Current WXSIM Forecast

Wednesday, 24-Apr-2024 08:00 pm

Tonight

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Low: 55°
Thursday

Chance rain
Chance rain
High: 66°
Thursday
night
Thunder storm
Thunder storm
Low: 58°
Friday

Thunder storm
Thunder storm
High: 73°
Friday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Low: 57°
Saturday

Sunny
Sunny
High: 79°
Saturday
night
Thunder storm
Thunder storm
Low: 57°
Sunday

Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
High: 75°
Sunday
night
Cloudy
Cloudy
Low: 50°

Current NWS Forecast

Wed, 24-Apr-2024 7:35pm CDT

Tonight

Tonight: Mostly Cloudy then Slight Chance Rain Showers
Mostly Cloudy then Slight Chance Rain Showers

Lo 52 °F ↑
Thursday

Thursday: Chance Rain Showers
Chance Rain Showers

Hi 65 °F
Thursday
Night
Thursday Night: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And TStorms then Showers And TStorms

Lo 54 °F ↑
Friday

Friday: Showers And Thunderstorms
Showers And TStorms

Hi 78 °F
Friday
Night
Friday Night: Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
Showers And TStorms Likely

Lo 52 °F
Saturday

Saturday: Mostly Sunny then Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Mostly Sunny then Chance Showers And TStorms

Hi 79 °F
Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Showers And Thunderstorms
Showers And TStorms

Lo 57 °F
Sunday

Sunday: Showers And Thunderstorms
Showers And TStorms

Hi 71 °F
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
Chance Showers And TStorms

Lo 42 °F



WxSim & NWS Temperature Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

2AM Forecasts

Updated: 04-24-24 at 2:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-24-24 39 ↑   40 67   69 49   47 70   56 57   46 78   73 52   53 77   76
04-23-24 50 ↑ 46.0°F 54 71 72.4 °F 71 38 ↑   45 68   69 50   46 71   64 58   46 79   75
04-22-24 39 ↑ 58.3°F 42 79 77.8 °F 73 48 ↑ 46.0°F 48 69 72.4 °F 67 40   44 67   64 48   42 70   62
04-21-24 31 ↑ 46.6°F 32 63 65.8 °F 61 41 ↑ 58.3°F 41 78 77.8 °F 67 48 46.0°F 47 68 72.4 °F 65 40   43 67   63
04-20-24 32 ↑ 33.9°F 35 55 55.9 °F 53 31 ↑ 46.6°F 32 63 65.8 °F 61 41 58.3°F 39 74 77.8 °F 64 48 46.0°F 44 67 72.4 °F 61
04-19-24 35 ↑ 39.7°F 37 59 61.3 °F 60 33 ↑ 33.9°F 36 54 55.9 °F 54 31 46.6°F 33 62 65.8 °F 61 42 58.3°F 39 72 77.8 °F 57
04-18-24 44 ↑ 40.4°F 45 58 60.1 °F 55 35 ↑ 39.7°F 37 59 61.3 °F 59 33 33.9°F 36 55 55.9 °F 51 32 46.6°F 34 62 65.8 °F 61
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 1 1 3 2 2 1 2 1 2 1 1 0 1 1 0 0
% Succ 16.7   16.7 50.0   33.3 40.0   20.0 40.0   20.0 50.0   25.0 25.0   0.0 33.3   33.3     0.0
Ave Error 8.2   7.9 1.8   3.4 8.1   7.7 2.1   5.0 9.0   9.0 3.2   7.7 11.0   11.3 5.0   12.3
Net Error -5.7   -3.3 -1.4   -3.4 -7.3   -6.1 -2.0   -5.0 -8.0   -7.5 -3.2   -7.7 -9.6   -11.3 -5.0   -12.3
Std Dev 7.2   6.5 1.0   2.0 7.9   7.6 1.7   4.1 8.5   8.8 2.9   6.7 11.0   11.3 5.0   12.3

