Current WXSIM Forecast

Monday, 28-Nov-2022 11:00 am

This
afternoon
Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear
High: 57°
Tonight

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Low: 48°
Tuesday

Chance rain
Chance rain
High: 49°
Tuesday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Low: 46°
Wednesday

Sunny
Sunny
High: 60°
Wednesday
night
Fog
Fog
Low: 39°
Thursday

Mostly Sunny
Mostly Sunny
High: 52°
Thursday
night
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Low: 45°
Friday

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
High: 65°

Current NWS Forecast

Mon, 28-Nov-2022 9:35am CST

Today

Today: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 55 °F ↓
Tonight

Tonight: Mostly Cloudy then Chance Drizzle
Mostly Cloudy then Chance Drizzle

Lo 31 °F ↑
Tuesday

Tuesday: Light Snow Likely
Light Snow Likely

Hi 36 °F ↓
Tuesday
Night
Tuesday Night: Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy

Lo 15 °F
Wednesday

Wednesday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 32 °F
Wednesday
Night
Wednesday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 15 °F
Thursday

Thursday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 44 °F
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear

Lo 33 °F
Friday

Friday: Sunny
Sunny

Hi 58 °F



WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 11-28-22 at 2:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
11-28-22 23 ↑   28 55 ↓   68 32 ↑   53 38   56 15   47 30   53 15   38 43   56
11-27-22 33 ↑ 25.2°F 39 44 ↓ 47.0 °F 50 26 ↑   29 56   59 32   42 42   46 15   20 29   32
11-26-22 29 ↑ 40.2°F 33 58 ↓ 58.1 °F 61 32 ↑ 25.2°F 39 46 47.0 °F 49 26   29 55   59 32   41 40   46
11-25-22 22 ↑ 38.3°F 29 57 ↓ 56.7 °F 59 29 ↑ 40.2°F 38 58 58.1 °F 67 33 25.2°F 41 47 47.0 °F 48 29   31 54   60
11-24-22 30 ↑ 32.5°F 38 48 ↓ 52.2 °F 54 24 ↑ 38.3°F 27 56 56.7 °F 56 30 40.2°F 32 54 58.1 °F 60 31 25.2°F 40 47 47.0 °F 46
11-23-22 27 ↑ 44.2°F 32 53 ↓ 57.5 °F 62 33 ↑ 32.5°F 37 45 52.2 °F 57 26 38.3°F 31 48 56.7 °F 54 24 40.2°F 28 50 58.1 °F 56
11-22-22 21 ↑ 32.7°F 22 56 ↓ 64.4 °F 54 26 ↑ 44.2°F 28 54 57.5 °F 60 34 32.5°F 42 46 52.2 °F 54 26 38.3°F 28 50 56.7 °F 49
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 0 2 1 1 0 3 2 1 0 1 3 0 0 1 1
% Succ     0.0 33.3   16.7 20.0   0.0 60.0   40.0 25.0   0.0 25.0   75.0     0.0 33.3   33.3
Ave Error 11.1   9.8 3.4   4.2 10.2   9.6 2.5   3.8 8.0   10.2 4.8   1.9 11.4   12.4 4.9   3.6
Net Error -8.5   -3.4 -3.3   0.7 -7.3   -2.3 -2.5   3.5 -3.3   2.5 -4.8   0.5 -7.6   -2.6 -4.9   -3.6
Std Dev 6.7   4.9 2.4   2.2 6.9   7.2 2.2   3.7 6.9   9.3 4.8   1.7 11.4   12.4 4.9   3.6

