -16.2   -2.5 -8.3   -8.3 -5.7   -7.4
Std Dev 9.8   9.9 21.1   1.7 10.9   12.1 18.3   2.2 16.1   15.5 20.8   2.3 20.4   20.4 6.4   9.3

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 01-25-22 at 5:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
01-25-22   27 <25   4 4   34 >35   24 25   35 >35   14 15   45 <45   23
01-24-22   48 <45 47.0 °F 10 8   28 <25   7 5   36 >35   23 25   31 >35   11
01-23-22   43 40 46.2 °F 33 <35 8.0°F 50 <45 47.0 °F 8 9   23 25   5 8   34 >35   25
01-22-22   50 45 49.0 °F 29 25 39.5°F 47 <45 46.2 °F 33 <35 8.0°F 49 >45 47.0 °F 12 8   25 25   7
01-21-22 1 ↑ 24.8°F 32 30 31.7 °F 19 20 ↑ 33.9°F 44 41 49.0 °F 30 28 39.5°F 44 44 46.2 °F 27 31 8.0°F 39 49 47.0 °F 9
01-20-22   26 17 29.5 °F 7 4 24.8°F 33 30 31.7 °F 21 <25 33.9°F 45 >35 49.0 °F 24 25 39.5°F 46 45 46.2 °F 26
01-19-22   21 18 29.5 °F 5 0 6.2°F 26 17 29.5 °F 8 5 24.8°F 33 30 31.7 °F 24 <25 33.9°F 39 35 49.0 °F 19
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0
% Succ     0.0 16.7   0.0     0.0 20.0   0.0     0.0 25.0   0.0     0.0 66.7   0.0
Ave Error 23.8   7.2 13.8   21.7 12.7   17.5 23.1   20.7 18.3   16.2 25.0   21.7 23.8   14.2 5.7   29.4
Net Error -23.8   7.2 -13.8   -21.7 -12.7   17.5 -23.1   -20.7 -18.3   16.2 -25.0   -21.7 -8.5   14.2 -4.4   -29.4
Std Dev 23.8   7.2 16.3   12.0 8.3   16.5 21.9   15.8 16.7   18.7 24.3   20.0 23.8   14.2 5.7   29.4

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 01-25-22 at 8:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
01-25-22   28 <25   6 4   36 >35   25 25   35 >35   15 15   45 <45   23
01-24-22 <45 47.0 °F 50 8 6.8°F 11 <25   29 5   7 >35   35 25   23 >35   31 12   11
01-23-22 40 46.2 °F 39 <35 39.6°F 32 <45 47.0 °F 49 9 6.8°F 8 25   23 8   4 >35   34 25   25
01-22-22 47 ↓ 49.0 °F 47 26 ↑ 19.6°F 29 42 ↓ 46.2 °F 50 34 39.6°F 32 48 47.0 °F 46 8 6.8°F 12 25   26 9   8
01-21-22 30 31.7 °F 33 20 20.6°F 19 40 49.0 °F 44 >25 19.6°F 30 45 46.2 °F 44 <35 39.6°F 27 >45 47.0 °F 39 8 6.8°F 9
01-20-22 17 29.5 °F 25 4 6.3°F 8 30 31.7 °F 33 <25 20.6°F 20 >35 49.0 °F 45 25 19.6°F 24 45 46.2 °F 44 >25 39.6°F 27
01-19-22 18 29.5 °F 21 0 0.6°F 2 17 29.5 °F 26 5 6.3°F 8 30 31.7 °F 33 <25 20.6°F 22 35 49.0 °F 38 18 19.6°F 20
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 2 3 3 1 2 1 3 3 2 1 1 1 0 2 1
% Succ 33.3   33.3 50.0   50.0 20.0   40.0 20.0   60.0 75.0   50.0 25.0   25.0 33.3   0.0 66.7   33.3
Ave Error 13.5   4.4 8.5   4.3 14.9   3.1 9.9   4.3 13.2   2.1 16.7   5.9 20.7   7.1 14.1   5.1
Net Error -13.5   -3.0 -5.9   1.3 -14.9   -0.3 -9.0   1.0 -12.7   -1.5 -13.4   -0.4 -20.7   -7.1 -13.3   -3.3
Std Dev 16.5   2.7 14.1   3.4 18.0   2.2 8.6   4.4 13.0   1.9 16.4   5.1 20.7   7.1 14.1   5.1