5AM Forecasts

Updated: 04-24-24 at 5:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-24-24 39 ↑   69 70   47 51 ↑   54 64   46 54   73 78   53 51   76 78   61
04-23-24 50 ↑ 42.6°F 70 70 72.4 °F 44 40 ↑   68 69   45 50   63 70   45 57   75 78   55
04-22-24 40 ↑ 56.1°F 70 77 77.8 °F 46 49 ↑ 42.6°F 66 69 72.4 °F 42 39   63 68   42 48   62 73   46
04-21-24 29 46.4°F 60 63 65.8 °F 39 41 ↑ 56.1°F 67 78 77.8 °F 46 48 42.6°F 65 68 72.4 °F 43 38   63 67   45
04-20-24 32 ↑ 30.8°F 53 55 55.9 °F 32 31 ↑ 46.4°F 60 63 65.8 °F 39 41 56.1°F 64 75 77.8 °F 44 48 42.6°F 61 68 72.4 °F 36
04-19-24 35 ↑ 35.0°F 60 59 61.3 °F 36 33 ↑ 30.8°F 54 54 55.9 °F 34 31 46.4°F 62 62 65.8 °F 40 41 56.1°F 56 73 77.8 °F 42
04-18-24 44 ↑ 39.4°F 54 58 60.1 °F 36 35 ↑ 35.0°F 60 59 61.3 °F 35 33 30.8°F 51 55 55.9 °F 33 32 46.4°F 62 62 65.8 °F 42
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 0 2 0 1 0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0
% Succ 33.3   0.0 33.3   0.0 20.0   0.0 40.0   0.0     0.0 25.0   0.0     33.3     0.0
Ave Error 7.8   19.5 1.9   26.7 7.8   19.2 2.1   27.4 9.5   16.5 3.0   28.0 11.6   11.4 4.3   32.0
Net Error -3.4   19.5 -1.9   -26.7 -4.4   19.2 -2.0   -27.4 -5.7   16.5 -3.0   -28.0 -8.0   11.3 -4.3   -32.0
Std Dev 7.4   9.5 1.1   11.2 6.9   13.1 1.7   17.5 8.5   14.6 2.7   24.2 11.6   11.4 4.3   32.0

8AM Forecasts

Updated: 04-24-24 at 8:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-24-24 70   69 51 ↑   51 64   64 54   55 78   72 51   56 78   79 55   62
04-23-24 70 72.4 °F 70 40 ↑ 39.8°F 43 69   68 50   46 70   62 57   46 78   70 53   55
04-22-24 77 77.8 °F 73 49 ↑ 51.4°F 49 69 72.4 °F 68 39 39.8°F 44 68   64 48   42 73   62 58   44
04-21-24 63 65.8 °F 57 41 ↑ 46.4°F 38 78 77.8 °F 67 48 51.4°F 46 68 72.4 °F 66 38 39.8°F 44 67   64 48   43
04-20-24 55 55.9 °F 52 31 ↑ 29.3°F 32 63 65.8 °F 61 41 46.4°F 38 75 77.8 °F 64 48 51.4°F 43 68 72.4 °F 62 39 39.8°F 41
04-19-24 59 61.3 °F 59 33 ↑ 32.0°F 35 54 55.9 °F 54 31 29.3°F 32 62 65.8 °F 61 41 46.4°F 40 73 77.8 °F 65 46 51.4°F 44
04-18-24 58 60.1 °F 52 35 ↑ 39.4°F 34 59 61.3 °F 58 33 32.0°F 34 55 55.9 °F 51 32 29.3°F 31 62 65.8 °F 62 42 46.4°F 41
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 0 3 0 2 1 3 1 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 1
% Succ 33.3   0.0 50.0   0.0 40.0   20.0 60.0   20.0 25.0   0.0 25.0   25.0     0.0 33.3   33.3
Ave Error 1.9   5.1 2.5   4.2 2.1   5.0 2.5   4.5 3.0   7.5 3.3   5.2 4.3   9.0 3.5   4.7
Net Error -1.9   -5.1 -1.6   -1.2 -2.0   -5.0 -1.4   -1.0 -3.0   -7.5 -2.0   -2.2 -4.3   -9.0 -3.5   -3.9
Std Dev 1.1   3.0 2.0   2.7 1.7   4.1 2.2   3.4 2.7   6.5 3.0   4.5 4.3   9.0 3.5   4.7