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 11-28-22 at 5:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
11-28-22 23 ↑   57 55 ↓   38 31 ↑   42 36   35 15   57 32   38 15   57 44   39
11-27-22 33 ↑ 25.2°F 51 44 ↓ 47.0 °F 30 26 ↑   60 56   42 32   43 42   20 15   34 29   20
11-26-22 29 ↑ 35.0°F 62 58 ↓ 58.1 °F 39 32 ↑ 25.2°F 50 46 47.0 °F 29 26   60 55   42 32   46 40   22
11-25-22 22 ↑ 34.4°F 58 57 ↓ 56.7 °F 35 29 ↑ 35.0°F 66 58 58.1 °F 40 33 25.2°F 46 47 47.0 °F 29 29   59 54   43
11-24-22 30 ↑ 26.3°F 59 48 ↓ 52.2 °F 32 24 ↑ 34.4°F 61 56 56.7 °F 35 30 35.0°F 63 54 58.1 °F 40 31 25.2°F 47 47 47.0 °F 28
11-23-22 22 ↑ 42.2°F 61 55 ↓ 57.5 °F 37 33 ↑ 26.3°F 57 45 52.2 °F 29 26 34.4°F 58 48 56.7 °F 32 23 35.0°F 62 51 58.1 °F 38
11-22-22 17 ↑ 32.7°F 55 56 ↓ 64.4 °F 27 26 ↑ 42.2°F 60 54 57.5 °F 43 33 26.3°F 53 44 52.2 °F 30 25 34.4°F 51 49 56.7 °F 22
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 0 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0
% Succ     0.0 33.3   0.0     0.0 60.0   0.0     0.0 25.0   0.0     0.0 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 11.0   25.0 3.1   22.7 9.2   26.2 2.5   19.1 7.0   24.8 5.3   20.8 9.1   21.8 4.9   24.6
Net Error -7.1   25.0 -3.0   -22.7 -3.8   26.2 -2.5   -19.1 0.3   24.8 -5.3   -20.8 -5.2   21.8 -4.9   -24.6
Std Dev 7.0   11.0 2.2   9.7 6.1   16.7 2.2   12.2 6.1   21.5 5.3   18.0 9.1   21.8 4.9   24.6

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 11-28-22 at 8:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
11-28-22 55 ↓   60 31 ↑   42 36 ↓   47 15   39 32   59 15   41 44   55 33   40
11-27-22 44 ↓ 47.0 °F 50 26 ↑ 25.2°F 29 56 ↓   60 32   42 42   43 15   21 29   34 14   20
11-26-22 58 ↓ 58.1 °F 63 32 ↑ 33.4°F 40 46 ↓ 47.0 °F 50 26 25.2°F 29 55   60 32   42 40   47 16   23
11-25-22 57 ↓ 56.7 °F 54 29 ↑ 33.5°F 35 58 ↓ 58.1 °F 67 33 33.4°F 40 47 47.0 °F 47 29 25.2°F 29 54   59 32   43
11-24-22 48 ↓ 52.2 °F 57 24 ↑ 25.9°F 31 56 ↓ 56.7 °F 60 30 33.5°F 34 54 58.1 °F 62 31 33.4°F 40 47 47.0 °F 47 27 25.2°F 28
11-23-22 55 ↓ 57.5 °F 62 33 ↑ 34.2°F 39 45 ↓ 52.2 °F 57 26 25.9°F 30 48 56.7 °F 58 23 33.5°F 32 51 58.1 °F 62 27 33.4°F 38
11-22-22 56 ↓ 64.4 °F 57 26 ↑ 32.7°F 29 54 ↓ 57.5 °F 62 33 34.2°F 44 44 52.2 °F 54 25 25.9°F 31 49 56.7 °F 52 27 33.5°F 23
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 0 4 1 3 0 4 1 1 3 1 1 1 1 1 0
% Succ 33.3   0.0 66.7   16.7 60.0   0.0 80.0   20.0 25.0   75.0 25.0   25.0 33.3   33.3 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 3.1   4.6 2.8   4.3 2.5   4.9 1.2   5.0 5.3   1.8 4.4   4.3 4.9   2.9 4.9   6.0
Net Error -3.0   1.2 -2.5   3.0 -2.5   4.9 -0.8   5.0 -5.3   1.8 -2.5   3.5 -4.9   -0.3 -3.7   -1.0
Std Dev 2.2   2.1 1.8   2.3 2.2   3.7 1.3   3.8 5.3   1.8 3.8   3.7 4.9   2.9 4.9   6.0