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 01-25-22 at 11:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
01-25-22 25   26 4   4 >35   34 25   24 >35   35 15   12 <45   38 18   19
01-24-22 45 47.0 °F 47 8 6.8°F 10 <25   28 5   6 >35   35 25   22 >35   28 12   9
01-23-22 40 46.2 °F 32 <35 39.6°F 30 <45 47.0 °F 49 9 6.8°F 12 25   24 8   8 >35   40 25   25
01-22-22 45 49.0 °F 48 25 18.8°F 29 <45 46.2 °F 47 <35 39.6°F 33 >45 47.0 °F 50 8 6.8°F 13 25   29 9   5
01-21-22 30 31.7 °F 32 20 20.6°F 20 40 49.0 °F 46 >25 18.8°F 28 45 46.2 °F 45 <35 39.6°F 26 >45 47.0 °F 43 8 6.8°F 12
01-20-22 17 29.5 °F 19 5 6.3°F 4 31 31.7 °F 31 21 20.6°F 18 38 49.0 °F 41 24 18.8°F 25 46 46.2 °F 39 29 39.6°F 23
01-19-22 18 29.5 °F 17 0 0.6°F 1 17 29.5 °F 24 5 6.3°F 6 30 31.7 °F 32 <25 20.6°F 22 35 49.0 °F 38 18 18.8°F 24
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 3 4 2 1 3 2 1 2 2 1 1 1 0 2 0
% Succ 33.3   50.0 66.7   33.3 20.0   60.0 40.0   20.0 50.0   50.0 25.0   25.0 33.3   0.0 66.7   0.0
Ave Error 6.3   6.4 8.3   4.4 23.1   2.4 12.5   4.8 15.2   3.1 16.7   6.9 20.4   7.4 4.2   9.0
Net Error -6.3   -6.3 -5.8   0.2 -23.1   -1.3 -11.4   1.0 -15.2   -1.5 -13.5   0.0 -20.4   -7.4 -3.4   -2.1
Std Dev 4.5   6.1 14.2   4.1 21.8   1.7 15.4   3.7 20.6   2.7 16.4   5.9 20.4   7.4 4.2   9.0

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 01-24-22 at 2:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
01-24-22 45   42 8   11 <25   29 5   7 >35   36 25   24 >35   29 12   10
01-23-22 40 46.2 °F 35 <35 39.6°F 34 <45   50 9   12 25   24 8   8 >35   40 25   25
01-22-22 45 49.0 °F 49 25 18.8°F 28 <45 46.2 °F 47 <35 39.6°F 32 >45   50 8   13 25   29 9   5
01-21-22 30 31.7 °F 31 20 20.6°F 20 40 49.0 °F 46 >25 18.8°F 28 45 46.2 °F 45 <35 39.6°F 26 >45   43 8   12
01-20-22 17 29.5 °F 19 5 6.3°F 2 31 31.7 °F 31 21 20.6°F 19 38 49.0 °F 41 24 18.8°F 26 46 46.2 °F 39 29 39.6°F 22
01-19-22 18 ↓ 29.5 °F 17 0 ↑ 0.6°F 0 17 ↓ 29.5 °F 24 5 6.3°F 6 30 31.7 °F 32 22 20.6°F 23 37 49.0 °F 38 19 18.8°F 24
01-18-22 >55 61.9 °F 61 12 13.0°F 24 19 29.5 °F 29 0 0.6°F 4 18 29.5 °F 24 4 6.3°F 9 30 31.7 °F 35 20 20.6°F 27
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 3 4 2 1 3 3 2 2 2 1 0 2 0 2 0
% Succ 16.7   50.0 66.7   33.3 20.0   60.0 60.0   40.0 50.0   50.0 25.0   0.0 66.7   0.0 66.7   0.0
Ave Error 16.3   6.0 8.2   5.2 15.8   2.1 12.1   4.4 6.4   3.8 12.1   6.5 4.6   7.2 3.8   9.7
Net Error -16.3   -6.0 -6.2   1.5 -15.8   -1.8 -12.0   0.6 -6.4   -3.6 -8.8   -0.3 -4.6   -5.0 -3.7   -2.0
Std Dev 11.3   5.6 14.3   3.8 18.4   1.6 15.7   4.0 6.1   3.5 17.3   6.6 4.6   7.2 3.8   9.7

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 01-24-22 at 5:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
01-24-22   7 7   27 <25   6 5   35 >35   24 25   36 40   15 13   45
01-23-22 37 ↓ 46.2 °F 29 33 ↑ 39.6°F 48 46 ↓   12 9   25 23   4 7   33 41   23 26   29
01-22-22 48 ↓ 49.0 °F 30 25 ↑ 18.8°F 48 43 46.2 °F 33 34 39.6°F 49 48   10 11   26 26   5 11   35
01-21-22   19 20 20.6°F 45 <45 49.0 °F 28 25 18.8°F 46 45 46.2 °F 27 <35 39.6°F 45 >45   11 8   33
01-20-22   4 3 6.3°F 32 <35 31.7 °F 19 20 20.6°F 42 >35 49.0 °F 25 25 18.8°F 41 45 46.2 °F 26 >25 39.6°F 37
01-19-22 18 ↓ 29.5 °F -1 0 0.6°F 23 17 ↓ 29.5 °F 6 5 6.3°F 32 31 31.7 °F 22 22 20.6°F 41 35 49.0 °F 26 20 18.8°F 45
01-18-22   23 12 13.0°F 29 19 29.5 °F 7 0 0.6°F 27 18 29.5 °F 9 4 6.3°F 34 30 31.7 °F 17 20 20.6°F 34
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 0 3 0 0 0 3 0 2 0 1 0 2 0 2 0
% Succ 33.3   0.0 50.0   0.0     0.0 60.0   0.0 50.0   0.0 25.0   0.0 66.7   0.0 66.7   0.0
Ave Error 7.2   22.2 3.1   21.0 21.4   18.6 2.9   22.0 15.6   18.4 12.4   18.9 5.6   19.3 13.8   14.1
Net Error -7.2   -22.2 -1.0   21.0 -21.4   -18.6 -0.4   22.0 -15.6   -18.4 -8.6   18.9 -5.6   -19.3 -13.0   12.3
Std Dev 5.6   13.3 2.7   10.8 20.6   12.3 2.8   15.2 15.3   15.9 17.3   17.7 5.6   19.3 13.8   14.1