11AM Forecasts

Updated: 04-24-24 at 11:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-24-24 70   71 51 ↑   49 64   58 54   48 78   73 51   55 78   78 55   62
04-23-24 70 72.4 °F 72 40 ↑ 39.8°F 41 69   69 50   50 70   69 57   53 78   72 53   57
04-22-24 79 77.8 °F 72 49 ↑ 51.4°F 48 69 72.4 °F 67 39 39.8°F 44 68   64 48   41 73   62 58   44
04-21-24 63 65.8 °F 60 41 ↑ 46.4°F 40 78 77.8 °F 68 48 51.4°F 46 68 72.4 °F 66 38 39.8°F 44 67   64 48   43
04-20-24 55 55.9 °F 52 31 ↑ 29.3°F 28 63 65.8 °F 58 41 46.4°F 35 75 77.8 °F 64 48 51.4°F 42 68 72.4 °F 61 39 39.8°F 41
04-19-24 59 61.3 °F 60 33 ↑ 32.0°F 34 54 55.9 °F 54 31 29.3°F 33 62 65.8 °F 61 41 46.4°F 40 73 77.8 °F 65 46 51.4°F 44
04-18-24 58 60.1 °F 53 35 ↑ 39.4°F 35 59 61.3 °F 58 33 32.0°F 35 55 55.9 °F 52 32 29.3°F 32 62 65.8 °F 62 42 46.4°F 42
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 2 3 3 2 1 3 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 1
% Succ 33.3   33.3 50.0   50.0 40.0   20.0 60.0   0.0 25.0   0.0 25.0   0.0     0.0 33.3   33.3
Ave Error 2.0   4.1 2.5   3.1 2.1   5.6 2.5   5.5 3.0   7.2 3.3   5.7 4.3   9.3 3.5   4.3
Net Error -1.6   -4.1 -1.6   -2.1 -2.0   -5.6 -1.4   -1.2 -3.0   -7.2 -2.0   -2.2 -4.3   -9.3 -3.5   -3.5
Std Dev 1.0   2.7 2.0   2.2 1.7   4.1 2.2   4.4 2.7   6.3 3.0   5.0 4.3   9.3 3.5   4.3

2PM Forecasts

Updated: 04-24-24 at 2:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-24-24 >65   71 50   47 65   57 <55   47 >75   72 <55   55 >75   78 55   59
04-23-24 70 72.4 °F 71 40 ↑ 39.8°F 41 69   68 50   45 70   56 57   45 78   73 53   53
04-22-24 79 77.8 °F 77 49 ↑ 51.4°F 52 69 72.4 °F 72 39 39.8°F 47 68   66 48   48 73   63 58   52
04-21-24 63 65.8 °F 62 39 ↑ 46.4°F 39 79 77.8 °F 68 48 51.4°F 45 69 72.4 °F 67 40 39.8°F 44 67   63 48   43
04-20-24 55 55.9 °F 56 31 ↑ 29.3°F 30 63 65.8 °F 59 41 46.4°F 37 75 77.8 °F 65 48 51.4°F 45 68 72.4 °F 63 39 39.8°F 39
04-19-24 60 61.3 °F 60 32 ↑ 32.0°F 35 54 55.9 °F 54 31 29.3°F 34 62 65.8 °F 62 41 46.4°F 40 73 77.8 °F 65 46 51.4°F 44
04-18-24 58 60.1 °F 58 35 ↑ 39.4°F 35 59 61.3 °F 59 33 32.0°F 35 55 55.9 °F 51 32 29.3°F 33 62 65.8 °F 62 42 46.4°F 41
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 3 4 3 3 2 2 3 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 1
% Succ 50.0   66.7 50.0   50.0 40.0   40.0 60.0   0.0 25.0   0.0 25.0   0.0     0.0 33.3   33.3
Ave Error 1.8   1.6 2.7   2.9 2.3   4.2 2.5   6.1 2.7   6.7 2.9   5.2 4.3   8.7 3.5   4.5
Net Error -1.4   -1.6 -2.1   -1.1 -1.8   -4.2 -1.4   -0.2 -2.7   -6.7 -1.5   -1.2 -4.3   -8.7 -3.5   -4.5
Std Dev 1.0   1.3 2.7   2.6 1.6   4.2 2.2   4.2 2.4   5.9 2.9   4.5 4.3   8.7 3.5   4.5