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 11-28-22 at 11:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
11-28-22 55 ↓   57 31 ↑   48 36 ↓   49 15   46 32   60 15   39 44   52 33   45
11-27-22 44 ↓ 47.0 °F 48 26 ↑ 25.2°F 26 56 ↓   57 32   38 42   39 15   20 29   33 14   18
11-26-22 58 ↓ 58.1 °F 60 32 ↑ 33.4°F 38 46 ↓ 47.0 °F 49 26 25.2°F 27 55   59 32   42 40   43 16   23
11-25-22 57 ↓ 56.7 °F 53 29 ↑ 33.5°F 31 59 ↓ 58.1 °F 60 33 33.4°F 36 48 47.0 °F 44 29 25.2°F 28 54   57 32   40
11-24-22 48 ↓ 52.2 °F 52 24 ↑ 25.9°F 27 56 ↓ 56.7 °F 56 30 33.5°F 34 54 58.1 °F 64 31 33.4°F 40 47 47.0 °F 47 27 25.2°F 29
11-23-22 55 ↓ 57.5 °F 58 33 ↑ 34.2°F 35 45 ↓ 52.2 °F 53 26 25.9°F 28 48 56.7 °F 54 23 33.5°F 30 51 58.1 °F 56 27 33.4°F 39
11-22-22 56 ↓ 64.4 °F 56 26 ↑ 32.7°F 25 54 ↓ 57.5 °F 56 33 34.2°F 38 44 52.2 °F 51 25 25.9°F 29 49 56.7 °F 50 27 33.5°F 22
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 4 4 3 3 5 4 2 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 0
% Succ 33.3   66.7 66.7   50.0 60.0   100.0 80.0   40.0 25.0   25.0 25.0   0.0 33.3   33.3 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 3.1   2.6 2.8   2.9 2.7   1.4 1.2   2.2 5.5   3.2 4.4   4.0 4.9   2.9 4.9   7.0
Net Error -3.0   -1.5 -2.5   -0.5 -2.3   0.5 -0.8   2.2 -5.0   -0.3 -2.5   2.3 -4.9   -2.9 -3.7   -0.7
Std Dev 2.2   1.9 1.8   2.0 2.2   1.0 1.3   1.6 5.3   2.8 3.8   3.5 4.9   2.9 4.9   7.0

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 11-27-22 at 2:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
11-27-22 44 ↓   47 26 ↑   26 56 ↓   57 32   38 42   39 15   20 29   32 14   18
11-26-22 58 ↓ 58.1 °F 58 33 ↑ 33.4°F 37 45 ↓   48 26   28 54   58 32   41 40   43 17   23
11-25-22 57 ↓ 56.7 °F 55 29 ↑ 33.4°F 33 59 ↓ 58.1 °F 61 33 33.4°F 36 46   45 29   28 54   57 32   40
11-24-22 49 ↓ 52.2 °F 53 26 25.9°F 28 55 ↓ 56.7 °F 56 31 33.4°F 34 55 58.1 °F 64 33 33.4°F 41 46   47 27   29
11-23-22 56 ↓ 57.5 °F 57 31 ↑ 34.2°F 35 44 ↓ 52.2 °F 51 26 25.9°F 27 51 56.7 °F 53 26 33.4°F 29 51 58.1 °F 55 29 33.4°F 39
11-22-22 56 ↓ 64.4 °F 64 26 ↑ 32.7°F 28 54 ↓ 57.5 °F 62 33 34.2°F 44 44 52.2 °F 56 25 25.9°F 32 49 56.7 °F 53 27 33.4°F 24
11-21-22 54 ↓ 57.2 °F 56 24 22.3°F 24 56 ↓ 64.4 °F 59 26 32.7°F 29 54 57.5 °F 62 34 34.2°F 44 46 52.2 °F 56 26 25.9°F 28
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 6 3 3 2 2 3 2 0 0 3 0 0 0 1 0
% Succ 50.0   100.0 50.0   50.0 40.0   40.0 60.0   40.0     0.0 75.0   0.0     0.0 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 2.8   0.8 2.8   2.2 4.5   2.9 2.2   3.6 5.1   4.5 2.2   7.0 7.0   3.5 3.6   5.7
Net Error -2.7   -0.5 -2.2   0.5 -4.2   0.0 -2.1   2.1 -5.1   2.6 -2.2   4.8 -7.0   -1.0 -3.6   -0.6
Std Dev 3.0   0.6 2.5   1.7 3.9   2.3 1.8   2.9 4.6   3.9 2.1   6.0 7.0   3.5 3.6   5.7