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 01-24-22 at 8:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
01-24-22 7   13 <25   31 5   9 >35   36 25   25 40   36 13   16 >35   46
01-23-22 <35 39.6°F 35 45 46.2 °F 44 9   13 <25   26 7   5 40   34 25   24 40   28
01-22-22 25 18.8°F 29 <45 49.0 °F 48 <35 39.6°F 32 >45 46.2 °F 49 11   10 25   26 11   5 >35   35
01-21-22 21 ↑ 20.6°F 21 44 31.7 °F 46 26 ↑ 18.8°F 28 45 49.0 °F 46 31 39.6°F 27 48 46.2 °F 46 8   11 23   33
01-20-22 3 6.3°F 6 31 29.5 °F 32 20 ↑ 20.6°F 19 40 31.7 °F 42 25 18.8°F 25 44 49.0 °F 41 29 39.6°F 26 48 46.2 °F 37
01-19-22 0 0.6°F -1 17 ↓ 29.5 °F 23 5 6.3°F 6 31 29.5 °F 32 22 20.6°F 22 35 31.7 °F 41 20 18.8°F 26 42 49.0 °F 45
01-18-22 11 ↑ 13.0°F 24 20 ↓ 61.9 °F 31 0 0.6°F 9 18 29.5 °F 27 5 6.3°F 10 30 29.5 °F 34 20 20.6°F 17 36 31.7 °F 34
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 3 2 1 3 2 1 0 2 1 2 1 2 0 1 0
% Succ 50.0   50.0 33.3   16.7 60.0   40.0 20.0   0.0 50.0   25.0 50.0   25.0 66.7   0.0 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 8.7   4.7 19.7   9.6 9.9   5.4 14.3   4.2 4.4   6.0 2.7   5.5 4.1   8.1 4.4   5.2
Net Error -6.5   2.5 -15.1   -4.0 -7.0   1.6 -10.4   2.0 -0.6   -0.3 0.1   1.4 -3.3   -3.3 -0.3   -3.6
Std Dev 14.1   4.1 18.4   7.1 15.3   4.3 17.7   3.9 4.3   6.1 2.3   5.5 4.1   8.1 4.4   5.2

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 01-24-22 at 11:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
01-24-22 8   6 23   27 6   5 37   35 24   27 40   38 14   14 40   45
01-23-22 <35 14.7°F 34 45 46.2 °F 47 9   9 <25   25 7   6 40   34 25   24 40   33
01-22-22 24 ↑ 39.5°F 29 43 49.0 °F 45 34 ↑ 14.7°F 35 48 46.2 °F 48 11   12 26   27 11   7 39   37
01-21-22 21 ↑ 43.5°F 21 44 31.7 °F 46 26 ↑ 39.5°F 27 45 49.0 °F 45 31 14.7°F 29 48 46.2 °F 45 8   11 23   33
01-20-22 3 31.4°F 6 31 29.5 °F 33 20 ↑ 43.5°F 20 40 31.7 °F 46 25 39.5°F 31 44 49.0 °F 45 29 14.7°F 29 48 46.2 °F 38
01-19-22 0 7.3°F 0 17 ↓ 29.5 °F 25 5 31.4°F 7 31 29.5 °F 34 22 43.5°F 21 35 31.7 °F 41 20 39.5°F 24 42 49.0 °F 49
01-18-22 13 6.9°F 20 19 61.9 °F 27 0 7.3°F 8 18 29.5 °F 27 4 31.4°F 8 30 29.5 °F 32 20 43.5°F 16 35 31.7 °F 33
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 0 2 1 0 1 2 1 0 0 2 1 0 0 1 2
% Succ     0.0 33.3   16.7     20.0 40.0   20.0     0.0 50.0   25.0     0.0 33.3   66.7
Ave Error 15.8   16.4 12.7   10.3 18.0   16.3 5.4   5.4 19.9   17.2 2.7   4.3 19.1   19.1 4.0   3.2
Net Error -13.7   -5.6 -8.1   -4.1 -10.3   -7.9 -0.8   2.8 -11.8   -10.0 0.1   1.7 -9.6   -9.6 -0.6   -2.3
Std Dev 9.4   9.2 8.8   7.5 11.8   11.1 4.1   5.5 17.4   14.9 2.3   4.0 19.1   19.1 4.0   3.2

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.