5PM Forecasts

Updated: 04-23-24 at 5:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-23-24 71   42 39 ↑   67 67   45 49   54 70   44 57   71 78   53 52   76
04-22-24 79 ↓ 77.8 °F 53 50 ↑ 51.4°F 72 71   47 38   67 68   47 50   63 71   53 58   77
04-21-24 63 65.8 °F 41 39 ↑ 46.4°F 68 79 77.8 °F 45 48 51.4°F 67 69   45 40   63 67   44 48   71
04-20-24 55 55.9 °F 32 31 ↑ 29.3°F 60 63 65.8 °F 39 40 46.4°F 65 75 77.8 °F 45 48 51.4°F 63 69   39 40   62
04-19-24 60 61.3 °F 34 32 ↑ 32.0°F 53 54 55.9 °F 32 31 29.3°F 61 62 65.8 °F 38 41 46.4°F 65 73 77.8 °F 43 46 51.4°F 60
04-18-24 57 60.1 °F 37 35 ↑ 39.4°F 59 59 61.3 °F 34 33 32.0°F 52 54 55.9 °F 33 31 29.3°F 62 62 65.8 °F 41 42 46.4°F 61
04-17-24 73 72.8 °F 47 45 ↑ 42.5°F 57 58 60.1 °F 40 36 39.4°F 58 57 61.3 °F 38 33 32.0°F 52 53 55.9 °F 36 32 29.3°F 60
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 4 0 3 0 2 0 2 0 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 0
% Succ 66.7   0.0 50.0   0.0 40.0   0.0 40.0   0.0 25.0   0.0 50.0   0.0     0.0     0.0
Ave Error 1.6   25.0 2.9   21.3 2.1   26.2 3.2   20.9 3.2   26.7 2.9   20.7 3.8   26.5 4.2   18.0
Net Error -1.1   -25.0 -1.5   21.3 -1.6   -26.2 -2.1   20.9 -3.2   -26.7 -1.5   20.7 -3.8   -26.5 -2.4   18.0
Std Dev 1.1   10.3 2.7   9.5 1.4   16.9 2.6   14.3 2.8   23.3 2.5   18.5 3.8   26.5 4.2   18.0