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 11-27-22 at 5:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
11-27-22 46 ↓   26 27 ↑   58 55 ↓   38 32   41 38   19 15   34 30   18 15   43
11-26-22 58 ↓ 58.1 °F 37 33 ↑ 33.4°F 48 45 ↓   30 26   58 54   43 32   49 40   23 17   33
11-25-22 57 ↓ 56.7 °F 35 29 ↑ 33.4°F 66 59 ↓ 58.1 °F 42 32 33.4°F 51 46   30 27   59 54   39 34   49
11-24-22 52 ↓ 52.2 °F 29 26 25.9°F 57 55 ↓ 56.7 °F 34 31 33.4°F 63 55 58.1 °F 38 33 33.4°F 45 46   30 27   57
11-23-22 58 ↓ 57.5 °F 37 31 ↑ 34.2°F 53 44 ↓ 52.2 °F 27 26 25.9°F 55 51 56.7 °F 32 26 33.4°F 59 51 58.1 °F 41 29 33.4°F 49
11-22-22 64 ↓ 64.4 °F 32 27 ↑ 32.7°F 65 53 ↓ 57.5 °F 46 33 34.2°F 58 45 52.2 °F 38 26 25.9°F 55 48 56.7 °F 26 24 33.4°F 56
11-21-22 55 ↓ 57.2 °F 27 24 22.3°F 60 56 ↓ 64.4 °F 30 26 32.7°F 63 54 57.5 °F 49 34 34.2°F 59 46 52.2 °F 30 26 25.9°F 53
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 5 0 3 0 2 0 3 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 1 0
% Succ 83.3   0.0 50.0   0.0 40.0   0.0 60.0   0.0     0.0 75.0   0.0     0.0 33.3   0.0
Ave Error 0.6   24.9 2.6   27.9 4.7   22.0 2.4   26.1 4.9   16.9 2.0   22.8 7.3   23.3 4.6   21.8
Net Error -0.4   -24.9 -2.0   27.9 -4.4   -22.0 -2.3   26.1 -4.9   -16.9 -2.0   22.8 -7.3   -23.3 -4.6   21.8
Std Dev 0.4   11.0 2.3   13.5 4.0   14.2 1.9   17.1 4.3   14.7 1.9   20.5 7.3   23.3 4.6   21.8