8PM Forecasts

Updated: 04-24-24 at 8:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-24-24 52 ↑   55 65   66 54 ↑   58 78   73 52   57 79   79 57   57 71   75
04-23-24 39 ↑ 39.8°F 43 67 72.4 °F 69 49   49 70   63 57   54 78   69 52   54 77   77
04-22-24 50 ↑ 51.4°F 55 71 77.8 °F 71 38 ↑ 39.8°F 47 68 72.4 °F 68 50   48 71   67 58   54 79   72
04-21-24 39 ↑ 46.4°F 41 79 65.8 °F 69 48 ↑ 51.4°F 46 69 77.8 °F 65 40 39.8°F 42 67 72.4 °F 64 48   44 70   69
04-20-24 31 ↑ 29.3°F 32 63 55.9 °F 59 40 46.4°F 38 75 65.8 °F 65 48 51.4°F 44 69 77.8 °F 63 40 39.8°F 40 67 72.4 °F 58
04-19-24 32 ↑ 32.0°F 34 54 61.3 °F 52 31 29.3°F 31 62 55.9 °F 60 41 46.4°F 38 73 65.8 °F 65 46 51.4°F 44 67 77.8 °F 57
04-18-24 35 ↑ 39.4°F 36 59 60.1 °F 58 33 ↑ 32.0°F 36 54 61.3 °F 53 31 29.3°F 34 62 55.9 °F 62 42 46.4°F 41 72 65.8 °F 61
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 4 1 1 0 3 1 0 1 2 0 0 1 1 1 0 0
% Succ 66.7   16.7 16.7   0.0 60.0   20.0     20.0 50.0   0.0     25.0 33.3   33.3     0.0
Ave Error 2.6   3.4 6.8   4.7 2.9   5.3 7.2   6.1 2.7   5.7 6.9   7.5 3.3   4.3 7.5   13.3
Net Error -2.1   0.5 0.0   -2.6 -1.8   -0.2 -1.0   -4.4 -1.7   -2.2 -0.2   -4.5 -3.2   -4.2 -3.3   -13.3
Std Dev 2.7   1.7 3.9   3.0 2.5   3.7 4.8   5.5 2.6   5.2 6.0   6.5 3.3   4.3 7.5   13.3

11PM Forecasts

Updated: 04-23-24 at 11:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
04-23-24 39 ↑   43 67   69 49   50 70   68 57   55 78   69 52   55 77   78
04-22-24 50 ↑ 51.8°F 53 71 77.8 °F 69 38 ↑   45 68   68 50   48 71   68 58   54 79   71
04-21-24 39 ↑ 62.0°F 42 79 65.8 °F 70 48 ↑ 51.8°F 46 69 77.8 °F 65 40   42 67   64 48   44 70   69
04-20-24 31 ↑ 50.5°F 33 63 55.9 °F 60 40 62.0°F 40 75 65.8 °F 67 48 51.8°F 45 69 77.8 °F 62 40   40 67   58
04-19-24 32 ↑ 41.2°F 38 54 61.3 °F 54 31 50.5°F 32 64 55.9 °F 61 41 62.0°F 39 74 65.8 °F 65 48 51.8°F 44 67 77.8 °F 57
04-18-24 35 ↑ 47.3°F 38 59 60.1 °F 60 33 ↑ 41.2°F 36 54 61.3 °F 54 31 50.5°F 34 62 55.9 °F 62 42 62.0°F 41 72 65.8 °F 61
04-17-24 44 ↑ 44.3°F 48 58 72.8 °F 57 36 47.3°F 39 57 60.1 °F 60 35 41.2°F 39 54 61.3 °F 51 33 50.5°F 32 62 55.9 °F 62
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 2 1 1 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
% Succ 33.3   16.7 16.7   16.7     0.0     40.0     0.0     25.0     0.0     0.0
Ave Error 11.0   9.2 8.4   6.7 13.0   12.0 7.3   5.3 12.6   12.1 7.6   8.3 13.8   15.8 7.7   10.6
Net Error -11.0   -7.5 -1.6   -4.0 -13.0   -12.0 -0.4   -2.8 -12.6   -12.1 -0.4   -5.2 -13.8   -15.8 0.5   -6.5
Std Dev 8.4   7.9 5.0   4.2 10.4   9.7 4.8   5.1 11.8   10.8 6.6   8.1 13.8   15.8 7.7   10.6

Forecast Comparison Script Created by Jim McMurray of Juneau County Weather.
WXSIM is a product of Tom Ehrensberger.