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 11-27-22 at 8:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
11-27-22 27 ↑   25 55 ↓   57 32 ↑   38 38   41 15   19 30   34 15   18 43   43
11-26-22 33 ↑ 33.4°F 38 45 ↓ 58.1 °F 48 26 ↑   31 54   59 32   44 40   49 17   23 28   33
11-25-22 29 ↑ 33.4°F 33 59 ↓ 56.7 °F 61 32 ↑ 33.4°F 36 46 58.1 °F 45 27   29 54   56 34   37 43   45
11-24-22 26 25.9°F 28 55 ↓ 52.2 °F 57 31 33.4°F 33 55 56.7 °F 59 33 33.4°F 36 46 58.1 °F 44 27   28 52   56
11-23-22 31 ↑ 34.2°F 39 44 ↓ 57.5 °F 55 26 25.9°F 28 51 52.2 °F 57 26 33.4°F 33 51 56.7 °F 60 29 33.4°F 41 47 58.1 °F 49
11-22-22 27 ↑ 32.7°F 31 53 ↓ 64.4 °F 62 33 ↑ 34.2°F 44 45 57.5 °F 56 26 25.9°F 37 48 52.2 °F 54 24 33.4°F 26 50 56.7 °F 55
11-21-22 24 22.3°F 23 56 ↓ 57.2 °F 56 26 ↑ 32.7°F 27 54 64.4 °F 60 34 34.2°F 47 46 57.5 °F 57 26 25.9°F 29 50 52.2 °F 52
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 3 1 1 3 1 2 1 3 1 0 2 1 0 0 2
% Succ 50.0   50.0 16.7   16.7 60.0   20.0 40.0   20.0 75.0   25.0     50.0 33.3   0.0     66.7
Ave Error 2.6   2.4 7.4   4.2 2.4   4.1 7.6   5.2 2.0   6.7 8.4   4.9 4.6   6.0 6.7   3.7
Net Error -2.0   1.7 -5.7   -1.2 -2.3   1.7 -7.6   -2.4 -2.0   6.5 -8.4   -2.4 -4.6   1.1 -6.7   -3.7
Std Dev 2.3   1.9 5.6   3.1 1.9   3.3 6.5   5.0 1.9   6.2 7.5   6.3 4.6   6.0 6.7   3.7

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 11-27-22 at 11:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
11-27-22 24 ↑   24 55 ↓   58 32 ↑   40 38   48 15   41 30   50 15   32 43   56
11-26-22 33 ↑ 26.0°F 36 45 ↓ 58.1 °F 47 26 ↑   28 54   57 32   41 40   46 17   20 28   31
11-25-22 29 ↑ 45.1°F 32 59 ↓ 56.7 °F 60 32 ↑ 26.0°F 38 46 58.1 °F 48 27   29 54   59 34   40 43   46
11-24-22 22 ↑ 39.4°F 29 55 ↓ 52.2 °F 59 31 45.1°F 36 55 56.7 °F 66 33 26.0°F 39 46 58.1 °F 47 27   31 52   60
11-23-22 31 ↑ 34.6°F 36 44 ↓ 57.5 °F 54 26 39.4°F 26 51 52.2 °F 56 26 45.1°F 31 51 56.7 °F 61 29 26.0°F 39 47 58.1 °F 46
11-22-22 27 ↑ 45.9°F 29 53 ↓ 64.4 °F 58 33 ↑ 34.6°F 35 45 57.5 °F 54 26 39.4°F 30 48 52.2 °F 53 24 45.1°F 27 50 56.7 °F 54
11-21-22 24 34.3°F 23 56 ↓ 57.2 °F 56 26 ↑ 45.9°F 28 54 64.4 °F 61 34 34.6°F 43 46 57.5 °F 54 26 39.4°F 28 50 52.2 °F 50
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 0 1 1 1 1 1 2 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
% Succ     16.7 16.7   16.7 20.0   20.0 40.0   0.0 25.0   0.0     25.0     0.0     0.0
Ave Error 12.2   10.5 7.4   5.4 11.0   10.6 7.6   6.0 10.0   11.2 8.4   4.9 12.5   14.2 6.7   5.7
Net Error -9.9   -6.7 -5.7   -2.0 -8.6   -5.6 -7.6   -0.8 -6.5   -0.5 -8.4   -2.4 -10.5   -5.5 -6.7   -5.7
Std Dev 7.5   6.3 5.6   3.5 7.5   6.9 6.5   4.6 8.8   9.8 7.5   5.3 12.5   14.2 6.7   5.7

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.